随机结构动力可靠度估计算法的对比分析     

刘佩  姚谦峰 《地震工程与工程振动》2009,29(6)

对比分析了随机结构动力可靠度计算的三种估计算法.渐进展开法是基于Laplace算法对概率积分进行渐进估计的,此法通过计算最大被积分式值对应点,并将其代入概率积分的渐进估计表达式求解失效概率.由于概率积分的主要贡献来自于最大被积分式值对应点的周围,因此本文的重要抽样法假定重要抽样函数的最大似然值等于最大被积分式值对应点值.极值分布-泰勒展开法首先通过结构随机参数的极值分布函数给出失效概率的表达式,随后利用泰勒展开法对失效概率进行估计,其中采用中心差分法对极值分布函数的梯度进行估算.最后应用三种算法和Monte Carlo法对受高斯白噪声激励作用的单自由度随机结构进行了计算,结果表明三种方法不但运算简便,而且对比Monte Carlo法计算效率有显著提高.  相似文献   

Assessment of suspended sediment transport in four alpine watersheds (France): influence of the climatic regime   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Vincent Mano  Julien Nemery  Philippe Belleudy  Alain Poirel 《水文研究》2009,23(5):777-792

High‐frequency water discharge and suspended sediment concentration (SSC) databases were collected for 3 years on four contrasted watersheds: the Asse and the Bléone (two Mediterranean rainfall regime watersheds) and the Romanche and the Ferrand (two rainfall–snowmelt regime watersheds). SSCs were calculated from turbidity recordings (1‐h time step), converted into SSC values. The rating curve was calculated by means of simultaneous SSC measurement taken by water sampling and turbidity recording. Violent storms during springtime and autumn were responsible for suspended sediment transport on the Asse and the Bléone rivers. On the Ferrand and the Romanche, a large share of suspended sediment transport was also caused by local storms, but 30% of annual fluxes results from snowmelt or icemelt which occurred from April to October. On each watershed, SSC up to 50 g l^?1 were observed. Annual specific fluxes ranged from 450 to 800 t km^?2 year^?1 and 40–80% of annual suspended sediment fluxes occurred within 2% of the time. These general indicators clearly demonstrate the intensity of suspended sediment transport on these types of watersheds. Suspended sediment fluxes proved to be highly variable at the annual scale (inter‐annual variability of specific fluxes) as well as at the event scale (through a hysteresis loop in the SSC/Q relationship) on these watersheds. In both cases, water discharge and precipitations were the main processes involved in suspended sediment production and transport. The temporal and spatial variability of hydro‐meteorological processes on the watershed provides a better understanding of suspended sediment dynamics. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

基于抽样调查的安徽农村民居震害预测与减灾对策周安   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

周安  孙洁  杨勇 《地震学报》2009,31(1):100-107

在安徽省的皖北、皖中和皖南地区,分别抽样4个乡镇总计781户农村民居,进行抗震性能调查,得出安徽省农村住宅在建筑年代、结构形式、建筑材料、地基基础及构造连接等方面的统计数据．在此基础上,运用建筑物地震易损性的概率分析法,对所调查的民居进行震害预测．分析表明,安徽农村民居在基本设防烈度地震作用下,尚不会发生毁灭性破坏,但中等破坏将较大面积发生．提出了农村民居防震减灾的政府管理和技术措施等对策．经济分析认为,增加约3％——4％建房投资,即可基本实现国务院的防震减灾目标．   相似文献   

Temporal variations in free core nutation period   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jianqiao Xu  Heping Sun Key Laboratory of Dynamic Geodesy 《地震学报(英文版)》2009,(4):331-336

Based on the nearly diurnal resonance in the tidal gravity observations,the temporal variations in period of the Earth's free core nutation (FCN) are investigated by using the tidal gravity observations of 18-year duration recorded continu-ously with a superconducting gravimeter (SG) at Brussels. The effects of the global oceanic tide loading and local barometric pressure on the SG observations have been removed by using eleven high-precision global digital models of oceanic tides and barometric pressure me...  相似文献   

Pushover分析中抗力曲线的概率研究     

易伟建  蒋蝶 《地震工程与工程振动》2009,29(1)

本文在已有的研究基础上,结合我国现行的抗震规范（GB50011—2001）和地震作用统计参数,提出了pushover分析中结构体系抗力曲线的保证率计算方法。以pushover分析所得的塑性铰出现次序和最终数量作为结构主要失效模式,同时考虑了结构抗力以及地震作用的随机性对结构体系抗力曲线的影响,借助于主要随机变量的灵敏度分析,得到了确定性pushover分析曲线的保证率。框架结构算例给出了本文方法的计算结果,并用重要抽样法进行了检验。  相似文献   

地球外核的电荷密度          下载免费PDF全文

李庚伟  魏文博  张自力 《地球物理学进展》2009,24(5):1561-1565

为计算地球磁极处的磁感应强度,建立地球的磁场是由带电的地球外核的旋转产生的模型.先根据毕奥-萨伐尔定律计算球形模型绕自转轴旋转时在自转轴直径上产生的磁感应强度;再利用已知的地球外核的内外半径及地球半径和磁极处的磁感应强度值,计算出地球外核的电荷体密度及面密度.结果表明:若外核的电荷呈均匀的体密度分布,则其电荷体密度为3.5507 C/m³;若外核的电荷均匀分布在外核的外表面,则其面密度为2.4581×10⁶ C/m².通过地球表面的磁感应强度信息利用物理规律和地球物理数据推测地球内部难以直接进行探测的相关信息,具有实际意义.根据地震学方法对地球外核厚度、转向等变化的最新研究数据按该文模型可推测地球磁场强度、极性等的变化.而地球磁场的变化对地球上的人类生活颇有影响.  相似文献   

应用CT成像技术研究岩心孔隙度分布特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

高建  吕静 《CT理论与应用研究》2009,18(2):50-57

清楚地识别岩心内部孔隙度分布特征,并对其进行定量描述,有助于深入研究岩心的渗流特性。应用CT成像技术,通过对干岩心和饱和地层水岩心扫描,重建了岩心不同扫描层面、沿某正交切面以及三维孔隙度分布图。应用孔隙度频率分布和累积频率分布曲线得到了岩心孔隙度分布的统计特征。将岩心孔隙度划分为“层面级”和“岩心级”两个级别,选用7种参数对岩心孔隙度分布的集中趋势、离散程度和分布形态进行表征。研究实例表明,同一岩心不同扫描层面孔隙度分布存在明显差异,其集中程度、离散程度和分布形态均有所不同。采用这7种表征参数可精细刻画岩心孔隙度分布特征。  相似文献   

库车地区高矿化度泥浆影响下的电阻率校正方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

赵军  胡洪  刘应华  蒋智格  陈伟中 《地球物理学进展》2009,24(6):2202-2207

为了克服克拉地区膏盐地层垮塌及地层压力对钻井的影响,在钻井过程中往往采用高矿化度、大密度的钻井液.这使得渗透性地层中观测得到电阻率与实际的电阻率存在较大的偏差,给测井解释带来极大的困难.本文针对克拉地区的实际情况,对高矿化度泥浆影响下的电阻率校正方法进行了探索性研究,提出了基于岩心资料的电阻率校正方法及基于泥浆动态侵入的图版校正电阻率方法,最后通过毛管分析饱和度与校正后电阻率计算饱和度对比验证校正电阻率的可信性.结果表明,校正后电阻率更能真实的反映地层电性特征,进一步提高了测井解释符合率.  相似文献   

Architecture of the deep critical zone in the Río Icacos watershed (Luquillo Critical Zone Observatory,Puerto Rico) inferred from drilling and ground penetrating radar (GPR)          下载免费PDF全文

Joe Orlando  Xavier Comas  Scott A. Hynek  Heather L. Buss  Susan L. Brantley 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2016,41(13):1826-1840

In the critical zone, surficial bedrock interactions result in the formation of a mantle of chemically‐ and physically‐altered material defined here as regolith. In the watershed of the Río Icacos, an upland river draining the Luquillo Mountains in tropical Puerto Rico, we explored the influence of lithology (quartz diorite versus hornfels‐facies volcaniclastic rock) on weathering. Regolith profiles were studied by drilling boreholes and imaging the subsurface using ground penetrating radar (GPR). Overall, the regolith structure is not laterally continuous but rather is punctuated by zones of deep fractures that host in situ weathering, corestones, and colluvial material. GPR images of these vertical zones show reflectors at 15–20 m depth. Thus, the architecture of the critical zone in the upper Luquillo Mountains is highly dependent on lithology and its influence on fracture development. At the highest elevations where hornfels overlies quartz diorite, positive feedbacks occur when the water table drops so that oxidative weathering of biotite in the more felsic rock creates microfractures and allows deeper infiltration of meteoric waters. Such exposure results in some of the fastest weathering rocks in the world and may contribute to formation of the knickpoint in the Río Icacos watershed. This work represents the first study combining GPR and drilling to look at the structure of the deep critical zone and demonstrates: (1) the importance of combining direct methods (such as drilling) with indirect methods (such as GPR) to understand the architecture of the critical zone in tropical systems; (2) the interplay of the surficial stress regime, lithology and climate in dictating the architecture of weathering. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Enhancing resilience of highway bridges through seismic retrofit          下载免费PDF全文

Ashok Venkittaraman  Swagata Banerjee 《地震工程与结构动力学》2014,43(8):1173-1191

The present study evaluates seismic resilience of highway bridges that are important components of highway transportation systems. To mitigate losses incurred from bridge damage during seismic events, bridge retrofit strategies are selected such that the retrofit not only enhances bridge seismic performance but also improves resilience of the system consisting of these bridges. To obtain results specific to a bridge, a reinforced concrete bridge in the Los Angeles region is analyzed. This bridge was severely damaged during the Northridge earthquake because of shear failure of one bridge pier. Seismic vulnerability model of the bridge is developed through finite element analysis under a suite of time histories that represent regional seismic hazard. Obtained bridge vulnerability model is combined with appropriate loss and recovery models to calculate seismic resilience of the bridge. Impact of retrofit on seismic resilience is observed by applying suitable retrofit strategy to the bridge assuming its undamaged condition prior to the Northridge event. Difference in resilience observed before and after bridge retrofit signified the effectiveness of seismic retrofit. The applied retrofit technique is also found to be cost‐effective through a cost‐benefit analysis. First order second moment reliability analysis is performed, and a tornado diagram is developed to identify major uncertain input parameters to which seismic resilience is most sensitive. Statistical analysis of resilience obtained through random sampling of major uncertain input parameters revealed that the uncertain nature of seismic resilience can be characterized with a normal distribution, the standard deviation of which represents the uncertainty in seismic resilience. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献