论东亚夏季风的特征、驱动力与年代际变化   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

丁一汇  司东  柳艳菊  王遵娅  李怡  赵亮  宋亚芳 《大气科学》2018,42(3):533-558

本文是以新的资料和研究结果对东亚夏季风的基本特征、驱动力和年代际变化所作的重新分析与评估。内容包括四个部分:（1）东亚夏季风的基本特征;（2）东亚夏季风的驱动力;（3）东亚夏季风的年代际变率与原因;（4）东亚夏季风与全球季风的关系。结果表明:东亚夏季风是亚洲夏季风的一个重要有机部分,主要由来源于热带的季风气流组成,并随季节由南向北呈阶段性推进,它是形成夏季东亚天气与气候的主要环流和降水系统。驱动夏季风的主要强迫有三部分:外部强迫、耦合强迫与内部变率,其中人类活动引起的外强迫（气候变暖、城市化、气溶胶增加等）是新出现的外强迫,它正不断改变着东亚夏季风的特征与演变趋势。海洋与陆面耦合强迫作为自然因子是引起东亚夏季风年际和年代际变化的主要原因,其中太平洋年代尺度振荡（PDO）与北大西洋多年代尺度振荡（AMO）的协同作用是造成东亚夏季风30~40年周期振荡的主要原因。1960年代以后,东亚夏季风经历了强—弱—强的年代际变化,相应的中国东部夏季降水型出现了“北多南少”向“南涝北旱”以及“北方渐增”的转变。最近的研究表明,上述东亚夏季风年代际变化与整个亚非夏季风系统的变化趋势是一致的。在本世纪主要受气候变暖的影响,夏季风雨带将持续北移,中国北方和西部地区出现持续性多雨的格局。最后本文指出,亚非夏季风系统相比于其他区域季风系统更适合全球季风的概念。  相似文献   

净举力对探空高度的影响分析 —— 以贵阳探空站为例          下载免费PDF全文

闵昌红  吴兴洋  翁玲  何肖国  柯利平 《中低纬山地气象》2018,42(5):60-64

利用贵阳探空站2014—2016年L波段高空资料,运用净举力公式、绝热方程和统计分析等方法对贵阳影响探空高度的升速及净举力因素进行分析。结果表明:(1)本站平均升速均 400 m·min~(-1),19时高于07时,探空高度19时比07时低427 m。(2)从地面到850 h Pa,实际升速小于标准密度升速,850 h Pa以上,实际升速大于标准密度升速,至10 h Pa附近,升速接近地面层附近两倍,平均每上升1 km增大约3%。(3)从净举力分析来看,业务工作中忽略日变化和季节变化因素,今后探测工作中,无雨、阴天、多云天气应少300～500 g,秋冬比春夏少300～700 g为宜。(4)净举力偏高从而降低了探测高度,通常控制在1 600～2 300 g之间为宜,平均升速可控制在360～400 m·min~(-1)。净举力分别为1 600 g、2 000 g、2 300 g,探测高度可在目前基础上提高约3 100 m、1 600 m、800 m。  相似文献   

近千年亚洲季风变化驱动力的初步研究     

江亭桂  林振山  李玉霞 《地理科学》2016,36(6):943-950

通过反演方法,利用已有的影响亚洲季风变化的相应资料,通过动力模型建立了近千年亚洲季风变化的驱动力方程,根据各指标的具体数值反演出方程中各项系数和对应的贡献率。分析方程中各气候代用指标对亚洲季风变化的影响程度,发现近千年亚洲季风并非只受到这些气候要素的线性作用,而是受到较为复杂的非线性驱动力作用,其中大气中CO₂含量、印度洋海表温度、前一期季风强度、南方涛动指数、CH₄气体含量、格陵兰温度、北大西洋海表温度、北半球温度等在驱动近千年亚洲季风变化中起到较为重要的作用,而在长时间尺度上对季风变化有重要影响的太阳活动,近千年中其直接影响并不十分显著,这也可能是指标精度的原因。  相似文献   

含平流双温吸积盘的振荡不稳定性研究     

丁世学  丁世学  杨兰田  汪定雄 《中国天文和天体物理学报》1999,(4)

从流体动力学方程出发,用微扰法得出含平流双温吸积盘的径向、环向不稳定性的色散方程．并对平流和径向粘滞力对双温吸积盘的影响进行了较详细的讨论．结果表明：平流和径向粘滞力对声模有较大的影响,且不改变粘滞模和热模的稳定性质．而环向扰动对吸积盘的各种模有着较明显的作用．这一模型有利于解释活动天体的周期和准周期光变现象．  相似文献   

An Iteration Method for Computation of Flexible Fender Piles     

HU Liwan  LIU Xianzhi Associate Professor 《中国海洋工程》1998,(4)

—In the designing of the flexible fender pile,M-method is usually adopted.But M-method isusable only in the case that the value of the force(moment M and shear force Q)exerted on the pile abovethe soil is known.In practical cases,only the percussive energy of the ship can be found,while the exactvalue of the percussive force cannot be computed directly.In this paper,a method is introduced which canbe used to calculate the inner force of flexible fender piles by a computer in these cases.First,according tothe known docking dynamic energy of a ship,the absorbed energy can be found from the deformation ofthe pile and the rubber fender respectively,at the same time the value of the force acting on the fender pilesand the reaction of fenders can be calculated.Then the inner force and displacement of the fender piles canalso be calculated further by M-method.The whole computing process is realized by a computer programand the results obtained are reasonable.In this paper,the computation,the iteration method a  相似文献   

公转轴应力场星球说——地球、火星南南西应力场四组三维构造系     

孙兆元  孙娟 《地球科学进展》1999,14(3):218-228

介绍了对地球构造格局,运动方式及其动力源问题研究取得的新成果。它不同于流行已久的以地球自转轴旋转和以软流圈带动岩石圈漂移以及随机的地幔柱（流）为构造动力源的观点,而是与黄赤交角相关的沿公转轴方向的统一应力场,认为中国西部ＮＷＷ向压性,ＮＥＥ与ＮＮＷ是与黄赤交角相关的沿公转轴方向的统一应力场。认为中国西部ＮＷＷ向压性,ＮＥＥ与ＮＮＷ向两组共轭扭性及ＮＮＥ向张性带交接,为来自全球ＳＳＷ主压应力场形成的  相似文献   

Computation of solitary waves during propagation and runup on a slope   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Sangita Maiti  Debabrata Sen 《Ocean Engineering》1999,26(11):945

A numerical time-simulation algorithm for analysing highly nonlinear solitary waves interacting with plane gentle and steep slopes is described by employing a mixed Eulerian–Lagrangian method. The full nonlinear free surface conditions are considered here in a Lagrangian frame of reference without any analytical approximations, and thus the method is valid for very steep waves including overturning. It is found that the runup height is crucially dependent on the wave steepness and the slope of the plane. Pressures and forces exerted on impermeable walls of different inclinations (slopes) by progressive shallow water solitary waves are studied. Strong nonlinear features in the form of pronounced double peaks are visible in the time history of pressure and force signals with increasing heights of the oncoming solitary waves. The effect of nonlinearity is less pronounced as the inclination of the wall decreases with respect to the bottom surface.  相似文献   

孟连至包头地震期间地震的天体位置分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李晓明 《地球物理学进展》1999,14(4):102-108

本文分析了孟连地震至包头地震间中国发生的五次地震的天体位置。该五次震例都处于朔望日发震,且交替呈现,为中国地震史上最集中出现的群发朔望震。对此本文作了一些朔望对地震发机制的初步探讨,此外,也对引潮加速度对地震触发作用进行了计算和分析。  相似文献   

锚拉杆张拉力和摩阻力的现场实验研究与分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

李珠  王显耀  梁卫民  朱健 《岩土力学》1999,20(1):48-52

对锚拉桥台锚拉杆进行了２０小时的现场试验,获得了大量实验数据,对张拉后锚拉杆的张拉力与长度、时间、温度和焊接接头的关系以及土对锚拉杆的摩阻力变化及分布规律作了分析与研究。研究结果对指导该类构筑物的设计与施工有着重要的理论与工程实用价值。  相似文献   

Current Nature of the Kuroshio in the Vicinity of the Kii Peninsula   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yutaka Nagata  Junichi Takeuchi  Makoto Uchida  Isamu Ishikura  Yoshitaka Morikawa  Takashi Koike 《Journal of Oceanography》1999,55(3):407-416

The Kuroshio flows very close to Cape Shionomisaki when it takes a straight path. The detailed observations of the Kuroshio were made both on board the R/V Seisui-maru of Mie University and on board the R/V Wakayama of the Wakayama Prefectural Fisheries Experimental Station on June 11–14, 1996. It was confirmed that the current zone of the Kuroshio touches the coast and bottom slope just off Cape Shionomiaki, and that the coastal water to the east of the cape was completely separated from that to the west. The relatively high sea level difference between Kushimoto and Uragami could be caused by this separation of the coastal waters when the Kuroshio takes a straight path. This flow is rather curious, as the geostrophic flow, which has a barotropic nature and touches the bottom, would be constrained to follow bottom contours due to the vorticity conservation law. The reason why the Kuroshio leaves the bottom slope to the east of Cape Shionomisaki is attributed to the high curvature of the bottom contours there: if the current were to follow the contours, the centrifugal term in the equation of motion would become large and comparablee to the Coriolis (or pressure gradient) term, and the geostrophic balance would be destroyed. This creates a current-shadow zone just to the east of the cape. As the reason why the current zone of the Kuroshio intrudes into the coastal region to the west of the cape, it is suggested that the Kii Bifurcation Current off the southwest coast of the Kii Peninsula, which is usually found when the Kuroshio takes the straight path, has the effect of drawing the Kuroshio water into the coastal region. The sea level difference between Kushimoto and Uragami is often used to monitor the flow pattern of the Kuroshio near the Kii Peninsula. It should be noted that Uragami is located in the current shadow zone, while Kushimoto lies in the region where the offshore Kuroshio water intrudes into the coastal region. The resulting large sea level difference indicates that the Kuroshio is flowing along the straight path.  相似文献