Comparison of AVHRR measurements of sea surface temperature with surface observations around New Zealand     

Stephen Chiswell  Basil Stanton 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2013,47(3-4):303-309

Multi‐channel Advanced Very‐High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) images of sea surface temperature (SST) in the New Zealand region have been archived since 1989. A comparison of these data with conductivity‐temperature‐depth (CTD) and expendable bathythermograph (XBT) data shows that the AVHRR temperatures are about 7% too high (when expressed in °C). Once the AVHRR temperatures have been corrected, they measure SST with an uncertainty of about 0.7°C.  相似文献   

Age verification,growth and life history of rubyfish Plagiogeneion rubiginosum     

PL Horn  HL Neil  LJ Paul  PJ McMillan 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2013,47(3):353-368

Age verification of rubyfish (Plagiogeneion rubiginosum) was sought using the bomb radiocarbon chronometer procedure. Stable isotopes were investigated for life history characteristics. Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) and stable isotope (δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C) levels were measured in micro-samples from five otoliths that had been aged using a zone count method. All the core ¹⁴C measurements were ‘pre-bomb’ indicating ages of at least 45 years, and the ¹⁴C measurements across the otolith sections suggested that the zone-count ageing method described herein is not biased. Maximum estimated age was 100 years. There was no significant between-sex difference in the von Bertalanffy growth curves. The δ¹⁸O values indicated that rubyfish are near-surface as juveniles, and move deeper with age. Adults appear to reside in 600–1000 m; this is deeper than most trawl-capture data suggest, but not implausible, and has stock assessment implications. The δ¹³C values reflect fish metabolic rates, trophic feeding levels and oceanographic conditions. The stable isotopes record the environmental life history of each fish, and have value in distinguishing stocks and/or indicating vertical and latitudinal migratory patterns.  相似文献   

NOAA RFE 2.0在西藏高原的验证   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

除多  罗布坚参  普布顿珠 《热带气象学报》2013,29(4):581-589

随着卫星探测技术的不断提高和资料处理方法的不断改进,出现了许多卫星遥感降水估算产品。每种产品都有优点及不足,且卫星间接式降水估算方法的精度也有限,但对地形复杂常规气象站台站稀少且分布极不均匀的大面积地区如西藏高原来说,卫星遥感不失为估算区域降水的有效方法之一。鉴于卫星遥感降水估算精度的局限性,每种产品需要利用地面观测数据来定量化降水估算误差,分析和评价这些资料的可用性。利用NOAA气候预测中心(CPC)研发的RFE 2.0降水估算产品,从西藏高原东南部到西北部不同气候区选取11个典型气象站2005—2006年6—9月的日降水量观测资料,验证了RFE 2.0降水估算产品在西藏高原的应用效果。结果表明,西藏高原的主要气候区RFE 2.0估算值与地面观测值之间的相关系数在0.45～0.86,平均为0.74;RFE 2.0估算的正确率POD (Probability Of Detection)一般大于73%,而空报率FAR(False Alarm Rate)为2%～12%;仅在喜马拉雅南麓地区估算精度相对较差。   相似文献   

基于AMSR-E的北疆地区积雪深度反演   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

卢新玉  王秀琴  崔彩霞  谢国辉 《冰川冻土》2013,35(1):40-47

利用北疆地区2007/2008-2009/2010年度积雪季(12月至次年2月)的AMSR-E降轨19 GHz与37 GHz波段的水平极化亮温数据, 结合北疆地区45个气象台站的实测雪深数据, 建立了北疆地区基于AMSR-E亮度温度数据的雪深反演模型, 并对模型的精度进行评价. 结果显示: 雪深在3~10 cm时, 模型反演的雪深值负向平均误差为-5.1 cm, RMSE值为6.1 cm; 雪深在11~30 cm时, 模型反演雪深值的平均误差仅为2.6 cm, RMSE、 正向平均误差、 绝对平均误差均较小; 雪深大于30 cm时, 模型反演的各项误差较大. 用合成方法反演北疆地区2006/2007-2010/2011年度5个积雪季的平均雪深分布和最大雪深分布, 结果显示北疆地区积雪主要分布于北部阿尔泰山和南部天山一带, 其中阿勒泰地区所占比重最大, 中部的准噶尔盆地腹地、 克拉玛依地区雪层较浅.  相似文献   

Improved estimators of correlation and R2 for skewed hydrologic data     

《水文科学杂志》2012,57(1):87-101

ABSTRACT

The coefficient of determination R² and Pearson correlation coefficient ρ = R are standard metrics in hydrology for the evaluation of the goodness of fit between model simulations and observations, and as measures of the degree of dependence of one variable upon another. We show that the standard product moment estimator of ρ, termed r, while well-behaved for bivariate normal data, is upward biased and highly variable for bivariate non-normal data. We introduce three alternative estimators of ρ which are nearly unbiased and exhibit much less variability than r for non-normal data. We also document remarkable upward bias and tremendous increases in variability associated with r using both synthetic data and daily streamflow simulations from 905 calibrated rainfall–runoff models. We show that estimators of ρ = R accounting for skewness are needed for daily streamflow series because they exhibit high variability and skewness compared to, for example, monthly/annual series, where r should perform well.  相似文献   

概率神经网络技术在煤田地震反演中的应用研究     

李娟娟  崔若飞  潘冬明  胡明顺  张应华 《地球物理学进展》2012,27(2):715-721

实现从构造勘探向岩性勘探阶段的转变,是煤田地震勘探亟待解决的重要问题。其中,地震反演技术是岩性勘探的一种重要手段。为了规避常规反演方法的固有限制,利用概率神经网络技术预测井数据和地震数据之间的非线性关系,得到密度数据体和速度数据体,并获得相应的波阻抗数据体。对某矿区的实际地震资料采用该技术进行岩性反演,得到了较为准确的波阻抗数据体,为岩性解释提供了不可或缺的资料。  相似文献   

Effects of misclassification costs on mapping mineral prospectivity     

《Ore Geology Reviews》2017

Mineral prospectivity mapping is a classification process because in a given study area, a specific region is classified as either a prospective or non-prospective area. The cost of false negative errors differs from the cost of false positive errors because false positive errors lead to wasting much more financial and material resources, whereas false negative errors result in the loss of mineral deposits. Traditional machine learning algorithms using for mapping mineral prospectivity are aimed to minimize classification errors and ignore the cost-sensitive effects. In this study, the effects of misclassification costs on mapping mineral prospectivity are explored. The cost-sensitive neural network (CSNN) for minimizing misclassification costs is applied to map Fe polymetallic prospectivity in China’s southwestern Fujian metalorganic belt (SFMB). A CSNN with a different cost ratio ranging from 1:10 to 10:1 was used to represent various misclassification costs. The cross-validation results indicated a lower misclassification cost compared to traditional neural networks through a threshold-moving based CSNN. The CSNN’s predictive results were compared to those of a traditional neural network, and the results demonstrate that the CSNN method is useful for mapping mineral prospectivity. The targets can be used to further explore undiscovered deposits in the study area.  相似文献   

陇中黄土高原LAS在非均匀下垫面的观测优势及其在区域陆面模式验证中的初步应用     

郝小翠  张强  杨泽粟  黄菁 《冰川冻土》2017,39(5):1057-1064

目前通用的通量观测技术涡动相关仪（EC）在区域陆面模式验证中存在能量不闭合和空间代表性有限的问题,寻求改进EC观测热通量的新技术是提高陆面模式验证效果的关键环节,大孔径闪烁仪（LAS）的出现有效改善了这一现状。基于黄土高原定西站2010年1月和6月的同步综合观测资料以及目前比较有代表性的陆面过程模式CLM的模拟数据,分析研究了LAS对EC观测地表能量不平衡问题的改进以及LAS对EC在区域陆面模式验证中的提高,结果表明：LAS可有效解决EC观测存在的地表能量不平衡问题,提高EC的地表能量闭合度,在非均匀下垫面LAS观测优势突出;利用LAS观测的感热通量进行区域陆面模式的验证,能够很大程度地避免EC能量不闭合和空间尺度不匹配在验证中造成的偏差,LAS观测更适合于大尺度模拟的验证,验证效果更好。  相似文献   

TRMM卫星降水反演数据在珠江流域的适用性研究——以东江和北江为例          下载免费PDF全文

王兆礼  钟睿达  赖成光  陈晓宏  李军  黄泽勤 《水科学进展》2017,28(2):174-182

为评估最新一代TRMM 3B42-V7卫星降水反演数据产品在珠江流域的精度和适用性,选取位于珠江流域下游的东江和北江流域为研究区域,基于地面雨量站点数据评估了该产品的精度和适用性,并结合可变下渗容量（Variable Infiltration Capacity,VIC）水文模型进行了水文模拟验证。对比分析结果表明,在网格尺度上,大多数网格日尺度相关系数达到0.60以上,月尺度相关系数达到0.90以上,3B42-V7产品表现出较好的精度,在区域尺度上精度得到了进一步提高;水文模拟验证分两种情景下进行,情景Ⅰ的结果表明,当水文模型由地面雨量站点数据率定时,3B42-V7产品数据的水文模拟效果不佳,个别区间内存在对洪峰流量明显的低估;情景Ⅱ的结果表明,由3B42-V7产品数据重新率定水文模型时径流模拟效果有了较大改善,说明该产品可在一定程度上作为资料缺乏地区的降水数据来源。  相似文献   

利用SLR数据检核GLONASS卫星最终轨道     

杨红雷  加松  徐天河 《大地测量与地球动力学》2017,37(9):956-960

采用由EDC提供的2015-01-01～2015-12-31的SLR标准点观测数据进行GLONASS卫星最终轨道（CODE提供）检核,分别按照卫星PRN号和不同测站对检核结果进行统计分析。结果表明,不同卫星的检核效果参差不齐,跟卫星的服役年限有关,较新的卫星检核结果较好,第一轨道面的卫星检核结果最好;检核结果中存在一定的系统误差,且大部分的激光测距比最终轨道反算的站星距要短;利用SLR检核2015年全年GLONASS轨道精度总体优于3.3 cm,激光观测精度总体优于1.2 cm。  相似文献