Landslide intelligent prediction using object-oriented method     

Xianmin Wang  Ruiqing Niu 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2010

Landslides are one of the most serious geological disasters in the world and happen quite frequently in the Three Gorges. Landslide prediction is a very important measure of landslide prevention and cure in the Three Gorges. Traditional methods lack in sufficiently mining the various complex information from a landslide system. They often need much manual intervention and possess poor intelligence and accuracy. An intelligent method proposed in this paper for landslide prediction based on an object-oriented method and knowledge driving is hopeful to solve the above problem. The method adopted Landsat ETM+ images, 1:50,000 geological map and 1:10,000 relief map in the Three Gorges as the data origins. It firstly produced the key factors influencing landslide development and used multi-resolution segmentation algorithm to segment the image objects based on the key landslide factors of engineering rock group, reservoir water fluctuation, slope structure and slope level. Secondly, the method chose some sample objects and adopted the decision tree algorithm C5.0 to mine the landslide forecast criteria according to the factor values of each sample object. Finally, under knowledge driving the method classified the image objects and realized landslide susceptibility analysis and intelligent prediction in the Three Gorges. The method proposed in this paper is object-oriented. Results of a real-world example show that: (1) the object-oriented method possesses much more compact knowledge representation, higher efficiency, more continuous classifying result and higher prediction accuracy compared with the pixel-oriented method; (2) it possesses the overall accuracy of 87.64% and kappa coefficient of 0.8305 and is more accurate than the other seven methods (such as the pixel-oriented methods of Parallelpiped, Minimum Distance, Maximum Likelihood, Mahalanobis Distance, K-means and Isodata and the object-oriented method of Nearest Neighbor); (3) about 46.97% landslides lie in the high susceptibility region, 24.24% landslides lie in the moderate susceptibility region, 27.27% landslides lie in the low susceptibility region and 1.52% landslides lie in the very low susceptibility region. Therefore the method can effectively realize landslide susceptibility analysis and provides a new idea for landslide intelligent and accurate prediction.  相似文献   

Landslide susceptibility zonation mapping and its validation in part of Garhwal Lesser Himalaya, India, using binary logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve method   总被引：12，自引：4，他引：8  

John Mathew  V. K. Jha  G. S. Rawat 《Landslides》2009,6(1):17-26

A landslide susceptibility zonation (LSZ) map helps to understand the spatial distribution of slope failure probability in an area and hence it is useful for effective landslide hazard mitigation measures. Such maps can be generated using qualitative or quantitative approaches. The present study is an attempt to utilise a multivariate statistical method called binary logistic regression (BLR) analysis for LSZ mapping in part of the Garhwal Lesser Himalaya, India, lying close to the Main Boundary Thrust (MBT). This method gives the freedom to use categorical and continuous predictor variables together in a regression analysis. Geographic Information System has been used for preparing the database on causal factors of slope instability and landslide locations as well as for carrying out the spatial modelling of landslide susceptibility. A forward stepwise logistic regression analysis using maximum likelihood estimation method has been used in the regression. The constant and the coefficients of the predictor variables retained by the regression model have been used to calculate the probability of slope failure for the entire study area. The predictive logistic regression model has been validated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, which has given 91.7% accuracy for the developed BLR model.  相似文献   

单排微型桩加固碎石土滑坡物理模型试验   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

孔纪名  蔡强  张引  韩培锋 《山地学报》2013,31(4)

微型桩因其自身优势被广泛使用,但有关其抗滑机理的理论研究相对较少.首先对模型桩的力学特性进了标定试验,获得其弹塑性工作阶段的弹性模量,分别为0.69×104 MPa和0.04×104 MPa;再通过不同桩间距下单排微型桩加固碎石土滑坡室内模型试验,研究微型桩抗滑机理.试验结果表明:不同桩间距下单排微型桩桩后土压力主要集中在滑面以上1/3桩身范围内;桩间距较小,土拱效应越明显,微型桩抗滑失效的最大临界弯矩越大,微型桩能承受的滑坡推力越大,抗滑效果越好.  相似文献   

Structural geomorphology,active faulting and slope deformations in the epicentre area of the MW 7.0, 1857, Southern Italy earthquake     

《Physics and Chemistry of the Earth》2013

In tectonically active domains, fault propagation processes are revealed by landforms. A characteristic morphological feature of exposed active faults is the occurrence of triangular facets. Triangle-shaped landforms morphologically similar to fault-related triangular facets result from erosion of moderately-to-steeply dipping strata or layered successions along fold limbs and are known as flatirons. Triangular facets and flatirons may commonly coexist in mountain chains resulting from the superposition of recent extensional faulting on inherited fold-and-thrust architecture. In these settings analysis of flatirons and triangular facets is not trivial and may result in geomorphologic misinterpretations, hence undermine the interpretations of the geological structure and related deformation history. Here we show that active fault lineaments can be discriminate by inherited morpho-structure. We present the combined results of photo-geological and field survey carried out along well-exposed triangular shaped landforms located in the seismically active Upper Agri River Valley of the Southern Apennine. We found that triangular shaped landforms develop along a major fold back-limb, the Mt. Lama western slope, making it possible to unequivocally interpret these as flatirons. Downslope, Mt. Lama back limb is affected by a large deep-sited landslide whose scarp bound the flatirons and mimics a Holocene fault scarp. This inference appears significant, since the investigated landforms were interpreted by many authors as triangular facets related to an active normal fault, located at its foot, responsible for large historical earthquakes (i.e., the 1857 earthquake). We provide new criteria to discriminate morphologic convergence in tectonically active domains, with consequences for the regional geological interpretation, and for the assessment of geological hazards.  相似文献   

IMPACT OF THE SOUTHERN OSCILLATION ON THE NORTH AMERICAN SOUTHWEST MONSOON     

John A. Harrington Jr.  Randall S. Cerveny  Robert C. Balling Jr. 《自然地理学》2013,34(4):318-330

The intensity and spatial variations in the North American Southwest Monsoon are examined to determine the influence of the Southern Oscillation. Sixty-five years (1920–1984) of July and August monthly precipitation data from Arizona and New Mexico are normalized using a square root transformation, converted into z-scores, and stratified according to onset and following years for Warm Events and Cold Events of the Southern Oscillation. The results for July reveal different spatial patterns in the monsoonal precipitation for the extremes of the Southern Oscillation. Warm-Event onset years are associated with positive precipitation anomalies that decline along a northeast-to-southwest gradient across the study area whereas the Cold-Event onset years produce highest positive values in west-central Arizona and negative values throughout the eastern two-thirds of the study area. Spatial patterns for the August precipitation data do not appear to be influenced by the extremes of the Southern Oscillation. [Key words: Southwest Monsoon, Southern Oscillation, Arizona, New Mexico.]  相似文献   

A novel hybrid approach of Bayesian Logistic Regression and its ensembles for landslide susceptibility assessment     

Mousa Abedini  Bahareh Ghasemian  Ataollah Shirzadi  Himan Shahabi  Kamran Chapi  Binh Thai Pham 《国际地球制图》2013,28(13):1427-1457

Abstract

A novel artificial intelligence approach of Bayesian Logistic Regression (BLR) and its ensembles [Random Subspace (RS), Adaboost (AB), Multiboost (MB) and Bagging] was introduced for landslide susceptibility mapping in a part of Kamyaran city in Kurdistan Province, Iran. A spatial database was generated which includes a total of 60 landslide locations and a set of conditioning factors tested by the Information Gain Ratio technique. Performance of these models was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) and statistical index-based methods. Results showed that the hybrid ensemble models could significantly improve the performance of the base classifier of BLR (AUROC?=?0.930). However, RS model (AUROC?=?0.975) had the highest performance in comparison to other landslide ensemble models, followed by Bagging (AUROC?=?0.972), MB (AUROC?=?0.970) and AB (AUROC?=?0.957) models, respectively.  相似文献   

珠江三角洲广从断裂东侧"西淋岗断层"成因论证     

王萍  郭良田  董好刚  盛强  欧阳立胜  尹行 《岩石学报》2011,27(10):3129-3140

广从断裂是粤中地区一条重要的北东向基底断裂,对于该断裂在珠江三角洲隐伏段的晚第四纪活动性的认识存在分歧.针对最近在广从断裂东侧佛山市西淋岗发现的断错晚第四纪地层现象,开展了地质地貌调查、探槽揭露、第四系年代测定和浅层人工地震探测等工作.对“西淋岗断层”的几何学特征及与基岩断裂的相关性进行了探测和分析,论证了其成因.“西淋岗断层”是新生的重力滑动面,并不是晚第四纪活动断层,与地震无关.目前尚未发现广从断裂晚第四纪以来活动的地质地貌证据,因此不能说明该断裂具备发生强烈地震的构造能力.  相似文献   

Glacial advances constrained by Be exposure dating of bedrock landslides, Kyrgyz Tien Shan     

Katia Sanhueza-Pino  Oliver Korup  Ralf Hetzel  Henry Munack  Johannes T. Weidinger  Stuart Dunning  Cholponbek Ormukov  Peter W. Kubik 《Quaternary Research》2011,76(3):295-304

Numerous large landslide deposits occur in the Tien Shan, a tectonically active intraplate orogen in Central Asia. Yet their significance in Quaternary landscape evolution and natural hazard assessment remains unresolved due to the lack of "absolute" age constraints. Here we present the first ¹⁰Be exposure ages for three prominent (> 10⁷ m³) bedrock landslides that blocked major rivers and formed lakes, two of which subsequently breached, in the northern Kyrgyz Tien Shan. Three ¹⁰Be ages reveal that one landslide in the Alamyedin River occurred at 11–15 ka, which is consistent with two ¹⁴C ages of gastropod shells from reworked loess capping the landslide. One large landslide in Aksu River is among the oldest documented in semi-arid continental interiors, with a ¹⁰Be age of 63–67 ka. The Ukok River landslide deposit(s) yielded variable ¹⁰Be ages, which may result from multiple landslides, and inheritance of ¹⁰Be. Two ¹⁰Be ages of 8.2 and 5.9 ka suggest that one major landslide occurred in the early to mid-Holocene, followed by at least one other event between 1.5 and 0.4 ka. Judging from the regional glacial chronology, all three landslides have occurred between major regional glacial advances. Whereas Alamyedin and Ukok can be considered as postglacial in this context, Aksu is of interglacial age. None of the landslide deposits show traces of glacial erosion, hence their locations and ¹⁰Be ages mark maximum extents and minimum ages of glacial advances, respectively. Using toe-to-headwall altitude ratios of 0.4–0.5, we reconstruct minimum equilibrium-line altitudes that exceed previous estimates by as much as 400 m along the moister northern fringe of the Tien Shan. Our data show that deposits from large landslides can provide valuable spatio-temporal constraints for glacial advances in landscapes where moraines and glacial deposits have low preservation potential.  相似文献   

GPS RTK技术用于滑坡动态实时变形监测的研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王利  张勤  李寻昌  张永奇  管建安  涂锐 《工程地质学报》2011,19(2):193-198

为了研究GPS RTK技术用于滑坡动态变形监测的精度和可靠性,本文结合某类滑坡的大型物理模型试验,在滑坡体上布设了若干监测点,并用GPS RTK技术、全站仪三维测量技术和GPS单历元定位技术实时跟踪监测了该滑坡在自然状态下从稳定到产生破坏的全部过程。通过对监测数据的处理和分析,获得了RTK技术用于滑坡变形监测的可靠性和精度等技术参数,即在基准站和流动站同步观测到的卫星数在7颗以上且RTK系统的数据链能够正常工作的情况下,RTK测量的平面和高程精度就能分别控制在15mm和20mm以内。研究结果表明,RTK技术在一定条件下完全可用于滑坡灾害的动态实时变形监测。  相似文献   

瓦屋山水电站厂房区红层岩体古滑坡稳定性研究     

王子忠  许模  杨绍平 《工程地质学报》2011,19(2):213-218

红层岩体以其岩体结构的软硬相间及软弱夹层发育而在边坡稳定方面表现为"易滑地层".瓦屋山水电站厂房区边坡为顺向坡,砂岩类岩石与黏土岩类岩石呈缓倾、互层状(倾角10°～20°)产出.构造与表生改造作用下,在这两类软硬相间的岩石界面上常形成分布较为连续的软弱夹层,这类岩体较易沿软弱夹层产生顺层滑动.地质历史时期,瓦屋山厂房区...  相似文献