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111.
2011年8月气候异常及成因分析 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
在总结2011年8月我国气候异常与大气环流特征的基础上,针对西南干旱和热带气旋活动偏少两大气候异常事件的成因进行了分析。结果表明:高度场偏高、西太平洋副热带高压偏强、夏季风偏弱和水汽条件较差等大气环流异常是导致高温干旱的主要原因;中部型拉尼娜事件的滞后影响和印度洋偏暖的影响是西南干旱的重要外强迫条件。南海对流活动偏弱,菲律宾以东季风槽位置偏北,热带气旋活动区域垂直风切偏大,西北太平洋副热带高压偏强等因素导致热带气旋活动偏少。 相似文献
112.
对鲁西南1979-2008年8-9月份阴雨日数进行统计分析,发现8-9月份阴雨日数总体呈上升趋势;与前期北半球500hPa月平均高度场进行相关分析,结果表明:8-9月份阴雨日数与北半球500hPa平均高度场存在显著的滞后相关性,共得出45个优势相关区,相关区具有明显的区域性,大多数优势相关区出现在60篘以南地区。阴雨日数与前期极涡位置及强弱有很好的对应关系。从优势相关区提取的预报因子具有明显的季节性,上一年秋冬季预报因子占6/9;建立预报方程,试用效果较好。 相似文献
113.
Nicolas Fauchereau B. Pohl C. J. C. Reason M. Rouault Y. Richard 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(4):575-591
A cluster analysis of daily outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies from 1979 to 2002 over the Southern Africa/Southwest
Indian Ocean (SWIO) region for the November to February season reveals seven robust and statistically well separated recurrent
patterns of large-scale organized convection. Among them are three regimes indicative of well defined tropical–temperate interactions
linking the hinterland parts of Southern Africa to the mid-latitudes of the SWIO. Preferred transitions show a tendency for
an eastward propagation of these systems. Analysis of daily rainfall records for South Africa shows that six of the OLR regimes
are associated with spatially coherent and significant patterns of enhanced or reduced daily rainfall over the country. Atmospheric
anomalies from the NCEP/DOE II reanalysis dataset show that the OLR regimes are associated with either regional or near-global
adjustments of the atmospheric circulation, the three regimes representative of tropical–temperate interactions being in particular
related to a well-defined wave structure encompassing the subtropical and temperate latitudes, featuring strong vertical anomalies
and strong poleward export of momentum in the lee of the location of the cloud-band. The time-series of OLR regimes seasonal
frequency are correlated to distinctive anomaly patterns in the global sea-surface-temperature field, among which are shown
to be those corresponding to El Nino and La Nina conditions. The spatial signature of El Nino Southern Oscillation’s (ENSO)
influence is related to the combination of an increased/decreased frequency of these regimes. It is shown in particular that
the well-known “dipole” in convection anomalies contrasting Southern Africa and the SWIO during ENSO events arises as an effect
of seasonal averaging and is therefore not valid at the synoptic scale. This study also provides a framework to better understand
the observed non-linearities between ENSO and the seasonal convection and rainfall anomalies over the region. 相似文献
114.
利用多途径探测与再分析资料,通过诊断分析、数值模拟和敏感性试验,对2008年7月20~21日一次高原涡东移诱生西南涡并引发川中特大暴雨的天气过程进行了初步分析,探讨了西南涡特大暴雨发生的中尺度环境场特征,特殊地形和非绝热物理过程在高原涡东移诱生西南涡特大暴雨中的作用。结果表明,高原涡形成后沿高原东北侧下滑,在四川盆地诱生出西南涡,川中特大暴雨在西南涡形成过程中由强中尺度对流系统(MCSs)的活动造成。高原涡东移诱生的低层偏东气流在川西高原东侧地形的动力强迫抬升作用下,释放对流有效位能激发出MCSs产生强降水,降水凝结潜热加热反馈驱动西南涡快速发展。地形的动力作用仅能形成浅薄的西南涡,降水凝结潜热的加入才能使西南涡充分发展。高原涡的发展主要受地面热通量影响,它的发展与否在很大程度上决定西南涡能否形成。盆地周边高大山脉对西南涡的位置分别有不同程度的影响,而盆地周边高大山脉上叠加的中小尺度地形对西南涡和暴雨带的整体位置影响不大,在一定程度上影响暴雨的落区。 相似文献
115.
Temporal and Spatial Variations of the Aerodynamic Roughness Length in the Ablation Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
To understand the response of the Greenland ice sheet to climate change the so-called ablation zone is of particular importance,
since it accommodates the yearly net surface ice loss. In numerical models and for data analysis, the bulk aerodynamic method
is often used to calculate the turbulent surface fluxes, for which the aerodynamic roughness length (z
0) is a key parameter. We present, for the first time, spatial and temporal variations of z
0 in the ablation area of the Greenland ice sheet using year-round data from three automatic weather stations and one eddy-correlation
mast. The temporal variation of z
0 is found to be very high in the lower ablation area (factor 500) with, at the end of the summer melt, a maximum in spatial
variation for the whole ablation area of a factor 1000. The variation in time matches the onset of the accumulation and ablation
season as recovered by sonic height rangers. During winter, snow accumulation and redistribution by snow drift lead to a uniform
value of z
0≈ 10−4 m throughout the ablation area. At the beginning of summer, snow melt uncovers ice hummocks and z
0 quickly increases well above 10−2 m in the lower ablation area. At the end of summer melt, hummocky ice dominates the surface with z
0 > 5 × 10−3 m up to 60 km from the ice edge. At the same time, the area close to the equilibrium line (about 90 km from the ice edge)
remains very smooth with z
0 = 10−5 m. At the beginning of winter, we observed that single snow events have the potential to lower z
0 for a very rough ice surface by a factor of 20 to 50. The total surface drag of the abundant small-scale ice hummocks apparently
dominates over the less frequent large domes and deep gullies. The latter results are verified by studying the individual
drag contributions of hummocks and domes with a drag partition model. 相似文献
116.
一次湖北暴雪天气的诊断与模拟 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
利用NCEP GFS资料分析了2007年1月15—16日鄂东南地区降雪过程,对造成暴雪过程的天气系统发生、发展背景场进行分析。并利用中尺度数值天气模式WRF模拟了这次暴雪过程,探讨了其发生发展的机制。天气系统的背景分析表明,这次暴雪过程主要是受700 hPa西南急流和地面冷空气的共同影响而产生的,降水过程与西南急流的变化密切联系。WRF模式较好地再现了此次暴雪的过程。模拟结果表明西南急流的减弱和移出,对应着降雪的开始和停止;在西南急流的左侧,由于低层涡度的增加,使低空辐合、高空辐散,在连续性原理和动力机制约束下导致上升运动的加强是该次暴雪的形成机制。模式结果说明,产生暴雪的上升运动要远小于产生暴雨的上升运动,且在暴雪过程中,中层为上升运动,近地层和高层伴随着下沉运动。 相似文献
117.
118.
Yongjin Huang Chunhui Tao Jin Liang Shili Liao Yuan Wang Dong Chen Weifang Yang 《海洋学报(英文版)》2021,40(11):138-146
Hydrothermal vent incidence was once thought to be proportional to the spreading rate of the mid-ocean ridges (MORs). However, more and more studies have shown that the ultraslow-spreading ridges (e.g., Southwest Indian Ridge (SWIR)) have a relatively higher incidence of hydrothermal venting fields. The Qiaoyue Seamount (52.1°E) is located at the southern side of segment #25 of the SWIR, to the west of the Gallieni transform fault. The Chinese Dayang cruises conducted eight preliminary deep-towed surveys of hydrothermal activity in the area during 2009 and 2018. Here, through comprehensive analyses of the video and photos obtained by the deep-towed platforms, rock samples, and water column turbidity anomalies, a high-temperature, ultramafic-hosted hydrothermal system is predicted on the northern flank of the Qiaoyue Seamount. We propose that this hydrothermal system is most likely to be driven by gabboric intrusions. Efficient hydrothermal circulation channels appear against a backdrop of high rock permeability related to the detachment fault. 相似文献
119.
120.
中国西南地区面临着因缅甸内战和毒品经济产生的跨国影响而形成的恶劣的地缘政治环境。通过文本分析法,本文聚焦缅甸内战和毒品经济,在分析缅甸内战历史和现实致因、缅甸毒品经济起源与发展的基础上,从地缘政治学视角,揭示了缅甸内战与毒品经济之间的相互关联。本文试图回答的问题是:缅甸内战状态下的毒品经济为何在缅甸蔓延?毒品经济又如何加深缅甸内战并阻碍内战的终结?缅甸内战与毒品经济相互纠缠,即缅甸内战不是由毒品经济利益所触发,但缅甸内战刺激了鸦片种植和催生了畸形的毒品经济,而毒品经济重塑了缅甸联邦政府与少数民族地方武装等各方利益,从而为缅甸内战解决蒙上了阴影。 相似文献