人工智能在冰雹识别及临近预报中的初步应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张文海  李磊 《气象学报》2019,77(2):282-291

基于广东10部S波段多普勒天气雷达的三维拼图资料,利用机器学习技术开发了一种冰雹识别和临近预报的人工智能算法。算法设计时以雷达回波反射率的垂直和水平扫描数据为基础训练集,将冰雹云的雷达反射率扫描数据作为正样本,将其他雷达反射率扫描数据作为负样本,通过贝叶斯分类法对正、负样本数据集进行机器学习,训练人工智能识别冰雹云内在规律的能力。训练时以广东省2008-2013和2015-2016年的数据作为训练集,使用了2014年广东省12次冰雹过程的数据做检验。对比检验的结果表明,人工智能法比传统的概念模型法击中率高9个百分点。研究结果表明了人工智能对冰雹这类非线性强天气过程具有较强的识别能力。   相似文献   

基于S-LSTM模型利用‘槽值门’机制的说话人意图识别     

王子岳  邵曦 《南京气象学院学报》2019,11(6):751-756

对说话人意图的识别极大地推进了自然语言理解任务的发展.之前的工作大多采用Bi-LSTM即双向LSTM模型进行词汇特征与词汇之间语义关系的提取,但这并不能很好地使句子整体和构成句子的词汇个体之间的信息进行交流.而S-LSTM（Sentence-state LSTM）模型,即句子状态LSTM模型可以很好地将自然语言中句子整体与词汇个体的信息相结合,以便于我们挖掘与利用意图检测与槽值填充之间的关系成立联合模型来更好地理解应答系统中蕴含的语义.因此,本文引入了‘槽值门’机制解决S-LSTM应用于意图检测与槽填充的联合任务时最新迭代时刻的句子状态信息没有得到充分利用的问题.最终的实验结果在ATIS数据集和Snips数据集上均取得了优于目前最先进算法的结果.  相似文献   

A study of variability of annual river flow of the southern African region     

BERHANU FANTA  B. T. ZAAKE  R. K. KACHROO 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):513-524

Abstract

Variability of river flow is investigated in 502 river flow gauging stations in nine countries of the southern African region with a view to document the spatial variability of the river flow regimes. Those regions where there is strong evidence of declining or increasing trend in annual runoff have been identified. The study has shown that runoff in the region ranges from over 320 mm year^?1 in the Lower Zambezi and the highlands of Tanzania to less than 10 mm year^?1 in the deserts of Namibia and the Kalahari. There is also evidence of declining runoff in parts of Zambia, Angola, Mozambique and the High Veld in South Africa. The recent decline seems to have started from around 1975.  相似文献   

海产鱼类中异尖线虫酶消化检测技术的研究与应用     

许旭  黄维义  隋建新  林洪  鲜均章  励建荣  曹立民 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2010,40(3)

以3种海鱼(牙鲆、狭鳕、鲱鱼)为样本,针对海产品中主要的致病性寄生虫-异尖线虫,开展了酶消化检测技术的研究.根据鱼肉消化前后干物质的质量变化设计了胃蛋白酶消化效率的计算方法,并按照鱼肉:消化液＝1:10 (g/mL)的反应比例,分别确定了酶水解鱼肉的最佳条件为:初始pH值为1.1,温度为37 ℃,酶活力为8 U/mL左右;消化后所得的虫体采用多重PCR方法替代传统的形态学观察进行种属鉴定,从而初步建立了基于酶水解-多重PCR的异尖线虫的酶消化检测体系.实际样本检测表明,该技术可以较为准确、快速地用于海产鱼类中简单异尖线虫(Anisakis simplex)和伪地新线虫(Pseudoterranova decipiens)的确证性检测.  相似文献   

Trend detection in river flow series: 1. Annual maximum flow / Détection de tendance dans des séries de débit fluvial: 1. Débit maximum annuel     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5)

Abstract

Results of a study on change detection in hydrological time series of annual maximum river flow are presented. Out of more than a thousand long time series made available by the Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC) in Koblenz, Germany, a worldwide data set consisting of 195 long series of daily mean flow records was selected, based on such criteria as length of series, currency, lack of gaps and missing values, adequate geographical distribution, and priority to smaller catchments. The analysis of annual maximum flows does not support the hypothesis of ubiquitous growth of high flows. Although 27 cases of strong, statistically significant increase were identified by the Mann-Kendall test, there are 31 decreases as well, and most (137) time series do not show any significant changes (at the 10% level). Caution is advised in interpreting these results as flooding is a complex phenomenon, caused by a number of factors that can be associated with local, regional, and hemispheric climatic processes. Moreover, river flow has strong natural variability and exhibits long-term persistence which can confound the results of trend and significance tests.  相似文献   

Automated classification of local earthquake data in the BUG small array   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Manfred Joswig 《Geophysical Journal International》1995,120(2):262-286

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A laser-photolysis fragment-fluorescence (LPFF) method for the detection of gaseous nitric acid in ambient air     

Th. Papenbrock  F. Stuhl 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1990,10(4):451-469

The development and first tests of a novel method for the direct, sensitive, selective, and fast detection of gaseous nitric acid in air are described. The detection method is based on the laser-photolysis fragment-fluorescence (LPFF) method using 193 nm (ArF) laser light. The photolysis process yielding OH fluorescence has been thoroughly investigated. Up to now, the method has been found to be practically free of interferences. The mixing ratio for nitric acid is measured on-line with a detection limit of about 0.1 ppbv for an accumulation time of the signal of 10–15 min. A number of tests and field measurements were performed to demonstrate the feasibility and limits of the described detection method.  相似文献   

ERROR COMPARISON OF WIND FIELD RETRIEVAL FROM SINGLE AND DUAL-DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS          下载免费PDF全文

Tao Zuyu 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1994,8(3):337-345

The error distributions of the wind fields retrieved from single and dual-Doppler radar observations are given inthis paper.The results indicate that the error of dual-Doppler retrieval depends on the position in the scan region of thedual-Doppler radar.The error of single-Doppler retrieval by using velocity azimuth processing(VAP)technique de-pends on the angle between the directions of wind and the radar beam.Generally,the winds retrieved from single Doppl-er radar are close to those retrieved from dual-Doppler radar.But,the error distribution of the single-Doppler retrievalis different from the dual-Doppler retrieval.We simulate the retrievals of single Doppler observation by the use of theoutput wind data from a 3-D numerical model of severe convection.The comparison of the simulated single-anddual-Doppler retrievals shows that the VAP may be a suitable technique for the operational analysis of mesoscale windfields.It can also be used as a supplement to wind field retrieval in the field experiment.  相似文献   

气候变化对江河流量变化趋势影响研究进展   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

刘春蓁 《地球科学进展》2007,22(8):777-783

气候变化对基于自然稳定气候假定的流量变化趋势的检测和水资源评价方法提出了挑战。在流量变化趋势的检测中分离出气候变化的影响,不仅对水资源管理和水利工程设计有重要的应用价值,而且有助于了解气候变化以何种方式、在何时、何地、已经或尚未对水文循环产生影响,对改进气候模型的模拟与预测有重要的科学价值。 统计方法是检验流量变化趋势显著性的有效工具。直接用气候模型模拟和预测未来径流变化的可靠性取决于模型对当代降水模拟的可信度。多个气候模型集合分析有可能在一定程度上减少模型对降水、径流模拟的不确定性。近年发展起来的多个气候模型集合分析与统计显著性检验技术结合的方法,有可能模拟并预测出气候强迫导致大尺度径流空间分布的变化。随着气候模型尤其是陆—气耦合的区域气候模型对降水模拟的改进,可以预见径流变化的检测、归因和预测的趋同化模拟已为期不远。将温室气体外强迫导致的水文气候变化作为一个因子引入到水资源评价中,对于水资源管理经济与生态评估,以及未来的发展规划将是一件十分重要的变革。   相似文献   

Investigation of waste disposal areas using electrical methods: a case study from Chania,Crete, Greece   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Pantelis Soupios  Ilias Papadopoulos  Maria Kouli  Irene Georgaki  Filippos Vallianatos  Eleni Kokkinou 《Environmental Geology》2007,51(7):1249-1261

A geophysical investigation of a landfill area was conducted as inextricable phase of a preliminary geotechnical, geological and hydrogeological study of the area under investigation. Electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), one of the most promising prospecting techniques mainly concerning its effective contribution to resolve several environmental problems, was applied for the geophysical modeling. ERT is a robust imaging method the theory and implementation of which are well documented in geophysical research literature. The survey site is located in Akrotirion Peninsula, about 7 km east of Chania city in Crete I. The geological setting comprises Trypalion limestones, marly limestones and a clayed weathered layer. Cavities are also identified at various scales which are recent tectono-karstic voids. Due to the above-mentioned geological singularity and in the light of the requirement for an environmentally safe construction of the landfill, an ERT survey was carried out. Specifically, seven geoelectrical tomographies were conducted reaching the prospecting depth of 36 m. The resulted images conduced, to overcome geotechnical problems since the spatial distribution of karstic voids was determined, to plan the future sites for waste disposal as the geological conditions were studied in detail and to reliably estimate the thickness of the already deposited wastes. The resulted images were confirmed using available borehole logs and ambient noise measurements.  相似文献