首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   3452篇
  免费   392篇
  国内免费   322篇
测绘学   1271篇
大气科学   348篇
地球物理   750篇
地质学   765篇
海洋学   292篇
天文学   30篇
综合类   387篇
自然地理   323篇
  2024年   7篇
  2023年   17篇
  2022年   63篇
  2021年   79篇
  2020年   111篇
  2019年   165篇
  2018年   130篇
  2017年   192篇
  2016年   188篇
  2015年   193篇
  2014年   205篇
  2013年   240篇
  2012年   189篇
  2011年   232篇
  2010年   172篇
  2009年   178篇
  2008年   185篇
  2007年   189篇
  2006年   164篇
  2005年   161篇
  2004年   138篇
  2003年   112篇
  2002年   70篇
  2001年   87篇
  2000年   93篇
  1999年   75篇
  1998年   87篇
  1997年   68篇
  1996年   59篇
  1995年   52篇
  1994年   39篇
  1993年   48篇
  1992年   25篇
  1991年   23篇
  1990年   19篇
  1989年   15篇
  1988年   19篇
  1987年   13篇
  1986年   15篇
  1985年   14篇
  1984年   5篇
  1983年   2篇
  1982年   8篇
  1981年   5篇
  1980年   6篇
  1979年   3篇
  1978年   1篇
  1976年   1篇
  1973年   1篇
  1954年   3篇
排序方式: 共有4166条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
61.
In this contribution, we introduce a new bootstrap-based method for Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) carrier-phase ambiguity resolution. Integer bootstrapping is known to be one of the simplest methods for integer ambiguity estimation with close-to-optimal performance. Its outcome is easy to compute due to the absence of an integer search, and its performance is close to optimal if the decorrelating Z-transformation of the LAMBDA method is used. Moreover, the bootstrapped estimator is presently the only integer estimator for which an exact and easy-to-compute expression of its fail-rate can be given. A possible disadvantage is, however, that the user has only a limited control over the fail-rate. Once the underlying mathematical model is given, the user has no freedom left in changing the value of the fail-rate. Here, we present an ambiguity estimator for which the user is given additional freedom. For this purpose, use is made of the class of integer aperture estimators as introduced in Teunissen (2003). This class is larger than the class of integer estimators. Integer aperture estimators are of a hybrid nature and can have integer outcomes as well as non-integer outcomes. The new estimator is referred to as integer aperture bootstrapping. This new estimator has all the advantages known from integer bootstrapping with the additional advantage that its fail-rate can be controlled by the user. This is made possible by giving the user the freedom over the aperture of the pull-in region. We also give an exact and easy-to-compute expression for its controllable fail-rate.  相似文献   
62.
Some theory problems affecting parameter estimation are discussed in this paper. Influence and transformation between errors of stochastic and functional models is pointed out as well. For choosing the best adjustment model, a formula, which is different from the literatures existing methods, for estimating and identifying the model error, is proposed. On the basis of the proposed formula, an effective approach of selecting the best model of adjustment system is given. Project supported by the Open Research Fund Program of the Key Laboratory of Geospace Environment and Geodesy, Ministry of Education, Wuhan University (No. 905276031-04-10).  相似文献   
63.
The propagation of unmodelled systematic errors into coordinate time series computed using least squares is investigated, to improve the understanding of unexplained signals and apparent noise in geodetic (especially GPS) coordinate time series. Such coordinate time series are invariably based on a functional model linearised using only zero and first-order terms of a (Taylor) series expansion about the approximate coordinates of the unknown point. The effect of such truncation errors is investigated through the derivation of a generalised systematic error model for the simple case of range observations from a single known reference point to a point which is assumed to be at rest by the least squares model but is in fact in motion. The systematic error function for a one pseudo-satellite two-dimensional case, designed to be as simple but as analogous to GPS positioning as possible, is quantified. It is shown that the combination of a moving reference point and unmodelled periodic displacement at the unknown point of interest, due to ocean tide loading, for example, results in an output coordinate time series containing many periodic terms when only zero and first-order expansion terms are used in the linearisation of the functional model. The amplitude, phase and period of these terms is dependent on the input amplitude, the locations of the unknown point and reference point, and the period of the reference point's motion. The dominant output signals that arise due to truncation errors match those found in coordinate time series obtained from both simulated data and real three-dimensional GPS data.  相似文献   
64.
K 近邻非参数回归概率预报技术及其应用   总被引:7,自引:1,他引:7       下载免费PDF全文
针对参数回归技术制作概率预报存在拟合好、但预报结果不稳定的现象, 提出了用K近邻非参数回归技术制作概率预报的新途径。K 近邻非参数回归技术包括历史样本数据库、近邻子集生成和优化以及预报量估计4 个主要部分。利用该技术进行了单要素概率预报(主要包括云量和降水)和多维联合概率预报(降水、总云量、风速和气温)试验, 并对试验结果进行了检验。实例研究结果表明:该文所给出的计算方案预报稳定性好, 准确率较高,具有良好的业务应用价值。  相似文献   
65.
EFG法在土体固结中的应用   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
EFGM作为一种新的数值计算方法,具有只需节点信息而无段单元的特性,故在解固结方程方面有很大的优势。在计算分析中,此法容易构造固结方程的EFGM刚度矩阵和处理不同边界条件。对单面排水等条件的计算结果表明,EFGM在解决固结变形问题上,精度较高,处理边界准确。  相似文献   
66.
A data reduction method is described for determining platinum-group element (PGE) abundances by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) using external calibration or the method of standard addition. Gravimetric measurement of volumes, the analysis of reference materials and the use of procedural blanks were all used to minimise systematic errors. Internal standards were used to correct for instrument drift. A linear least squares regression model was used to calculate concentrations from drift-corrected counts per second (cps). Furthermore, mathematical manipulations also contribute to the uncertainty estimates of a procedure. Typical uncertainty estimate calculations for ICP-MS data manipulations involve: (1) Carrying standard deviations from the raw cps through the data reduction or (2) calculating a standard deviation from multiple final concentration calculations. It is demonstrated that method 2 may underestimate the uncertainty estimate of the calculated data. Methods 1 and 2 do not typically include an uncertainty estimate component from a regression model. As such models contribute to the uncertainty estimates affecting the calculated data, an uncertainty estimate component from the regression must be included in any final error calculations. Confidence intervals are used to account for uncertainty estimates from the regression model. These confidence intervals are simpler to calculate than uncertainty estimates from method 1, for example. The data reduction and uncertainty estimation method described here addresses problems of reporting PGE data from an article in the literature and addresses both precision and accuracy. The method can be applied to any analytical technique where drift corrections or regression models are used.  相似文献   
67.
Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a.  相似文献   
68.
With the elimination of the long‐form questionnaire from future decennial censuses and its replacement by a much smaller continuous monthly sampling survey (the American Community Survey), students of territorial mobility may find it necessary to deal with inadequate, missing, or inaccurate sample data on migration by adopting an approach that “improves” such data using information from different geographical areas, time periods, and data sources. We develop such an approach in this article and illustrate it with interregional migration flow data reported by the U.S. decennial censuses of 1980 and 1990 and by the 1985 Current Population Survey.  相似文献   
69.
扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的研究和实践   总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8  
通过对扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的研究和实践,提出了在上海地区采用扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的公式,扁铲侧胀试验判别液化与标准贯入和静力触探试验判别液化的方法对比,具有相对较好的结果,是一种有前途的液化判别方法。  相似文献   
70.
王淑英  高永胜 《水文》2003,23(5):5-9
在水分析计算中,经常涉及到变量之间的线性或非线性拟合,而在拟合各种特性曲线时,通常应用以实测资料与拟合曲线间的误差平方和最小作为目标函数的方法——最小二乘法,但这种方法忽视了所有实测点应与拟合曲线间的相对误差尽量不超过某一百分比的原则,为了达到上述要求,提出了非线性的加权最小二乘法及线性相关方程的最小距离平方和法,探讨改进了传统的最小二乘法达到优化的效果。最小距离平方和法与常用的图解法相比,本法所得成果较为客观;与传统的单方向(x或y方向)最小二乘回归法相比,所求线性方程不会因坐标系的选取而改变。最后应用算例进行了初步讨论。  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号