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81.
82.
通过研究我国一些震情窗口成组震兆与大陆及边邻Ms≥7.0级地震的整体链式活动的对应关系,指出这些窗口的成组震兆具有远程遥联的特点。对这种特点的深入研究将有可能为我国大陆及边邻地区地震活动的总体大形势作出估计。 相似文献
83.
Since 1979 the repeated observations and experiments of geomagnetic total intensity and vertical component have been carried
out for ten years in the geomagetic network which is located in Jiangsu Province, China. Three earthquakes aboveM
s 5.0 occurred during the decade, and some seismomagnetic effects were observed. The observation results show that the anomalies
of the vertical geomagnetic component can’t be observed untill some months before the earthquake (M
s>5.0) in this area.
In this paper it is suggested that a densely distributed network for continuous observation of geomagnetic vertical component
may catch seismomagnetic anomalies and thus improve earthquake prediction in the light of the geomagnetic measurements of
the mid — or — low latitude locations.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 80–87, 1991.
This study is sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation. 相似文献
84.
The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle
term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed
of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module,
the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module.
The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations,
CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized;
(2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four
reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization;
and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992. 相似文献
85.
地下流体能较好地反映地壳应力的变化,对地震前兆的监测预报有一定的意义。本文通过对地下热矿水中逸出气的组分、总量及其与溶解气量比的观测和试验,表明地下水中的逸出气体有良好的震兆作用,其中逸气总量以及逸出氦等组分可望成为映震的灵敏测项,有必要深入开展观测研究。本文还介绍了自行设计的集气装置及效果较好的现场简易测量方法。 相似文献
86.
研究了1992年福建省南日岛5.2级地震序列特征,认为这是一次孤立型地震,震前存在多学科的前兆异常,异常群体特征具有长、中、短临阶段性及形态复杂性.地震学异常持续时间长,前兆学科短临异常突出,可能是少震区地震前兆的特点。 相似文献
87.
88.
The initial subevent of the 1994 Northridge, California, earthquake: Is earthquake size predictable? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We examine the initial subevent (ISE) of the M 6.7, 1994 Northridge, California, earthquake in order to discriminate between two end-member rupture initiation models: the preslip and cascade models. Final earthquake size may be predictable from an ISE's seismic signature in the preslip model but not in the cascade model. In the cascade model ISEs are simply small earthquakes that can be described as purely dynamic ruptures. In this model a large earthquake is triggered by smaller earthquakes; there is no size scaling between triggering and triggered events and a variety of stress transfer mechanisms are possible. Alternatively, in the preslip model, a large earthquake nucleates as an aseismically slipping patch in which the patch dimension grows and scales with the earthquake's ultimate size; the byproduct of this loading process is the ISE. In this model, the duration of the ISE signal scales with the ultimate size of the earthquake, suggesting that nucleation and earthquake size are determined by a more predictable, measurable, and organized process. To distinguish between these two end-member models we use short period seismograms recorded by the Southern California Seismic Network. We address questions regarding the similarity in hypocenter locations and focal mechanisms of the ISE and the mainshock. We also compare the ISE's waveform characteristics to those of small earthquakes and to the beginnings of earthquakes with a range of magnitudes. We find that the focal mechanisms of the ISE and mainshock are indistinguishable, and both events may have nucleated on and ruptured the same fault plane. These results satisfy the requirements for both models and thus do not discriminate between them. However, further tests show the ISE's waveform characteristics are similar to those of typical small earthquakes in the vicinity and more importantly, do not scale with the mainshock magnitude. These results are more consistent with the cascade model. 相似文献
89.
强地震的孕育过程也是孕震介质的形成过程,在强震前震源附近小地震的地震波运动学,动力学特征的变化过程,则反映了孕震介质的变化过程,为研究地震的孕育,发展和发生的过程,采用单台地震波振幅比,尾波持续时间比,尾波衰减系数这3项地震波参数作为地震学短期前兆指标,分析其震兆特征,从而达到监测孕震介质变化的目的,研究结果表明,单台地震波参数能够有效地发现地震的前兆,但地震波参数的前兆图像复杂多变,不具有统一的 相似文献
90.