Application of linear and nonlinear techniques in river flow forecasting in the Kilombero River basin,Tanzania / Application de techniques linéaires et non-linéaires à la prévision des débits dans le bassin de la Rivière Kilombero,en Tanzanie     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5)

Abstract

Modelling of the rainfall–runoff transformation process and routing of river flows in the Kilombero River basin and its five sub-catchments within the Rufiji River basin in Tanzania was undertaken using three system (black-box) models—a simple linear model, a linear perturbation model and a linear varying gain factor model—in their linear transfer function forms. A lumped conceptual model—the soil moisture accounting and routing model—was also applied to the sub-catchments and the basin. The HEC-HMS model, which is a distributed model, was applied only to the entire Kilombero River basin. River discharge, rainfall and potential evaporation data were used as inputs to the appropriate models and it was observed that sometimes the system models performed better than complex hydrological models, especially in large catchments, illustrating the usefulness of using simple black-box models in datascarce situations.  相似文献   

海洋侧孢短芽孢杆菌Lh-1 株所产多肽R-1 性质分析及作用原理探讨   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

任召珍  孙谧  郑媛  刘均忠  王跃军  郝建华  张胜军 《海洋科学》2010,34(11):41-45

对海洋侧孢短芽孢杆菌(Brevibacillus laterosporus)Lh-1所产多肽R-1的性质及作用机理进行了研究。R-1对温度和pH稳定,在pH 11.0~12条件下,121℃处理1 h,其活力保持在75%以上。经3种不同浓度的蛋白酶(碱性蛋白酶、胰蛋白酶、胃蛋白酶)处理4 h后,活性保持在80%以上。与常见的金属离子和化学试剂在一起反应,对抗菌肽R-1的活性无明显影响,可以配合一起使用,仅吐温和SDS对其影响较大。氨基酸分析表明,抗菌肽R-1由亮氨酸(Leu)、酪氨酸(Tyr)、缬氨酸(Val)、异亮氨酸(Ile)、赖氨酸(Lys)、甘氨酸(Gly)、蛋氨酸(Met)、丝氨酸(Ser)、丙氨酸(Ala)9种氨基酸组成,其中疏水氨基酸居多。抑菌试验表明R-1的抑菌谱广泛,对经培养分离出来的大肠杆菌及白假丝酵母菌的扫描电境超微结构观察表明,R-1的杀菌机制主要是通过含有带正电荷的Lys与带负电荷的磷脂分子结合,然后R-1的疏水端插入到指示菌的疏水区,改变膜的构象,从而导致菌体的死亡。  相似文献   

Iapetus' geophysics: Rotation rate, shape, and equatorial ridge   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

J.C. Castillo-Rogez  D.L. Matson  T.V. Johnson  P.C. Thomas 《Icarus》2007,190(1):179-202

Iapetus has preserved evidence that constrains the modeling of its geophysical history from the time of its accretion until now. The evidence is (a) its present 79.33-day rotation or spin rate, (b) its shape that corresponds to the equilibrium figure for a hydrostatic body rotating with a period of ∼16 h, and (c) its high, equatorial ridge, which is unique in the Solar System. This paper reports the results of an investigation into the coupling between Iapetus' thermal and orbital evolution for a wide range of conditions including the spatial distributions with time of composition, porosity, short-lived radioactive isotopes (SLRI), and temperature. The thermal model uses conductive heat transfer with temperature-dependent conductivity. Only models with a thick lithosphere and an interior viscosity in the range of about the water ice melting point can explain the observed shape. Short-lived radioactive isotopes provide the heat needed to decrease porosity in Iapetus' early history. This increases thermal conductivity and allows the development of the strong lithosphere that is required to preserve the 16-h rotational shape and the high vertical relief of the topography. Long-lived radioactive isotopes and SLRI raise internal temperatures high enough that significant tidal dissipation can start, and despin Iapetus to synchronous rotation. This occurred several hundred million years after Iapetus formed. The models also constrain the time when Iapetus formed because the successful models are critically dependent upon having just the right amount of heat added by SLRI decay in this early period. The amount of heat available from short-lived radioactivity is not a free parameter but is fixed by the time when Iapetus accreted, by the canonical concentration of ²⁶Al, and, to a lesser extent, by the concentration of ⁶⁰Fe. The needed amount of heat is available only if Iapetus accreted between 2.5 and 5.0 Myr after the formation of the calcium aluminum inclusions as found in meteorites. Models with these features allow us to explain Iapetus' present synchronous rotation, its fossil 16-h shape, and the context within which the equatorial ridge arose.  相似文献   

高校贫困生存在的主要道德情感问题及其对策     

饶华  阎钢 《成都信息工程学院学报》2007,22(3):410-415

目前,随着贫困生数量的急剧增加,高校在重视解决贫困生经济困难的同时,往往忽略了他们内心深处潜藏的情绪感受.他们中的大多数产生了不同于一般大学生的道德情感问题.因此,贫困生的道德情感状况、造成此种状况的原因以及培养贫困生的道德情感的路径和方法,便成为对贫困生问题开展深入研究的全新的独特视域.  相似文献   

Composition of hydrated near-Earth object (100085) 1992 UY4     

Eric L. Volquardsen  Andrew S. Rivkin 《Icarus》2007,187(2):464-468

Near-infrared spectra of the near-Earth object (100085) 1992 UY4 are similar to those of P-type asteroids, providing a fitted geometric albedo of 0.052±0.005 and an effective diameter of 1.68±0.08 km. This object, with a likely outer-belt origin, also exhibits a 3-μm absorption feature with a band depth of 3%±1%, corresponding to a regolithic bulk hydrogen-to-silicon ratio of 0.30±0.05. The bulk of this hydrogen seems to be present in H₂O-dominated minerals.  相似文献   

SWAS observations of water vapor in the Venus mesosphere     

Mark A. Gurwell  Gary J. Melnick  Edwin A. Bergin 《Icarus》2007,188(2):288-304

We present the first detections of the ground-state H₂¹⁶O (₁₁₀-₁₀₁) rotational transition (at 556.9 GHz) and the ¹³CO (5-4) rotational transition from the atmosphere of Venus, measured with the Submillimeter Wave Astronomy Satellite (SWAS). The observed spectral features of these submillimeter transitions originate primarily from the 70-100 km altitude range, within the Venus mesosphere. Observations were obtained in December 2002, and January, March, and July 2004, coarsely sampling one Venus diurnal period as seen from Earth. The measured water vapor absorption line depth shows large variability among the four observing periods, with strong detections of the line in December 2002 and July 2004, and no detections in January and March 2004. Retrieval of atmospheric parameters was performed using a multi-transition inversion algorithm, combining simultaneous retrievals of temperature, carbon monoxide, and water profiles under imposed constraints. Analysis of the SWAS spectra resulted in measurements or upper limits for the globally averaged mesospheric water vapor abundance for each of the four observation periods, finding variability over at least two orders of magnitude. The results are consistent with both temporal and diurnal variability, but with short-term fluctuations clearly dominating. These results are fully consistent with the long-term study of mesospheric water vapor from millimeter and submillimeter observations of HDO [Sandor, B.J., Clancy, R.T., 2005. Icarus 177, 129-143]. The December 2002 observations detected very rapid change in the mesospheric water abundance. Over five days, a deep water absorption feature consistent with a water vapor abundance of 4.5±1.5 parts per million suddenly gave way to a significantly shallower absorption, implying a decrease in the water vapor abundance by a factor of nearly 50 in less that 48 h. In 2004, similar changes in the water vapor abundance were measured between the March and July SWAS observing periods, but variability on time scales of less than a week was not detected. The mesospheric water vapor is expected to be in equilibrium with aerosol particles, primarily composed of concentrated sulfuric acid, in the upper haze layers of the Venus atmosphere. If true, moderate amplitude (10-15 K) variability in mesospheric temperature, previously noted in millimeter spectroscopy observations of Venus, can explain the rapid water vapor variability detected by SWAS.  相似文献   

Seasonal and spatial variation in abundance and egg production of Paracalanus parvus (Copepoda: Calanoida) in/out Jiaozhou Bay, China     

X.H. Sun  S. Sun  C.L. Li  G.T. Zhang 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2008,79(4):637-643

The spatial distribution of stage-specific abundance and reproduction of the copepod Paracalanus parvus were studied from October 2005 to September 2006 in the Jiaozhou Bay. This copepod occurred continuously in this bay throughout the year. The species reached the lowest abundance in April and peaked in June. From October to December, distribution center mainly occurred in offshore water and at the mouth of the bay. In winter, early copepodites and adults gradually decreased and till February, most of the population was only comprised of CIV–CV stages. Overwintering copepodites matured in March and males tended to mature before female. From May to September, each stage occurred in the population and gradually reached high abundance. Temperature and chlorophyll a (Chl-a) concentration in the three stations can't clearly explain the seasonal variation in stage-specific abundance, so we surmised the important effect of the Yellow Sea. Egg production rate (EPR) reached its lowest in winter and peaked in June at 60.8 eggs female⁻¹ day⁻¹ in nearshore water. In the warming period, EPR in nearshore water was statistically higher and EPR > 10 eggs female⁻¹ day⁻¹ lasted longer than that in offshore water, showing the importance of nearshore water for recruitment of P. parvus. Our study showed that EPR was positively related to temperature and total chlorophyll a in offshore water and mouth of the bay. In nearshore water, the relationships between EPR and temperature and Chl-a in three size fractions were not the same as those in offshore water, suggesting complicated ecosystem in such a eutrophic area in warming period.  相似文献   

海洋工程污染分类研究     

卢晓东  郭佩芳 《海洋湖沼通报》2008,(4)

给出海洋工程的概念和定义,对海洋工程污染的分类和研究现状进行了讨论。从海洋工程污染的工程特征要素、污染特征要素、程度要素和管理要素进行了分类研究,认为海洋工程污染的分类,可按其工程特征要素,对其进行离海岸的远近、离海底的高度、使用材质、移动与否等分类;可按其工程污染要素,对其进行化学污染、物理污染、生物损害、地质损害与污染等分类;可按其工程污染影响的深度特征要素,对其进行重度影响、中度影响和轻度影响分类;可按其工程污染的管理角度,对其进行海洋工程和海岸工程的分类。  相似文献   

Implementation of the European Water Framework Directive: Natural variability associated with the CARLIT method on the rocky shores of the Ligurian Sea (Italy)     

Valentina Asnaghi  Mariachiara Chiantore  Rosa‐Maria Bertolotto  Valeriano Parravicini  Riccardo Cattaneo‐Vietti  Federico Gaino  Paolo Moretto  Davide Privitera  Luisa Mangialajo 《Marine Ecology》2009,30(4):505-513

The Water Framework Directive (WFD) 2000/60/EC, adopted by the European Community in 2000 with the goal of maintaining and improving the aquatic environments, requires that member states achieve and maintain a good ecological status of all water bodies by 2015. In the marine context, the ecological status has to be quantified applying indexes based on appropriate key biological elements, which allow the categorization of water bodies into five Ecological Status (ES) classes. The CARLIT index is a cartographic monitoring tool enabling the Ecological Quality Ratio (EQR) to be calculated using macroalgae in coastal hard bottoms as a key biological element; at present it is being applied in Spain, France and Italy. To detect actual changes of water quality and, consequently, rely on the application of indexes for the assessment of the ecological status in the marine environment, it is necessary to evaluate their sensitivity to natural variability at different temporal and spatial scales. In this study we present a first quantification of natural (spatial and temporal) variability of EQR‐CARLIT quality assessment in 2006 and 2007 along the Ligurian coast (North‐Western Mediterranean, Italy). The EQR‐CARLIT values recorded along the Ligurian coastline show that natural variability of EQR‐CARLIT is low and that it does not affect the attribution of a given stretch of coast to a particular ES class, in agreement with the major human pressures acting in the area (urbanization, river load, sea‐farming). A small‐scale variability was detected, strengthening the use of cartography of the whole rocky shore, whenever possible, or, alternatively, the assessment of the ecological status for long stretches of coast, to encompass the small‐scale variability due to local factors.  相似文献   

国土资源数据管理初探   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

史辉  李军  冯永玉 《山东国土资源》2008,24(3):45-50

在分析国土资源数据及其管理特点的基础上，基于国土资源信息化和数据资源保护，将国土资源数据整体上分为资料数据、基础数据、业务数据、管理数据和元数据5类，提出了各类数据进行计算机管理的组织方法和采用的相关技术。  相似文献