辽宁省水资源承载能力的探讨分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

吕宝华  郭纯一  高世斌  王健 《地下水》2008,30(1):109-111

分析了辽宁省水资源的现状和开发利用程度,探讨了辽宁省水资源的承载能力。总结出辽宁省水资源严重短缺;水资源开发利用程度高;水资源供需矛盾突出;未来对水资源的需求量将不断增大,采取切实措施,实现水资源可持续利用,为辽宁的经济发展提供支撑,为东北老工业基地振兴战略的实施提供保障。  相似文献   

Income distribution dynamics and cross-region convergence in Europe   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Manfred M. Fischer  Peter Stumpner 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2008,10(2):109-139

This paper presents a continuous version of the model of distribution dynamics to analyse the transition dynamics and implied long-run behaviour of the EU-27 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1995–2003. It departs from previous research in two respects: first, by introducing kernel estimation and three-dimensional stacked conditional density plots as well as highest density regions plots for the visualisation of the transition function, based on Hyndman et al. (J Comput Graph Stat 5(4):315–336, 1996), and second, by combining Getis’ spatial filtering view with kernel estimation to explicitly account for the spatial dimension of the growth process. The results of the analysis indicate a very slow catching-up of the poorest regions with the richer ones, a process of shifting away of a small group of very rich regions, and highlight the importance of geography in understanding regional income distribution dynamics.

Manfred M. FischerEmail:

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长江流域沿江镉异常源追踪与定量评估的方法技术研究:以长江流域安徽段为例   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

赵传冬  陈富荣  陈兴仁  赵和苍  夏威岚  聂海峰  孔牧  刘飞  杨柯 《地学前缘》2008,15(5):179

长江全流域性的Cd异常是被中国正在进行的多目标地球化学调查发现的重大生态环境问题。以长江流域安徽段为研究对象,对沿江镉异常源追踪与定量评估的方法技术进行了系统研究。通过对安徽段长江干流及其主要支流悬浮物中元素含量的测量查明:悬浮物是流域内重金属元素大跨度迁移的主要载体;Cd在悬浮物中的富集程度远远大于其他重金属元素,这或许正是Cd可以形成沿江流域性异常的主要原因;长江干流悬浮物中重金属元素含量的变化明显受到沿江支流的影响。安徽段长江干流及其主要支流重金属元素输出通量定量计算结果表明:秋蒲河是安徽段重金属元素输出通量最大的支流,每年在安徽段长江两岸土壤中沉积下约4.45t的Cd。利用悬浮物加密测量、1∶5万土壤测量和岩石测量对顺安河流域Cd异常源追踪结果显示:内生金属矿床特别是铅锌矿是悬浮物中Cd的最大的供应源。采用河漫滩沉积物分层采样技术和同位素测年技术,初步恢复了研究区Cd等重金属元素沉积和污染的地球化学历史,对研究区Cd等重金属元素异常的未来演变趋势进行了预警预测。  相似文献   

附加约束条件的序贯平差   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

曾安敏  杨元喜  欧阳桂崇 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2008,33(2):183-186

从观测量分组的参数平差出发,详细推导了附加约束条件的序贯平差及其精度估计,讨论了附加约束条件的抗差序贯平差的计算过程.算例表明,推导的公式正确有效,简单实用,附加约束条件的序贯平差抗差估计能有效地抵制粗差的影响.  相似文献   

应用改进并行遗传算法反求水文地质参数研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

孔祥龙  朱国荣  江思珉 《高校地质学报》2008,14(1):126-132

利用单纯形法局部搜索速度快和遗传算法全局寻优的特点,同时为了克服两种方法各自的弊病,提出采用混合单纯形技术的并行遗传算法(Hybrid Simplex Parallel Genetic Algorithm,SPGA)进行水文地质逆问题的求解。详细阐述了SPGA算法的具体操作和实现,并将该方法应用于水源地的地下水模拟反演中。计算结果表明,SPGA算法在水文地质参数寻优计算中具有比较好的可靠性和计算效率。  相似文献   

抗差最小二乘配置在数字化地图几何纠正中的应用讨论     

张亮 《测绘与空间地理信息》2008,31(2):145-148

抗差估计具有较好的抗拒异常观测值及粗差的能力,而最小二乘配置又能较好地处理系统误差,本文结合两者的优点,利用抗差最小二乘配置对数字化地图进行几何纠正,其中对协方差函数采用抗差拟合,得到了较好的结果。实验证明在GIS数据处理的扫描数字化地图几何纠正中,抗差最小二乘配置在抗拒异常值和处理系统误差方面优于单纯的最小二乘估计和单纯的最小二乘配置方法。  相似文献   

基于岭估计的有理多项式参数求解方法   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

袁修孝  林先勇 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2008,33(11):1130-1133

在使用最小二乘法解算卫星遥感影像的RPC参数时,如果控制点非均匀分布或模型过度参数化,其法方程系数矩阵很容易产生病态,获得的解将偏离真值,甚至得到错误的解.使用岭估计可改善法方程的状态,保证解稳定.采用岭估计方法,通过所获取的不同岭参数对SPOT和QuickBird影像进行实验,证实L曲线法是一种稳定的、有效的岭参数确定方法,可显著提高RPC参数的解算精度.  相似文献   

A spectrophotometric measurement of soil cation exchange capacity based on cobaltihexamine chloride absorbance     

Delphine Aran  Armand Maul  Jean-Franois Masfaraud 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2008,340(12):865-871

Among numerous methods for cation exchange capacity (CEC) determination for soils and sediments, the cobaltihexamine chloride method is frequently used due to its ability to measure CEC at soil pH. After exchange with Co(NH₃)₆³⁺ ions, CEC is estimated via the measurement of the Co remaining in solution. The modified method proposed allows a more rapid determination of CEC based on the measurement of the absorbance at 472 nm of the cobaltihexamine chloride solution before and after exchange. This method has been applied to various soil's horizons from four sites, selected to cover a wide range of CEC and pH values. The model obtained allows one to calculate CEC from absorbance at 472 nm with 95% confidence intervals. As CEC is of relevant meaning in agronomical and environmental purposes, and more recently in ecotoxicological studies, this modified method can be proposed as a rapid test for CEC evaluation.  相似文献   

应用探地雷达探测活动断层   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

薛建  贾建秀  黄航  易兵  张良怀  张羽 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2008,38(2):347-350

在浅覆盖区采用探地雷达探测地震活动断层。通过实验确定出最佳的采集参数和数据处理流程,在雷达剖面上,能够清晰地显示出断层上部的形态特征、上断点埋深和岩土分层。结合钻孔资料,利用雷达剖面上对第四系覆盖的分层结果和上断点所在的层位可以分析和评价断层的活动性。  相似文献   

Bayesian estimation of seismic hazard for two sites in Switzerland     

Erik Rüttener  Juan José Egozcue  Dieter Mayer-Rosa  Stephan Mueller 《Natural Hazards》1996,14(2-3):165-178

Seismic hazard analysis is based on data and models, which both are imprecise and uncertain. Especially the interpretation of historical information into earthquake parameters, e.g. earthquake size and location, yields ambiguous and imprecise data. Models based on probability distributions have been developed in order to quantify and represent these uncertainties. Nevertheless, the majority of the procedures applied in seismic hazard assessment do not take into account these uncertainties, nor do they show the variance of the results. Therefore, a procedure based on Bayesian statistics was developed to estimate return periods for different ground motion intensities (MSK scale).Bayesian techniques provide a mathematical model to estimate the distribution of random variables in presence of uncertainties. The developed method estimates the probability distribution of the number of occurrences in a Poisson process described by the parameter . The input data are the historical occurrences of intensities for a particular site, represented by a discrete probability distribution for each earthquake. The calculation of these historical occurrences requires a careful preparation of all input parameters, i.e. a modelling of their uncertainties. The obtained results show that the variance of the recurrence rate is smaller in regions with higher seismic activity than in less active regions. It can also be demonstrated that long return periods cannot be estimated with confidence, because the time period of observation is too short. This indicates that the long return periods obtained by seismic source methods only reflects the delineated seismic sources and the chosen earthquake size distribution law.  相似文献