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11.
12.
考虑到平台所在海区台风出现的频次及其诱发之风、浪、潮、流极端海况联合出现的概率特性,本文推导出Poisson—Logistic二元复合极值模式,并以平台甲板标高进行实例计算。新模式增加了概率模型的物理内涵,解决了Logistic模型阈值选取的任意性。对海洋工程极端海况荷载组合预测具有广泛的应用前景。 相似文献
13.
Weng Keqin
Associate Professor Hydraulic Hydro-Power Engineering Dept. Tsinghua University Beijing 《中国海洋工程》1995,(2)
This paper reveals that the long-period statistic distribution of the characteristic heights of deep-water waves assumes the lognormal distribution. Thereafter, the largest wave-height which may occur in the service life of coastal structures is derived in this paper. 相似文献
14.
渤海南部海域年极值波浪和设计波浪的特征研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文用统计计算和后报方法,获得了本海域不同海区多年年极值波高(H1/10)资料。用P-Ⅲ型和短期测波资料频率分析方法,估算了各海区的设计波高,并依据文献[3]计算出对应的平均周期。用Kolmogoroff适合度方法检验所得的结果表明,依P-Ⅲ型方法拟配的理论频率曲线与经验点十分吻合,从而确定了本海域不同海区最佳的设计波浪。分析本海域年极值波浪的基本特征表明,本海域除了渤海湾北部海区以外,主浪向一般为NNE向,渤海海峡区的年极值波高和设计波高均为最大,而向莱州湾及渤海湾沿岸海区逐渐减小;在沿岸海区,由龙口至黄河口一带的极值波高较大。 相似文献
15.
欧洲为了与美国、日本在IODP中处于同等重要的地位,成立了由ODP成员参加的欧洲大洋钻探科学指导委员会(ESCOD)和JEODI组织,并开展了IODP之前的一系列准备活动。在其中的APLACON会议上,论证了IODP中第三类特定钻探平台的必要性,讨论了该类平台在某些研究范围内的重要作用,包括研究地球历史中的极端气候(北极海区)、重建白垩纪-第三纪的水文地理学、气候的快速变化、沉积盆地形成与过程以及固体地球过程等。 相似文献
16.
回顾了近年来国内外河口、近岸海域三维斜压水流数值模式研究的进展,着重讨论了不同垂向坐标下三维水流模式的发展状况以及存在的问题。地形拟合坐标(σ坐标)模式可以很好地拟合床面地形和自由面,已在物理海洋学中被广泛使用。但在地形变化剧烈,尤其在密度层结效应明显的海域,σ坐标模式中的水平压强梯度力误差会引起伪密度流。寻求高精度的数值模式以及更加有效的拟合坐标变换将是值得努力的方向。 相似文献
17.
Channels are relatively common on river-mouth deltas, but the process by which they arise from river sediment discharge is unclear because they can potentially be explained either by negatively buoyant (hyperpycnal) flows produced directly from the river outflow or by flows generated by repeated failure and mobilisation of sediment rapidly deposited at the delta front. Channels eroded through a dump site of dredge spoils are described here from multibeam and older sonar data collected in Commencement Bay, at the mouth of the Puyallup River. Shallow channels on the seaward upper surface of the dump site, away from any flows that could have been produced by delta front failures, suggest that at least some hyperpycnal flows were produced directly from the positively buoyant river outflow up to 200 m from the edge of the river mouth platform. The form of channel bed erosion is revealed by the longitudinal shape of the main eroded channel compared with the adjacent dump site profile. It suggests that the channel evolved by its steep front retreating, rather than by simple vertical entrenchment or diffusive-like evolution of the profile, a geometry interpreted as evidence that repeated failure of the bed occurred in response to shear stress imposed by bottom-travelling flows. Model calculations based on shear strengths back-calculated from the geometry of channel wall failures suggest that, if the main channel were eroded solely by hyperpycnal flows, their generation was remarkably efficient in order to create flows vigorous enough to cause channel bed failure. Besides the sediment concentration and discharge characteristics that have been considered to dictate the ability of rivers to produce hyperpycnal flows, it is suggested that the timing of floods with respect to the tidal cycle should also be important because extreme low tides may be needed to ensure that coarse sediment is transferred vigorously to the edge of river mouth platforms. 相似文献
18.
An applied Fourier transform computation for the hydrodynamic wave-resistance coefficient is shown, oriented to potential flows with a free surface and infinity depth. The presence of a ship-like body is simulated by its equivalent pressure disturbance imposed on the un-perturbed free surface, where a linearized free surface condition is used. The wave-resistance coefficient is obtained from the wave-height downstream. Two examples with closed solutions are considered: a submerged dipole, as a test-case, and a parabolic pressure distribution of compact support. In the three dimensional case, a dispersion relation is included which is a key resource for an inexpensive computation of the wave pattern far downstream like fifteen ship-lengths. 相似文献
19.
In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U (T) , which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times. 相似文献
20.
一个基于TOPEX卫星极端海面风速预测的海洋地理信息系统 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4
在基于 TOPEX卫星数据建立全球极端海面风速预测模型的基础上 ,开发出用于极端海面风速预测和可视化预测结果的海洋地理信息系统 (MGIS)。并论述全球极端海面风速预测的意义和 MGIS在预测过程中的重要性及必要性 ;给出全球极端海面风速预测的统计模型 ;简述极端海面风速预测海洋地理信息系统的结构、工作流程和功能 ;同时 ,对系统的预测结果进行初步分析 相似文献