Developing a building policy for the erosion zone: Solutions to some key (Dutch) questions     

P.R. Winckel  J.K. Vrijling  J. van de Graaff 《Coastal Engineering》2008

In those coastal communities where the most seaward strip of mainland consists of dunes, these dunes often serve as a flexible sea defence. In addition, this strip offers large potential for housing and commercial enterprises. Unfortunately, due to severe storm surges part of this strip (the erosion zone) is subject to erosion, and as a result of which any buildings or infrastructure located here, are destroyed. Therefore, as we will illustrate in this paper, a building policy for this zone should reflect a compromise between two opposite interests: exploitation of the existing potential and, prevention of an unacceptable high risk due to erosion. Accordingly, the authors have developed a framework for such a building policy on the basis of which the desirability of various different types of investments and the location within the erosion zone of such investments can be determined. The examples that are used to illustrate this framework in this paper are limited to experiences in The Netherlands as relevant data and experiences are available and relatively easy accessible here. Nevertheless, the approach as is described is generic and applicable worldwide suggesting that the discovered unused potential for exploitation is not just limited to The Netherlands.  相似文献   

面向协同式森林灭火决策的领域本体构建及其解析     

唐丽玉  陈崇成  池子文 《地球信息科学学报》2008,10(3):344-349

森林灭火决策的参与人员可能来自不同的组织、不同领域,他们有不同知识结构、专业背景、学识和各自的经验、偏好,这往往不利于决策过程中的交流、协同进行。本文把本体引入协同式森林灭火决策中,解决决策成员在协作中对他人所述的内容理解一致问题。分析了现有建立领域本体的主要方法,并借鉴软件开发的生命周期理论,提出建立面向森林火灾的领域本体的具体实现方法。以森林灭火决策为应用导向,通过对森林灭火决策的内容分析及与领域专家相互交流,根据领域中概念分类体系和概念的组合结构,从相关领域(林业、气象学、消防工程、地理学)抽象出概念术语集、关系集、函数集、规则集等,建立可共享、理解、重用、互操作的概念模型;利用本体建模工具,建立森林灭火本体库;设计与实现了本体的解析与可视化工具,用户可以交互式的查询术语的概念内涵,利用可视化工具,显示概念之间的关系。研究成果将为学科或领域间的高效协作打下通信与交流的基础,为林业、消防的信息化研究、林火本体服务提供可借鉴的框架和成果,为林火管理和应急指挥决策提供一个语义层级次上的重要途径。  相似文献   

测绘生产项目人力资源管理系统的开发     

徐剑平  张学之  周博飞 《测绘与空间地理信息》2009,32(1)

地理信息数据加工生产行业在项目管理的方式和方法上,存在着先进的生产力与不先进的管理方式相矛盾的问题.如何解决人力资源与生产项目的高效结合,使劳动力分配效能在项目管理中实现最大化,是一个无法回避和必须解决的课题.本文基于地理信息数据生产项目管理的实际应用,介绍系统的设计思想、技术路线、系统功能以及数据库的设计.随着本系统的不断推广和应用,一定能为地理信息数据加工生产行业的项目人力资源管理开拓新的模式,并为项目管理者提供有效的决策支持.  相似文献   

Mapping of moraine dammed glacial lakes and assessment of their areal changes in the central and eastern Himalayas using satellite data     

Sazeda BEGAM  Dhrubajyoti SEN 《山地科学学报》2019,(1):77-94

The relatively rapid recession of glaciers in the Himalayas and formation of moraine dammed glacial lakes(MDGLs) in the recent past have increased the risk of glacier lake outburst floods(GLOF) in the countries of Nepal and Bhutan and in the mountainous territory of Sikkim in India. As a product of climate change and global warming, such a risk has not only raised the level of threats to the habitation and infrastructure of the region, but has also contributed to the worsening of the balance of the unique ecosystem that exists in this domain that sustains several of the highest mountain peaks of the world. This study attempts to present an up to date mapping of the MDGLs in the central and eastern Himalayan regions using remote sensing data, with an objective to analyse their surface area variations with time from 1990 through 2015, disaggregated over six episodes. The study also includes the evaluation for susceptibility of MDGLs to GLOF with the least criteria decision analysis(LCDA). Forty two major MDGLs, each having a lake surface area greater than 0.2 km2, that were identified in the Himalayan ranges of Nepal, Bhutan, and Sikkim, have been categorized according to their surface area expansion rates in space and time. The lakes have been identified as located within the elevation range of 3800 m and6800 m above mean sea level(a msl). With a total surface area of 37.9 km2, these MDGLs as a whole were observed to have expanded by an astonishing 43.6% in area over the 25 year period of this study. A factor is introduced to numerically sort the lakes in terms of their relative yearly expansion rates, based on their interpretation of their surface area extents from satellite imageries. Verification of predicted GLOF events in the past using this factor with the limited field data as reported in literature indicates that the present analysis may be considered a sufficiently reliable and rapid technique for assessing the potential bursting susceptibility of the MDGLs. The analysis also indicates that, as of now, there are eight MDGLs in the region which appear to be in highly vulnerable states and have high chances in causing potential GLOF events anytime in the recent future.  相似文献   

煤层底板水害防治智能决策支持系统框架构建     

靳德武  李鹏 《煤田地质与勘探》2021,49(1):161-169

煤层底板突水是华北型煤田煤矿生产过程中一种常见的水害类型,为解决水害防治工程的科学决策问题,进一步提高防治水工程的可靠性,提出构建智能决策支持系统的技术思路。智能决策支持系统是传统决策支持系统与人工智能技术相互融合的产物,在分析底板水害防治决策支持功能需求的基础上,提出“数据-模型-方案”一体化设计流程,从数据导入、模型驱动、智能决策等3个层次构建底板水害防治智能决策支持系统的基本框架。将模型驱动层进一步细分为方法库、模型库、知识图谱构建3项专业化服务,模型库包括底板突水空间点预测模型、疏水降压数值模拟模型、注浆改造工程可靠性分析模型、隔离工程设计模型及底板水害监测预警模型。系统最终输出的决策方案包括底板突水危险性分区、疏水降压Q-t-s方案、区域注浆改造设计及工程可靠性评价、隔离工程设计、底板突水监测预警警情发布。系统通过注浆过程的反馈-控制、突水监测预警的深度学习、疏水降压方案的动态优化等实现其智能决策。智能决策支持系统将会在煤层底板水害防治可靠性保障方面提供新的技术支撑。   相似文献   

中国户外运动网站信息流对人流生成的导引机制分析--以乐游户外运动俱乐部网站为例   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：7  

王杨  路紫  孙中伟  孙静怡 《地球信息科学学报》2006,8(1):84-90

本文以乐游户外运动俱乐部网站为案例,探讨中小型“自我依托”户外运动俱乐部网站信息流对人流生成的导引作用问题,认为这种作用经过网站访问者的信息获取、知识转化、认知与决定的过程而发生,经过网站交流媒介的信息、集聚、交流和组织四种平台而完成。本文也初步确定与信息流对人流生成的导引作用相关的决策影响要素,认为计划、资金、会员以及赞助商和媒体4种要素对俱乐部网站的良好运行能起到决定性作用。通过将网站使用者作为出发点来研究虚拟一现实组织特征,也能发现许多信息社会人文地理学发展的问题。  相似文献   

Application of participatory principles to investigation of the natural world: An example from Chile     

Sarah Schumann 《Marine Policy》2010

Participatory research in environmental and natural resources-related fields is premised on many of the same notions that underlie participatory processes in decision making. This study examines one instance of participatory research to assess the extent to which the documented benefits of participatory decision-making hold up in the context of research. A survey of Chilean shell-fishers engaged in research with marine biologists assesses the relationships between four variables: fishers’ participation in research, fishers’ opinions of biologists, fishers’ trust in biologists, and fishers’ acquisition of knowledge from biologists. Results illuminate the multidimensionality of these variables and suggest that complex interrelationships between them make the benefits of participatory research more nuanced than those reported for participatory decision-making. For instance, participatory research may provide low benefits when participatory research outcomes differ little from those produced solely by scientists. In addition, high-cost scenarios may result when outcomes of participatory research are inferior to those produced solely by scientists. A third downside may result when participation leads participants to increase their deference to scientific knowledge, thereby defeating the corroborative purpose of their participation. A fourth effect may occur when increased trust by in scientists results from participation, decreasing participants’ perceived need to take part in research.  相似文献   

海洋交通风险应急决策系统设计与实现     

汪靖  林植  靳焰 《海洋通报》2010,29(1)

针对海洋交通风险事故的特点,采用基于分层推理思想设计了海洋交通风险应急决策处理模型。在模型中提出了以行为和状态为核心的知识规则描述方法。以该模型为基础给出了系统的设计与实现。通过将海洋交通风险事故分解为事务级、情况级和执行级三级处理,使系统能综合应用海洋交通事务各种信息进行有效决策,提高了海洋交通事务风险控制能力。系统的实现对于促进海洋交通风险控制的智能化水平,深化海事管理信息化平台建设具有现实意义。  相似文献   

基于神经网络的专家系统在温室控制中的应用     

张洪波  陈平  刘学  余志强 《成都信息工程学院学报》2010,(6):260-263

为了实现温室控制,针对温室环境的多输入、多输出、非线性和难以建立数学模型等特点,提出一种基于BP神经网络的专家系统并用于温室控制。该方法将传感器采集的温度、湿度等信息输入到神经网络专家系统,在获得决策结果的同时通知控制部分执行相应的决策。这种方法不仅解决了传统专家系统知识获取的瓶颈问题、推理能力差、智能化低的缺点,而且克服了神经网络不具有解释功能的问题。总之,成功实现了神经网络和专家系统功能上的互补,较好的用于温室控制。  相似文献   

城镇-农业-生态空间划定的多情景模拟     

柯新利  肖邦勇  郑伟伟  马艳春  李红艳 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(3):580-591

城镇-农业-生态空间划定(简称"三区"划定)是国土空间规划的核心内容,对于科学合理地规划、利用有限的国土资源具有重要的意义。已有研究主要根据区域内土地利用与社会经济发展现状构建指标体系进行"三区"划定,较少将未来土地利用变化纳入"三区"划定过程中,使得划定结果在指导实践过程中缺乏前瞻性。针对这一问题,本文提出一种基于土地利用情景模拟,结合指标体系评价与决策树特征挖掘的"三区"划定方法,并以武汉市2015年土地利用现状为基础,在土地利用变化情景模拟的基础上进行"三区"划定。通过对比,验证了本文提出方法的合理性。研究发现:①不同情景下的"三区"空间在规模、空间分布上具有明显差异,将未来土地利用变化纳入"三区"划定过程中确有必要;②不同土地利用情景下"三区"空间的差异主要出现在三类空间的交界区域,这些区域是国土空间规划应该关注的重点区域。  相似文献