海底油气集输管网可靠性评估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘震  潘斌 《海洋工程》2003,21(4):104-109114

对海底油气集输管网进行了可靠性评估，提出了一种适用于树状海底油气集输管网可靠性评价的方法，将流可靠度和单元重要度的概念引入到海底油气集输管网可靠性的分析中，该方法能够有效地评价海底油气集输管网的可靠性。  相似文献   

可靠性约束下的海底油气集输管网系统优化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘震  潘斌 《海洋工程》2003,21(2):26-31

在管网系统满足一定可靠度的基础上，以费用最小为优化目标，对系统进行了优化，求出了满足一定可靠度指标的费用最小的管网布置方案。对树状网络可靠性进行了评估，提出了一个0-l规划模型，并运用图论和网络理论将管网系统的优化问题转变为求可靠度至少为α的网络固的最小生成树问题。  相似文献   

On the estimation of mooring line characteristic resistance for reliability analysis     

Roberto Montes-Iturrizaga  Ernesto Heredia-Zavoni  Francisco Silva-Gonzlez 《Applied Ocean Research》2007,29(4):239-241

The main aim of this work is to derive a correct formulation for the characteristic resistance of a mooring line segment with lognormally distributed component resistances and substitute an equation proposed by Vazquez-Hernandez et al. [Vazquez-Hernandez AO, Ellwanger GB, Sagrilo LVS. Reliability-based comparative study for mooring lines design criteria. Appl Ocean Res 2006; 28(6):398–406] in a paper published in this journal, which is not correct. The mooring line is considered as a series system and the resistances of individual components of a line segment are statistically independent and identically distributed; furthermore, the case of normally distributed component resistances is also discussed. A comparison with the corresponding equation proposed by DNV-OS-E301 is given. Results show that the formula proposed by Vazquez-Hernandez et al. [Vazquez-Hernandez AO, Ellwanger GB, Sagrilo LVS. Reliability-based comparative study for mooring lines design criteria. Appl Ocean Res 2006; 28(6):398–406] overestimates quite significantly the characteristic resistance of a mooring line segment.  相似文献   

Accuracy and precision of fish-count data from a "dual-frequency identification sonar" (DIDSON) imaging system     

Holmes  John A.; Cronkite  George M.W.; Enzenhofer  Hermann J.; Mulligan  Timothy J. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2006,63(3):543-555

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Reliability-based comparative study for mooring lines design criteria     

Alberto Omar Vazquez-Hernandez  Gilberto Bruno Ellwanger  Luís Volnei Sudati Sagrilo   《Applied Ocean Research》2006,28(6):398-406

The characteristic environmental load effect for the design of mooring systems of floating units can be defined by means of three procedures: (a) the one associated to an extreme sea state with a given return period, (b) the worst one from a set of sea states on a contour line associated to a return period or (c) the extreme one based on response statistics for a long-term period. This work presents the result of a reliability-based partial safety factor calibration study for a LRFD mooring line design criteria considering the three approaches mentioned above. The calibration exercise is applied to three FPSOs considering North Sea environmental conditions and different water depths: 200, 800 and 3000 m. The mooring systems investigated take into account mooring lines made up of chains and polyester ropes. It is shown that, among all cases investigated, the design procedure based on the long-term response is the one that presents less scattered reliability indices around the target level.  相似文献   

A methodology for assessing the reliability of taut and slack mooring systems against instability     

A.A. Shah  A. Umar  N.A. Siddiqui   《Ocean Engineering》2005,32(10):1216-1234

In the present study, a methodology for reliability assessment of slack and taut mooring systems against instability has been presented. For this purpose, first, stability analysis of slack and taut mooring systems has been carried out and instable regions are obtained using procedure available in the literature. Having known the instable region(s), methodology for reliability assessment has been proposed which is based on Monte Carlo Simulation technique. After using the proposed methodology, probabilities of failure and reliability indices has been obtained for the above systems. Some parametric studies, such as, effect of lower and upper limits of instability and effect of frequency range of generations are also included to obtain the results of practical interest.  相似文献   

Risk Assessment for Tuzla Naval Base Breakwater   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Can Elmar BALAS 《中国海洋工程》2003,17(3)

1 .IntroductionTurkeywasstruckbytwomajorearthquakeeventsonAugust 1 7thandNovember 1 2th ,1 999,namedIzmit (Mw=7.4 )andD櫣ｚｃｅ (Mw=7.2 )earthquakes,respectively .ThestationsoperatedbytheGeneralDirectorateofDisasterAffairs,theKandilliObservatoryandEarthquakeResearchInstituteofIstanbulTechnicalUniversitymeasuredatleast 2 7stronggroundmotionsfortheIzmitearthquakewithin 2 0 0kmofthefault.AsignificantsegmentofthefaultrupturedintheareabetweenthewestofGolcukandtheeastofLakeSapanca .Inthesou…  相似文献   

双船中层拖网网位控制的静力学解析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

万荣  朱文斌  何鑫  崔勇  刘莉莉 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2007,37(1):61-64,6

中层拖网是开发利用中上层鱼类资源的重要工具之一,能否有效实施对拖网作业水层的控制,是实现瞄准捕捞和提高捕捞生产效率的关键。本文提出了1种基于有限元原理的拖网曳纲形状与张力的理论计算方法,以期依据中层拖网拖曳过程中不同拖速、曳纲长度和重锤配备条件下曳纲响应的计算机模拟结果,预测拖网可能的作业水层,以实现中层拖网网位控制,为中层拖网曳纲设计和网位调整提供理论依据。  相似文献   

边坡整体稳定的可靠性分析方法   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

韩玉芳  刘德辅  董胜 《海岸工程》2001,20(4):7-14

边坡整体滑动稳定性的可靠性分析是建立在土体具有的抗力大于荷载效应的概率基础上进行设计和校验的。在条分法的基础上推导出了进行边坡稳定可靠性分析的统一极限状态方程 ,将土的容重γ、内摩擦角φ、粘聚力 c作为随机变量 ,当其为非正态分布时 ,进行当量正态化 ,考虑变量相关的情况 ,用简化相关法对随机变量进行统计分析 ,并以 Bishop圆弧滑动法为例 ,用 JC法求解边坡的可靠性指标及失效概率 ,给出计算安全系数和可靠性指标的算法程序。并就影响可靠性指标的因素如抗剪强度指标、变量分布形式、土性参数的变异性等进行了讨论。  相似文献   

Effect of Multipoint Heterogeneity on Nonlinear Transformations for Geological Modeling： Porosity-Permeability Relations Revisited     

J A Vargas-Guzmán 《中国地质大学学报(英文版)》2008,19(1):85-92

An analysis of statistical expected values for transformations is performed in this study to quantify the effect of heterogeneity on spatial geological modeling and evaluations. Algebraic transformations are frequently applied to data from logging to allow for the modeling of geological properties. Transformations may be powers, products, and exponential operations which are commonly used in well-known relations (e.g., porosity-permeability transforms). The results of this study show that correct computations must account for residual transformation terms which arise due to lack of independence among heterogeneous geological properties. In the case of an exponential porosity-permeability transform, the values may be positive. This proves that a simple exponential model back-transformed from linear regression underestimates permeability. In the case of transformations involving two or more properties, residual terms may represent the contribution of heterogeneous components which occur when properties vary together, regardless of a pair-wise linear independence. A consequence of power- and product-transform models is that regression equationswithin those transformations need corrections via residual cumulants. A generalization of this result isthat transformations of multivariate spatial attributes require multiple-point random variable relations. This analysis provides practical solutions leading to a methodology for nonlinear modeling using correct back transformations in geology.  相似文献