基于尺度因素的地下水随机分析          下载免费PDF全文

史良胜  杨金忠  林琳  李少龙 《水科学进展》2007,18(1):39-43

针对小尺度的各态历经假设的失效,研究了小尺度上多孔介质特性参数统计特征。利用基于K-L(Karhunen-Loeve)展开和混沌展开的谱模型,分析了尺度大小对地下水流动的影响。结果表明,尺度大小导致了特征值系列和特征函数系列的变化,尺度的变化对水头、含水量、流速影响程度不同;水头和流速方差与尺度相关,尺度越大,水头和流速方差越大;研究尺度的变化对水头、含水量、流速均值产生的影响较小。  相似文献   

导航卫星原子钟频率漂移特性分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

郭海荣  杨生  何海波 《全球定位系统》2007,32(6):5-10

介绍了原子钟频漂定义，总结了频率漂移率测试评定方法，比较分析了不同噪声情况下的频率漂移率估计方法，并用实验室真空状态铷钟的频率偏差数据和GPS卫星钟的精密星历数据进行了计算分析，表明铷钟都有明显频漂，GPSIIR铷钟的日漂移率在10^-15。量级，而铯钟频漂不是很明显。研究了频漂对原子钟时域稳定性影响规律，还利用模拟数据进行了计算分析。验证了方法的有效性．  相似文献   

中国春季气温异常变率的非线性特征     

徐同  郭品文  居丽丽 《河南气象》2007,(2)

运用一种基于神经网络的非线性主成分分析法(NLPCA)对中国1951-2003年53 a春季气温距平场进行分析,结果表明,春季气温异常变率具有显著的非线性特征,当非线性主元u分别取最大值和最小值时,对应的空间气温异常分布型具有显著的非对称性。  相似文献   

Application of statistical method in pollution episode analyses     

Kuang-Jung Hsu  Ching-Chi Wu 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2007,57(1):19-40

Observed pollutants are of both primary and secondary origins, influenced by local topography and meteorology. Identifying sources and relative contribution often require vast detailed data collection and complicated models. This study applied a statistical time series analysis to two selected pollution events, spring and fall, at two sites in northern Taiwan. Vector moving average representations were used to quantitatively examine relationships among chemical pollutants and estimate their lifetimes. Results from impulse responses show that wind direction change alters the characteristic of pollution observed in opposite sites of Taipei City, from chemical dominant system to transport dominant one and vice versa. Chemicals are clearly separated into photochemical pollutants and primary pollutants. Results pointed out that Taipei City is the major source of photochemical smog, but not these primary pollutants. Derived chemical lifetimes at same location vary from 20% to four times under different meteorological condition. Estimated concentrations of hydroxyl radical range between 2 to 8 × 10⁷ cm⁻³. Photochemical pollutants are responsible for parts of PM10 collected in both station observed. Oxidation of SO₂ is only important in PM10 observed at one station. This study provides a simpler tool to derive information usually from complex models, therefore, is suitable as complement in decision-making process.  相似文献   

一种简化的Helmert方差分量估计算法   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

田远平  孙敏 《测绘工程》1998,7(1):45-48,53

Ｈｅｌｍｅｒｔ方法是通过求出两类观测值的单位方差,来修正其先验权,用迭代法最终求得正确的权。本文提出,如果已知两类观测值的单位方差之比,即可定出正确的权,从而使计算简单化。  相似文献   

浦城地区火山岩型铀成矿远景预测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

肖斌  王勇 《华东地质学院学报》1998,21(1):14-19

本文根据浦城地区的成矿地质条件,利用信息量法、逻辑矢量长度法和逻辑矢量长度加权法,在已有成矿地质模型的基础上,筛选出有利的地质变量。根据地质变量对成矿的贡献大小,建立评价模型,圈出有利成矿区。经地质评价,认为各有利成矿区成矿条件有利,有较大的找矿前景。  相似文献   

Relationships between rainy days,mean daily intensity and seasonal rainfall in normal,flood and drought years over india     

C. V. Singh 《大气科学进展》1998,15(3):424-432

There are limitations in using the seasonal rainfall total in studies of Monsoon rainfall climatology. A correlation analysis of the individual station seasonal rainfall with all India seasonal mean rainfall has been made. After taking the significance test (strictly up to 5% level) the stations which are significantly correlated have been considered in this study in normal, flood and drought years respectively. Analysis of seasonal rainfall data of 50 stations spread over a period of 41 years suggests that a linear relationship fits better than the logarithmic relationship when seasonal rain-fall versus number of rainy days is studied. The linear relationship is also found to be better in the case of seasonal rainfall versus mean daily intensity.  相似文献   

Retrieval single-doppler radar wind with variational assimilation method-part i: objective selection of functional weighting factors   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Wei Ming  Dang Renqing  Ge Wenzhong  Takao Takeda 《大气科学进展》1998,15(4):553-568

In variational problem, the selection of functional weighting factors (FWF) is one of the key points for discussing many relevant studies. To overcome arbitrariness and subjectivity of the empirical selecting methods used widely at present, this paper tries to put forward in optimal objective selecting method of FWF. The focus of the study is on the weighting factors optimal selection in the variation retrieval single-Doppler radar wind field with the simple adjoint models. Weighting factors in the meaning of minimal variance are calculated out with the matrix theory and the finite difference method of partial differential equation. Experiments show that the result is more objective comparing with the factors obtained with the empirical method.  相似文献   

A Lagrangian stochastic model for the trajectories of particle pairs and its application to the prediction of concentration variance within plant canopies     

A. M. Reynolds 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1998,88(3):467-478

A simple Lagrangian stochastic model for the trajectories of particle pairs in high Reynolds-number turbulent flows is presented. In this model, the velocities of particle pairs are initially correlated but subsequently each particle moves independently. The independent single-particle trajectories are simulated using Thomson's model [J. Fluid Mech. 180, 529–556, 1987]. This two-particle model exactly satisfies the well-mixed condition for Gaussian turbulence when length scales, characterizing the two-point Eulerian velocity correlation function, vanish. Temperature variances, due to heat released as a passive scalar from an elevated plane source, within a model plant canopy (Coppin et al. Boundary Layer Meteorol. 35, 167–191, 1986) are shown to be well predicted by the model. It is suggested that for strongly inhomogeneous flows, the two-point Eulerian velocity function is of secondary importance in determining the simulated trajectories of particle pairs compared to the importance of ensuring satisfaction of the two-to-one constraint (Borgas and Sawford. J. Fluid Mech. 279, 69–99, 1994); i.e ensuring that one-particle statistics obtained from the two-particle model are the same as those obtained from the corresponding one-particle model. Limitations of this modelling approach are discussed.  相似文献   

1980～1994年台湾海峡两岸的地热涡与降水季度预报初探   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

汤懋苍  柳中明  高晓清  冯松 《气象学报》1998,56(5):611-618

利用１９８０～１９９４年大陆３．２ｍ深度和台湾３．０ｍ深度的地温资料,分析了１５ａ来的逐季地气图,统计了台湾海峡两岸的地热涡活动,发现平均每季有１个地热涡活动,其水平尺度比大陆内部的地热涡要小,生命史也要短,进入台湾地区的地热涡绝大多数是从西方和北方进入,其移动速度比大陆内部的要快得多。９０％以上的地热涡在同期有多雨区与其对应,热涡中心与多雨中心相距在１００ｋｍ以内者占６８％。最后给出了一个季度降水的定性预测方案,其步骤为：预报地热涡的中心位置、强度和水平尺度;推算降水正距平区的水平尺度、中心位置和强度;根据本区发生的地震等情况进行预报订正。  相似文献