东北地区气温演变的一致性与局地性特征研究     

侯依玲  刘鸣彦  赵春雨  王涛 《气象与环境学报》2019,35(2):69-76

选取中国东北区域162个气象站1961—2015年地面气温资料,采用多种统计方法分析了近55 a东北地区气温的一致性和局地性演变特征。结果表明:东北地区年平均气温存在较为良好的空间一致性,"全区一致型"气候类型为东北地区最主要气候形态;第一旋转载荷向量时间系数呈上升趋势亦存在较明显2—7 a的周期,说明北部地区气温受全球变暖、ENSO等大尺度气候背景影响显著; 1961—2015年北部区域以0. 34℃/10 a的升温率高于南部区域的0. 26℃/10 a,但1980年后增温趋势减慢;年平均气温的概率曲线随年代整体向高值区移动,北部区域冬季增暖较为显著,南部区域冬夏均较为明显,春秋季节可能有缩短趋势。  相似文献   

基于数值预报模式的乡镇温度预报方法研究     

吴春英  刘多文  钟博  蒋婷婷  于蕙箐  陈佳美  高燕 《气象与环境学报》2019,(1):108-112

利用2015年8月至2017年7月长兴岛站和交流岛站日最高气温、日最低气温实况资料,对ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报值和日本FSFE02(24 h地面形势场预报)、FSFE03(36 h地面形势场预报)进行了检验。结果表明:根据历史回归统计检验,ECMWF细网格模式24 h的2 m最高气温、最低气温预报效果显著,通过了0. 05信度显著性检验。对各月做相关分析,相关性均较好。利用前一日ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报值与长兴岛站实况差值,根据统计的ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报订正值,做出长兴岛站未来24 h的气温预报。交流岛站温度预报是在长兴岛站温度预报的基础上订正做出,经统计分析,交流岛站和长兴岛站的气温差值与地面形势场和风场有较好的对应关系,根据不同类型的地面形势场和风场订正值,做出交流岛站的温度预报。应用Matlab计算机语言的开发功能,提取ECMWF细网格2 m温度预报的最高、最低气温值,并录入当日长兴岛站和交流岛站最高、最低气温实况值,自动预报各站未来24 h最高气温、最低气温。创建可视化预报工作界面,实现乡镇温度预报自动化。  相似文献   

喀什站高空温度资料均一性检验与订正     

胡义成  张正阳  王秋香 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2019,13(6):65-72

利用加拿大环境部气候研究中心研发的RHtest均一化检验方法,结合历史台站沿革信息对喀什站各标准等压面高空温度资料进行了均一性检验和分析。结果表明:850～300 hPa共6个层次的高空日温度观测资料序列完整性较好。08时100 hPa月平均温度的缺测率3%,完整性较差,20时100 hPa的完整性最差,缺测率高达11.44%,其他层次的完整性则较好。喀什站温度资料的非均一性主要是由于台站位置变动、观测仪器换型、观测规范变更和辐射误差订正方法的变化引起的。在订正过程中发现,为了保证订正序列的可信度,需要充分考虑到原始观测序列的缺测率。08时年温度序列的断点数量要明显多于20时,08时序列的订正率达到了85.71%,而20时仅有100 h Pa一条序列做了订正。  相似文献   

山区年、月平均温度推算方法的研究   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

卢其尧 《地理学报》1988,(3)

本文提出了山区年、月平均温度空间分布的推算方法,并提供了相应的小地形温度订正值。该方法在福建省沙溪流域山区实际应用的结果表明,能有效地揭示山区年、月平均温度空间分布的宏观与微观变化,效果满意,精度较高。  相似文献   

大厂锡矿的成矿流体   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：8  

李荫清  陈伟十 《岩石学报》1989,5(3):12-24

本文详细研究了矿带内流体包裹体特征,测定了不同类型包裹体在冷热状态下相的转变点温度,利用有关的NaCl-H_2O体系、CO_2-NaCl-H_2O体系相图获得了矿带内不同类型矿床成矿的温度、压力等物理、化学参数。通过包裹体成分和同位素研究,阐明了成矿流体的性质、来源及其演化特征,探讨了成矿流体的沸腾和不混溶作用以及它们对成矿所作的贡献。估测了矿化深度和盲矿体存在的可能性。  相似文献   

The Ground Deformation Disaster in the City of Tianjin Associated with the Tangshan Earthquake     

Huang Liren  Zhao Chengkun  Hu Huimmg  Yang Guiye  Cao XiangchunFirst Land Deformation Monitoring Center  SSB  Tianjin  China Surveying  Mapping Bureau of Tianjin Municipality  Tianjin  China 《中国地震研究》1994,(3)

In this paper,a study of the principal characteristics of the ground deformation disasters in the city of Tianjin caused by the Tangshan earthquake is based on the results from the recent remeasurements of the geodetic controlling network of Tianjin and from on-site investigations after the earthquake.These results show that only the ground deformation in the Ninghe and Hangu areas near the epicenter reflect directly the co-seismic crustal stress,while the serious ground deformation and the engineering earthquake damages in the urban districts of Tianjin are controlled to a great extent by the local engineering geological structures,showing a kind of secondary disaster.Several suggestions are also proposed in the paper concerning the counter-measures for reducing the earthquake damage in big cities.  相似文献   

A thermo-plastic constitutive law for brittle-plastic behavior of rocks at high temperatures     

Tomasz Hueckel  Alberto Peano  Rita Pellegrini 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1994,143(1-3):483-510

Mechanical properties of rocks change under the influence of, temperature. Stress at the onset of yielding, ultimate strength, dilatancy, strain hardening and softening, and the confining pressure at brittle-ductile transition are all reduced by the increasing temperature. This study presents a framework of constitutive modeling of thermo-brittle-plastic behavior of rocks which encompasses these changes. The constitutive law is based on a thermo-plasticity theory first proposed for metals byPrager (1958). Two phenomenological mechanisms have been identified as central for the modeling: temperature dependence of the yield locus (thermal softening), and temperature dependence of the strain-hardening function (thermally enhanced ductility). Material parameters for two rocks, Carrara marble and Westerly granite, were determined on the basis of additional hypotheses. These parameters are used in numerical simulations of triaxial tests at different temperatures. The obtained stress-strain curves compare well to the experimental results. The changes with temperature in the stress at the onset of yielding are more accurately reproduced that the evolution of hardening or softening. Suggestions for possible improvements and future research directions are indicated.  相似文献   

Dynamics of fluvial and slope processes in the changing geomorphic environment of singapore     

Kalyani Chatterjea 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1994,19(7):585-607

The nature and rates of fluvial and slope processes change over time and space as urbanized areas replace forested land in Singapore. Storm-based and time-based data, from undisturbed rainforests, heavily disturbed construction sites, urban grass-covered slopes and an experimental plot, are collected to observe the impact of rainwater on the soil moisture conditions, surface microtopography, runoff generation, sediment movement, and ground lowering in the three different categories of land use. The undisturbed forested environment is characterized by high throughfall (58% of total rainfall) and frequent negative soil moisture suctions. The slow and unconcentrated overland flow during heavy storms is restricted by the forest floor microtopography. No rills develop. Ground lowering is recorded as 3·2–3·4 mm a^?1. But sediment movement is episodic and suspended sediment concentrations in overland flow are 172–222 mg l^?1. During urban construction, gully development is rapid on the bare slopes, runoff generation, voluminous, and sediment-laden discharges (5200–75498 mg l^?1) lead to sediment plumes at channel mouths. Ground lowering rates are measured at 132·4 mm a^?1. Once grass-covered, runoff carries less suspended sediment (800 mg l^?1) and ground lowering rates are reduced, but depend on the condition of the cover, ranging from 0·2 to 8·2 mm a^?1. As urban development continues, environments are altered both in time as well as spatially.  相似文献   

太阳活动,大气臭氧和平流层温度相关分析研究   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1  

言穆弘  华贵义 《高原气象》1993,12(3):302-311

  相似文献   

探地雷达图像的正演合成与偏移处理   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：8  

邓世坤  王惠濂 《地球物理学报》1993,36(4):528-536

本文讨论了射线追踪法实现二维地电断面的探地雷达图像的正演合成问题,其中包括二维地电断面的数字拟合、多层连续界面介质中高频电磁波的反射与透射统一的运动学边界方程;根据Huygen's-Fresnel原理导出了均匀介质中二维管状体模型的衍射雷达波的计算公式;给出了用射线追踪法合成的二维地电模型的探地雷达图像;用衍射波公式合成了二维管状模型的雷达图像,并与物理模拟作了比较.在此基础上,用Kirchhoff积分法对数字模拟与物理模拟记录的雷达图像作了偏移处理,并给出了实例.  相似文献