一个有限区变网格模式的设计   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

钱滔滔  郭肖容  廖洞贤 《大气科学》1997,21(6):687-697

在国家气象中心业务运行的有限区球面均匀网格模式的基础上设计了一个有限区变网格模式。使预报的窗口区设计为均匀细网格0.5°，而窗口区以外则以0.1°经纬度均匀向外递增。采用廖洞贤1995年提出的坐标变换方法，变网格中的模式方程可以在相应的均匀网格上进行计算。利用实际资料对绝热模式进行了变网格与全场均匀细网格0.5°的对比试验。3个个例的试验结果表明:对窗口区变网格模式预报几乎与全场均匀细网格模式预报水平相当。但由于窗口区外网格点数减少而所用计算机时（CPU）节省了一半以上。  相似文献   

水库地震主震发生时间的预测   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

常宝琦  沈立英 《华南地震》1997,17(2):76-82

水利工程对水库地震的抗震设防要求事先对水为地震进行预测。预测内容包括蓄水后诱发地震的危险性（可能性、）最大震级、最大震的地占紧及不库地震对场址地震动参数的影响。除主震时间的预测外，本文第一作者都曾提出过初步的预测方法。本文认为，水库地震前震波速比异常、非线性灰色模型以及前震系列回归等方法，是预测主震时间的有前途的方法。  相似文献   

地震活动时序谱的涨落统计特征与地震活跃期   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

涂鹏  韩渭宾 《四川地震》1997,(4):22-29

为寻求地震活动演化的统计判据，本文采用多项式拟合法展示地震时序谱之涨落谱，以分维函数法判断最小邻间距（NNS）分布的Poisson性，然后采用MKS无参量法判别涨落谱之统计稳定性，确定NNS分布的转变区，具体研讨了四川、云南若干震区地震活动时序谱的涨落统计分布，发现地震活跃期到来时NNS分布表现出非Poisson化的特征。进一步通过改变和调节时序数据样本集之震级下限，并逐段前推进行统计计算的方式进一步验证结果的可靠性，客观地确定了这些震区地震活动时序涨落谱统计特征的转变期，使根据该统计法判断地震活跃期的方法论渐趋完善。  相似文献   

中国旅游资源开发模式与旅游区域可持续发展理念   总被引：38，自引：2，他引：38  

王兴中 《地理科学》1997,17(3):218-223

从旅游资源开发与区域关系的角度，指出国内旅游资源在开发方面存在着不同的理念与方法论模式，导致不同的区域旅游开发效果；从旅游可持续发展的原则出发，旅游区域开发在理论上应该建立多元趋势分析旅游开发理论体系，在实践上应建立鞠域“大旅游”的结构系统，并提出区域旅游开发的一些理论。  相似文献   

先进的大地电磁资料处理和反演方法在INDEPTH-MT中的应用研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

谭捍东  陈乐寿 《现代地质》1997,11(3):393-400

简述了包括Ｒｏｂｕｓｔ估计、阻抗张量分解、Ｒｈｏｐｌｕｓ理论、二维快速松弛反演、静位移校正等一些先进的大地电磁资料处理和反演方法的理论。结合ＩＮＤＥＰＴＨ ＭＴ实测资料例举了它们的应用效果。提供了一套处理野外资料的系统流程。  相似文献   

Source investigation of a small event using empirical Green's functions and simulated annealing     

F. Courboulex  J. Virieux  A. Deschamps  D. Gibert  A. Zollo 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,125(3):768-780

We propose a two-step inversion of three-component seismograms that (1) recovers the far-field source time function at each station and (2) estimates the distribution of co-seismic slip on the fault plane for small earthquakes (magnitude 3 to 4). The empirical Green's function (EGF) method consists of finding a small earthquake located near the one we wish to study and then performing a deconvolution to remove the path, site, and instrumental effects from the main-event signal.
The deconvolution between the two earthquakes is an unstable procedure: we have therefore developed a simulated annealing technique to recover a stable and positive source time function (STF) in the time domain at each station with an estimation of uncertainties. Given a good azimuthal coverage, we can obtain information on the directivity effect as well as on the rupture process. We propose an inversion method by simulated annealing using the STF to recover the distribution of slip on the fault plane with a constant rupture-velocity model. This method permits estimation of physical quantities on the fault plane, as well as possible identification of the real fault plane.
We apply this two-step procedure for an event of magnitude 3 recorded in the Gulf of Corinth in August 1991. A nearby event of magnitude 2 provides us with empirical Green's functions for each station. We estimate an active fault area of 0.02 to 0.15 km² and deduce a stress-drop value of 1 to 30 bar and an average slip of 0.1 to 1.6 cm. The selected fault of the main event is in good agreement with the existence of a detachment surface inferred from the tectonics of this half-graben.  相似文献   

高分辨率地震技术探测采空区研究——以贾汪煤矿区为例   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

刘建华  彭向峰  孙智峰 《高校地质学报》1996,(4)

高分辨率地震技术可广泛用于工程物探。本文主要利用高分辨率地震勘探探测采空区的位置和范围，为建筑物地基稳定性的评价提供可靠的依据；同时，从理论分析和野外试验两方面探讨了高分辨地震技术的野外数据采集、资料处理和资料解释，并简单介绍了在贾汪矿区的应用效果。研究结果表明，高分辨率地震技术能查明建筑场地内的采空区  相似文献   

Dynamic stochastic estimation of physical variables   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

George Christakos  Vijayanivas R. Raghu 《Mathematical Geology》1996,28(3):341-365

A fundamental problem facing the physical sciences today is analysis of natural variations and mapping of spatiotemporal processes. Detailed maps describing the space/time distribution of groundwater contaminants, atmospheric pollutant deposition processes, rainfall intensity variables, external intermittency functions, etc. are tools whose importance in practical applications cannot be overestimated. Such maps are valuable inputs for numerous applications including, for example, solute transport, storm modeling, turbulent-nonturbulent flow characterization, weather prediction, and human exposure to hazardous substances. The approach considered here uses the spatiotemporal random field theory to study natural space/time variations and derive dynamic stochastic estimates of physical variables. The random field model is constructed in a space/time continuum that explicitly involves both spatial and temporal aspects and provides a rigorous representation of spatiotemporal variabilities and uncertainties. This has considerable advantages as regards analytical investigations of natural processes. The model is used to study natural space/time variations of springwater calcium ion data from the Dyle River catchment area, Belgium. This dataset is characterized by a spatially nonhomogeneous and temporally nonstationary variability that is quantified by random field parameters, such as orders of space/time continuity and random field increments. A rich class of covariance models is determined from the properties of the random field increments. The analysis leads to maps of continuity orders and covariances reflecting space/time calcium ion correlations and trends. Calcium ion estimates and the associated statistical errors are calculated at unmeasured locations/instants over the Dyle region using a space/time kriging algorithm. In practice, the interpretation of the results of the dynamic stochastic analysis should take into consideration the scale effects.  相似文献   

第四纪地质定年与地质年表   总被引：17，自引：3，他引：17       下载免费PDF全文

刘嘉麒  王文远 《第四纪研究》1997,17(3):193-202

时、空、质(物质)、能(动力)是研究地质过程、环境演变的基本要素，其中时间是关键．任何一个自然事件、任何一个地质过程，都与时间相关联，时间的重要性需要通过年龄的精确测量来体现。本文综述了第四纪定年的基本方法和特点以及近年来年代地层学所获得的进展，提出了中国第四纪的划分简表。  相似文献   

Harmonic Analysis of Sedimentary Cyclic Sequences in Kansas, Midcontinent, USA     

Daniel F. Merriam  Joseph E. Robinson 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(8):953-962

Several stratigraphic sequences in the Upper Carboniferous (Pennsylvanian) in Kansas (Midcontinent, USA) were analyzed quantitatively for periodic repetitions. The sequences were coded by lithologic type into strings of datasets. The strings then were analyzed by an adaptation of a one-dimensional Fourier transform analysis and examined for evidence of periodicity. The method was tested using different states in coding to determine the robustness of the method and data. The most persistent response is in multiples of 8–10 ft (2.5–3.0 m) and probably is dependent on the depositional thickness of the original lithologic units. Other cyclicities occurred in multiples of the basic frequency of 8–10 with persistent ones at 22 and 30 feet (6.5–9.0 m) and large ones at 80 and 160 feet (25–50 m). These levels of thickness relate well to the basic cyclothem and megacyclothem as measured on outcrop. We propose that this approach is a suitable one for analyzing cyclic events in the stratigraphic record.  相似文献