Kriging with imprecise (fuzzy) variograms. I: Theory   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

A. Bardossy  I. Bogardi  W. E. Kelly 《Mathematical Geology》1990,22(1):63-79

Imprecise variogram parameters are modeled with fuzzy set theory. The fit of a variogram model to experimental variograms is often subjective. The accuracy of the fit is modeled with imprecise variogram parameters. Measurement data often are insufficient to create good experimental variograms. In this case, prior knowledge and experience can contribute to determination of the variogram model parameters. A methodology for kriging with imprecise variogram parameters is developed. Both kriged values and estimation variances are calculated as fuzzy numbers and characterized by their membership functions. Besides estimation variance, the membership functions are used to create another uncertainty measure. This measure depends on both homogeneity and configuration of the data.  相似文献   

Characterization of cristobalite in ash and dome rock from the Soufriere Hills volcano, Montserrat： Implications for respiratory health hazards     

Ben J. Williamson Claire J. Horwell 《中国地球化学学报》2006,25(B08):224-225

A link between the inhalation of respirable silicas （SiO2） and respiratory diseases such as silicosis is widely recognized. Ash from dome collapse eruptions on Montserrat has been found to contain high levels （〉20%） of silicas in the form of cristobalite, tridymite, quartz and/or amorphous silica. The toxicity of these silica polymorphs varies widely. Cristobalite and quartz （tridymite less well established） are viewed as carcinogenic to humans whereas amorphous silica generally shows a reduced biological response. In assessing the potential health effects of volcanic ash particulates it is vital to determine the types and concentration of silicas as well as their size （respirable fraction）, shape and surface properties. The aim of this study is to develop methods to assess potentially toxic respirable airborne silicas in the dome collapse ash （applicable to a range of ash types） and to develop a model to predict the levels and types of respirable silicas from future eruptions. The model is being developed by comparing dome rock with related ash from a series of previous eruption events. Mineralogical assessment using conventional scanning X-ray diffraction （XRD） was hampered by difficulties in differentiating characteristic peaks for cristobalite and tridymite in complex multi-component ash samples （containing high levels of plagioclase）. These difficulties have been largely overcome using an Enraf-Nonius PDS120 diffractometer with curved （120 degrees 20） position sensitive detector （PSD）. The determination of size, shape and elemental characteristics of ash particulate and dome rock samples has been carried out using automated analytical scanning electron microscopy. The quantification of mineral proportions using PSD-XRD was highly successful with an accuracy of 1 to 2 wt%. However, the determination of phase proportions using automated analytical SEM was problematic due to scattering effects and the multiphase nature of many of the particles.  相似文献   

Estimating the minimum in-stream flow requirements via wetted perimeter method based on curvature and slope techniques     

LIU Suxia  MO Xingguo  XIA Jun  LIU Changming  LIN Zhonghui  MEN Baohui  JI Lina 《地理学报》2006,16(2):242-250

Under the assumptions of triangular cross section channel and uniform stable flow, an analytical solution of the minimum ecological in-stream flow requirement (MEIFR) is deduced. Based on the analytical solution, the uncertainty of the wetted perimeter method is analyzed by comparing the two techniques for the determination of the critical point on the relationship curve between wetted perimeter, P and discharge, Q. It is clearly shown that the results of MEIFR based on curvature technique (corresponding to the maximum curvature) and slope technique (slope being 1) are significantly different. On the P-Q curve, the slope of the critical point with the maximum curvature is 0.39 and the MEIFR varied prominently with the change of the slope threshold. This indicates that if a certain value of the slope threshold is not available for slope technique, curvature technique may be a better choice. By applying the analytical solution of MEIFR in the losing rivers of the Western Route South-to-North Water Transfer Project in China, the MEIFR value via curvature technique is 2.5%-23.7% of the multi-year average annual discharge, while that for slope technique is 11%-105.7%. General conclusions would rely on the more detailed research for all kinds of cross-sections.  相似文献   

GPS高程拟合的方式及可靠性分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

伍青云 《中国煤田地质》2006,18(3):70-72

在范围不大的区域中，高程异常具有一定的几何相关性，GPS高程拟合就是利用这一原理，求解正常高。在解析法求解过程中，首先用最小二乘法确定拟合数学模型的系数，在此基础上计算出待测点的高程异常值。通过实例验证：GPS高程拟合的精度主要取决于GPS大地高的精度、重合点正常高的精度、重合点的分布及拟模型的选择。一般在重合点数量充足且分布均匀的情况下，GPS高程拟合的精度可达到四等水准网的精度要求。  相似文献   

年度考核现状分析及改进对策   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周芹 《中国煤田地质》2005,17(1):64-67

通过对现行年度考核体系的现状分析，着重探讨如何改进考核办法，充实考核内容，建立科学有效的考评体系，提高考核效率，充分发挥年度考核结果在干部选拔、薪酬福利、培训开发、人员招聘和配置、个人职业生涯发展中的重大作用。  相似文献   

从近年来我国地层学的可喜进展谈地层学方法论   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

梅冥相 《地层学杂志》2002,26(2):139-145,150

“乐平统”作为国际二叠系年代地层系统的最上一个统的全球对比标准 ,是我国学者金玉研究员为首的研究集体多年艰辛研究的结果 ;几乎同时 ,以陈旭研究员为首的科研集体以详尽的资料和全面系统的工作 ,在我国浙江黄泥塘剖面建立了中奥陶统达瑞威尔阶的全球层型剖面点——中国第一个“金钉子”剖面。这两项成就 ,是我国学者在上一世纪对地层学的显著贡献之一 ,从他们精雕细刻的剖面资料和详尽系统的研究成果中 ,可以研读出对“地层时代对比”这一博大精深的理论课题的工作方法 ,由此而诱发出对地层学方法论的探讨 ,从而对某些下结论还为时过早的问题进行必要的评述。  相似文献   

A mathematical hysteretic model for elastomeric isolation bearings     

J. S. Hwang  J. D. Wu  T.‐C. Pan  G. Yang 《地震工程与结构动力学》2002,31(4):771-789

An analytical model for high damping elastomeric isolation bearings is presented in this paper. The model is used to describe mathematically the damping force and restoring force of the rubber material and bearing. Ten parameters to be identified from cyclic loading tests are included in the model. The sensitivity of the ten parameters in affecting the model is examined. These ten parameters are functions of a number of influence factors on the elastomer such as the rubber compound, Mullins effect, scragging effect, frequency, temperature and axial load. In this study, however, only the Mullins effect, scragging effect, frequency and temperature are investigated. Both material tests and shaking table tests were performed to validate the proposed model. Based on the comparison between the experimental and the analytical results, it is found that the proposed analytical model is capable of predicting the shear force–displacement hysteresis very accurately for both rubber material and bearing under cyclic loading reversals. The seismic response time histories of the bearing can also be captured, using the proposed analytical model, with a practically acceptable precision. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

圆弧状沉积盆地与软土单覆盖层出平面地表运动对比   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

袁晓铭  李雨润  孙锐 《地震工程与工程振动》2002,22(4):16-21

采用解析方法，通过圆弧状沉积盆地与同样参数的软土均匀单覆盖层的对比，研究沉积盆地对平面SH波二维散射效应和其出平面地表运动。数值对比结果表明：（1）波垂直入射时盆地中央地表位移幅值反应，其随频率变化形式与软土单覆盖层的地表运动有较强的对应性，且此时单覆盖层地表位移幅值为其下降；（2）盆地的二维散射效应特点显著波的汇聚作用使盆地中的地表运动显著放大，总体上较软土单覆盖层的地表位移幅值要大，其频域内的最大反应则明显大于单覆盖层情况，但最大反应在盆地表面出现的位置依赖于入射波角度、盆地深宽比和盆地的软硬程度；（3）沉积盆地中地表位移运动有强烈扭转效应，且随盆地变软和入射波频率增高而增强。  相似文献   

新时期我国区域经济地理学发展问题初探   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

刘曙光 《地域研究与开发》2002,21(2):1-4

我国新时期的区域经济地理学在取得全面发展的同时，在理论体系，研究方法和实践领域等方面还需要进一步的发展，文章根据学习和实践区域经济地理学的体会，初步提出基础理论和应用理论，思维方法和技术方法等方面发展见解，并指出区域创新系统和国际经济技术合作等学科应注意拓展的重要实践领域，最后提出我国区域经济地理学科发展的建议。  相似文献   

嵌岩桩与含沉渣桩低应变动力检测曲线理论计算方法与特征研究   总被引：2，自引：3，他引：2  

刘煜洲  刘东甲  王杰英 《物探化探计算技术》2003,25(2):97-104

根据文献[1]、[2]介绍了基桩反射波法动测正演问题的数理模型、计算方法及其通用性，并据此计算了完整嵌岩桩及有不同厚度沉渣的嵌岩桩与摩擦桩的理论曲线。提出了在一定物性参数条件下判断沉渣是否超过规定标准的方法，并给出了数个实例。  相似文献