新一代冰流模式乌阿及其在南极埃默里冰架的应用   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李腾  陈卓奇  李慧林  程晓  韦屹  刘岩 《冰川冻土》2020,42(1):254-264

南极冰盖不仅是全球环境变化的指示器, 其消融所产生成的淡水输入也是未来海平面上升的主要不确定性来源。数值模式是诊断冰流动力机制、 评估冰盖物质损耗的重要手段。本文首先介绍了乌阿（冰岛语úa或英语Ua）冰流模式的基本原理, 并利用该模式模拟东南极埃默里冰架的动态变化。乌阿冰流模式基于质量和动量守恒方程的垂直积分, 在自适应不规则三角网格上求解微分方程, 仅用少数参数规则即可构造适应冰流动力特征的网格结构, 有效缩减运算时间。采用当前主流的模式边界数据集, 针对埃默里冰架设计了两个试验。试验一为反演试验, 试验中模式的代价函数在100次迭代后下降三个数量级, 表明模拟的流速与遥感观测吻合（RMSE = 13.35 m·a^-1）, 但高频细节仍有待提高; 试验二为预测试验, 测试了模拟冰厚变化率的不确定性, 以自由漂移量接近零为标准选出一组最优模型参数, 最后假设埃默里冰架解体情景开展模拟, 结果表明冰架解体会导致海平面上升（45.36 ± 0.08） mm。随着资料更新迭代, 基于最新发布的南极底部地形数据模拟效果是否提升还有待未来检验。  相似文献   

New relative sea-level curves for the southern Scott Coast,Antarctica: evidence for Holocene deglaciation of the western Ross Sea     

Brenda L. Hall  George H. Denton 《第四纪科学杂志》1999,14(7):641-650

Here we present new relative sea-level (RSL) curves developed from Holocene-aged raised beaches along the southern Scott Coast of the western Ross Sea, Antarctica. Fifty-four dates of marine shells, seal skin and elephant seal remains incorporated within raised beaches during storms afford a chronology for these curves. All of the curves show the same pattern and timing of RSL change within a small range of error. The best-dated curve suggests that final unloading of grounded Ross Sea ice from the southern Scott Coast and McMurdo Sound region occurred shortly before 6500 ¹⁴C yr BP. This age is consistent with glacial geological evidence that places deglaciation between 5730 and 8340 ¹⁴C yr BP. Our data strongly suggest that grounding-line retreat of the Ross Sea ice sheet southward through the McMurdo Sound region occurred in mid- and late Holocene time. If this is correct, then rising sea level could not have driven ice recession to the present-day grounding line on the Siple Coast, because global deglacial sea-level rise was essentially accomplished by mid-Holocene time. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A two-phase numerical model for sediment transport prediction under oscillatory sheet flows   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ming Li  Shunqi Pan  Brian A. O'Connor   《Coastal Engineering》2008,55(12):1159-1173

To predict sediment transport under oscillatory sheet flow condition, especially for fine sand, is still a challenging research subject in coastal engineering. This paper describes a newly-developed numerical model based on two-phase theory with the use of a one-equation turbulence closure, and its applications in predicting fine sediment suspension in near-prototype oscillatory sheet flow conditions. Model results were compared with comprehensive laboratory measurements of flow velocity and sediment concentration under both symmetrical and asymmetrical oscillatory sheet flows from a large-scale water tunnel. Good agreements between the model results and measurements were achieved and the results demonstrated that the model is capable of reproducing detailed characteristics of sediment entrainment process in the sheet flow regime. The comparisons also revealed the fact that the concentration peaks at flow reversal is associated with the strong vertical sediment transport flux in the pickup layer, which has been widely observed in many laboratory experiments. The effects of flow reversal events on total sediment transport were also discussed.  相似文献