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971.
972.
973.
974.
Wildfires cause enormous damage worldwide, particularly in Victoria, Australia, with growing populations in fire-prone ecosystems. Broad-scale prescribed burning is an established, yet controversial, wildfire management policy in Victoria and Australia. But does broad-scale prescribed burning reduce fire damage? The answer depends on how damage is measured. We propose that different perceptions about the efficacy of broad-scale prescribed burning derive from different disciplinary measures of damage (e.g., biodiversity, area burned, or fatalities). Although broad-scale prescribed burning reduces subsequent wildfire size, there is little evidence that it saves human lives and homes. Evidence suggests that small-scale fuel reduction may be more effective at saving lives. The prescribed burning debate might be better focused on what damage we wish to limit, and which measures are most effective at limiting this damage. In this context, the current policy focus on broad-scale prescribed burning targets may distract efforts from more effective lifesaving strategies. 相似文献
975.
老工业区产业结构转型与用地结构转型互动机制及优化路径——以上海市宝山区为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
尝试理清老工业区产业结构转型与用地结构转型内涵,提出其转型效率的函数表达,分析二者间的互动关系;并运用改进的动态变化度及偏离系数,对上海市宝山区进行实证研究。结果表明:(1)宝山区产业结构与用地结构变化度逐渐增加,工业和第三产业动态度分别由1996年的2.48%和5.36%上升至2012年的4.75%和5.51%,用地结构动态度由11.16%上升至13.53%;(2)宝山区三次产业结构总体趋于优化,但产业内部并未优化,仍以重化工业和传统服务业为主导;(3)宝山区用地结构与产业结构不协调并处于加剧的状态。老工业区产业结构与用地结构存在较强的互动关系,改进的动态变化度及偏离系数方法为老工业区产业结构转型与用地结构转型问题提供了一种研究思路。提出宝山区产业结构转型与用地结构转型的优化路径。 相似文献
976.
针对目前对中西部地区意义重大的产业转移承接问题,以河南省为例进行了探讨。指出产业转移承接过程对不同规模区域单元的影响不同,较小的单元受承接产业的影响较大,而较大的单元受到的影响较小且对承接产业的影响起着一定的制约作用。在讨论产业转移内涵特征以及河南省产业转移承接条件的基础上,对河南省产业转移承接的结构优化和空间布局进行分析,提出产业转移承接要受到河南省产业结构变化趋势约束,承接的产业应采取相对集中的空间格局,微观上集中在集聚区园区等各类产业发展平台,宏观上的重点则是主体功能上属于重点开发的中原城市群地区。 相似文献
977.
西双版纳土地利用/覆盖格局的热环境效应研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用Landsat TM/ETM+数据的热红外波段,通过单通道算法,反演了中国热带西双版纳地区的地表温度,并对西双版纳地表温度演变的规律进行了分析,结果显示:(1)研究期间,西双版纳土地利用/覆盖发生了剧烈变化,有林地面积不断减少,旱地、灌木林、茶园与橡胶园面积不断增加;(2)旱地、荒草地、茶园、建设用地的地表真实温度的平均值较高,水体和有林地的平均温度较低;(3)旱地、灌木林、有林地、荒草地和橡胶园对区域的热效应贡献较大,水体、水浇地、建设用地、滩涂和水体的热效应贡献较小;有林地的热单元权重有不断减少的趋势,灌木林与旱地的热单元权重有不断增加的趋势;(4)西双版纳土地利用/覆盖的剧烈变化改变了区域地表温度的分布格局,最终可能会导致地方气候变化。需要进一步开展西双版纳地区LUCC—气候—生态系统耦合研究,深入研究区域LUCC特别是橡胶园的时空变化过程及其气候/生态效应、气候变化与LUCC过程的互馈机制,为实现区域可持续发展提供科学依据。 相似文献
978.
979.
Land cover change affects surface radiation budget and energy balance by chang- ing surface albedo and further impacts the regional and global climate. In this article, high spatial and temporal resolution satellite products were used to analyze the driving mechanism for surface albedo change caused by land cover change during 1990-2010. In addition, the annual-scale radiative forcing caused by surface albedo changes in China's 50 ecological regions were calculated to reveal the biophysical mechanisms of land cover change affecting climate change at regional scale. Our results showed that the national land cover changes were mainly caused by land reclamation, grassland desertification and urbanization in past 20 years, which were almost induced by anthropogenic activities. Grassland and forest area decreased by 0.60% and 0.11%, respectively. The area of urban and farmland increased by 0.60% and 0.19%, respectively. The mean radiative forcing caused by land cover changes during 1990-2010 was 0.062 W/m2 in China, indicating a warming climate effect. However, spatial heterogeneity of radiative forcing was huge among different ecological regions. Farmland conversing to urban construction land, the main type of land cover change for the urban and suburban agricultural ecological region in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region, caused an albedo reduction by 0.00456 and a maximum positive radiative forcing of 0.863 WIm2, which was presented as warming climate effects. Grassland and forest conversing to farmland, the main type of land cover change for the temperate humid agricultural and wetland ecological region in Sanjiang Plain, caused an albedo increase by 0.00152 and a maximum negative radiative forcing of 0.184 W/m2, implying cooling climate effects. 相似文献
980.
The total operating characteristic to measure diagnostic ability for multiple thresholds 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr 《International journal of geographical information science》2014,28(3):570-583
The relative operating characteristic (ROC) is a popular statistical method to measure the association between observed and diagnosed presence of a characteristic. The diagnosis of presence or absence depends on whether the value of an index variable is above a threshold. ROC considers multiple possible thresholds. Each threshold generates a two-by-two contingency table, which contains four central entries: hits, misses, false alarms, and correct rejections. ROC reveals for each threshold only two ratios, hits/(hits + misses) and false alarms/(false alarms + correct rejections). This article introduces the total operating characteristic (TOC), which shows the total information in the contingency table for each threshold. TOC maintains desirable properties of ROC, while TOC reveals strictly more information than ROC in a manner that makes TOC more useful than ROC. We illustrate the concepts with an application to land change science. 相似文献