The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure     

Biquan Wang  Zuyin Chen  Shutian Ma  Hongshun Fan 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(3):447-457

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.  相似文献   

浑江末前寒武纪丝状藻类及其环境意义   总被引：10，自引：1，他引：10  

高林志  乔秀夫 《地质论评》1992,38(2):140-148

本文初步探讨了吉林浑江晚前寒武纪丝状藻类与沉积环境的关系。这些丝状藻类产自晚前寒武纪不同层位,大多属蓝绿藻类。通过对丝状藻类整体面貌和个体丰度的分析,笔者将其划分为三类即:藻席型、孤立生存型和其间的过渡类型。根据对现代丝状藻类生态及环境的研究,采取比较古生物学的方法,具体讨论了浑江地区晚前寒武纪丝状藻类的指相意义。根据沉积学与事件地层记录分析的沉积环境模式与对丝状藻类环境分析的结果是一致的。  相似文献   

The experimental research on b value of AE for the rock specimens with pre-existing crack or notch under uniaxial compression     

Hong Li  Xiangchu Yin  Shiyu Li  Jihan Li 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(4):867-875

A lot of researches onb value have been made in seismology. Since the 1960’s Mogi, Scholz and others have studied AE of rock specimens in laboratory and discovered that it is related to natural earthquakes. All former researchers used integral specimens to studyb value in the laboratory. However a major earthquake is usually related to a existing seismic-fault in that area. For this reason, a series of fracture experiments with rock and glass specimens having pre-existing crack or notch is performed in order to examine the effect of preexisting crack tob value. The experimental results show that theb value begins to decrease as soon as the initiation of the crack and finally drop to a very low value when the specimen breaks unstably. Based on these, a brief discussion on the possible mechanism ofb value change for natural earthquakes is given. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,9, 393–400, 1987. Projects sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation.  相似文献   

Statistical analysis of seismic data from north-western and western Argentina     

A. M. Osella  N. C. Sabbione  D. C. Cernadas 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1992,139(2):277-292

Due to the process of subduction of the Nazca Plate, high seismic activity is observed near the Argentine Andean range between 21°S and 36°S. The new version of the Argentine Seismic Catalogue, which includes well-defined events during the period 1964–1989, allows us to perform an analysis of seismic risk.Earthquakes with epicenters in the provinces included in the north-western and western regions were studied using Gumbel III extreme value distribution. Modal extreme magnitudes and return periods were calculated for both regions and the results were compard with the ones obtained through the entire process techniques (both analytical and graphical).As a first study, we analyzed each province separately, after which mean values for each region were obtained. Modal values around 5–5.5 have been found and times of recurrence for events withm _b >6 of approximately 25 years were obtained.Also at CONICET (Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Técnicas).  相似文献   

Historical geomorphology and pedology of the Gandak Megafan,Middle Gangetic Plains,India     

R. Mohindra  B. Parkash  J. Prasad 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1992,17(7):643-662

The Gandak megafan of eastern Uttar Pradesh and northwestern Bihar lies in the Middle Gangetic Plains. The Gandak River has shifted about 80 km to the east due to tilting in the last 5000 years. This has created a soil chronoassociation similar to the chronosequences found on some flights of river terraces. This chronoassociation has five members, QGD1-5. They are distinguished on the basis of profile development, clay mineralogy and calcium carbonate content. Chlorite transforms to vermiculite on a large scale from QGD1 to QGD3 and decreases drastically in member QGD4. Kaolinite and interstratified kaolinite-smectite are abundant in the older members of the chronoassociation. The youngest soils (QGD1:? < 500 b.p.) are found on the floodplains of the major rivers. QGD2 soils, like those of the Young Gandak Plain, date from? > 500 b.p., while QGD3 soils, like those on the Older Gandak Plain and Old Rapti Plains date back to 2500 b.p. QGD4 soils, like those on the Oldest Gandak Plain, are dated as? 5000 years b.p., whilst the oldest QGD5 soils, as on the Old Ghaghra Plain and Ganga-Ghaghra Interfluve, date back to 10000 b.p. These soils, which include pedogenic calcite and a? saline epipedon, indicate a dry climatic spell during the period 9000-11000 b.p. Faults developed on the megafan are not related to the basement structures.  相似文献   

用地震折射法探测沥青路面的季节融化深度及其变化     

贺益贤  黄以职 《冰川冻土》1992,(1)

试验结果表明,用经过数字化改造后的地震仪测出的路心融化深度,与钻孔测温确定的融化深度相比,其解释误差小于7％。路基和涵洞横剖面的探测结果能反映出融化层变化的主要趋势。不同路堤高度的路基形成的融化横剖面均呈下凹形,而涵洞下形成的融化横剖面则是涵洞中心的融化深度小于两端洞口处的融化深度。因此,地震折射法将为多年冻土地区路基的修筑和稳定性研究提供一种简捷、可靠的探测手段。  相似文献   

Displacements and rays for splitting S-waves: perturbation theory and the failure of the ray method     

W. S. Guest  C. J. Thomson  M. Kendall 《Geophysical Journal International》1992,108(1):372-378

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The effect of low-velocity sediments on the mislocation vectors of the GRF array   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

F. Krüger  M. Weber 《Geophysical Journal International》1992,108(1):387-393

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Two-dimensional asymptotic iterative elastic inversion   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Side Jin  Raul Madariaga  Jean Virieux  Gilles Lambaré 《Geophysical Journal International》1992,108(2):575-588

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High electrical conductivity in a model lower crust with unconnected, conductive, seismically reflective layers     

A. M. Merzer  Simon L. Klemperer† 《Geophysical Journal International》1992,108(3):895-905

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