Treating the Risks in Cairns     

Ken Durham 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):251-261

Cairns is exposed to the well-known natural hazards oftropical cyclone, flood, stormsurge and thunderstorm, but is also exposed to thelesser-known hazards of landslip, earthquake and dam break flooding. Recommendations fortreating the risks associated with these hazards have been made that will involve amulti-disciplinary approach to treatment strategies, require the cooperation of allthree levels of government, involve public utility authorities and private enterprise andinvolve the community as a whole.This paper summarises the suggested mitigation treatmentoptions, presented to the Cairns City Council and identified in the LocalGovernment Disaster Mitigation Project conducted in Cairns in 1999/2000 by theQueensland Department of Emergency Services.  相似文献   

Process of Housing Damage Assessment: The 1995 Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake Disaster Case     

Horie  Kei  Maki  Norio  Kohiyama  Masayuki  Lu  Hengjian  Tanaka  Satoshi  Hashitera  Shin  Shigekawa  Kishie  Hayashi  Haruo 《Natural Hazards》2003,29(3):341-370

Rebuilding of victims' livelihoods was a crucial issue in the restoration process in the1995 Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake Disaster. Housing damage assessment influencedmost of the rebuilding of the livelihood in the long term, because the Victim Certificatesissued by the local governments based on the results of the Housing damage assessmentwas required to receive most of the individual assistance measures. In the process ofHousing damage assessment, many complex problems arose, leading to extensivework on the part of the disaster responders. Consequently, a considerable number ofvictims were dissatisfied with the assessment and applied for a resurvey. Due to a floodof requests for resurvey, disaster responders had to work on damage assessment, leavingrelief activities aside.In order to facilitate Housing damage assessment, this paper discusses thefollowing five points: (1) the processes and the problems of assessments performedin the Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake Disaster, (2) the changes in the nature of informationneeded by the victims, (3) the improvements over the present damage assessment, (4)the housing situation in Japan, and (5) the international situation on damage assessment.It is obvious from the results that a poor damage assessment system and the size ofthe disaster produced a very large work load. Differences in appreciation among theinvestigators also contributed to unfair assessments and led to the victims beingincreasingly dissatisfied by the survey results. Finally, a design concept for acomprehensive damage assessment system, which has been derived from theabove five points, is proposed for post-disaster management.  相似文献   

Quantifying Storm Tide Risk in Cairns   总被引：6，自引：5，他引：6  

Ken Granger 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):165-185

The United Nations International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR)gave rise to an increasing level of attention to the risks posed by a range of naturalhazards and the development of strategies by which to reduce those risks. It waswidely recognised that in order to evaluate risk treatment strategies it was necessaryto `measure' the level of risk that already existed and the level of risk that would beencountered with the treatment strategy(s) in place.This paper outlines the methodology developed under the AGSO (now GeoscienceAustralia) Cities Project to quantify the risk associated with storm tide inundation. It includes the methodology for `measuring' the level of community exposure to storm tide hazards and the methodology for `measuring' community vulnerability. The Far North Queensland city of Cairns is used as the case study to demonstrate the application of these methods.  相似文献   

广西2002年度气候特点及其影响评价     

李艳兰  黄雪松  罗莹 《气象研究与应用》2003,24(1):26-32

2002年度(2001年12月～2002年11月),广西各地平均气温17.1～23.5℃,大部地区偏高0.3～1.2℃。年度降水量1035.0～2897.1mm,桂东大部偏多1～4成,桂西大部正常。日照时数1019～2323h,大部地区偏少10～412h。2002年度主要气候事件以春旱、暴雨洪涝、热带气旋、寒露风较为突出,年度内气候条件对各行业的影响有利有弊。  相似文献   

2002年南宁不同下垫面温度及紫外线辐射强度评价     

李雄  梁丽妮 《气象研究与应用》2003,24(2):31-32

对南宁2002年沥青、水泥等不同下垫面温度观测资料和紫外线辐射强度观测资料进行分析,结果表明:沥青、水泥日最高温度均比同期气温明显偏高;南宁属紫外线高辐射地区。  相似文献   

南京市农业资源开发效益的评估   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

李湘阁  闵庆文 《南京气象学院学报》1997,20(2):231-236

根据南京市农业资源开发的有关资料，参照已有的研究成果，拟定了农业资源开发效益评估的指标体系，确定其仅重分配，分别对农业资源开发后的经济效益，生态效益，社会效益及综合效益进行了评估。所得结果，为南京市农业资源的进一步开发利用提供了依据。  相似文献   

国家气象中心降水数值预报信息效益评估     

陈德群  朱双 《南京气象学院学报》1997,20(4):529-533

以列联表形式计算熵函数，由熵函数值对国家气象中心发布的１９９６年汛期６月２２日－８月７日５次暴雨过程降水数值预报进行评估，得到５种数值预报产品给江苏省各区域的雨量预报提供了０．１８２４ｂｉｔ－０．２９１４ｂｉｔ信息等结论。  相似文献   

Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China     

Zhuoheng Chen  Richard Sinding-Larsen  Xinhua Ma 《Natural Resources Research》1997,6(4):317-328

Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools) to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result.  相似文献   

全国地质灾害趋势预测及预测图编制   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

殷跃平  张颖  康宏达  费宇明 《第四纪研究》1996,16(2):123-130

区域地质灾害预测是地质灾害研究的难题。本文运用基于地理信息系统的风险评价方法对这一问题进行了探讨。将全国剖分为２７００个单元，对地质灾害进行现状评价，并与已数字化的地质灾害图件进行单要素叠加，编制了全国地质现状等值线图，在现状评价基础上，对地质灾害进行趋势预测，将降雨条件、区域地震活动、区域地壳稳定程度、区域岩组条件和人类工程活动等作为区域地质灾害演变的因素，运用模糊综合评判模型进行综合评判，编制了１：６００万中国地质灾害趋势预测图。  相似文献   

区域地质灾害趋势预测理论与方法   总被引：12，自引：0，他引：12  

殷跃平  李媛 《工程地质学报》1996,4(4):75-79

区域地质灾害趋势预测对于国家土地资源的合理开发利用和制定减灾防治对策具有重要意义。本文总结了区域地质灾害三个层次评估的理论与方法, 即基于自然属性的地质灾害研究、基于风险分析的地质灾害研究和基于信息-决策支持系统的地质灾害研究。作者认为, 运用GIS技术, 将这三层次的评价方法结合起来, 是进行区域地质灾害趋势预测的有效途径。本文最后介绍了1∶600万全国地质灾害趋势预测图编制的思路与成果。  相似文献