数据预处理在滑坡位移相关分析中的应用     

龙悦  徐光黎  高幼龙  杨燕丽  魏志云 《地质科技情报》2012,31(2):122-127

滑坡位移的变化除受控于其内在的地质条件之外,也受到外在诱发因素动态作用的影响.为更好地揭示滑坡位移变化与诱发因素的综合关系,运用多种数据预处理方法对滑坡位移监测数据进行了处理分析.以巫山监测预警示范站玉皇阁崩滑体为例,分别采用t检验准则、正交多项式及三次样条函数进行数据剔除处理、数据平滑处理及数据等距化处理,在得到有效数据的基础上,对滑坡位移量与降雨量、库水位.变化等诱发因素进行了相关分析.结果表明,滑坡位移量与降雨量、库水位变化等诱发因素存在较强的相关性,同时具有典型的滞后性,其中,连续降雨与库水位下降是滑坡变形主要的直接诱发因素,且连续降雨对滑坡位移影响的滞后时间为0～6 d,库水位下降对滑坡位移影响的滞后时间为0～21 d.  相似文献   

考虑滞后作用的地面沉降阿尔蒙分布预测模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

冯羽  马凤山  魏爱华  赵海军  郭捷 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2011,22(4):117-121

地面沉降相对于地下水水位变化具有滞后性。本文尝试建立了考虑滞后作用的地面沉降阿尔蒙分布滞后模型,并对收集到的沧州地区某时段内的地面沉降量进行了模拟预测,预测结果与灰色GM(1,1,)预测模型和神经网络预测模型的预测精度进行了对比。结果表明,阿尔蒙分布滞后模型的预测结果优良,预测精度相比较另两种方法均有提高,可以应用到地面沉降的预测问题中。  相似文献   

Lumped hysteretic model for subsurface stormflow developed using downward approach     

John Ewen  Stephen J. Birkinshaw 《水文研究》2007,21(11):1496-1505

The terms ‘downward’ and ‘upward’ (synonymous with ‘top‐down’ and ‘bottom‐up’ respectively) are sometimes used when describing methods for developing hydrological models. A downward approach is used here to develop a lumped catchment‐scale model for subsurface stormflow at the 0·94 km² Slapton Wood catchment. During the development, as few assumptions as possible are made about the behaviour of subsurface stormflow at the catchment scale, and no assumptions are made about its behaviour at smaller scales. (In an upward approach, in contrast, the modelling would be based on assumptions about, and data for, the behaviour at smaller scales, such as the hillslope, plot, and point scales.) The model has a single store with a relatively simple relationship between discharge and storage, based on equations describing hysteretic patterns seen in a graph of discharge against storage. Double‐peaked hydrographs have been observed at the catchment outlet. Rainfall on the channel and infiltration‐excess and saturation‐excess runoff give a rapid response, and shallow subsurface stormflow gives a delayed response. Hydrographs are successfully simulated for the large delayed responses observed in 1971–1980 and 1989–1991, then a lumped model for the rapid response is coupled to the lumped hysteretic model and some double‐peaked hydrographs simulated. A physical interpretation is developed for the lumped hysteretic model, making use of information on patterns of perched saturation observed in 1982 on a hillslope at the Slapton Wood catchment. Downward and upward approaches are complementary, and the most robust way to develop and improve lumped catchment models is to iterate between downward and upward steps. Possible next steps are described. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Water budget and surface‐layer water storage in a Sphagnum bog in central Sweden     

Erik Kellner  Sven Halldin 《水文研究》2002,16(1):87-103

A water budget was established for the open, undisturbed bog Stormossen, central Sweden, for the growing seasons of 1996 and 1997 as a part of the NOPEX project. The water budget was complemented with data on the spatial variation of groundwater levels and water contents in different microrelief elements (ridge, hollow and ridge margin). The seasonal (24 May to 4 October) rainfall, evaporation and runoff were 200, 256, and 43 mm in 1996, respectively, and 310, 286 and 74 mm in 1997, giving negative budgets of ?99 mm in 1996 and ?50 mm in 1997. Approximately 60% of the total budget was caused by storage changes in the upper 40 cm of the bog and 40% by swelling/shrinking in the layers below. This ‘mire breathing’ must be incorporated in future models of mire‐water dynamics. The water content varied diversely among the different microrelief elements, much depending on the properties of moss and peat together with distance to water table. There also was a strong hysteresis in the relationships between groundwater level and measured volumetric water content, depending partly on pore‐throat effects and partly on swelling/shrinking of the peat matrix. A seasonal variation of volumetric water content in a layer beneath water table was found to be larger than what could be justified by compression alone. We think that probable causes could be methane gas expansion together with temperature effects. The main conclusions of this study were: (i) water‐transport and storage characteristics are distinctly different among hummocks, ridges and hollows, (ii) mire wetness cannot be deduced from groundwater levels only, and (iii) an important part of the total water storage was caused by swelling/shrinking of the peat, not by changes in unsaturated water content. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

草甸草原降水特征与土壤水分对降水脉动响应——以呼伦贝尔草原额尔古纳市为例          下载免费PDF全文

张存厚  段晓凤  杨丽萍  越昆  张立 《干旱区地理》2022,45(6):1881-1889

利用额尔古纳牧业气象试验站降水量与土壤水分数据,通过降水与土壤水分动态变化及转化过程分析,确定土壤水分响应的降水临界值与不同降水级别引起土壤水分响应的概率,构建了降水过程量与土壤水分增量函数关系。结果表明：（1） 研究区降水量呈“先降后升”变化趋势,年内降水量呈单峰型分布。（2） 研究区以无降水天气为主,降水又以小降水事件占主导,大降水事件发生频次低、过程降水量大,小降水事件则相反。（3） 可以引起研究区0~50 cm各层土壤水分响应的降水临界值分别为8.1 mm、10.1 mm、19.0 mm、27.9 mm和31.6 mm,小雨仅能引起0~10 cm土壤水分响应的概率为28.6%,中雨不能引起40~50 cm土壤水分的响应。（4） 降水量与0~10 cm和10~20 cm土壤水分达到最大值时的滞后时间呈现出极显著负相关关系,与20~30 cm呈显著负相关关系,0~30 cm各层土壤水分达到最大值时的滞后时间与降水量符合幂函数关系。（5） 降水量和0~50 cm土壤水分增量均呈现出极显著正相关关系,降水量与0~10 cm和10~20 cm土壤水分增量符合线性关系,与20~30 cm、30~40 cm和40~50 cm土壤水分增量符合多项式关系。检验结果表明,构建的函数模型可以较好地模拟研究区0~30 cm各层水分增量。研究结果为地方政府抗旱减灾提供了科学依据。  相似文献   

Surface and subsurface water contributions to streamflow from a mesoscale watershed in complex mountain terrain          下载免费PDF全文

Qinghuan Zhang  John F. Knowles  Rebecca T. Barnes  Rory M. Cowie  Nathan Rock  Mark W. Williams 《水文研究》2018,32(7):954-967

An understanding of surface and subsurface water contributions to streamflow is essential for accurate predictions of water supply from mountain watersheds that often serve as water towers for downstream communities. As such, this study used the end‐member mixing analysis technique to investigate source water contributions and hydrologic flow paths of the 264 km² Boulder Creek Watershed, which drains the Colorado Front Range, USA. Four conservative hydrochemical tracers were used to describe this watershed as a 3 end‐member system, and tracer concentration reconstruction suggested that the application of end‐member mixing analysis was robust. On average from 2009 to 2011, snowmelt and rainwater from the subalpine zone and groundwater sampled from the upper montane zone contributed 54%, 22%, and 24% of the annual streamflow, respectively. These values demonstrate increased rainwater and decreased snow water contributions to streamflow relative to area‐weighted mean values derived from previous work at the headwater scale. Young water (2.3 ± 0.8 months) fractions of streamflow decreased from 18–22% in the alpine catchment to 8–10% in the lower elevation catchments and the watershed outlet with implications for subsurface storage and hydrological connectivity. These results contribute to a process‐based understanding of the seasonal source water composition of a mesoscale watershed that can be used to extrapolate headwater streamflow generation predictions to larger spatial scales.  相似文献   

Interpreting nested storm event suspended sediment-discharge hysteresis relationships at large catchment scales     

Simon S. Vale  John R. Dymond 《水文研究》2020,34(2):420-440

Reducing soil erosion and sediment delivery into rivers is a major aim for land management in New Zealand. Therefore, it is important to identify areas of sediment generation and their relationship to in-stream suspended sediment concentrations and water quality attributes. It is possible to infer and assess sediment sources and dynamics using storm event suspended sediment concentration-discharge hysteresis shape and loop direction. Research in small catchments has achieved some success; however, research in larger (>10³ km²) catchments has shown the inherent difficulty of interpreting hysteresis patterns at larger scales. In this paper, we use a nested, long-term suspended sediment monitoring program across a large catchment (3,903 km²: Manawatū in New Zealand) to address these challenges. We evaluate the hysteresis patterns of five major tributaries (subcatchment areas 329–1,298 km²) of the Manawatū River together with the hysteresis patterns at the gauged catchment outlet. Hysteresis patterns of the Manawatū subcatchments can be characterized as predominantly clockwise, that is, high hysteresis index (HI) value. Larger storms (discharge >2 × 10⁷ m³) increase the likelihood of clockwise hysteresis directions, whereas smaller storms (discharge <2 × 10⁷ m³) are more likely to be anticlockwise. The link between suspended sediment concentration-discharge hysteresis and subcatchment sediment sources becomes increasingly attenuated within the larger subcatchments. High antecedent discharge negatively correlates to HI values, suggesting conditions immediately before the storm have an influence on whether the catchment is “primed” or “exhausted” with available sediment. The different storm categories indicate that within this catchment, whereas hysteresis patterns vary due to the spatial origin of discharge and sediment to some extent, storm magnitude has a stronger impact on hysteresis dynamics than spatial origin.  相似文献   

Downstream evolution of wastewater treatment plant nutrient signals using high-temporal monitoring     

Sarah H. Ledford  Laura Toran 《水文研究》2020,34(3):852-864

Wastewater treatment plants are major point-sources of nutrients to streams globally, but the impact on receiving streams is not always clear. Previous research has shown mixed responses in receiving streams, with some showing no net retention through in-stream processing for large distances below plants and some showing high rates of processing and retention. This study focuses on Sandy Run, a small, suburban stream in Montgomery County, PA, that receives effluent from two plants, where effluent makes up an estimated 50% of outlet discharge at baseflow. Two sites were monitored in late summer baseflow using high-temporal loggers to evaluate nitrate and phosphate retention with distance below the plants. Effluent quantity was monitored immediately below the effluent outfalls using specific conductivity as a conservative signal of solute fluctuations throughout the day. A site 1 km downstream showed diel nitrate changes, but despite moderate gross primary productivity and ecosystem respiration rates, there was little net retention of nutrients and the diel nitrate signal can be attributed to advection and dispersion of variable upstream effluent. A site 5.4 km below the plant showed a diel nitrate signal as well, but baseflow daily hysteresis plots of nitrate and specific conductivity showed the effluent and nitrate peaks did not coincide. Instead, the effluent input signal was seen overnight, but there was in-stream removal and release processes during the day. Over the distance to this site, the stream was metabolizing some of the high nutrient loads, although gross primary productivity and ecosystem respiration rates were lower. It is important to understand subdaily changes in nutrient processing to fully quantify the impacts of effluent on small streams at different scales. Furthermore, looking at the diel signal without considering conservative transport would overestimate in-stream processing.  相似文献   

非饱和土毛细滞回内变量模型的修正   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李幻  韦昌富  颜荣涛  曹华峰 《岩土力学》2010,31(12):3721-3726

土-水特征关系是基质吸力和含水率之间关系。在反复干湿循环路径下土-水特征曲线呈现出毛细滞回特性。基于毛细滞回内变量理论和传统的土-水特征关系经验模型,提出了能模拟在任意干湿循环路径下土-水特征关系的修正模型。该模型比原模型增加了一个可逆参数,考虑了含水率的可逆变化,使扫描线在靠近边界线的时候斜率不会无限大,同时保留了原模型精度。通过与文献中的试验结果进行比较,修正模型可以更好地模拟非饱和土的土-水特征关系的循环滞回特性,并讨论了可逆参数的确定方法。  相似文献   

T形截面短肢剪力墙刚度及延性研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李青宁  李晓蕾  雷伟宁 《地震工程与工程振动》2010,30(1)

基于T形截面的六片短肢剪力墙,两片普通剪力墙在低周反复水平荷载作用下的试验,描述了短肢剪力墙的破坏现象。通过对滞回曲线及骨架曲线的分析,找出短肢剪力墙试件从开始开裂直至破坏过程中刚度退化系数随试件位移变化的规律,并利用最小二乘法模拟了此曲线,给出了模拟公式。确定了试件的位移延性,比较了各试件间的差异。此外,通过与两片普通剪力墙试验结果的对比,发现当短肢剪力墙的高厚比从规范规定的8变化到普通剪力墙的9时性能差异并不明显。  相似文献