Analysis of Post-Failure Slope Movements within the Framework of Hazard and Risk Analysis     

Vaunat  Jean  Leroueil  Serge 《Natural Hazards》2002,26(1):81-107

The paper first recalls briefly a methodological framework to assess landslide hazard and risk analysis in terms of predisposition, triggering andrevealing factors. This framework, that reflects the mechanisms involved in the landslide, is based on the Geotechnical Characterisation of slope movements proposed by Vaunat et al. (1994) and Leroueil et al. (1996). The Geotechnical Characterisation can be schematized by a 3-D matrix having the following axes: types of movement; types ofmaterial; and the four stages of movement: pre-failure, failure, post-failure andreactivation. For each relevant element of this 3-D matrix, there is a characterisationsheet including: the controlling laws and parameters, the predisposition factors, thetriggering or aggravating factors, the revealing factors and the consequences of the movement. The paper focuses afterwards on the post-failure stage, which generallyis the most destructive, and on the mobility index. It is shown that this laterindex can be described as the product of sub-indices associated with failure, brittlenessof the material, ability of the soil to develop pore pressures, geometry of the moving soil mass and characteristics of the terrain. It is also shown how these aspectscan be incorporated into the Geotechnical characterisation of slope movements. This seems to provide a rational basis for examining slope movements at the post-failure stage and assessing associated risks.  相似文献   

Large-scale mass wasting in ancient volcanic materials     

Vicki Moon  Christine J Simpson 《Engineering Geology》2002,64(1):41-64

Giant landslides are significant hazards associated with many active volcanic edifices. We describe a similar feature on ancient (>4 Ma) volcanic deposits subject to active tectonism. The landslide is approximately 3 km long by 1 km wide, with an estimated depth of 400 m. Side margins are straight and parallel, mimicking regional structure; narrow valleys incised down these margins provide low-strength side-release surfaces. Between these is a giant slump consisting of at least four, largely intact, discrete blocks that have moved down-dip a distance of >500 m. A series of flows with areal extents ranging from 0.01 to 0.5 km² extends from the front of the failure. The materials represent an eroded sequence of andesite flows on the flanks of a stratovolcano. These have undergone two phases of hydrothermal alteration, and are deeply weathered to low-density (1040±80 kg m⁻³) silt (59%) and clay (35%) materials with strength properties typical of weathered silts (c=26±3 kN m⁻²; φ=42±8°). The size and location of this landslide preclude detailed geotechnical investigation of the failure. The worth of numerical stability analysis as an alternative technique in assessing the nature of the failure and hence the risk it poses to nearby communities is investigated. Sensitivity analysis identified likely conditions under which initial failure may have occurred: analyses for sensitivity to strength and earthquake acceleration needed conversion to critical combinations (F=1.0) of water table and strength/acceleration to remove the overriding influence of water table fluctuations. Failure was likely initiated either by a high water table level (83-84%), or some combination of intensity VII-IX earthquake waves together with water table heights of 40-80%. A general hazard assessment indicates that the risk associated with creep and catastrophic failure of the main mass is small, whereas the risk from flow failures near the toe of the landslide may be high. Important parameters (hydrological regime, flow failure morphology, age of initiation, and rates of movement) requiring closer investigation are identified. Development of a model is crucial to assessing the hazard associated with a feature such as that described here. With limited resources, a detailed stability analysis is a powerful tool as an initial stage in hazard analysis.  相似文献   

Evaluating Earthquake-Triggered Landslide Hazard at the Basin Scale Through Gis in the Upper Sele River Valley   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Domenico Capolongo  Alberto Refice  Joseph Mankelow 《Surveys in Geophysics》2002,23(6):595-625

To evaluate techniques for assessing earthquake-triggeredlandslide hazard in the Southern Apennines (Italy), a GIS-based analysis was used to modelseismically induced slope deformations. Geological, geotechnical, geomorphological and seismologicaldata were integrated into a standard earthquake slope stability model. The model assessed thelandslide potential that existed during the 1980 Irpinian earthquake in the Upper Sele river Valley.The standard Newmark displacement analysis, widely used for predicting the location of shallowunstable slopes, does not take into account errors and/or uncertainties in the input parameters.Therefore, a probabilistic Newmark displacement analysis technique has been used. Probabilistictechniques allow, e.g., an estimation of the probability that a slope will exceed a certain criticalvalue of Newmark displacement. In our probabilistic method, a Monte-Carlo based simulation modelis used in conjunction with a GIS. The random variability of geotechnical data is modelled by probabilitydensity functions (pdfs), while for the seismic input three different regression laws wereconsidered. Input probability distributions are sampled and the resulting values input into empiricalrelations for estimating Newmark displacement. The outcome is a map in which to each siteis related a spatial probability distribution for the expected displacement in response to seismic loading.Results of the experiments show a high grade of uncertainty in the application of the Newmarkanalysis both for the deterministic and probabilistic approach in a complex geological setting suchas the high Sele valley, quite common in the Southern Apennines. They show a strong dependence onthe reliability of the spatial data used in input, so that, when the model is used at basin scale,results are strongly influenced by local environmental condition (e.g., topography, lithology, groundwatercondition) and decrease the model performance.  相似文献   

Investigating Landslides Caused by Earthquakes – A Historical Review     

David K. Keefer 《Surveys in Geophysics》2002,23(6):473-510

Post-earthquake field investigations of landslide occurrence have provided a basis for understanding, evaluating, and mapping the hazard and risk associated withearthquake-induced landslides. This paper traces thehistorical development of knowledge derived from these investigations. Before 1783, historical accounts of the occurrence of landslides in earthquakes are typically so incomplete and vague that conclusions based on these accounts are of limited usefulness. For example, the number of landslides triggered by a given event is almost always greatly underestimated. The first formal, scientific post-earthquake investigation that included systematic documentation of the landslides was undertaken in the Calabria region of Italy after the 1783 earthquake swarm. From then until the mid-twentieth century, the best information on earthquake-induced landslides came from a succession ofpost-earthquake investigations largely carried out by formal commissions that undertook extensive ground-based field studies. Beginning in the mid-twentieth century, when the use of aerial photography became widespread, comprehensive inventories of landslide occurrence have been made for several earthquakes in the United States, Peru, Guatemala, Italy, El Salvador, Japan, and Taiwan. Techniques have also been developed for performing ``retrospective' analyses years or decades after an earthquake that attempt to reconstruct the distribution of landslides triggered by the event. The additional use of Geographic Information System (GIS) processing and digital mapping since about 1989 has greatly facilitated the level of analysis that can applied to mapped distributions of landslides. Beginning in 1984, syntheses of worldwide and national data on earthquake-induced landslides have defined their general characteristics and relations between their occurrence and various geologic and seismic parameters. However, the number of comprehensive post-earthquake studies of landslides is still relatively small, and one of the most pressing needs in this area of research is for the complete documentation of landslides triggered by many more earthquakes in a wider variety of environments.  相似文献   

位移监测在滑坡时空运动研究中的应用   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

靳晓光  王兰生  李晓红 《山地学报》2002,20(5):632-635

滑坡时空运动特征是滑坡地质体在内因和外因共同作用下，自一种状态向另一种状态转化的地质过程。滑坡位移监测是研究滑坡变形影响因素、动态规律及预测预报的主要途径，特别是滑坡深部位移监测，又为研究滑坡体的时空运动过程提供了重要信息。本文结合几个滑坡的深部位移监测实践，综合分析位移监测信息，研究滑坡体的时空运动特征及发展趋势，为滑坡时空运动系统研究及稳定性预测提供依据。  相似文献   

基于GIS的滑坡CF多元回归模型及其应用   总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14  

兰恒星  伍法权  王思敬 《山地学报》2002,20(6):732-737

目前基于GIS滑坡变形失稳危险性评价方法均有各自的局限性。本文在基于数据的数学统计模型的基础上提出CF多元回归模型。通过将滑坡确定性稳定系数与回归模型的融合，在一定程度以解决了滑坡评价过程中影响因子的选择和量化的问题，有利于建立准确的滑坡分析模型。最后，将模型应用于云南小江流域，进行了该区的滑坡空间分布及稳定性分析。  相似文献   

西安翠华山山崩地质遗迹资源保护   总被引：5，自引：3，他引：5  

吴成基  孟彩萍 《山地学报》2002,20(6):757-760

文论述了西安翠华山山崩地质遗迹资源保护的目的，进行了保护分区，将其分为核心保护区、缓冲区和视域保护区三个区，重点分析了核心保护区的保护现状，并在此基础上提出了相应的保护内容和对策，以实现山崩地质遗迹资源的可持续利用和发展。  相似文献   

209国道许家湾滑坡的成因及治理对策     

张季如  李明海  尹光辉 《山地学报》2003,21(2):234-238

结合许家湾滑坡灾害点的地质背景资料和现场勘察结果，从滑坡区的地貌、区域地质构造、地层岩性、土壤特性、水文地质特征以及人类工程活动等方面分析滑坡成因机制。指出同向多层次结构的边坡类型、山高坡陡及地表水汇集走廊的地貌特征、发育多组密集节理的区域地质构造、软硬互层的地层岩性、土体的残余强度特性等是滑坡形成的内因；而人为削坡、强降雨和破坏植被营造水耕梯田等人类活动所造成的流水浸蚀，是滑坡形成的诱发空子。基于滑坡稳定性的定量计算，确定了采用抗滑挡土墙、格构式地梁和垫梁组成抗滑系统，并布置了由树枝笼渗沟构成的排水系统等工程治理措施。现场监测结果表明滑坡治理措施卓有成效。  相似文献   

三峡库岸城区滑坡治理与沿江公路建设一体化模式--以重庆万州清泉路滑坡为例   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

陈洪凯  唐红梅 《山地学报》2003,21(6):739-744

三峡库岸城区滑坡90%属于由第四纪松散土体组成的散体滑坡,滑坡区属于城区重要组成部分,降雨及三峡库水位降落是此类滑坡孕发的动力因素。本文以重庆万州清泉路滑坡为例,基于库岸城区滑坡防治原则,构建了实用的滑坡治理与沿江路建设一体化模式,推导了抗滑桩的内力计算方法;详细分析了一体化模式的结构组成及受力特性。研究成果对于三峡库区城区滑坡的治理与开发利用具有较强的指导借鉴作用。  相似文献   

深圳市地质灾害及防治技术   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

张玉芳 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2003,14(4):105-107,111

深圳市是一座新兴的海滨城市，市区东部与西部以花岗岩为主，中部以古老的变质岩为主，部分地区分布有砂岩、泥岩及变质的板岩、粉砂岩，深圳大断裂是区内主要的构造形迹。滑坡地质灾害主要分布在中部。在花岗岩地区主要变形为岩质高边坡崩塌、落石、坍塌等坡面变形；在变质岩、砂岩、泥岩地区发生多处滑坡。地质构造与地质灾害关系密切，深圳大断裂两侧为地质灾害多发区。防治边坡变形的工程措施即桩排、连续墙、基础为桩，锚杆框架；预应力锚索、预应力锚索框架护坡、预应力锚索抗滑桩，设置多级平台减载及琉干排水措施。深圳采用的治理地质灾害的工程措施经过多年的使用达到预期效果，但在上世纪90年代初完成的工程很少考虑工程措施与城市的景观协调。90年代后期已经考虑了工程完成后对城市环境的影响。因此采用防护措施以锚杆框架、预应力锚索框架工程为主，框架间植草，既有利于边坡稳定又有利于美化环境。  相似文献