1998年我国东部大陆夏季风特征研究   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

徐国强  朱乾根 《气象》2002,28(3):8-13

利用NCEP／NCAR再分析资料和OLR资料，研究了1998年我国东部大陆夏季风的特征。结果指出，1998年夏季副高脊线的平均位置偏南，华南地区和长江流域的夏季风较强，强对流维持时间长；华北地区的夏季风较弱，对流比常年偏弱；我国东部大陆夏季风存在明显的低频振荡现象。  相似文献   

长江口九段沙下段冲淤演变水动力机制分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

徐福敏  严以新  茅丽华 《水科学进展》2002,13(2):166-171

概述了长江口深水航道整治一期工程及工程对九段沙下段地形冲淤的影响.根据已建立的σ坐标系下三维非线性水流数学模型,用新测水文资料对模型进行验证.利用所建立的模型,结合由现场测量得到一期工程前后九段沙下段近期地形演变,数值模拟了北槽区域流通量、底层欧拉余流和北槽中下段平面水流特征,以综合分析北槽水域水动力变化对九段沙下段地形冲淤变化的影响.  相似文献   

基于前传式网络逼近的太平洋副热带高压活动的诊断预测   总被引：13，自引：1，他引：13  

张韧 《大气科学》2001,25(5):650-660

基于前传式神经网络BP算法(BackpropagationNeuralNetwork)和回归模型,探讨了西太平洋副高面积指数同赤道东太平洋海温及赤道纬向风之间非线性分类和映射逼近的建模方法和效果比较.结果表明,前传式网络,特别是回归网络预报模型具有较好拟合精度和预报效果及比较实用的预报时效.  相似文献   

河南省汛期气候预测概念模型     

张善强  顾万龙等 《河南气象》2001,(4):7-8

在河南省6种雨型的基础上，分析了物理要素海温、季风、西太平洋副高及气候因子和河南省汛期降水的关系，给出了河南省汛期降水的气候预测概念模型。通过逻辑推理，可以具体预测雨型。  相似文献   

长江口及其邻近海域粘性泥沙的数量与输移   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

林承坤 《地理学报》1992,47(2):108-112

长江口的粘性泥沙有89.6%以上来源于长江补给区,一部分来源于废黄河与黄海补给区。长江补给区的粘性泥沙的汇入百分数及其输沙量两者均为已知,据此计算出长江口粘性泥沙沉积量为4.554×10~7t/a,从长江口输向杭州湾与东海补给区的粘性泥沙输沙量为2.247×10~7t/a,废黄河与黄海补给区输向长江口的输沙量为2.730×10~7t/a。长江口粘性泥沙的数量同1915年与1963年实测地形图比较量算的数量为4.469X10~7t/a基本相符。  相似文献   

Geochemistry of arsenic in the Huanghe (Yellow River) and its delta region — A review of available data     

Jing Zhang 《Aquatic Geochemistry》1995,1(3):241-275

Water and suspended sediment samples from the Huanghe and its delta region were analyzed to determine arsenic concentrations. Comparison with the data of previous studies and other world pristine and less disturbed rivers reveals high levels of both dissolved and particulate As in this high turbidity river. Relatively stable distribution along the river course and in delta sediment cores shows that antrhopogenic activities have not altered As concentrations by any significant magnitude since the 1940s. Therefore, high levels of As in the Huanghe should be controlled by natural weathering and lithology. In the estuary, biological removal/regeneration and abiotic events (e.g. remobilization) have been identified to cause the active (non-conservative) As distributions. With the limited data set of the present study, the abiotic and biological contributions cannot be assessed accurately, however.  相似文献   

NON-LINEAR CRITICAL LAYER IN EL NINO AND LA NINA YEARS AND FORMATION, MAINTENTENANCE AND OSCILLATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH     

陶丽  陆维松 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1999,5(2):113-122

Monthly mean zonal wind data from the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasting(ECMWF)for December 1982, April 1983, October 1984 and ApriI 1985 are used in numerical integration as thebasic flow in a non-linear critical-layer model. The subtropical high is extensive and limited in number if simulated with the basic now in December 1982 and April 1983. It consists of 2 to 3 cells that move westward at alloscillatory periods of 1～2 months. The subtropical high, simulated with the basic flow in October 1984 and April1 985. is weak and small in coverage, or distributed in strips that contain up to 4 cells. The high. merged or spillover a short time. is moving westward. The years 1982 ～1983 are a process of EI Niño while the years 1984-1985one of La Niña. lt is known from the chart of energy flux that it oscillates by a much larger amplitude and longerperiod in the EI Niño year than in the La Niña year. All the results above have indicated that the basic flow in the EI Niño year is enhancing the subtropical high lagging by about 4 months and that in the La Niña year is decay'ing it. It is consiStent with the well-known observational fact that the SSTA in the equatorial eastern Pacitlc ispositively correlated with the extent and intensity of the subtropical high in west Pacific lagging by 1～2 seasons.The result is also important for further study of the formation, maintenance and oscillation of the subtropicalhigh.  相似文献   

江淮梅雨与东亚副热带夏季风进程变异的关系     

唐玉  李栋梁 《气象科学》2020,40(2):169-179

根据中国气象局《梅雨监测业务规定》中的入、出梅标准,结合1960—2016年全国661个常规气象站逐日气象资料,以及NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料,分析了江淮梅雨和东亚副热带夏季风进程变异的时空特征,提取季风关键区(32°~34°N,112°~120°E,包含17个站点),并分析了江淮梅雨和季风关键区的联系与成因。结果表明:1960—2016年平均梅雨期为6月8日—7月15日,平均梅雨量为303 mm。比东亚平均梅雨季的开始时间早9 d,比其结束时间晚7 d。梅雨量在近57 a中也呈波动式变化,但整体为上升趋势。入梅越早,出梅越晚,则梅雨期越长,梅雨量越多。副热带夏季风推进到关键区的平均时间为5月19日,其在1970s末和1990s末分别发生了由偏晚向偏早和由偏早向偏晚的突变。夏季风到达关键区偏早时,出梅日偏晚,梅雨量偏多,季风到达偏晚时,出梅日偏早,梅雨量偏少。副热带夏季风推进时间和江淮梅雨量呈全区一致的负相关,负相关区位于湖南、湖北及江西三省临近的两湖地区。东亚副热带夏季风到达关键区时间偏早(晚)年,500 hPa高度场上乌拉尔山—鄂霍茨克海为正(负)距平,阻塞高压增强(减弱);日本海附近为负(正)距平,东亚大槽加深(西退北缩),加强(削弱)了槽后冷空气向南输送且不(有)利于中低纬度副热带高压的北跳,西太平洋副热带高压中心强度增强(减弱),位置偏西(东),其西北侧的西南暖湿气流输送加强(减弱),江淮地区有水汽的辐合(辐散),有(不)利于梅雨量偏多。  相似文献   

江淮梅雨对东亚副热带夏季风进程及海温异常的响应     

陈兵  蒋元春  李栋梁  唐玉 《气象科学》2020,40(5):669-678

利用1960—2020年江淮地区75个气象站逐日降水量、气温、相对湿度资料以及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和Hadley中心海表温度资料，研究了东亚副热带夏季风进程变异对江淮梅雨的影响，揭示了不同类型梅雨期太平洋海温及大气环流异常特征。结果表明：8种江淮梅雨类型中，多雨型占45.9%，少雨型占54.1%，其中多雨型在前30 a占36.7%，后31 a占63.3%。江淮典型梅雨年（高温高湿多雨）的主要特征为安徽南部、江苏中部及湖北东部地区降水偏多，安徽南部、江西东北部及浙江西北部气温偏高，淮河流域湿度大；而在非典型梅雨年（低温低湿少雨）大部分地区雨量偏少，气温呈"东高西低"分布，低温中心区位于淮河中游，湿度呈"西大东小"分布。欧亚大陆中高纬度阻塞高压增强，脊前向南输送的西北气流加强且路径偏东，中国东北冷涡强度较强且位置偏西南，东亚大槽加深，槽后冷空气向南输送，有利于典型梅雨形成。当前期冬春季赤道东太平洋海温异常偏高，西太平洋海温异常偏低时，西太平洋副热带高压强度偏强、面积偏大、脊线位置偏南、西伸脊点偏西，东亚副热带夏季风推进到江淮地区的时间偏早，出梅偏晚，梅雨期降水量偏多。  相似文献   

CLIMATIC ANALYSIS OF IMPACTS OF THE TROPICAL CONVECTION IN WESTERN PACIFIC ON WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH’S SHORT-TERM SCALES DURING BOREAL SUMMER^*          下载免费PDF全文

WU Qiuxi  NI Yunqi 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2003,17(3):307-320

Based on the multi-year average NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and NOAA's OLR data,the climatic characteristics of the tropical convection in tropical western Pacific and Indian Oceans as well as its relationship with western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is shown as follows:on short-term scales,the tropical convection that has significant influence on western Pacific high's latitudinal movement is located in the area of the South China Sea to the Philippines,which is the 2-day precursor prior to WPSH's latitudinal fluctuation,that is,WPSH is shifting to north 2 days after the tropical convection becomes more active,and vice versa.Moreover,the tropical convection has less effect on WPSH's longitudinal movement.  相似文献