工程风险分析中的风险当量及其评价标准   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：7  

余建星  李成 《海洋技术学报》2004,23(1):48-51,61

目前，量化、半量化风险分析是工程风险分析的主流。在对工程进行量化和半量化风险分析时，无论采用什么方法，风险评价指标和评价标准都是关键的重要问题。只有在建立了统一的评价指标和评价标准体系的基础上，对工程进行的风险分析能够得出正确和一致的结论。文章通过对国内外风险分析理论和实践的研究和总结，提出了在工程风险分析中确定风险评价指标和评价标准的原则和方法。  相似文献   

Upstream dams and downstream clams: growth rates of bivalve mollusks unveil impact of river management on estuarine ecosystems (Colorado River Delta, Mexico)     

B. R. Schne  K. W. Flessa  D. L. Dettman  D. H. Goodwin 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2003,58(4):715-726

We studied how the extensive diversion of Colorado River water, induced by dams and agricultural activities of the last 70 years, affected the growth rates of two abundant bivalve mollusk species (Chione cortezi and Chione fluctifraga) in the northern Gulf of California. Shells alive on the delta today (‘Post-dam’ shells) grow 5.8–27.9% faster than shells alive prior to the construction of dams (‘Pre-dam’ shells). This increase in annual shell production is linked to the currently sharply reduced freshwater influx to the Colorado River estuary. Before the upstream river management, lower salinity retarded growth rates in these bivalves. Intra-annual growth rates were 50% lower during spring and early summer, when river flow was at its maximum. Growth rates in Chione today are largely controlled by temperature and nutrients; prior to the construction of dams and the diversion of the Colorado River flow, seasonal changes in salinity played an important role in regulating calcification rates.Our study employs sclerochronological (growth increment analysis) and geochemical techniques to assess the impact of reduced freshwater influx on bivalve growth rates in the Colorado River estuary. A combination of both techniques provides an excellent tool to evaluate the impact of river management in areas where no pre-impact studies were made.  相似文献   

Validating management simulation models and implications for communicating results to stakeholders     

Pastoors  Martin A.; Poos  Jan Jaap; Kraak  Sarah B. M.; Machiels  Marcel A. M. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(4):818-824

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“数字海底”系统建模中的关键技术研究          下载免费PDF全文

郑彦鹏  刘保华  梁瑞才  毛锋  周文生  苏天赟  傅强 《海洋学报》2007,29(1):81-85

基于“数字海底”系统的理论基础研究和在海底科学应用中的具体实践,提出了“数字海底”的涵义、系统组成和体系结构,对空间数据管理技术、基于XML的WebGIS空间数据表达技术、复杂海底三维建模技术、多源信息的一体化集成显示技术、虚拟现实技术等“数字海底”系统建模中的关键技术进行了探讨,为从事海底资源研究和开发的人员提供各个层次的参考或帮助.  相似文献   

Lesser-known consequences of managing marine fisheries using individual transferable quotas     

Mark T. Gibbs 《Marine Policy》2007

Managing marine fisheries using output controls in the form of individual transferable quotas (ITQs) can be an attractive alternative to more traditional input controls. There are now a number of examples of where ITQ-managed fisheries have been able to reduce the impact of the major management problems in global fisheries, namely, gross over-capitalisation and effort. However, ITQs are not the perfect management tool and one of the lesser known consequences of ITQ-managed fisheries where ITQs consist of a harvest right is the implicit relationship between ITQ property rights and rights of access to the fishing grounds. This implicit spatial right to the grounds can provide obstacles in the way of allocating water-space within fishing grounds for alternative uses such as marine-protected areas, large-scale aquaculture, and wind farms. These lesser-known consequences of ITQ-managed fisheries are discussed here.  相似文献   

东亚海区的海岸带综合管理经验:从地方性示范到区域性合作     

周鲁闽  卢昌义 《台湾海峡》2006,25(3):452-458

本文阐述了东亚海区海岸带综合管理实践如何从地方性的示范发展到区域性的合作管理框架，如何实现海洋和海岸带资源的可持续利用．文中着重突出了厦门市政府在维持环境保护和经济发展的平衡，启动和实施海岸带综合管理，以及与沿海国在国际合作方面的经验，总结了厦门实施海岸带综合管理的主要经验，包括多部门间综合协调机制、海岸带综合管理法律框架、科技支撑体系的建立，海洋功能区划、环境剖面和战略环境管理计划的制定，以及实现海上联合执法等等．同时阐述了东亚海域环境管理区域合作计划（PEMSEA）与澳大利亚合作伙伴之间的关系在推动沿海城市的国际合作中将起到的作用．  相似文献   

Spatial variation in abundance and catch composition of Cancer pagurus in Norwegian waters: biological reasoning and implications for assessment     

Woll  Astrid K.; van der Meeren  Gro I.; Fossen  Inge 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2006,63(3):421-433

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南沙群岛珊瑚礁地貌图像信息管理系统     

傅孙成  钟晋梁  张乔民  刘清祥  熊永兰 《热带海洋学报》1998,(3)

运用面向对象的软件开发技术,结合珊瑚礁地貌学、计算机图像学和计算机信息管理技术,在Windows平台上研制开发出南沙群岛珊瑚礁地貌图像信息管理系统。该系统集文件管理、数据库管理和图形、图像管理于一体,具有信息检索输出、信息编辑和信息维护等功能,以图形用户介面交互,达到"所见即所得"的效果。  相似文献   

National ocean policy—new opportunities for Malaysian ocean development     

Abdul Hamid Saharuddin   《Marine Policy》2001,25(6)

Being a littoral state, Malaysian maritime sectors provide the basis for the growth and development of marine-related activities. As the country enters the new millennium along with the ‘2020 Vision’ which serves as the basic template against which the economic performance of these sectors should be judged, it poses a new challenge for Malaysia in developing these sectors. This paper attempts to address three basic issues: Firstly, is there any national ocean policy in place? Secondly, are the maritime sectors adequately organized to play an important role in achieving the objectives? Thirdly, what are the opportunities available in developing the ocean?It can be seen that existing policies to develop comprehensive ocean governance have not received the full attention they deserve. Organizational structures governing the ocean for implementing national policies are well in place but in a fragmented and uncoordinated fashion. As a result, sectoral and intersectoral management problems were created such as multiple-use conflicts, overlapping of jurisdiction and duplication of efforts. Environmental problems have also not been properly addressed. A few sectors have been identified as offering opportunities to further develop the Malaysian maritime areas. Among these are marine education and human resources development, marine tourism and the seafood industry.  相似文献   

Application of the precautionary approach and conservation reference points to management of Atlantic seals     

Hammill  M. O.; Stenson  G. B. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(4):702-706

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