SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF DEBRIS FLOW USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK     

WANGXie-kang HUANGEr CUIPeng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(3):262-266

Debris flow is one of the most destructive phenomena of natural hazards. Recently, major natural haz-ard, claiming human lives and assets, is due to debris flow in the world. Several practical methods for forecasting de-bris flow have been proposed, however, the accuracy of these methods is not high enough for practical use because of the stochastic and non-linear characteristics of debris flow. Artificial neural network has proven to be feasible and use-fill in developing models for nonlinear systems. On the other hand, predicting the future behavior based on a time se-ries of collected historical data is also an important tool in many scientific applications. In this study we present a three-layer feed-forward neural network model to forecast surge of debris flow according to the time series data collect-ed in the Jiangjia Ravine, situated in north part of Yunnan Province of China. The simulation and prediction of debris flow using the proposed approach shows this model is feasible, however, further studies are needed.  相似文献   

小波分析理论在GPS技术中的应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

郑作亚黄珹  卢秀山 《中国科学院上海天文台年刊》2003,(24):48-55

在GPS数据处理中，存在着误差影响、影响波的干扰、周跳和数据量大等问题。误差影响和影响波的干扰实质是在接收卫星信号时受到其它因素的影响；周跳是由于卫星信号的失锁而造成信号的不连续；数据量大是因为GPS观测需要采样间隔小又连续观测所致。由于小波理论具有时频分析、波形分解、特征提取和快速小波变换等特性，应用小波变换和波形分解可以解决误差影响和影响波的干扰的问题；应用特征提取可以解决周跳检测问题；应用快速小波变换可进行数据压缩。  相似文献   

DISASTER ANALYSIS AND COUNTERMEASURES OF LAND SUBSIDENCE CAUSED BY COAL CUTTING IN CHINA     

YANGYong-liang SHITong-guang JLANGLU-guang LIYue 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(2):130-133

In recent years, many coal-producing countries have paid great attention to the land subsidence causedby coal cutting. In China, because of the dense population in coalfield areas, the land subsidence hazard is more seri-ous. After a brief analysis on the mechanism of land subsidence, this paper gives a comprehensive and systematical ac-count on all kinds of hazards caused by the land subsidence in China. The study shows that land subsidence has endan-gered land, buildings, traffic and communication lines, dykes and dams. It also causes damage to ecological and socialenvironment. In order to lessen the hazard of land subsidence, preventive measures should be taken to reduce the col-lapse amount, such as extraction with stowing, banded mining system, succession and coordination mining system, orhigh-pressure mudflow between rock strata. Measures of reinforcing or moving certain buildings should also be taken toreduce the destructive degree. In order to harness the subsidence land and bring them under control for fanning, mea-sures should be taken such as filling with spoil or fine breeze, excavating the deeper and covering the shallower land.  相似文献   

2005年油价上涨压力将缓解     

《国土资源》2005,(1):60-60

自2004年年初开始，国际原油市场笼罩在供求紧张的阴影之下，油价一度出现的螺旋式大幅攀升牵动了世界各国经济决策层的神经。市场分析家们认为，随着世界经济增长速度放慢，2005年油价上涨的压力有望得到缓解。  相似文献   

天灾研究中的当代物理新途径   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

胡辉  张世杰 《云南天文台台刊》2001,(1):58-62

应用当代物理学中的量子化方法，将日－地空间量子化。借天体分层结构特征，对地震震级公式及天体引潮力激起的孤波储能触发地震的原理作了探索性讨论。  相似文献   

概率赋范空间的S-凸和K-凸     

张敏先 《成都信息工程学院学报》2001,16(3):209-212

文献[1][2]认为M－PN空间是局部凸的。通过定理说明这个结论对t-模T（a,b)≥min(a,b)时成立。又通过反例表明，当t-模型T（a,b)=max(a b-1,0）时无论邻域Nθ（ε，λ）概率有界还是概率半有界结论均不成立。还讨论了Takahashi凸性并对S－凸和K－凸作了比较。  相似文献   

富氏谱分析法模拟地壳垂直运动的地学依据及其策应力模型     

张勤  范一中 《大地测量与地球动力学》2001,21(4):76-80

应用地壳波浪与镶嵌构造学说对富氏谱分析法提取地壳垂直形变信息的科学性做了地质学意义上的阐释 ,并提出了根据多期形变资料提取特定波段上构造策应力的数学模型  相似文献   

致密碎屑岩储层裂缝和产能预测的单井建模——以新场气田沙溪庙组为例     

匡建超  邓少云等 《致密岩石气藏勘探开发》2001,(4):49-55

近年来，利用三维地震资料进行致密碎屑岩储层裂缝和产能的识别预测取得了一些进展，而这之中最重要也最基础的是单井裂缝和产能的建模工作。本以新场气田沙溪庙组致密储层为例，详细介绍了综合运用岩芯资料、测井资料和录井资料进行裂缝和产能单井建模的方法，为利用三维地震资料建立裂缝和产能的灰色遗传过程识别模式打下了良好的基础。  相似文献   

雨滴大小和下落位置对测量雨滴半径精度的影响     

阎帮华 《成都信息工程学院学报》1994,(4)

根据几何时线光学理论研究了光学测雨实验系统中雨滴半径、下落位置对雨滴半径的测量值精度的影响。分析表明：同一半径的雨滴，离接收器越近，接收器接收到的散射光越多，光闪烁信号峰值越小；不同半径的雨滴，产生的有效消光系数不同，导致雨滴半径测量误差较大，通过雨滴进行分类处理，该项误差减少到０．０４ｍｍ以下。  相似文献   

基于可靠度理论的黄土高边坡优化设计   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：9  

叶万军  折学森  陈志新  宋建华  邵铁全 《地球科学与环境学报》2005,27(2):82-85

对黄土高边坡进行可靠性分析，应用数学原理和优化原理，建立了黄土高边坡的优化模型，对铜黄一级公路黄土高边坡进行分析验证。结果表明，该方法计算的结果与实际较接近．应用中易操作。  相似文献