Preliminary results of seismic hazard assessment in the Sannio-Matese area of Southern Italy     

M. S. Barbano  F. Colombo  G. Zonno 《Natural Hazards》1989,2(3-4):307-328

The seismic hazard in the Sannio-Matese area has been worked out by a modification of the McGuire (1976) computing programme, taking into account the influence of nine potential seismic source zones.The method uses truncated-quadratic intensity-frequency distribution and azimuth-dependent intensity attenuation derived from isoseismal maps for each of the seismogenetic sources. A new modification has been introduced to take into account different decay of the intensity in the near (to VIII degree) and far (from VIII degree) field.Different assumptions about maximum possible intensities and truncation of intensity-frequency laws are used to evaluate the effects of the uncertainties on the computed hazard at high intensities. Intensities associated with different level of annual probability are computed for five test sites in the considered area. Maps displaying the expected intensity for a mean return period of 500 years (pa 0.002) are presented and compared with observed intensities.Presented at the XXIst General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Symposium on Methods of Seismic Hazard Assessment in Europe, Sofia, 23–27 August 1988.  相似文献   

Annual heat balance and equilibrium temperature of Lake Aegeri,Switzerland   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

David M. Livingstone  Dieter M. Imboden 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1989,51(4):351-369

The mean heat budget of Lake Aegeri, Switzerland, is 950 MJ·m^–2, comparable to that of neighbouring lakes. The annual variation in the net heat flux can be adequately described using a six-term heat balance equation based on 12 years of monthly mean meteorological and surface temperature data. Although the magnitude of the net heat flux is dominated by the radiative terms of the equation, the one-month backward shift of the net flux and total heat content extrema from the solstices and equinoxes respectively is due to the phase shift of the non-radiative with respect to the radiative terms. A linear approximation was used to express the net heat flux in terms of a heat exchange coefficient and an equilibrium temperature. The former varies from 17 to 28 W·m^–2·K^–1 in the course of a year; fluctuations in the latter are found to depend mainly on fluctuations in cloud cover and relative humidity, whilst the effect of fluctuations in air temperature and wind speed is slight.  相似文献   

西太平洋赤道海域的热量平衡   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

姚兰昌  陈有虞 《高原气象》1988,(1)

本文利用1986年11月中国科学院实验3号考察船在西太平洋赤道海域(0°～5°N,130°～150°E)考察所获得的29天辐射资料和同期取得的温、压、湿、风和探空等资料,计算了这一海域11月份的热量平衡各量值和整层气柱的加热量。结果表明:该海域是一个强热源区,其上空大气也是一个强热源区。  相似文献   

Diurnal freeze–thaw depth in rockwalls: Field measurements and theoretical considerations     

Norikazu Matsuoka 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1994,19(5):423-435

Rock temperatures were monitored for a year at two alpine rockwalls in the Akaishi Range, Japan, where permafrost is absent. Diurnal frost and thaw penetration depths were evaluated from subsurface isotherms drawn on the basis of the temperature records at 0, 10 and 40 cm depths. The surface of the rockwalls experienced more than 100 diurnal freeze-thaw cycles, most of which accompanied a frost or thaw penetration shallower than 50 cm, and several long duration cycles with deeper frost or thaw penetration. Theoretical frost and thaw depths were also calculated by incorporating the surface freezing indices into the modified Berggren equation, the results from which were then compared with the actual values. The modified Berggren equation provided values that showed a strong correlation with observed depths, despite somewhat underestimating the actual values. Using the modified Berggren equation, the seasonal frost depth in the observed winter was estimated to be about 4·5 m. The frost and thaw depths are considered to give the maximum estimation of the depth to which frost-induced cracking can propagate in the bedrock.  相似文献   

内蒙古奈曼麦田生长期的微气象变化   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

李胜功  何宗颖 《中国沙漠》1995,15(3):216-221

采用波文比热量平衡法分析了内蒙古奈曼麦田生长不同阶段的微气象变化。结果表明：（１）麦田反射率随小麦生长趋于旺盛而减小；（２）随着小麦的生长，净辐射及其与太阳总辐射的比值增大；（３）白天净辐射主要用于潜热交换；夜里净辐射主要由潜热交换与土壤热交换补给；（４）波文比白天小，早晨和夜里大。  相似文献   

海温作用与低频振荡          下载免费PDF全文

刘式适  庄瑞宁 《热带气象学报》1993,9(1):65-70

提出一个求定常方程平衡数值解的方法,并利用这个方法求得了雷州半岛海风环流的稳定数值解,在一定下边界强迫下得到了和观侧相一致的环流状态,进而讨论了大气参数对海风环流的影响,试验表明,所提出的求解方法是有效的.  相似文献   

利用水化学场,温度场判断矿坑水补给源及其比例     

代群力  何路送 《湖南地质》1991,10(4):325-328

不同补给源的水,其水质、水温存在差异。根据质量和热量守恒原理,通过对不同补给水源进行长期观察,可确定矿坑水的补给源及其比例。作者推导出了存在二种和三种补给水源情况下各补给水源所占比例的计算公式,并应用到湖南洞口县的石下江煤矿,取得了良好效果。  相似文献   

TROPICAL ATMOSPHERIC NONLINEAR STEADY RESPONSE SOLUTION UNDER EFFECTS OF PAIRED HEAT SOURCES OF CONTRASTING NATURE          下载免费PDF全文

周学龙  孙照渤 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1994,(3)

Based on steady semi-geostrophic model equations,analysis is carried out of the linear and nonlinearmodification/response of the tropical atmosphere to the forcing of ideal paired heat sources of contrasting nature.Re-suits show that the linear part is dominant in the steady response but the nonlinear modification is quite noticable in theneighborhood of the heat source and between the paired sources,and the barotropic mode and second baroclinic modeplay a different role in the modification,with the barotropic(second baroclinic)mode modification depending largely onthe Rossby wave self-interaction(the magnitude due to the Kelvin-Rossby wave interaction)between the pairedsources.  相似文献   

厦门酸雨与气象要素的关系及污染源的分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

俞绍才  蔡小平  陈小江  陈泽面 《气象》1994,20(5):20-23

根据厦门市１９８３－１９９１年９年春雨，梅雨及台风雨酸度的观测结果，结合各场雨水同步观测的气象要素资料，分析各类型雨水酸度与气象要素的关系。同时依降水的酸化原理估计了外来源及局的地源对厦门酸雨形成的贡献。  相似文献   

黄河流域旱涝年地面热量收支变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

朱超群  高国栋 《应用气象学报》1994,5(3):284-289

根据北京、郑州３年热量平衡观测资料，建立波文（Ｂｏｗｅｎ）比计算模式。并用此模式及辐射计算式等估计黄河流域８年５－８月地面月辐射收支、蒸发耗热、湍流热交换量和土壤热交换量，并比较分析旱涝年它们的差异以及随旱涝（用降水距平表示）的变化。   相似文献