The relative influence of climate and housing development on current and projected future fire patterns and structure loss across three California landscapes     

《Global Environmental Change》2019

Climate and land use patterns are expected to change dramatically in the coming century, raising concern about their effects on wildfire patterns and subsequent impacts to human communities. The relative influence of climate versus land use on fires and their impacts, however, remains unclear, particularly given the substantial geographical variability in fire-prone places like California. We developed a modeling framework to compare the importance of climatic and human variables for explaining fire patterns and structure loss for three diverse California landscapes, then projected future large fire and structure loss probability under two different climate (hot-dry or warm-wet) and two different land use (rural or urban residential growth) scenarios. The relative importance of climate and housing pattern varied across regions and according to fire size or whether the model was for large fires or structure loss. The differing strengths of these relationships, in addition to differences in the nature and magnitude of projected climate or land use change, dictated the extent to which large fires or structure loss were projected to change in the future. Despite this variability, housing and human infrastructure were consistently more responsible for explaining fire ignitions and structure loss probability, whereas climate, topography, and fuel variables were more important for explaining large fire patterns. For all study areas, most structure loss occurred in areas with low housing density (from 0.08 to 2.01 units/ha), and expansion of rural residential land use increased structure loss probability in the future. Regardless of future climate scenario, large fire probability was only projected to increase in the northern and interior parts of the state, whereas climate change had no projected impact on fire probability in southern California. Given the variation in fire-climate relationships and land use effects, policy and management decision-making should be customized for specific geographical regions.  相似文献   

Structural, electronic and optical properties of orthorhombic distorted perovskite TbMnO₃     

蔡鲁刚  刘发民  钟文武 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(9)

This paper calculates the structural parameters, electronic and optical properties of orthorhombic distorted perovskite-type TbMnO₃ by first principles using density functional theory within the generalised gradient approximation. The calculated equilibrium lattice constants are in a reasonable agreement with theoretical and experimental data. The energy band structure, density of states and partial density of states of elements are obtained. Band structures show that TbMnO₃ is an indirect band gap between the O 2p states and Mn 3d states, and the band gap is of 0.48 eV agreeing with experimental result. Furthermore, the optical properties, including the dielectric function, absorption coefficient, optical reflectivity, refractive index and energy loss spectrum are calculated and analysed, showing that the TbMnO₃ is a promising dielectric material.  相似文献   

行星际等离子区对火星探测器距离观测量的影响          下载免费PDF全文

李杰  胡松杰 《海洋测绘》2010,30(2):32-34

根据Muhleman和Anderson在1981年给出的行星际空间等离子体密度模型,模拟计算了行星际等离子区对8GHz电波的距离延迟与太阳-地球-航天器夹角(SEP)和光路径长度(L)的关系。结果显示,在本文的模拟条件下,距离延迟随SEP和L从几毫米变化到几十米。最后,分别仿真了一条地火转移轨道和环火星轨道,计算了两种情况下行星际等离子区延迟对测站到航天器距离观测量的影响。  相似文献   

Structural, curvature and electronic properties of Rh adsorption on armchair single-walled carbon nanotube     

杨培芳  吴锋民  滕波涛  刘莎  蒋健中 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(9)

This paper systematically studies the rolling effects of the (n, n) single-wall carbon nanotubes (SWCNT) with different curvatures on Rh adsorption behaviours by using density functional theory. The outside charge densities of SWCNTs are found to be higher than those inside, and the differences decrease with the increase of the tube radius. This electronic property led to the discovery that the outside adsorption energies are higher than the inside ones, and that the differences are reduced with the increase of the tube radius. Partial density of states and charge density difference indicate that these strong interactions induce electron transfer between Rh atoms and SWCNTs.  相似文献   

岩浆密度及其重要意义     

侯增谦 《岩石矿物学杂志》1990,9(4):309-319

本文通过计算不同构造环境的原生玄武岩岩浆密度,首次提出了两种原生玄武岩浆密度类型:岛弧玄武岩浆(AB)密度类型(Ⅰ);WB MORB岩浆密度类型(Ⅱ)。指出Ⅰ型岩浆密度受控于岩浆起源的fO2和fH2O条件;Ⅱ型岩浆密度则与岩浆起源压力有关。原生岩浆密度可作为判定岩浆产出的地球动力学背景的重要标志之一。考察岩浆密度与压力的关系,指出原生玄武岩浆密度在一定程度上控制了岩浆房的发育部位(深度),制约了岩浆结晶的温压条件,并对岩浆侵位与喷发产生重要影响。在岛弧地区,岩浆密度与地壳厚度变化严格地控制着岛弧岩石系列(Tb-CA-Sh)的时空演变,决定了岩浆的演化途径和结晶条件。利用岩浆密度资料,反演并建立了义敦岛弧区的地壳双层结构模式。  相似文献   

河岸带蜿蜒性与植被密度对潜流驻留时间的复合效应   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

夏继红  窦传彬  蔡旺炜  曾灼  余根听 《水科学进展》1990,31(3):433-440

潜流驻留时间是反映潜流交换、溶质迁移转化、生物组成、生态过程的重要特征变量。应用双循环可控式河岸带模型，以NaCl为示踪剂，深入研究了河岸带蜿蜒性与植被密度对潜流驻留时间的复合效应；应用量纲分析和主成分分析法，探析了潜流驻留时间的关键影响因子及其作用程度和敏感性。结果表明：①河岸带植被密度对潜流驻留时间具有促进作用，但存在一定的阈值。②潜流驻留时间分布与河岸蜿蜒形态呈类镜像效应；潜流驻留时间在河岸带蜿蜒波不同位置差异明显，迎水面平均驻留时间约为背水面的1/2。③河岸带蜿蜒性与植被密度是影响潜流驻留时间的关键因子，总作用程度达91.07%。潜流驻留时间对蜿蜒性最敏感，对植被密度敏感性较弱，对复合因子的敏感性介于两者之间；迎水面内组合因子对潜流驻留时间具有共同促进效应，背水面内组合因子对潜流驻留时间具有抑制和促进双重效应。  相似文献   

Estimating the crush zone size under a cutting tool in coal     

R. K. Zipf Jr.  Z. T. Bieniawski 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》1988,6(4):279-295

Summary As part of an effort to understand the mechanics of fine fragment formation in coal, which is important in studies of respirable dust due to mining, fracture toughness measurements and the strain energy density (SED) theory were applied to calculate the crush zone size under a cutting tool in coal. This zone is the major source of fine fragments in the 1 to 10 µm size range. The model used in these calculations is a boundary element program containing a failure criterion based on the SED theory. The boundary element program calculates linear elastic stresses at numerous points in the coal material ahead of a cutting bit. These stresses are then input to a subroutine called critical flaw length and orientation (CFLO) which uses the SED theory to determine the CFLO for a small crack at the boundary element stress computation point. The extent of crushing is based on earlier postulates about the role of inherent flaws in a fragmentation process. To form 1 to 10 µm fragments requires firstly a local stress strong enough to activate flaws with a characteristic length less than 1 to 10 µm and secondly, a flaw density sufficient to provide an average spacing between flaws also on the order of 1 to 10 µm. The locus of active 10 µm flaws represents the maximum possible extent of fine fragmentation in the 10 µm or less size range assuming that a sufficient inherent flaw density exists. The approach offers a first order approximation to the extent of crushing under a tool tip. The size and shape of the crush zone volume is affected by the attack angle and geometry of the tool.  相似文献   

The Fourier Integral Method: An efficient spectral method for simulation of random fields   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

E. Pardo-Igúzquiza  M. Chica-Olmo 《Mathematical Geology》1993,25(2):177-217

The Fourier Integral Method (FIM) of spectral simulation, adapted to generate realizations of a random function in one, two, or three dimensions, is shown to be an efficient technique of non-conditional geostatistical simulation. The main contribution is the use of the fast Fourier transform for both numerical calculus of the density spectral function and as generator of random finite multidimensional sequences with imposed covariance. Results obtained with the FIM are compared with those obtained by other classic methods: Shinozuka and Jan Method in 1D and Turning Bands Method in 2D and 3D, the points for and against different methodologies are discussed. Moreover, with the FIM the simulation of nested structures, one of which can be a nugget effect and the simulation of both zonal and geometric anisotropy is straightforward. All steps taken to implement the FIM methodology are discussed.  相似文献   

中国水质站网规划中几个问题的探讨          下载免费PDF全文

赵海瑞  秦福兴 《水科学进展》1993,4(1):63-68

在完成中国水质站网规划工作的基础上,对下列问题作了进一步探讨:(1)水质站网规划单元的划分;(2)聚类分析在水质站网规划中的应用;(3)站网密度与人口和经济发展的关系;(4)中国水质站网的分区特征。  相似文献   

Finite-amplitude plane waves in deformed Hadamard elastic materials     

Ph. Boulanger    M. Hayes  C. Trimarco 《Geophysical Journal International》1994,118(2):447-458

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