SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF DEBRIS FLOW USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK     

WANGXie-kang HUANGEr CUIPeng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(3):262-266

Debris flow is one of the most destructive phenomena of natural hazards. Recently, major natural haz-ard, claiming human lives and assets, is due to debris flow in the world. Several practical methods for forecasting de-bris flow have been proposed, however, the accuracy of these methods is not high enough for practical use because of the stochastic and non-linear characteristics of debris flow. Artificial neural network has proven to be feasible and use-fill in developing models for nonlinear systems. On the other hand, predicting the future behavior based on a time se-ries of collected historical data is also an important tool in many scientific applications. In this study we present a three-layer feed-forward neural network model to forecast surge of debris flow according to the time series data collect-ed in the Jiangjia Ravine, situated in north part of Yunnan Province of China. The simulation and prediction of debris flow using the proposed approach shows this model is feasible, however, further studies are needed.  相似文献   

Synthetic SH seismograms in a laterally varying medium by the discrete wavenumber method   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Michel Campillo  Michel Bouchon 《Geophysical Journal International》1985,83(1):307-317

Summary. We present a new method to calculate the SH wavefield produced by a seismic source in a half-space with an irregular buried interface. The diffracting interface is represented by a distribution of body forces. The Green's functions needed to solve the boundary conditions are evaluated using the discrete wavenumber method. Our approach relies on the introduction of a periodicity in the source-medium configuration and on the discretization of the interface at regular spacing. The technique developed is applicable to boundaries of arbitrary shapes and is valid at all frequencies. Some examples of calculation in simple configurations are presented showing the capabilities of the method.  相似文献   

中国大陆科学钻探先导孔零偏VSP资料解释   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

姜修道  朱光明  朱龙生  张文波  李桂花 《地球科学与环境学报》2004,26(1):55-60

用六级三分量检波器在中国大陆科学钻探先导孔中实施了零偏VSP测量.数据处理结果表明,中国大陆科学钻探孔区超高压变质岩石的地震波速度主要介于4500～7000m/s之间,显著高于一般的沉积岩地区,而且随深度变化不明显.声波测井速度系统地稍低于VSP层速度,可能是由于井壁处岩石的完整性受到破坏而造成的.地震波速度与岩石密度和岩性存在明确的对应关系,榴辉岩的密度和地震波速度均显著高于片麻岩类岩石;由榴辉岩退变生成的斜长角闪岩类岩石,其密度和地震波速度均呈现出较大的变化,主要与其退变质程度有关;超基性岩中的裂隙系统导致其密度和地震波速度大幅度下降.由于榴辉岩与其他岩石类型之间存在较大的波阻抗差异,因此用零偏VSP资料标定该区地震波的地质层位是有效的.关于地震波反射的原因,通过综合研究地震波(包括反射纵波、上行转换横波、井筒波)的特征、岩石速度和密度分布以及井径变化,认为主要是岩性分界面、韧性剪切带和断裂(带),但还有一些因素尚待进一步研究.  相似文献   

Generalized strain probing of constitutive models     

Youssef M. A. Hashash  Qingwei Fu  Jeremy Butkovich 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2004,28(15):1503-1519

Advanced material constitutive models are used to describe complex soil behaviour. These models are often used in the solution of boundary value problems under general loading conditions. Users and developers of constitutive models need to methodically investigate the represented soil response under a wide range of loading conditions. This paper presents a systematic procedure for probing constitutive models. A general incremental strain probe, 6D hyperspherical strain probe (HSP), is introduced to examine rate‐independent model response under all possible strain loading conditions. Two special cases of HSP, the true triaxial strain probe (TTSP) and the plane‐strain strain probe (PSSP), are used to generate 3‐D objects that represent model stress response to probing. The TTSP, PSSP and general HSP procedures are demonstrated using elasto‐plastic models. The objects resulting from the probing procedure readily highlight important model characteristics including anisotropy, yielding, hardening, softening and failure. The PSSP procedure is applied to a Neural Network (NN) based constitutive model. It shows that this probing is especially useful in understanding NN constitutive models, which do not contain explicit functions for yield surface, hardening, or anisotropy. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

关于网络用户经济效益评测模型的研究     

岳正华  李黎 《成都信息工程学院学报》2001,16(2):141-144

着重讨论了网络用户经济效益的内涵以及用户的投入量和产出量，并提出了评价网络用户经济效益的指标体系，包括成本降低率，成本利润增长率、产品开发时间约率、市场占有增长率等系列指标。  相似文献   

Viscosity of the upper mantle from laboratory creep and anelasticity measurements in peridotite at high pressure and temperature     

Hiroki Sato 《Geophysical Journal International》1991,105(3):587-599

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卫星激光测距的新进展   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

张忠萍  杨福民 《天文学进展》2001,19(2):283-288

扼要综述了近几年国际上卫星激光测距的进展，介绍了国内激光测距网的现状，展望了未来卫星激光测距的发展。  相似文献   

VPN技术在浙江省气象网络中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

吴孟春  马奇蔚  周必高  周捷  周翔 《成都信息工程学院学报》2006,21(4):551-554

随着浙江省气象业务的不断发展，网络数据交换日益增多，同时更多基于网络的气象业务的增加，如网络视频会商、自动站数据传输等，使目前浙江省气象系统专线网络运行已达到极限，所以需要建立VPN网以对现有的网络作链路上的备份，而VPN的建立同时还可以实现移动办公，领导能在远程调用内网的资料进行远程决策服务和汇报工作。主要介绍VPN技术并叙述VPN技术在浙江省气象系统网络中的具体应用。  相似文献   

Prediction of lateral variability in fracture intensity using multicomponent shear-wave surface seismic as a precursor to horizontal drilling in the Austin Chalk   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Michael C. Mueller 《Geophysical Journal International》1991,107(3):409-415

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水下滑翔器主体外形优化设计   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王兵振  朱光文  杜敏  任炜  李永奇 《海洋技术学报》2008,27(3)

对水下滑翔器主体外形的优化设计问题进行研究.首先,在考虑内部机械结构限制的条件下,建立了主体外形优化数学模型,并采用CFX计算了若干主体形状的绕流阻力.在此基础上建立了映射主体外形的尺寸参数与绕流阻力的BP神经网络.然后将建立的神经网络作为优化设计问题的目标函数,采用坐标轮换法对滑翔器主体外形进行了优化设计,确定了尺寸参数的最优解.  相似文献