小波气候突变的检测--应用范围及应注意的问题   总被引：12，自引：0，他引：12  

杨梅学  姚檀栋 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》2003,23(4):73-76

气候突变及其检测是气候变化研究的一个重要方面。气候突变的表现多种多样,目前也有许多检测气候突变的方法,但这些方法能否准确地检测出气候突变现象,他们的适用范围如何,是一个值得注意的问题。研究表明,尽管小波分析方法在检测序列突变方面具有严格的数学意义,但因为其检测到的是序列的均值突变,因此,在应用于气候突变的检测方面应该特别注意,数学上的严格并不等同于气候意义上的严格。因为某些情况下有些突变点并没有一定的气候意义。  相似文献   

Robust adaptive control of underactuated ships on a linear course with comfort     

K. D. Do  J. Pan  Z. P. Jiang   《Ocean Engineering》2003,30(17):2201-2225

This paper addresses an important problem in ship control application—the robust stabilization of underactuated ships on a linear course with comfort. Specifically, we develop a multivariable controller to stabilize ocean surface ships without a sway actuator on a linear course and to reduce roll and pitch simultaneously. The controller adapts to unknown parameters of the ship and constant environmental disturbances induced by wave, ocean current and wind. It is also robust to time-varying environmental disturbances, time-varying change in ship parameters and other motions of the ship such as surge and heave. The roll and pitch can be made arbitrarily small while the heading angle and sway are kept to be in reasonably small bounds. The controller development is based on Lyapunov’s direct method and backstepping technique. A Lipschitz continuous projection algorithm is used to update the estimate of the unknown parameters to avoid the parameters’ drift due to time-varying environmental disturbances. Simulations on a full-scale catamaran illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed controller.  相似文献   

The role of sex change, growth and mortality in Pandalus population dynamics and management     

Fu  Caihong; Quinn  Terrance J.  II; Shirley  Thomas C. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2001,58(3):607-621

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Seasonally Hypersaline Estuaries in Mediterranean-climate Regions     

J.L. Largier  J.T. Hollibaugh  S.V. Smith 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1997,45(6):789-797

Data collected in three Californian estuaries indicate that hypersaline conditions exist during the dry summers typical of a Mediterranean climate. The generalised seasonal and longitudinal hydrographic structures are described and explained. It is argued that this seasonal hypersalinity is common and that it represents a major class of estuaries. The observed accumulation of salt indicates surprisingly long residence times in small basins which have free exchange with the ocean. This semi-isolation of the inner basin leads to a large build-up or severe depletion of nutrients, pollutants and plankton in these systems. Of concern are the trends to increase pollutant loading in the same systems that are experiencing an increase in residence times owing to freshwater extraction in the watershed.  相似文献   

冰心中的气候环境记录与全球变化研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

谢树成  殷鸿福 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》1997,17(4):109-113

冰心是高分辨地记录全球变化的主要信息载体之一。本文总结了冰心中提取古气候和古环境信息的系列记录，包括同位素、微量气体、阴阳离子、微粒、生物和有机质等。着重讨论了由这些记录提取的古气候和古环境变化方面的研究进展，并提出了今后的研究重点。  相似文献   

宁镇地区的限制性断层     

雷启修 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1991,(4)

宁镇山脉的褶皱带被一系列横断层分割为褶断段。横断层相邻的断块,无论是褶皱的形态、纵断层的数目、规模和断距等特征沿纵向跨越横断层均存在不连续性的跃变,表明这些横断层是早于褶皱或与之伴生的纵断层而存在,并对各断块内发育的地质构造起到限制作用。因横断层作为较早的边界,后期的挤压在被分割的各块段内可以是有差异的,导致宁镇褶皱带在总体上的一致性,分段上的有特殊性。  相似文献   

北仑港区宁波组晚大理冰期气候特征     

陈俊义 《海洋学研究》1991,(1)

以往认为宁波组沉积时期的古气候为寒冷干燥或冷凉干燥。本文依据北仑B_(12)孔的孢粉资料,阐明在这一冷期中曾有一次相对较暖的气候波动,据此又可分冷凉—温和—温凉三个阶段,湿度以略湿为主。此外,还讨论了本区在晚大理冰期温度、湿度的变化特点。  相似文献   

Geographical distribution of fish catches and temperature variations in the northeast Atlantic since 1945     

Rögnvaldur Hannesson 《Marine Policy》2007

Warming of the northeast Atlantic is expected to affect the location and productivity of fish stocks. It is examined whether variations in catches of cod, herring, mackerel, anchovy and sardines in the ICES statistical areas are related to variations in ocean temperature. Temperatures at certain locations along the Norwegian coast are taken as proxies for temperatures in the Norwegian Sea and the North Sea. It is found that the catches of cod in the North Sea are inversely correlated with temperature and that recruitment and catches of cod in the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea are positively related to temperature. There is also some indication of a positive correlation between temperature and the catches of mackerel in the North Sea and the Norwegian Sea, and between temperature and the catches of sardines in the North Sea.  相似文献   

应用数字地形模型方法分析漳州港海底冲淤变化     

杨顺良  郑承忠 《热带海洋学报》2001,20(3):68-74

利用漳州港海域无围堰填海造地前后的水深测量数据，结合海域地质钻探、表层和柱状沉积物资料，用数字地形模型方法计算了该区海底的冲淤量，分析了冲淤变化及其影响因素，结果显示：（1）淤积主要发生在近岸海域，其主要原因是近岸3-10m厚的海底淤泥层在回填土的挤压和推移下发生形变，产生淤浅假象；另一个原因是回填时部分泥沙流失入海，淤积在近岸海域，致使淤积强度增大。（2）由近岸往外，淤积强度逐渐减弱，并过渡为产中刷状态。  相似文献   

南海輓近海平面变化与构造升降初步研究     

刘以宣  詹文欢  陈欣树  陈俊仁  陈特固  许时耕 《热带海洋学报》1993,(3)

揭示南海輓近海平面变动和古岸线诸多遗迹,探讨晚更新世以来海平面变化一般规律,初步分析南海周缘中全新世和现代地壳构造升降速率,得出本区海平面上升率适中参考值为0.10—2.0mm/a,初步估算未来50年内海平面变化趋势在1.26—4.0mm/a之间;而构造升降受块断差异运动控制,一般规律是南海北部沿岸自东向西递减,由福建南部1.15mm/a至海南岛南部0.54mm/a。近代地壳形变资料亦证实这种变化规律。  相似文献