1981—2010年佛山地区气温、降水和灾害性天气的特征分析     

罗云  ;炎利军  ;朱建军 《广东气象》2014,(2):6-12

根据佛山地区3个气象站1981—2010年的观测资料,采用线性趋势、Mann-Kendall突变检验等方法,研究佛山地区近30年气温、降水和灾害性天气的变化特征。结果表明,近30年佛山的年平均气温具有上升的趋势,在1994年发生突变,快速增暖;年雨量波动明显,年降雨日数则呈现出下滑的趋势。高温、暴雨、强对流天气、灰霾等是影响佛山的主要灾害性天气。高温日数呈现出增加的趋势,持续高温现象加剧。暴雨日数具有非常明显的年际变化特征,总体上呈波动且缓慢上升的趋势。佛山全年均有可能出现强对流天气,其中6—8月是高发期,在10月随着汛期的结束强对流天气急剧下降。灰霾天气主要发生在1—3月份和10—12月份,2007年之后,逐年灰霾日数缓慢下降。  相似文献   

The formation of wind curl in the marine atmosphere boundary layer over the East China Sea Kuroshio in spring     

Suping Zhang  Yang Kong 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,13(6):883-892

Various data are used to investigate the characteristics of the surface wind field and rainfall on the East China Sea Kuroshio (ESK) in March and April, 2011. In March, the wind speed maximum shows over the ESK front (ESKF) in the 10 meter wind field, which agrees with the thermal wind effect. A wind curl center is generated on the warm flank of the ESKF. The winds are much weaker in April, so is the wind curl. A rainband exists over the ESKF in both the months. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used for further researches. The winds on the top of the marine atmosphere boundary layer (MABL) indicate that in March, a positive wind curl is generated in the whole MABL over the warm flank of the ESKF. The thermal wind effect forced by the strong SST gradient overlying the background wind leads to strong surface northeasterly winds on the ESKF, and a positive shearing vorticity is created over the warm flank of the ESKF to generate wind curl. In the smoothed sea surface temperature experiment, the presence of the ESKF is responsible for the strong northeast winds in the ESKF, and essential for the distribution of the rainfall centers in March, which confirms the mechanism above. The same simulation is made for April, 2011, and the responses from the MABL become weak. The low background wind speed weakens the effect of the thermal wind, thus no strong Ekman pumping is helpful for precipitation. There is no big difference in rainfall between the control run and the smooth SST run. Decomposition of the wind vector shows that local wind acceleration induced by the thermal wind effect along with the variations in wind direction is responsible for the pronounced wind curl/divergence over the ESKF.  相似文献   

Wave effect on the ocean circulations through mass transport and wave-induced pumping   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

BI Fan  and WU Kejian 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,13(2):175-182

The wave Coriolis-Stokes-Force-modified ocean momentum equations are reviewed in this paper and the wave Stokes transport is pointed out to be part of the ocean circulations. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 40-year reanalysis data (ERA-40 data) and the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) version 2.2.4 data, the magnitude of this transport is compared with that of wind-driven Sverdrup transport and a 5-to-10-precent contribution by the wave Stokes transport is found. Both transports are stronger in boreal winter than in summers. The wave effect can be either contribution or cancellation in different seasons. Examination with Kuroshio transport verifies similar seasonal variations. The clarification of the efficient wave boundary condition helps to understand the role of waves in mass transport. It acts as surface wind stress and can be functional down to the bottom of the ageostrophic layer. The pumping velocities resulting from wave-induced stress are zonally distributed and are significant in relatively high latitudes. Further work will focus on the model performance of the wave-stress-changed-boundary and the role of swells in the eastern part of the oceans.  相似文献   

A physically constrained wavelet-aided statistical model for multi-decadal groundwater dynamics predictions     

Fatih Gordu  Mahmood H. Nachabe 《水文研究》2021,35(8):e14308

A physically constrained wavelet-aided statistical model (PCWASM) is presented to analyse and predict monthly groundwater dynamics on multi-decadal or longer time scales. The approach retains the simplicity of regression modelling but is constrained by temporal scales of processes responsible for groundwater level variation, including aquifer recharge and pumping. The methodology integrates statistical correlations enhanced with wavelet analysis into established principles of groundwater hydraulics including convolution, superposition and the Cooper–Jacob solution. The systematic approach includes (1) identification of hydrologic trends and correlations using cross-correlation and multi-time scale wavelet analyses; (2) integrating temperature-based evapotranspiration and groundwater pumping stresses and (3) assessing model prediction performances using fixed-block k-fold cross-validation and split calibration-validation methods. The approach is applied at three hydrogeologicaly distinct sites in North Florida in the United States using over 40 years of monthly groundwater levels. The systematic approach identifies two patterns of cross-correlations between groundwater levels and historical rainfall, indicating low-frequency variabilities are critical for long-term predictions. The models performed well for predicting monthly groundwater levels from 7 to 22 years with less than 2.1 ft (0.7 m) errors. Further evaluation by the moving-block bootstrap regression indicates the PCWASM can be a reliable tool for long-term groundwater level predictions. This study provides a parsimonious approach to predict multi-decadal groundwater dynamics with the ability to discern impacts of pumping and climate change on aquifer levels. The PCWASM is computationally efficient and can be implemented using publicly available datasets. Thus, it should provide a versatile tool for managers and researchers for predicting multi-decadal monthly groundwater levels under changing climatic and pumping impacts over a long time period.  相似文献   

Hydrogeological aspects of groundwater drainage of the urban areas in Kuwait City     

Muhammad F. Al‐Rashed  Mohsen M. Sherif 《水文研究》2001,15(5):777-795

Residential areas in Kuwait City have witnessed a dramatic rise in subsurface water tables over the last three decades. This water rise phenomenon is attributed mainly to over irrigation practices of private gardens along with leakage from domestic and sewage networks. This paper presents a comprehensive study for urban drainage in two selected areas representing the two hydrogeological settings encountered in Kuwait City. In the first area, a vertical drainage scheme was applied successfully over an area of 1 km². The system has been under continuous operation and monitoring for more than 4 years without problems, providing a permanent solution for the water rise problem in this area. The hydrogeological system has approached steady state conditions and the water levels have dropped to about 3·5 m below the ground surface. In the second area a dual drainage scheme, composing of horizontal and vertical elements, is proposed. Horizontal elements are suggested in the areas where the deep groundwater contains hazardous gases that may pose environmental problems. The proposed drainage scheme in the second area has not yet been implemented. Field tests were conducted to assess the aquifer parameters in both areas and a numerical model has been developed to predict the long‐term response of the hydrogeological system in the two areas under consideration. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

人工抽水引起土洞塌陷的可能性   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

刘之葵  梁金城  熊丽芳 《地质找矿论丛》2004,19(3):213-216

在人工抽水过程中,抽水量越大、距抽水井越近,越可能产生土洞塌陷.在砂土层中,抽水持续时间越长,地下水潜蚀作用越强,越有可能产生土洞塌陷;在粘性土层中,避免反复频繁抽水及适当减少抽水初期的抽水量,有利于减少土洞塌陷的可能性.  相似文献   

一起非地震前兆的水质测项突跳异常   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

文艳霞  杨显斌 《华北地震科学》2004,22(2):32-35

针对郑州市地震局测井水质测项的大幅度突跳异常变化的分析,主要通过观测井连续抽水对水质观测的影响试验,研究抽水时间的长短对水质观测影响的定量关系。分析认为,抽水时间的长短对水质观测的各测项的影响很大,且符合y=ae^b／x函数关系,尤其在抽水持续2～3小时内,水质观测各测项测值变化梯度最大,之后在影响后的高(低)值附近小幅度起伏。因此,该测井水质测项大幅度突跳变化是由于连续抽水影响所致,不属于地震前兆事件。  相似文献   

基桩反射波无损检测中的数字处理技术   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘盛东  吴军 《煤田地质与勘探》1997,25(2):54-58

针对桩基检测信号处理手段单一的问题,笔者通过对基桩无损检测的反射波时域波形分析,应用频谱分析、数字滤波、相关分析、三瞬计算等数字处理方法,配合进行基桩质量检测,提高了检测精度。   相似文献   

海洋平台隔水套管群桩性状的研究     

詹世富  朱静  朱志敏  纪清铿  李丕德 《海洋工程》1998,(1)

海洋平台的隔水套管群桩与土共同作用研究是一个很复杂的课题,目前国内外研究资料甚少,因此在平台导管架设计中,一般不考虑隔水套管群桩承受水平力作用,这与实际不相符合。本文结合工程课题,在调查研究和模型试验的基础上,对隔水套管群桩在水平力作用下的工作性状与破坏机理、群桩的水平力及其主要影响因素、单桩与群桩情况下应力应变关系等方面进行较深入的研究;并提出砂土地基隔水套管群桩效应经验公式,弥补了现行计算方法的缺陷和不足。研究成果可供工程设计参考使用。  相似文献   

低位真空预压法加固软土地基技术研究   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

秦玉生  曹大正 《现代地质》1999,13(4):471-476

低位真空预压法是利用吹填泥浆做密封层的一种新的真空预压法 ,具有多功能的特点。在分析该方法作用机理的基础上 ,通过现场试验验证了利用该方法加固软土地基的效果  相似文献