辽东湾地区下第三系地震速度—岩性预测模型研究   总被引：9，自引：1，他引：9  

刘震  高先志 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》1993,13(4):25-34

地震速度－岩性预测模型由四个子模型组成：即（１）砂泥岩压实模型；（２）地震层速度转换模型；（３）速度校正模型；（４）砂岩指数转换模型。辽东湾地区的实际资料证明，上述四个子模型不但决定了岩性预测的具体方法，而且严格控制岩性预测的精度。  相似文献   

黄渤海底层盐度预报方法的研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

王宗山  徐伯昌  孙卫阳  邹娥梅  李繁华 《海洋与湖沼》1993,24(6):592-598

根据二维流体动力学方程和深度平均盐度扩散方程在河口径流量以及蒸发和降水之差为已知情况下构成的闭合方程组,预报出深度平均盐度,然后利用底层盐度与深度平均盐度、水深和时间(月)之间的经验关系,给出底层盐度的二维预报。为了检验试报结果的可靠性,文中将黄渤海底层盐度的试报结果(1979年7月11日,时效为3d)与标准断面观测资料(7月4—14日观测,124.5°E以西,共104站)作一粗略比较。比较表明,试报结果与实测值的相关系数为0.96,均方误差为α=0.26,绝对误差小于0.2和0.3的站数分别占总站数的63.5％和77.0％,而总均绝差为0.19。由此可见,试报的效果是令人满意的。  相似文献   

Viability theory for an ecosystem approach to fisheries   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

Cury  Philippe M.; Mullon  Christian; Garcia  Serge M.; Shannon  Lynne J. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2005,62(3):577-584

  相似文献   

Grey Prediction of Siltation in North Channel of Yangtze Estuary     

Yu Cimei Shanghai Waterways Design & Research Institute  Shanghai 《中国海洋工程》1994,(2)

-The North Channel in the Yangtze Estuary is one of sea-leading waterways of Shanghai Harbour, in which yearly dredging volume reaches over ten million cubic meters, and it tends to increase year by year. Based on the channel regime similarity and through the relational grade, a GM (2, 1) is set up. It reveals the course of development of channel regime similarity under the action of various factors, and predicts the siltation volume in the nearest future which is the basis of dredging planning for relevant dredging departments.  相似文献   

Prediction of Load Carrying Capacity of Corroded Reinforced Concrete Beam     

范颖芳  周晶冯新 《中国海洋工程》2004,18(1):107-118

A novel method for prediction of the load carrying capacity of a corroded reinforced concrete beam (CRCB) is presented in the paper. Nine reinforced concrete beams, which had been working in an aggressive environment for more than 10 years, were tested in the laboratory. Comprehensive tests, including flexural test, strength test for corroded concrete and rusty rebar, and pullout test for bond strength between concrete and rebar, were condueted. The flexural test results of CRCBs reveal that the distribution of surface cracks on the beams shows a fractal behavior. The relationship between the fractal dimensions and mechanical properties of CRCBs is then studied. A prediction model based on artificial neural network (ANN) is established by the use of the fractal dimension as the corrosion index, together with the basic intbrmation of the beam. The validity of the prediction model is demonstrated through the experimental data, and satisfactory resuits are achieved.  相似文献   

台风移速突变的诊断分析及路径预报     

仲荣根 《海洋湖沼通报》1994,(2):149-154

本文利用台风移动方程对作用在台风上的各力进行了诊断分析：主要力是气压梯度力和地转偏向力，二者同量级，其他各力约小１－３个量级；当台风加速移动时，气压梯度力小于地转编向力；减速移动时，气压梯度力大于地转偏向力。用预报方程计算得到的台风路径与实际台风路径在趋势上近于一致，预报误差约为２００ｋｍ。  相似文献   

沉降监测多项式回归分析与神经网络预测     

田丰  文鸿雁  张静 《海洋测绘》2007,27(4):23-27

使用多项式和切比雪夫(Tchebyshev)多项式分别对沉降监测数据进行回归分析以预测未来沉降值,其中切比雪夫多项式的外推效果较好;应用前向BP神经网络对两种不同的单因子输入模式进行非线性函数逼近,并进行了不同采样步长的比较,实例表明将时间点作为网络的输入对沉降进行预测效果较好。  相似文献   

Fully nonlinear numerical wave tank (NWT) simulations and wave run-up prediction around 3-D structures     

J. -C. Park  M. -H. Kim  H. Miyata  H. -H. Chun 《Ocean Engineering》2003,30(15):1969-1996

A finite-difference scheme and a modified marker-and-cell (MAC) algorithm have been developed to investigate the interactions of fully nonlinear waves with two- or three-dimensional structures of arbitrary shape. The Navier–Stokes (NS) and continuity equations are solved in the computational domain and the boundary values are updated at each time step by the finite-difference time-marching scheme in the framework of a rectangular coordinate system. The fully nonlinear kinematic free-surface condition is implemented by the marker-density function (MDF) technique developed for two fluid layers.To demonstrate the capability and accuracy of the present method, the numerical simulation of backstep flows with free-surface, and the numerical tests of the MDF technique with limit functions are conducted. The 3D program was then applied to nonlinear wave interactions with conical gravity platforms of circular and octagonal cross-sections. The numerical prediction of maximum wave run-up on arctic structures is compared with the prediction of the Shore Protection Manual (SPM) method and those of linear and second-order diffraction analyses based on potential theory and boundary element method (BEM). Through this comparison, the effects of non-linearity and viscosity on wave loading and run-up are discussed.  相似文献   

Dynamics and control of a towed underwater vehicle system, part I: model development     

B. Buckham  M. Nahon  M. Seto  X. Zhao  C. Lambert 《Ocean Engineering》2003,30(4):82-470

Autonomous vehicles are being developed to replace the conventional, manned surface vehicles that tow mine hunting towed platforms. While a wide body of work exists that describes numerical models of towed systems, they usually include relatively simple models of the towed bodies and neglect the dynamics of the towing vehicle. For systems in which the mass of the towing vehicle is comparable to that of the towed vehicle, it becomes important to consider the dynamics of both vehicles. In this work, we describe the development of a numerical model that accurately captures the dynamics of these new mine hunting systems. We use a lumped mass approximation for the towcable and couple this model to non-linear numerical models of an autonomous surface vehicle and an actively controlled towfish. Within the dynamics models of the two vehicles, we include non-linear controllers to allow accurate maneuvering of the towed system.  相似文献   

Progress in Scatterometer Application   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

W. Timothy Liu 《Journal of Oceanography》2002,58(1):121-136

Progress in the scientific application of space-based scatterometer data over the past two decades is reviewed. There has been continuous improvement in coverage, resolution, and accuracy. Besides the traditional applications in weather and ocean-atmosphere interaction, which are based on ocean surface wind vectors, emerging applications over land and ice are also described. Future missions and new technology are introduced. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献