兴海6．6级地震前电磁异常特性的综合分析     

马玉虎  张铁军 《高原地震》2001,13(1):21-25

总结了兴海6．6级地震前青海东部电磁学科所反映的异常特征，并对兴海地震的孕震过程予以初步的分析。  相似文献   

基于AHP-熵-TOPSIS对极轨气象卫星应用系统健康程度评价指标体系     

邢开云  贾树泽  赵现纲  冯小虎 《气象科技》2020,48(4):482-489

以实现对极轨气象卫星应用系统健康程度进行综合评价为目的,提出结合主观分析的层次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)和客观分析的熵权法(Entropy Weight,EW)确定待评价系统指标值的综合权重,再采用逼近理想解排序法(Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution,TOPSIS)对系统的指标进行多角度评价排序来作为最终评价结果。本文根据连续5个月3颗极轨气象卫星在实际业务系统运行中异常指标样本进行实证分析。结果表明该方法较为全面考虑了影响应用系统的多种因素,避免了单一判据的局限性,并对各指标的重要性进行综合对比分析,使得评价结果更科学准确,可以作为构建极轨气象卫星应用系统健康程度评价指标体系的一种方法。  相似文献   

A STUDY ON DECISION-MAKING OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS FOR REGIONAL WATER RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT     

Guo Huaicheng  Guan Boren 《地理学报(英文版)》1994,(Z2)

I.Intr0ducti0nAwnerresource-environmentalsystem,withmanyquantitativeandqualitativefactors,consistsofwaterresourcesdevelopmentandenvironment.Itisveryddriculttocarryoutoverallassessmentsanddecision-maldngstudiesofthesystemusingapurelyquantitativen1athematical-l11odel.However,AnalyticalHicerarcl1yProcess(AHP,anewmethodfOrtheplanninganddecisioll-making,combiningqualitativefactorswithquantitativefactors,cansolvethedecision-mdengpr0blemsOfmultiplehierarchiesandgOalsforacomplexsystem.Thismeth0d,t…  相似文献   

Accretion rates on some debris slopes in the Mt. Rae area,Canadian Rocky Mountains   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

James S. Gardner 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1983,8(4):347-355

Accretion of debris was monitored on six slopes in the Mt. Rae area of the Canadian Rocky Mountains for the period 1975–1982. Monitoring was accomplished by measuring annually the accumulated debris on fabric mats which were placed on the long profile of the slopes. Annual rates of accretion were extremely variable between points on the same slope, between slopes, and between years. The data do not show a systematic decrease in accretion downslope but indicate that an absence of accretion is more likely on the lower half of the slopes. In general, annual rates are comparable to previously published values from the Rockies and the maximum rates of 30 to 40 mm per year are comparable to those from Karkevagge in Scandinavia. Extremely high rates of accretion were all related to extreme events such as debris flows or full depth snow avalanches. The variation in accretion rates is not explained by single environmental factors such as lithology and slope exposure.  相似文献   

A two-way nested-grid ocean-circulation model for the Meso-American Barrier Reef System   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Jinyu?ShengEmail author  Liqun?Tang 《Ocean Dynamics》2004,54(2):232-242

A two-way nested-grid ocean-circulation model is developed for the Meso-American Barrier Reef System (MBRS), using a newly developed two-way interactive nesting technique. The unique feature of this new nesting technique is its use of the semi-prognostic method (Sheng et al. 2001) to exchange information between different grids through the model momentum equations. The nested-grid model for the MBRS has a fine-resolution inner model embedded in a coarse-resolution outer model. The outer model is the western Caribbean Sea model developed by Sheng and Tang (2003), with a horizontal resolution of roughly 19 km. The inner model domain covers the northwest Caribbean Sea (NWCS) between 79°W and 89°W and between 15.5°N and 22°N, with a horizontal resolution of roughly 6 km. The nested-grid ocean model is initialized with the January mean temperature and salinity and forced by the monthly mean COADS (comprehensive ocean-atmosphere data set) wind stress and surface heat flux. The model sea-surface salinity is restored to the monthly mean climatology. The nested-grid model is integrated for 2 years and the second-year model results are presented in this paper. The model-calculated annual-mean near-surface currents over the NWCS agree reasonably well with the time-mean near-surface currents inferred by Fratantoni (2001) from trajectories of the satellite-tracked 15-m drogued drifters in the 1990s. The two-way nested model is also used to quantify the role of local wind stress, local density gradients and boundary forcings of the outer model in driving the annual-mean circulation in the region.Responsible Editor: Phil Dyke  相似文献   

Complex spatter- and pumice-rich pyroclastic deposits from an andesitic caldera-forming eruption: the Siwi pyroclastic sequence,Tanna, Vanuatu     

S.?R.?AllenEmail author 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2004,67(1):27-41

The small- to moderate-volume, Quaternary, Siwi pyroclastic sequence was erupted during formation of a 4 km-wide caldera on the eastern margin of Tanna, an island arc volcano in southern Vanuatu. This high-potassium, andesitic eruption followed a period of effusive basaltic andesite volcanism and represents the most felsic magma erupted from the volcano. The sequence is up to 13 m thick and can be traced in near-continuous outcrop over 11 km. Facies grade laterally from lithic-rich, partly welded spatter agglomerate along the caldera rim to two medial, pumiceous, non-welded ignimbrites that are separated by a layer of lithic-rich, spatter agglomerate. Juvenile clasts comprise a wide range of densities and grain sizes. They vary between black, incipiently vesicular, highly elongate spatter clasts that have breadcrusted pumiceous rinds and reach several metres across to silky, grey pumice lapilli. The pumice lapilli range from highly vesicular clasts with tube or coalesced spherical vesicles to denser finely vesicular clasts that include lithic fragments.Textural and lithofacies characteristics of the Siwi pyroclastic sequence suggest that the first phase of the eruption produced a base surge deposit and spatter-poor pumiceous ignimbrite. A voluminous eruption of spatter and lithic pyroclasts coincided with a relatively deep withdrawal of magma presumably driven by a catastrophic collapse of the magma chamber roof. During this phase, spatter clasts rapidly accumulated in the proximal zone largely as fallout, creating a variably welded and lithic-rich agglomerate. This phase was followed by the eruption of moderately to highly vesiculated magma that generated the most widespread, upper pumiceous ignimbrite. The combination of spatter and pumice in pyroclastic deposits from a single eruption appears to be related to highly explosive, magmatic eruptions involving low-viscosity magmas. The combination also indicates the coexistence of a spatter fountain and explosive eruption plume for much of the eruption.Editorial responsibility: R. Cioni  相似文献   

论项目管理承包模式的进度控制     

葛振家  綦振元  王蘋 《中国勘察设计》2005,(11):15-16

本文通过对PMC项目阶段的划分、进度控制管理的特点、进度控制影响因素等方面的分析．浅谈一点在PMC项目中应如何采取有效的措施搞好进度控制．实现项目目标的体会。  相似文献   

A landslide susceptibility model using the Analytical Hierarchy Process method and multivariate statistics in perialpine Slovenia   总被引：27，自引：3，他引：27  

Marko Komac   《Geomorphology》2006,74(1-4):17-28

Landslides cause damage to property and unfortunately pose a threat even to human lives. Good landslide susceptibility, hazard, and risk models could help mitigate or even avoid the unwanted consequences resulted from such hillslope mass movements. For the purpose of landslide susceptibility assessment the study area in the central Slovenia was divided to 78 365 slope units, for which 24 statistical variables were calculated. For the land-use and vegetation data, multi-spectral high-resolution images were merged using Principal Component Analysis method and classified with an unsupervised classification. Using multivariate statistical analysis (factor analysis), the interactions between factors and landslide distribution were tested, and the importance of individual factors for landslide occurrence was defined. The results show that the slope, the lithology, the terrain roughness, and the cover type play important roles in landslide susceptibility. The importance of other spatial factors varies depending on the landslide type. Based on the statistical results several landslide susceptibility models were developed using the Analytical Hierarchy Process method. These models gave very different results, with a prediction error ranging from 4.3% to 73%. As a final result of the research, the weights of important spatial factors from the best models were derived with the AHP method. Using probability measures, potentially hazardous areas were located in relation to population and road distribution, and hazard classes were assessed.  相似文献   

The 322 ka Tiribí Tuff: stratigraphy, geochronology and mechanisms of deposition of the largest and most recent ignimbrite in the Valle Central, Costa Rica     

Wendy Pérez  Guillermo E. Alvarado  Phillip B. Gans 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2006,69(1):25-40

The Tiribí Tuff covered much of the Valle Central of Costa Rica, currently the most densely populated area in the country (∼2.4 million inhabitants). Underlying the tuff, there is a related well-sorted pumice deposit, the Tibás Pumice Layer. Based on macroscopic characteristics of the rocks, we distinguish two main facies in the Tiribí Tuff in correlation to the differences in welding, devitrification, grain size, and abundance of pumice and lithic fragments. The Valle Central facies consists of an ignimbritic plateau of non-welded to welded deposits within the Valle Central basin and the Orotina facies is a gray to light-bluish gray, densely to partially welded rock, with yellowish and black pumice fragments cropping out mainly at the Grande de Tárcoles River Gorge and Orotina plain. This high-aspect ratio ignimbrite (1:920 or 1.1×10⁻³) covered an area of at least 820 km² with a long runout of 80 km and a minimum volume outflow of 25 km³ (15 km³ DRE). Geochemically, the tuff shows a wide range of compositions from basaltic-andesites to rhyolites, but trachyandesites are predominant. Replicate new ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar age determinations indicate that widespread exposures of this tuff represent a single ignimbrite that was erupted 322±2 ka. The inferred source is the Barva Caldera, as interpreted from isopach and isopleth maps, contours of the ignimbrite top and geochemical correlation (∼10 km in diameter). The Tiribí Tuff caldera-forming eruption is interpreted as having evolved from a plinian eruption, during which the widespread basal pumice fall was deposited, followed by fountaining pyroclastic flows. In the SW part of the Valle Central, the ignimbrite flowed into a narrow canyon, which might have acted as a pseudo-barrier, reflecting the flow back towards the source and thus thickening the deposits that were filling the Valle Central depression. The variable welding patterns are interpreted to be a result of the lithostatic load and the influence of the content and size of lithic fragments.  相似文献   

Design, analysis, and inference for studies comparing thematic accuracy of classified remotely sensed data: a special case of map comparison     

Stephen V. Stehman 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2006,8(2):209-226

Assessing thematic map accuracy is a special type of map comparison that is frequently applied to remote sensing classification problems. For map comparisons in the accuracy assessment setting, one map represents the classified output and the other map represents the true or “reference” condition. Several articles in this special issue describe state-of-the-art map comparison analysis tools that could serve to quantify accuracy of a single map. However, accuracy assessment objectives generally extend beyond describing accuracy of a single map to comparing accuracy of several maps. Consequently, interest focuses on comparing map comparison measures when these measures are used to represent accuracy. The virtual workshop emphasizes the analysis component of map comparisons, but it is also important to examine the underlying study designs generating the data input into these analyses. The study designs for accuracy comparisons implemented in remote sensing practice often investigate only a single test site, thus limiting our ability to generalize the results of these accuracy comparisons. Map accuracy comparison studies can be designed to provide stronger generalizations by incorporating experimental design principles such as replication and blocking, and identifying an experimental unit appropriate for the application. It is also important to recognize the role of statistical hypothesis testing and inference for different objectives that motivate map accuracy comparisons. Deciding which of two maps to use for a particular site can be addressed by enumerative inference and does not require hypothesis testing. For the objective of a more general comparison of classification procedures, analytic inference is appropriate and hypothesis testing plays a more prominent role.  相似文献