Evaluation of Inference Adequacy in Cumulative Logistic Regression Models： An Empirical Validation of ISW-Ridge Relationships   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Hsien-Chueh Peter YANG  Alex Kung-Hsiung CHANG  Tsung-Hao CHEN 《中国海洋工程》2008,22(1)

Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p<0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to check the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height (X1) and potential energy (X2) significantly impact (p<0.0001) the amplitude-based reflected rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all >0.05 (0.2839, 0.3438, respectively). That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height (X1) and potential energy (X2) can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model.Investigation of 6 predictive powers (R2, Max-rescaled R2, Somers'D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively) indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.  相似文献   

“菲特”台风路径和强度预报难点分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

娄小芬  楼茂园  罗玲  范爱芬 《海洋预报》2015,32(1)

利用1°×1°NCEP再分析资料、NOAA海温资料对其进行分析,结果表明:(1)副高突然加强西进,中低层高压带加强,在台风北侧形成高压坝和强盛偏东气流,是台风路径突然西折的主要原因;(2)"丹娜丝"的活动在一定程度上阻止了副热带高压的南落,有利于副高南侧偏东急流的维持和加强,对"菲特"路径的突然西折起一定作用。敏感性数值试验结果表明"双台风"效应对"菲特"登陆前进一步西折具有决定作用;(3)高低空急流的配置,产生了动力场的耦合作用,加强了台风的对流活动,所释放的潜热可以补偿海温降低的影响,对"菲特"在近海强度维持起到了重要作用;(4)"菲特"的强度和环境风垂直切变的演变规律基本一致,较低的环境风垂直切变是"菲特"在近海强度维持的重要原因。  相似文献   

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何林帮  冯杰 《大地测量与地球动力学》2015,35(1):140-144

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The Hill stability of inclined small mass binary systems in three-body systems with special application to triple star systems, extrasolar planetary systems and Binary Kuiper Belt systems     

J.R. Donnison 《Planetary and Space Science》2010,58(10):1169-1179

The dynamical stability of a bound triple system composed of a small binary or minor planetary system moving on a orbit inclined to a central third body is discussed in terms of Hill stability for the full three-body problem. The situation arises in the determination of stability of triple star systems against disruption and component exchange and the determination of stability of extrasolar planetary systems and minor planetary systems against disruption, component exchange or capture. The Hill stability criterion is applied to triple star systems and extrasolar planetary systems, the Sun-Earth-Moon system and Kuiper Belt binary systems to determine the critical distances for stable orbits. It is found that increasing the inclination of the third body decreases the Hill regions of stability. Increasing the eccentricity of the binary also produces similar effects.These type of changes make exchange or disruption of the component masses more likely. Increasing the eccentricity of the binary orbit relative to the third body substantially decreases stability regions as the eccentricity reaches higher values. The Kuiper Belt binaries were found to be stable if they move on circular orbits. Taking into account the eccentricity, it is less clear that all the systems are stable.  相似文献   

网络存储技术在石油地震数据处理中的应用     

文领章  刘财  魏旭光 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2010,(Z1)

针对油田局域网的特点,利用网络存储技术中的SOCKET编程方法,结合Linux或Unix系统中的常驻进程及输入输出控制技术解决海量地震数据交换的问题,这个方法可以实现远程磁带或磁盘数据的读取。对常用的地震数据SEGY格式及其存储特点进行分析,在SEG-Y格式的地震数据的读写技术中,采用位运算的方式解决移位及浮点数的读写操作。网络存储技术的应用实现了远程海量地震数据的存取,位运算方法提高了地震数据输入输出的速度。  相似文献   

Information for Authors     

《地理学报(英文版)》2014,(6):F0003-F0003

  相似文献   

一种解码接收机原始二进制数据的方法     

李萌  ;胡绍林 《全球定位系统》2014,(3):59-61

本文对华迅G PS/BD双模接收机输出的原始二进制数据的格式进行了深入讨论,利用M atlab对其输出的二进制数据的解码并提取出观测值、星历等,该方法可以简捷快速的解码出所需要的观测信息。  相似文献   

ENC数据制作进展与应用现状分析          下载免费PDF全文

韩范畴  纪宏宇 《海洋测绘》2010,30(2):79-82

国际标准电子航海图(ENC)数据生产的规模化和规范化,是促进电子海图显示与信息系统(ECDIS)发展的重要前提。介绍了我国目前ENC数据生产的基本情况及应用领域的现状,分析了存在的问题,并对未来ENC数据的生产及电子海图应用系统ECDIS的发展等提出了相关建议。  相似文献   

Whipple telescope observations of LS I +61 303: 2004–2006     

A. Smith  R. W. Atkins  S. Bradbury  O. Celik  Y. C. K. Chow  P. Cogan  C. Dowdall  S. J. Fegan  P. Fortin  D. Gall  G. H. Gillanders  J. Grube  K. J. Gutierrez  T. A. Hall  D. Hanna  J. Holder  D. Horan  S. B. Hughes  T. B. Humensky  I. Jung  P. Kaaret  G. Kenny  M. Kertzman  D. B. Kieda  A. Konopelko  H. Krawczynski  F. Krennrich  M. J. Lang  S. Le Bohec  G. Maier  J. Millis  P. Moriarty  R. A. Ong  J. S. Perkins  K. Ragan  G. H. Sembroski  J. A. Toner  L. Valcarcel  V. V. Vassiliev  R. G. Wagner  S. P. Wakely  T. C. Weekes  R. J. White  D. A. Williams 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2007,309(1-4):299-303

In this paper we present the results of the past two years observations on the galactic microquasar LS I +61 303 with the Whipple 10 m gamma-ray telescope. The recent MAGIC detection of the source between 200 GeV and 4 TeV suggests that the source is periodic with very high energy (VHE) gamma-ray emission linked to its orbital cycle. The entire 50-hour data set obtained with Whipple from 2004 to 2006 was analyzed with no reliable detection resulting. The upper limits obtained in the 2005–2006 season covered several of the same epochs as the MAGIC Telescope detections, albeit with lower sensitivity. Upper limits are placed on emission during the orbital phases of 0→0.1 and 0.8→1, phases which are not included in the MAGIC data set.   相似文献   

Orbit Determination of Binary Asteroids     

Daniel Hestroffer  Frédéric Vachier  Benjamin Balat 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2005,97(3-4):245-260

In addition to the detection of an asteroid moon or a binary asteroid, the knowledge of the satellite’s true orbit is of high importance to derive fundamental physical parameters of the binary system such as its mass and to shed light on its possible formation history and dynamical evolution (prograde/retrograde orbit, large/small eccentricity or inclination, etc.). A new methodology for preliminary orbit determination of binary asteroids – and visual binaries in general – is proposed. It is based on Thiele–Innes method combined with a ‘trial and error’ Monte-Carlo technique. This method provides the full set of solutions (bundle of orbits, with the 7 orbital elements) even for a reduced number of observations. The mass is a direct by-product of this orbit determination, from which one can next infer the bulk-density and porosity. In addition to the bundle of orbits, the method provides the marginal probability densities of the foreseen parameters. Such error analysis – since it avoids linear approximation – can be of importance for the prediction of the satellite’s position in the plane-of-sky during future stellar occultations or subsequent observations, but also for the analysis of the orbit’s secular evolution. After briefly describing the method, we present the algorithm and its application to some practical cases, with particular emphasis on asteroids binaries and applications on orbital evolution.  相似文献