副高持续偏强对福建气候的影响          下载免费PDF全文

许金镜  唐文伟  林仲平 《气象》1997,23(1):36-37

作者以１９５１－１９９５年副高持征量的气温、降水等气象要素为素材，分析了副高持续性偏强的基本事实和对福建天气气候的影响。  相似文献   

Neural dynamic modelling on earthquake magnitude series     

Xia-ting Feng  M. Seto  K. Katsuyama 《Geophysical Journal International》1997,128(3):547-556

Earthquake magnitude prediction is of vital importance for human safety. The earthquake is a very complicated and non-linear dynamic process. It cannot be described adequately by any deterministic models. In this paper a neural dynamic modelling for earthquake magnitude prediction is reported. Historical records of earthquake magnitude series are used to construct the optimal non-linear dynamic model, and the consequent outcome of the earthquake behaviour is then predicted by this model. In turn, the latest recorded data set can be fed back to improve the accuracy of the neural dynamic model. The modelling of experiments of three earthquake magnitude series in China and Japan and their extrapolated predictions are included in this paper. The values predicted by extrapolation are in good agreement with the historical data.  相似文献   

区域经济联系定量分析初探：以上海与苏锡常地区经济联系为例   总被引：49，自引：2，他引：49  

王德忠  庄仁兴 《地理科学》1996,16(1):51-57

针对目前区域联合日益广泛和经济联系量化研究不足的现状，在联系强度等方面提出一些新概念；阐述了经济联系量化指标的选取，建立了经济联系定量分析模型。  相似文献   

乌鲁木齐河源冰川的消融强度函数     

叶佰生  陈克恭  施雅风 《冰川冻土》1996,(2)

通过对天山乌鲁木齐河源１号冰川各物质平衡观测断面近１０年的观测资料和相应的气象资料进行统计分析，得出１号冰川东、西支消融期各月的消融强度函数。统计结果表明，消融强度与气温的关系随着月份的不同而异，同时由于１号冰川东、西两支冰川的朝向差异导致这一关系也有差别  相似文献   

Outline of the Great Hanshin earthquake, Japan 1995     

Takashi Okimura  Shiro Takada  Teng Hye Koid 《Natural Hazards》1996,14(1):39-71

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Seismic hazard assessment in the Ionian Islands based on observed macroseismic intensities     

Joanna E. Papoulia  Dario Slejko 《Natural Hazards》1996,14(2-3):179-187

Catalogues of actual observed intensities are constructed for three towns in the Ionian Islands. They are used for seismic hazard assessment and the results are compared with those obtained by standard approaches; that is, by statistics applied to the data computed from epicentral parameters. The results show that seismic hazard is better assessed using observed rather than computed data, but preparation of the local catalogue presents non-trivial difficulties.  相似文献   

水库诱发地震的地震动特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

杨清源  戴丽思  陈献程  胡毓良  陈凌岳 《地震工程学报》1997,19(1):64-69

利用新丰江、美国奥洛维尔和蒙蒂赛洛水库地震极近场地面运动资料，研究了水库诱发地震的地震动峰值加速度衰减。结果表明，水库地震的峰值加速度高，衰减快。利用国内水库地震资料研究了水库地震烈度。水库地震烈度与同级天然地震烈度相比，一般是烈度高，衰减慢。水库地震的地震动反应谱频率高，地震动持续时间短  相似文献   

2003年5月4日新疆伽师-岳普湖5.8级地震烈度分布及建筑物结构破坏特点     

姜慧  唐丽华  宋立军  张智强  寇大兵  王季达 《内陆地震》2004,18(1):39-44

新疆伽师-岳普湖5．8级地震宏观震中位于岳普湖县的铁热木乡和兵团农三师42团的北面，震中烈度为Ⅶ度。本次地震影响范围位于巴楚-伽师6．8级地震Ⅵ-Ⅶ度影响区域内，累计破坏效应造成了较为严重的房屋破坏。通过对大量震害资料和强震记录的分析，根据建筑物的破坏情况和场地峰值加速度衰减特征，在尽可能排除累计破坏效应的基础上确定了地震烈度分布，分析了不同烈度区中的建筑物结构破坏特点及其与地震动影响场的关系。  相似文献   

Study on the correlativity of earthquakes impact on cities     

潘华  赵凤新  高孟潭 《地震学报(英文版)》2004,17(3):362-365

Introduction With rapid development and advancement of economy and society, lots of city groups or city belts with ex-tra-large cities as their centers have been formed in China. The regions these city groups lie in usually have well-developed economy, dense population, and are regional politics and culture centers. Some groups lie in the regions with high level of earthquake activity, such as the Surrounding Capital City Group with the centers of Bei-jing and Tianjin. Once a large earthqua…  相似文献   

EFFECTS OF THREE KINDS OF PHYSICAL PROCESSES ON TYPHOON INTENSITY^*          下载免费PDF全文

REN Jian  MA Jingxian  CHEN Lianshou  LUO Zhexian 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2004,18(3):283-300

This paper designs three quasi-geostrophic barotropic models with a radial/horizontal grid length being 2 kin,one in the polar coordinates,one on a stationary typhoon circulation condition and another on a non-stationary typhoon circulation condition in the Cartesian coordinates,to investigate the effects of azimuthal and radial linear advections,and nonlinear advection on the inward propagation of mesoscale vorticity and the changes of typhoon intensity.Results show that the azimuthal linear advection may result in the formation of spiral vorticity bands;the radial linear advection in a certain parameter set is able to transfer vorticity inwards,leading to a slight enhancement of typhoon;the nonlinear advection of perturbation vorticity on a stationary typhoon circulation condition may transfer more vorticities inwards,thus resulting in a distinct enhancement of typhoon;and the nonlinear advection on a non-stationary typhoon circulation condition possesses duality,i.e.on the one hand,the advection increases the vorticity of inward propagation,thus favorable to the intensification of typhoon,and on the other hand,in the inward propagation process of vorticity the originally concentric and axisymmetric structure of typhoon basic flow is damaged,and a complex flow pattern forms,which in turn tends to weaken the circulation of typhoon.At last the paper discusses the possible applications of those results in typhoon intensity prediction.  相似文献