韶关市近50年强降水频数统计及周期分析     

李丽 《广东气象》2003,(3):21-23

利用韶关市近50年降水资料,对逐日降水量R24（20～20时）≥50．0mm的强降水次数进行统计分析,结果表明韶关暴雨及以上强降水主要集中在多水期的3～7月,其中5、6月份为最多,这与韶关的自然季节降水特点是相吻合的;从50年代至90年代,各年代大暴雨和暴雨分别呈现出偏少．正常-正常-偏少-偏多和偏多～正常-偏少～偏少～偏多的演变趋势;R24≥50．0mm的强降水总次数及历年5、6月份R24≥50．0mm的强降水次数存在周期变化。  相似文献   

青藏高原地区能量水分循环：地表能量平衡和湍流热通量   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

苏中波  张廷  马耀明  贾立  文军 《地球科学进展》2006,21(12):1224-1236

文章给出了青藏高原能量水分循环研究的概况和总结，着重估计了能量平衡各分项和湍流热通量等。在能量平衡的计算基础上，尽管能量不平衡的原因解释仍有争论并且没有解决，但我们揭示了GAME/Tibet试验观测资料中能量不平衡现象。我们发现估算的潜热通量比实际观测的要高许多。然而，根据能量平衡假设的计算结果和SEBS的估算一致性很好。在此基础上可以归纳出差异主要由GAME/Tibet试验观测资料中能量不平衡引起，潜热通量的实际观测可能偏小。  相似文献   

Energy approach for earthquake induced slope failure evaluation     

T. Kokusho  T. Ishizawa 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2006,26(2-4):221-230

Earthquake-induced slope stability is evaluated by the force-equilibrium method in engineering practice. This method provides a safety factor against initiating failure or displacement according to the Newmark model along a fixed slip surface but it cannot evaluate failure deformations after failure occurs. An energy approach is proposed as an alternative means for evaluating slope failures and subsequent flow deformations. The driving energy for slope displacement is considered to be the earthquake energy and the gravitational potential energy. As a first step in the research, an energy balance is formulated for the model of a rigid block resting on an inclined plane. Then, an innovative model test is developed, in which the energy balance in a sliding slope is measured on a shake table. The earthquake energy used for the slope failure can be successfully quantified in the test and its contribution to displacement is discussed in the light of the energy balance established for the block model.  相似文献   

基于非等间距泊松曲线在沉降预测中的应用     

吴清海 《现代测绘》2006,29(6):30-32

泊松曲线是一种精度较高的沉降预测方法，但是它只能在等时距数据条件下方能使用，在工程实际中很难满足这一要求。本文采用插值法将非等时距数据转化成等时距数列，并结合高层建筑沉降监测工程实例分析，结果表明，用泊松曲线模型预测建筑物沉降量与实际沉降量比较接近，具有较高的应用价值。  相似文献   

Scalar Similarity for Relaxed Eddy Accumulation Methods     

Johannes Ruppert  Christoph Thomas  Thomas Foken 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,120(1):39-63

The relaxed eddy accumulation (REA) method allows the measurement of trace gas fluxes when no fast sensors are available for eddy covariance measurements. The flux parameterisation used in REA is based on the assumption of scalar similarity, i.e., similarity of the turbulent exchange of two scalar quantities. In this study changes in scalar similarity between carbon dioxide, sonic temperature and water vapour were assessed using scalar correlation coefficients and spectral analysis. The influence on REA measurements was assessed by simulation. The evaluation is based on observations over grassland, irrigated cotton plantation and spruce forest.Scalar similarity between carbon dioxide, sonic temperature and water vapour showed a distinct diurnal pattern and change within the day. Poor scalar similarity was found to be linked to dissimilarities in the energy contained in the low frequency part of the turbulent spectra ( < 0.01 Hz).The simulations of REA showed significant change in b-factors throughout the diurnal course. The b-factor is part of the REA parameterisation scheme and describes a relation between the concentration difference and the vertical flux of a trace gas. The diurnal course of b-factors for carbon dioxide, sonic temperature and water vapour matched well. Relative flux errors induced in REA by varying scalar similarity were generally below ± 10%. Systematic underestimation of the flux of up to − 40% was found for the use of REA applying a hyperbolic deadband (HREA). This underestimation was related to poor scalar similarity between the scalar of interest and the scalar used as proxy for the deadband definition.  相似文献   

Maximal Overlap Wavelet Statistical Analysis With Application to Atmospheric Turbulence     

Charles R. Cornish  Christopher S. Bretherton  Donald B. Percival 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,119(2):339-374

Statistical tools based on the maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) are reviewed, and then applied to a dataset of aircraft observations of the atmospheric boundary layer from the tropical eastern Pacific, which includes quasi-stationary and non-stationary segments. The wavelet methods provide decompositions of variances and covariances, e.g. fluxes, between time scales that effectively describe a broadband process like atmospheric turbulence. Easily understood statistical confidence bounds are discussed and applied to these scale decompositions, and results are compared to Fourier methods for quasi-stationary turbulence. The least asymmetric LA(8) wavelet filter yields coefficients that exhibit better uncorrelatedness across scales than the Haar filter and is better suited for decomposition of broadband turbulent signals. An application to a non-stationary segment of our dataset, namely vertical profiles of the turbulent dissipation rate, highlights the flexibility of wavelet methods.  相似文献   

民国时期上海霍乱频发的原因探略     

胡勇 《气象与减灾研究》2007,30(2):38-43

阐述了民国时期上海霍乱的发生情况,并对其频发的原因进行了研究。研究结果认为,民国时期上海霍乱流行有三个方面的特点:一是频繁,数十年几乎无年不发生;二是死亡人数多,并涉及各色人等,尤以移民、苦力等下层社会群体受害最深;三是成因极为复杂,既有自然因素又有人为因素的作用,如贸易、人口、移民、城市管理、习惯文化、生活方式、社会分层、战争等。多种因素叠加交互作用,使上海成为当时中国三大霍乱中心之一。研究还发现,民国时期上海霍乱不同于一般的传染病,而是现代沿海城市畸形发展的一种城市病,其社会问题的层面要多于自然的层面。  相似文献   

南昌市环境空气臭氧污染现状分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

万志勇  杨辛 《气象与减灾研究》2007,30(2):69-72

利用南昌市省外办环境空气监测点2003—2006年臭氧监测资料,使用综合污染指数法和国家《环境空气质量标准》进行分析评价。分析结果表明,南昌市省外办监测点环境空气中臭氧污染已经达到一定程度,2006年臭氧年日均值达0.203 mg/m3,年日均值超标率为12.63%;臭氧污染指数为2.03,污染负荷高达53.88%,比目前最为关注的污染物(可吸入颗粒物)污染负荷高39.07%。臭氧已成为城市环境空气中的主要污染物之一,尤其是每年的9月和10月,其污染更为严重。建议全省各城市积极创造条件开展环境空气臭氧监测,并纳入必测项目参加评价;环保部门应加强与气象部门的合作,科学分析江西环境空气臭氧污染原因,提出防治措施。  相似文献   

清咸丰六年长江三角洲地区旱灾气候背景分析   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

杨煜达 《气象与减灾研究》2007,30(3):26-30

介绍了清咸丰六年(1856年)长江三角洲地区大旱的发生情况,认为此次大旱持续时间长,属夏秋连旱;旱情严重,波及面广,几乎影响到了长江三角洲的所有地区,太湖流域北部、南部,江北淮南地区最严重,太湖东部的苏州、松江二府、太仓直隶州的灾情略轻,江北东部的通州直隶州灾情也较轻,最东边的海门直隶厅甚至没有找到大灾的明确记载。大旱之后继发了大蝗灾。在此基础上,对引发此次严重干旱的气候背景进行了分析。分析结果认为,副热带高压强度偏弱,但脊线位置偏北,造成了季风雨带偏北,长江三角洲地区长时间处在副高控制下,从5月底至8月底没有出现连续性降水,造成了罕见的大旱;而春季降水不足,又加剧了灾情。  相似文献   

冷空气侵入的暴雨过程物理量场变化与诊断分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

罗冰 《气象与减灾研究》2007,30(1):24-29

通过对近年的几次有低层冷空气侵入的暴雨天气过程进行数值模拟和诊断分析,发现很多暴雨天气过程都与冷空气侵入有密切关系,连续暴雨过程是在较好的水汽条件和不稳定层结条件下发生的,K指数、Q矢量辐合、螺旋度、水汽通量辐合、涡度和上升速度等物理量大值区的范围和演变趋势,同暴雨范围及演变趋势基本一致;暴雨区上空有高位涡柱存在,并有自低层到高层的高位涡上传。  相似文献