Forecasting extreme events in the tropical Indian Ocean sector climate     

Roxana C. Wajsowicz   《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2005,39(1-2):137

Prospects for forecasting climate variability over the tropical Indian Ocean sector, specifically extreme positive events of the Indian Dipole Mode (IDM), with lead times of a season or more are investigated using the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) coupled-model system. The coupled system presents biases in its climatology over the Indian Ocean sector, which include (i) warmest sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) occurring in the central equatorial basin rather than on the eastside with the eastern (western) tropical SSTs up to 1 °C too cool (warm), (ii) a too northwest lying InterTropical Convergence Zonal over the ocean in boreal fall, (iii) a thermocline shallower (deeper) than observed west of Sumatra-Java (north of Madagascar), (iv) a delay of about a month in the onset (cessation) of the southwest (southeast) monsoon in the west (east) in boreal spring (fall). These biases affect the effectiveness of the SST-clouds-shortwave radiation negative feedback, the sensitivity of SST to wind-stress perturbations, and the character of equatorial coupled ocean-atmosphere modes. Despite these biases, ensemble hindcasts of the SST anomalies averaged over the eastern and western poles of the IDM for the decade 1993–2002, which included extreme positive events in 1994 and 1997/1998, are encouragingly good at 3-months lead. The onset of the 1997/1998-event is delayed by about a month, though the peak and decay are correctly timed. At 6-months lead-time, the forecast at the eastern pole deteriorates with either positive or negative false alarms generated each boreal fall. The forecast at the western pole remains good.  相似文献   

Ilmenite composition in the Tellnes Fe–Ti deposit,SW Norway: fractional crystallization,postcumulus evolution and ilmenite–zircon relation     

Bernard Charlier  Øyvind Skår  Are Korneliussen  Jean-Clair Duchesne  Jacqueline Vander Auwera 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2007,154(2):119-134

Major and trace element XRF and in situ LA-ICP-MS analyses of ilmenite in the Tellnes ilmenite deposit, Rogaland Anorthosite Province, SW Norway, constrains a two stage fractional crystallization model of a ferrodioritic Fe-Ti-P rich melt. Stage 1 is characterized by ilmenite-plagioclase cumulates, partly stored in the lower part of the ore body (Lower Central Zone, LCZ), and stage 2 by ilmenite-plagioclase-orthopyroxene-olivine cumulates (Upper Central Zone, UCZ). The concentration of V and Cr in ilmenite, corrected for the trapped liquid effect, (1) defines the cotectic proportion of ilmenite to be 17.5 wt% during stage 1, and (2) implies an increase of D _V^Ilm during stage 2, most likely related to a shift in fO₂. The proportion of 17.5 wt% is lower than the modal proportion of ilmenite (ca. 50 wt%) in the ore body, implying accumulation of ilmenite and flotation of plagioclase. The fraction of residual liquid left after crystallization of Tellnes cumulates is estimated at 0.6 and the flotation of plagioclase at 26 wt% of the initial melt mass. The increasing content of intercumulus magnetite with stratigraphic height, from 0 to ca. 3 wt%, results from differentiation of the trapped liquid towards magnetite saturation. The MgO content of ilmenite (1.4–4.4 wt%) is much lower than the expected cumulus composition. It shows extensive postcumulus re-equilibration with trapped liquid and ferromagnesian silicates, correlated with distance to the host anorthosite. The Zr content of ilmenite, provided by in situ analyses, is low (<114 ppm) and uncorrelated with stratigraphy or Cr content. The data demonstrate that zircon coronas observed around ilmenite formed by subsolidus exsolution of ZrO₂ from ilmenite. The U-Pb zircon age of 920 ± 3 Ma probably records this exsolution process. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.  相似文献   

白云鄂博碳酸岩脉的显微共聚焦激光拉曼光谱分析     

秦朝建  裘愉卓  周国富  王中刚  张台荣  肖国望 《矿物学报》2007,27(3):400-405

白云鄂博矿区发育的脉状稀土碳酸岩，由于其结晶迅速，矿物颗粒细微，其中的微小矿物的鉴定一直是一个难题。应用显微共聚焦激光拉曼光谱仪则能较好地解决这一问题。研究表明，白云鄂博地区存在富稀土白云质岩浆碳酸岩脉，早期阶段形成碱性长石和铁白云石，无稀土矿化；铁白云石常常出溶铁质而自身则形成方解石。霓石和方解石形成略晚，常常与氟碳铈矿等稀土矿物共生，出现强烈的稀土矿化；而无解理的方解石则形成于更晚的岩浆期后热液阶段，发育大量的流体包裹体，并出现强烈的铌、稀土矿化。铌铁矿分布在氟碳铈矿中和赤铁矿边缘，为热液交代作用的产物。早期结晶的矿物如碱性长石、铁白云石稀土矿化弱，岩浆晚期分异出大量的流体相，稀土元素和Sr等进入岩浆热液中，并在热液结晶矿物中富集，甚至在非平衡结晶的石英中产生强烈的稀土矿化。结合岩相学显微观察，显微拉曼探针很好的揭示了这一地质过程。同时为白云鄂博矿床铌、稀土矿化的热液交代成因提供了依据。  相似文献   

激光测距—成像组合扫描仪多源数据采集技术的研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

舒嵘  赵淑华  薛永祺 《遥感学报》2002,6(2):92-95

阐述一套机载运行的光学－机械扫描式激光测距和被动式热红外外扫描成像组合遥感器，结合飞机平台的姿态测量和GPS定位，可实时（准实时）获取地面景物的三维位置和影像灰度信息。由多源数据采集技术获得的多种同步数据经地面计算机回放和处理，可以快速生成数字地面高程模型（DEM）和地学编码图像。扫描激光测距仪与扫描成像仪的电同步技术控制激光测距采样时刻与图像采样时刻在时序上的一致性，从而达到高程数据与图像像元的匹配。  相似文献   

193nmLA-ICPMS对国际地质标准参考物质中42种主量和微量元素的分析   总被引：31，自引：16，他引：31  

柳小明  高山  袁洪林  Bodo HATTENDORF  DetlefGNTHER  陈亮  胡圣红 《岩石学报》2002,18(3):408-418

本文采用配备有 193nm Ar F准分子 (excimer)激光器的 Geo L as2 0 0 M剥蚀系统和 Elan6 10 0 DRC ICP- MS对 4个美国地质调查所 (USGS)玻璃标准参考物质以及 3个美国国家标准技术研究院 (NIST)人工合成硅酸盐玻璃标准参考物质中几乎覆盖整个质量数范围 (从 7L i到 2 38U)的 38个微量和 4个主量 (Na、Mg、Ti和 Mn)元素进行了分析。分析结果表明 ,无论是对 USGS还是 NIST玻璃 ,元素分析的相对标准偏差 RSDs和分析值与参考值之间的相对偏差 (RDs)一般优于 10 % ,RSD和RD较大的元素主要出现在含量很低或不均匀样品中。稀土元素的 RSD显示 ,除 AGV- 2 G可能存在不均匀现象外 ,其它所测样品在 6 0 μm尺度上 ,元素分布是均匀的。本研究证明 ,由于 ICP- MS具有 10 8cps(每秒计数 )的动态线性范围 ,本实验室的L A- ICPMS系统可定量分析含量在百分之几的主量元素及微量元素。分析精密度和准确度可与常规溶液雾化进样 ICP- MS方法相媲美  相似文献   

Laser-based validation of GLONASS orbits by short-arc technique   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

F. Barlier  C. Berger  P. Bonnefond  P. Exertier  O. Laurain  J. F. Mangin  J. M. Torre 《Journal of Geodesy》2001,75(11):600-612

 The International GLONASS Experiment (IGEX-98) was carried out between 19 October 1998 and 19 April 1999. Among several objectives was the precise orbit determination of GPS and GLONASS satellites and its validation by laser ranging observations. Local laser-based orbit corrections (radial, tangential and normal components in a rotating orbital local reference frame) are computed using a geometrical short-arc technique. The order of magnitude of these corrections is at the level of few decimeters, depending on the considered components. The orbit corrections are analyzed as a function of several parameters (date, orbital plane, geographical area). The mean corrections are at the level of several centimeters. However, when averaging over the entire campaign and for all the satellites, no mean radial, tangential and normal orbit corrections are found. The origin of the observed corrections is considered (errors due to the geocentric gravitational constant, the non-gravitational forces, the thermal equilibrium of on-board equipment, the reference systems, the location and the signature of the retroreflector array, and the precision of the satellite laser ranges). Some features are also due to errors in the radio-tracking GLONASS orbits. Further investigations will be needed to better understand the origin of various biases. Received: 17 February 2000 / Accepted: 31 January 2001  相似文献   

The generation of phytoplankton patchiness by mesoscale current patterns   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Katja Fennel 《Ocean Dynamics》2001,52(2):58-70

 Elken et al. (1994) suggested that phytoplankton patchiness can be generated by mesoscale eddies in light-limited, nutrient-replete environments. This hypothesis is explored using two ecological models of different physical complexity. The model results support the idea that the coupling of mesoscale eddy circulation and phytoplankton growth leads to differential growth rates and thus generates variability in phytoplankton distributions. The specific circulation of a cyclonic eddy isolates a phytoplankton population in its core. Due to the reduced vertical mixing, a higher growth rate is supported in the core, and phytoplankton concentrations increase compared to the surrounding environment. A one-dimensional model is used to explore the hypothesis in general and to perform sensitivity studies. A more realistic simulation uses a coupled three- dimensional model for the western Baltic Sea. Starting from vertically and horizontally homogeneous distributions for nutrients and plankton, the models generate patchiness due to the proposed mechanism. The described mechanism may apply for other mesoscale variable environments during light-limited growth periods as well, e.g., the frontal region of the Southern Ocean. Received: 31 March 2001 / Accepted: 31 August 2001  相似文献   

ENSO循环的数值模拟──Ⅰ:水平结构演变     

杨修群  谢倩 《气象学报》1996,54(1):42-52

利用发展的包含海洋表面边界展和大气辐合反馈过程的热带太平洋海气耦合距平模式，对ＥＮＳＯ循环进行了模拟。通过３０ａ积分，用合模式所展示的热带太平洋海气耦合系统的ＥＮＳＯ循环的水平结构演变特征和观测事实甚为一致，成功地模拟出了ＥＮＳＯ循环的冷暖态的发生发展、衰亡及相互转换等各个位相的动力和热力场的水平结构及其对季节循环的依赖性特征。本文数值模拟结果表明，ＥＮＳＯ循环的主要动力学过程可由热带海气相互作用系统自身所确定。ＥＮＳＯ循环的正确模拟是揭示其形成机制的前提。  相似文献   

简单海气耦合的线性和非线性Rossby波     

夏友龙  王永中  邓北胜 《热带气象学报》1996,12(3):200-206

采用忽略Ｒｅｙｌｅｉｇｈ摩擦和Ｎｏｗｔｏｎ冷却的定常，线性大气模式和地转动量近似下的非线性海洋模式。这里包含了大气通过线性风应力影响海洋，海洋通过加热过程影响大气的物理机制。用相平面理论讨论了海气耦合作用对简单耦合线Ｒｏｓｓｂｙ波和非线性Ｒｏｓｓｂｙ波的影响。  相似文献   

激光荧光雷达系统的测量方法与应用     

刘南英  荀毓龙  吴文洲  孙修洪 《遥感学报》1992,(Z1)

本文叙述了应用激光荧光雷达系统测量海上溢油类别以及植被、岩矿、土壤、地被物等荧光光谱的方法与技术。该装置由N_2激光源、OSA光学光谱分析仪、卡斯格伦望远镜接收系统三部分组成。该装置可在室内,也可在室外25—60m远处测量各种物质的受激发射荧光。该仪器用标准灯谱进行了校正。  相似文献