Modelling the temporal variation in snow-covered area derived from satellite images for simulating/forecasting of snowmelt runoff in Turkey/Modélisation de la variation temporelle de la surface enneigée à partir d'images satellitaires pour la simulation/prévision de l'écoulement de fonte nivale en Turquie     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4)

Abstract

Monitoring the change of snow-covered area (SCA) in a basin is vitally important for optimum operation of water resources, where the main contribution comes from snowmelt. A methodology for obtaining the depletion pattern of SCA, which is based on satellite image observations where mean daily air temperature is used, is applied for the 1997 water year and tested for the 1998 water year. The study is performed at the Upper Euphrates River basin in Turkey (10 216 km²). The major melting period in this basin starts in early April. The cumulated mean daily air temperature (CMAT) is correlated to the depletion of snow-covered area with the start of melting. The analysis revealed that SCA values obtained from NOAA-AVHRR satellite images are exponentially correlated to CMAT for the whole basin in a lumped manner, where R ² values of 0.98 and 0.99 were obtained for the water years 1997 and 1998, respectively. The applied methodology enables the interpolation between the SCA observations and extrapolation. Such a procedure reduces the number of satellite images required for analysis and provides solution for the cloud-obscured images. Based on the image availability, the effect of the number of images on the quality of snowmelt runoff simulations is also discussed. In deriving the depletion curve for SCA, if the number of images is reduced, the timing of image analysis within the snowmelt period is found very important. Analysis of the timing of satellite images indicated that images from the early and middle parts of the melt period are more important.  相似文献   

Improving generalization of artificial neural networks in rainfall–runoff modelling / Amélioration de la généralisation de réseaux de neurones artificiels pour la modélisation pluie-débit     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3)

Abstract

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are general-purpose techniques that can be used for nonlinear data-driven rainfall–runoff modelling. The key issue to construct a good model by means of ANNs is to understand their structural features and the problems related to their construction. Indeed, the quantity and quality of data, the type of noise and the mathematical properties of the algorithm for estimating the usual large number of parameters (weights) are crucial for the generalization performances of ANNs. However, it is well known that ANNs may suffer from poor generalization properties due to the high number of parameters and non-Gaussian data noise. Therefore, in the first part of this paper, the features and problems of ANNs are discussed. Eight Avoiding Overfitting Techniques are then presented, considering that these are methods for improving the generalization of ANNs. For this reason, they have been tested on two case studies—rainfall–runoff data from two drainage basins in the south of Italy—in order to gain insight into their properties and to investigate if there is one that absolutely gives the best performance.  相似文献   

南天山蛇绿混杂岩形成时代及大地构造意义   总被引：60，自引：6，他引：60       下载免费PDF全文

郝杰  刘小汉 《地质科学》1993,28(1):93-95

南天山发育有2条基性、超基性岩带,北侧一条沿中天山与南天山分界线汉滕格里—哈里克—干沟断裂带分布,南侧一条大致沿南天山主脊分布,2条基性、超基性岩带的岩石组合和地球化学特征表明它们是肢解的蛇绿岩残块(王作勋等,1990)。  相似文献   

具有异步控制器的离散马尔可夫跳变Lur'e系统的稳定性和l₂增益性能分析     

陶跃跃 《南京气象学院学报》2018,10(6):723-730

本文研究了一类具有异步控制器的离散马尔可夫Lur''e跳变系统的稳定性及l₂增益性能.通过引入隐马尔可夫模型（HHM）来描述所设计的控制器和原始系统之间出现的异步现象.利用线性矩阵不等式（LMI）方法分析了闭环系统的稳定性和l₂增益性能.然后提出了一个充分条件使得闭环系统随机稳定,并使得从扰动到系统输出的l₂增益达到最小.同时,通过求解给定条件来设计一个由线性状态反馈和扇形有界非线性输出反馈组成的异步控制器.最后,给出了一个数值仿真例子来验证所提方法的有效性.  相似文献   

Régnauld de Lannoy de Bissy’s Nineteenth Century Map of Africa at a Scale of 1∶2 000 000     

《The Cartographic journal》2013,50(3):282-293

Cartographic projects of national importance are often only reported on in local journals which are published in the language of the author or mapping organisation. Owing to this, important maps and map series often stay unknown outside their country of origin. A case in point is the important Carte d’Afrique on a scale of 1∶2?000?000 which, during the last decades of the nineteenth century, was compiled by the French army officer Captain Richard de Régnauld de Lannoy de Bissy. The map made an enormous contribution to the history of cartography of Africa with regard to not only the discovery and exploration of the continent, but also the expansion of colonial control and the political rivalry between European powers. It was an impressive project to be executed by one man and at the time guaranteed a prominent position for the author in geographic and cartographic circles worldwide. Although afterwards superceded by many more accurate maps, Lannoy de Bissy’s map to date remains a lasting witness to the mapping of the ‘dark continent’ and of the fragile, hesitating progress made during the search for geographical knowledge before the advent of aerial photography and satellite imagery.  相似文献   

原子荧光法快速连续测定土壤样品中的砷锑铋汞硒   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

刘桂玲  郭晓红 《山东国土资源》2004,20(2):55-57

确定了各元素的最佳分析条件，可在王水介质中连续测定农业地质调查样品中的砷、锑、铋、汞、硒.该方法快速简便，分析结果与国家一级标样标准值相符合.  相似文献   

A search for interstellar pyrimidine   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yi-Jehng Kuan  Chi-Hung Yan  Steven B. Charnley  Zbigniew Kisiel  Pascale Ehrenfreund  Hui-Chun Huang 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,345(2):650-656

  相似文献   

Invertebrate traces in pseudo–coprolites from the upper Cretaceous Marília Formation (Bauru Group), Minas Gerais State,Brazil     

《Cretaceous Research》2016

Pseudo–coprolites are inorganic structures often confused with fossil faeces. The absence of some diagnostic features, such as inclusions, coprofabrics, grain adhesion, and defined shape, suffices to disregard these structures as coprolites. Herein we revise the so–called “coprolites” from the Serra da Galga Member of the Marília Formation (Maastrichtian of Bauru Group, Paraná Basin), at “Ponto 1 do Price” locality near the town of Peirópolis (Uberaba municipality, Minas Gerais State, Brazil) and conclude that they are, in fact, pseudo–coprolites related to calcretes. These data also agree with the geological setting of “Ponto 1 do Price”, composed mainly of coarse sandstones and conglomerates, in which these pseudo–coprolites were found. In addition, some of these specimens exhibit superficial traces, here described as a new boring ichnospecies, <em>Asthenopodichnium fallaxem> isp. nov., produced by invertebrates in Late Cretaceous fresh–water settings of Brazil.  相似文献   

腾格里沙漠南缘末次间冰期5e亚段的微量元素特征及其反映的古气候     

孟洁  温小浩  李保生  牛东风  赵占仑  孙业凤  杨庆江 《中国沙漠》2015,35(3)

腾格里沙漠南缘土门剖面TMS5e层段由16层风成砂、11层湖积黄土和5层湖相沉积构成,其年代相当于深海氧同位素5e。分析结果表明,TMS5e的10种微量元素的含量依次为PMnSrRbVCrZnNiCuNb。就平均值来看,古流动沙丘砂的各微量元素含量最低,其次为古半固定-固定沙丘砂,但两者的各微量元素含量都明显低于整个TMS5e层段相应平均值;黄土状亚砂土微量元素含量稍低于整个TMS5e层段相应平均值;湖相沉积和湖积黄土的各微量元素含量相差较小,且明显都高于整个TMS5e层段、古流动沙丘砂和黄土状亚砂土的平均值。土门剖面TMS5e层段的微量元素指示的MIS5e腾格里沙漠南缘的气候是不稳定的,经历了14.5次暖湿与冷干交替的气候波动,且可划分为TMS5e5(139~129.30ka BP)、TMS5e4(129.30~124ka BP)、TMS5e3(124~119.50ka BP)、TMS5e2(119.5~116.5ka BP)和TMS5e1(116.5~113.70ka BP)等5个亚段,分别可与格陵兰GRIP冰芯氧同位素所反映的MIS5e5、MIS5e4、MIS5e3、MIS5e2、MIS5e1等气候波动在性质和相位上相对应。  相似文献   

最小二乘地震波4D球面扩散与吸收补偿方法及其应用研究     

周青春  黎益仕  高战武  罗浩  王继 《震灾防御技术》2022,17(3):539-548

基于地震波传播过程中能量衰减的物理机制理论分析,通过梳理已有研究成果,采用正弦函数分频、最小二乘法高阶e指数曲线拟合等技术研发了可实现时间、频率、炮检距和炮域内地震波4D球面扩散与大地吸收衰减补偿方法,解决了常规振幅补偿无法补偿振幅随频率衰减和剩余补偿的问题。实际地震资料处理结果表明,相较于常规振幅补偿方法,该方法可更准确地对球面扩散和大地吸收造成的地震波衰减进行自适应拟合与补偿,较好的恢复中、高频信号成分,提高主频,拓宽频带,有效提高成像分辨率,并较好地保持了振幅的相对关系。  相似文献