浅析晋西北地区2007年秋季连阴雨降水过程     

刘谋荣  刘亮珍  皇甫树芳  范新生  周伟 《山西气象》2010,(1):17-18,24

2007年9月下旬中期-10月上旬,晋西北地区出现了过程雨量最大、持续时间最长的秋季连阴雨天气过程,致使气温持续偏低,日照寡缺,地表积水严重,给当地的工农业生产造成严重影响。本文利用2007年9月下旬-10月上旬的气象观测资料,从高低空形势、风场特征、水汽条件等方面对2007年9月26日-10月10日秋季连阴雨进行初步分析发现,2007年我国北方秋季发生长时间的连阴雨与赤道中东太平洋海温有重要关系。2007年秋季北方降水异常型表现出了典型的La Nina的影响。  相似文献   

华北汛期水汽条件的年代际特征分析     

刘海文  田淑欣  杜建华 《山东气象》2010,30(2):1-4

利用NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,使用合成分析等方法,分析了华北汛期水汽条件的年代际变化特征,结果表明：大气对华北汛期的水汽输送以及华北区域的水汽收支有明显的年代际变化。以1978年为界,先前以异常西南风对华北进行水汽输送的改变为以后的异常东北风的水汽输送,先前以异常东风水汽输送的改变为以后的异常偏西风水汽输送,先前以异常偏西风水汽输送的改变为以后的异常偏东风水汽输送。对于华北区域而言,先前由南边界和西边界的异常水汽输送,改变为以后的由北边界和东边界异常水汽输送,华北地区水汽由以前的异常水汽辐合和盈余,改变为以后的异常水汽辐散和亏损。  相似文献   

2008年“凤凰”台风暴雨的水汽和螺旋度分析   总被引：8，自引：8，他引：0  

刘汉华  唐伟民  赵利刚 《气象科学》2010,30(3):344-350

本文利用NCEP/NCAR1°×1°再分析格点资料和降水实况数据,对"0808"号台风"凤凰"在登陆福建前后引发浙闽沿海地区的暴雨过程进行水汽和螺旋度分析。结果表明:东海和南海是此次强降水的主要水汽供应源。水汽输送辐合主要出现在低层,950 hPa水汽通量散度幅合场对强降水落区有较好的指示作用。台风登陆福建之前,东边界的水汽输入起主导作用;登陆福建后,南边界的水汽输入逐渐起主导作用。800 hPa螺旋度正值区对未来6 h强降水落区有很好的指示意义。同时,螺旋度强度演变对未来6 h的降水强度有较好的正相关关系。水汽收支演变表明净水汽输入量对于降水强度演变的指示效果不及螺旋度,但是整层净水汽输入明显减小时,可预见其后降水强度减小。  相似文献   

陕西果业基地伏旱指数及其预报方法     

刘璐  栗珂  柴芊 《气象科学》2010,30(3):382-386

选取陕西苹果(梨)生产基地县中生态环境、气候特点与苹果(梨)产业发展水平具有代表性的10个台站,近40 a(1969—2008年)伏期降水量和无降水日数资料,设计并计算其伏旱指数。将伏旱指数分成强、偏强、中等、偏弱和弱五个等级,并用典型k阶自回归AR(k)预测模式进行独立样本预测试验。结果表明:伏旱指数能够较客观地反映基地县的伏旱强度,且伏旱指数的时空分布特征差异较大。这与这些基地县所处纬度、海拔高度、生态环境和气候背景的差异有关。典型k阶自回归预测模式预测准确及基本准确率在70%左右,预报效果尚好,具有实用价值。  相似文献   

一次华北暴雨过程的数值模拟及水汽螺旋度和水汽涡度收支应用分析   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

骆凯  李耀东  秦丽 《气象与减灾研究》2010,33(2):35-42

运用WRF模式对2009年8月发生在华北地区的一次暴雨过程进行了数值模拟,按照性质的不同对模拟降水进行了研究,还进行了湿度场试验,最后利用模式输出结果对水汽螺旋度和水汽涡度收支进行了诊断分析。结果表明,数值模式比较合理地再现了本次暴雨天气过程。显式降水在模拟的总降水量中占了很大的比重,但是在暴雨爆发初期,积云降水起了重要作用。对流层中层的水汽饱和程度对模拟降水性质及降水量大小有重要影响,显式降水一般发生在空气饱和程度较高的区域,而位势不稳定则是诱发积云降水的主要原因。对流层中低层水汽螺旋度的强度变化在一定程度上代表了降水系统的强弱变化,其高值区与强降水落区在出现的时间和空间上都存在较好的一致性。水汽涡度收支对于水汽涡度及水汽螺旋度的变化具有很好的指示意义,可以作为预报降水的一个动力指标。  相似文献   

Moisture sorption behaviour of salt mixtures in porous stone     

Christoph Franzen  Peter W. Mirwald 《Chemie der Erde / Geochemistry》2009,69(1):91-98

Moisture in stone material is the key factor for all stone deterioration processes and also in weathering of cultural heritage. With additional presence of salts in the material the situation gets even more critical. While the properties of pure salts with moisture are well known, knowledge about the interaction of salt mixtures with moisture is still poor. In different approaches the reactions of salt-contaminated stone material on changing moisture were tested in the laboratory. Experiments with different solutions in the Na-Mg-SO₄-NO₃-H₂O system revealed interesting new results on the moisture behaviour of salt-contaminated samples. Theoretical considerations and computer simulations are helpful to interpret the data obtained, but are not yet sufficient to explain the real processes acting on site at the monuments. More encouraging to this fact are complementary studies on visible efflorescences in the same salt system. It is shown how by experimental approaches the understanding on salt-induced stone deterioration is strongly complemented.  相似文献   

Comparison of Positron Emission Tomography and X-ray radiography for studies of physical processes in sandstone     

Patrick Goethals  Anneke Volkaert  Patric Jacobs  Staf Roels  Jan Carmeliet 《Engineering Geology》2009,103(3-4):134-138

The migration of moisture in cores of porous homogeneous sandstone of Ledian age (Belgian Eocene, Tertiary) is monitored with PET (Positron Emission Tomography) and micro-focus X-ray radiography. In the case of PET, a nuclear medical imaging technique, ⁵⁵Co-EDTA (Ethylenediamine Tetraacetic acid) and R-¹⁸F were used as water-soluble tracers. The X-ray projection method has evolved from the better-known medical technique and allows a fast and accurate determination of the two-dimensional transient moisture content profiles. Results indicate that both techniques can deliver important information concerning physical processes in situ.  相似文献   

On the swelling potential of compacted high plasticity clays     

Valry Ferber  Jean-Claude Auriol  Yu-Jun Cui  Jean-Pierre Magnan 《Engineering Geology》2009,104(3-4):200-210

We conducted a study of the spatial distributions of seismicity and earthquake hazard parameters for Turkey and the adjacent areas, applying the maximum likelihood method. The procedure allows for the use of either historical or instrumental data, or even a combination of the two. By using this method, we can estimate the earthquake hazard parameters, which include the maximum regional magnitude Mˆ_max, the activity rate of seismic events and the well-known bˆ value, which is the slope of the frequency-magnitude Gutenberg-Richter relationship. These three parameters are determined simultaneously using an iterative scheme. The uncertainty in the determination of the magnitudes was also taken into consideration. The return periods (RP) of earthquakes with a magnitude M ≥ m are also evaluated. The whole examined area is divided into 24 seismic regions based on their seismotectonic regime. The homogeneity of the magnitudes is an essential factor in such studies. In order to achieve homogeneity of the magnitudes, formulas that convert any magnitude to an M_S-surface scale are developed. New completeness cutoffs and their corresponding time intervals are also assessed for each of the 24 seismic regions. Each of the obtained parameters is distributed into its respective seismic region, allowing for an analysis of the localized seismicity parameters and a representation of their regional variation on a map. The earthquake hazard level is also calculated as a function of the form Θ = (Mˆ_max,RP_6.0), and a relative hazard scale (defined as the index K) is defined for each seismic region. The investigated regions are then classified into five groups using these parameters. This classification is useful for theoretical and practical reasons and provides a picture of quantitative seismicity. An attempt is then made to relate these values to the local tectonics.  相似文献   

Confocal laser scanning microscopy and Raman imagery of ancient microscopic fossils     

J. William Schopf  Anatoliy B. Kudryavtsev   《Precambrian Research》2009,173(1-4):39

Among all problems confronting the study of ancient permineralized (petrified) microscopic fossils, two stand out, the need for (1) accurate documentation of their three-dimensional morphology, and (2) direct analysis of their chemical composition and that of their surrounding mineral matrices. To address these problems we demonstrate the use of two techniques that we have recently introduced to Precambrian paleobiology: confocal laser scanning microscopy and Raman imagery. These techniques, both of which are non-intrusive and non-destructive, can provide data by which to characterize, in situ and at micron-scale resolution, the cellular and organismal morphology of thin section-embedded organic-walled fossils. In addition, Raman imagery provides direct analyses of the molecular–structural composition of the kerogenous components of such fossils and of their surrounding matrices, and a means to assess quantitatively the geochemical maturity of the preserved organics. Use of these techniques for studies of ancient microscopic fossils can provide information in three dimensions at high spatial resolution about their morphology and cellular anatomy, taphonomy and fidelity of preservation, composition and mode of preservation, and their biogenicity and syngenetic origin with the rocks in which they occur.  相似文献   

Study on the Area Variation of Qinghai Lake Based on Long-Term Landsat 5/8 Multi-Band Remote Sensing Imagery   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Weixiao Han  Chunlin Huang  Yunchen Wang  Juan Gu 《地球科学进展》2019,34(4):346-355

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