昼夜垂直移动对黄海中南部小黄鱼可捕系数的影响   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

关丽莎  单秀娟  金显仕  陈云龙  杨涛  吴强 《海洋学报》2018,40(2):53-60

鱼类的昼夜垂直移动是影响渔业资源调查可捕系数的重要因素之一,对调查获得的各种渔获物资源量指数（abundance index,AI）进行校正,对优化估计物种的空间分布和资源量估算有重要作用。本文以黄海中南部小黄鱼为例,利用2006-2009年和2011年黄海秋季底拖网渔业资源调查数据,应用地理统计二阶广义线性混合模型,量化了昼夜时段对黄海中南部小黄鱼AI的影响。不同昼夜时段对AI的随机效应系数表明,在黄海中南部秋季渔业资源调查中,底拖网对小黄鱼的可捕系数存在明显的昼夜变化:在午夜23点到凌晨3点间,可捕系数最低;凌晨3点后,可捕系数逐渐增大,直至9点达到峰值;在中午10点至下午16点,可捕系数小幅度降低后保持相对稳定,随后急剧下降;傍晚19点以后,可捕系数处于相对较低水平,直至午夜23点后降至最低水平。本研究通过地理统计二阶广义线性混合模型,去除了昼夜垂直移动对小黄鱼可捕系数的影响,预测的小黄鱼空间密度分布与其AI实际观测值以及渔场空间格局基本一致。另外,模型估计的2006-2009年和2011年秋季黄海中南部小黄鱼的总资源量指数相对扫海面积法的估计值精确度更高,且其变动趋势与黄海中南部沿岸两省（山东和江苏）小黄鱼次年总渔获量的变动情况一致。  相似文献   

基于GLM模型Logistic回归的菲律宾蛤仔地理群体判别     

董建宇  胡成业  杨晓龙  李文涛  张秀梅 《海洋与湖沼》2018,49(6):1318-1324

菲律宾蛤仔(Ruditapesphilippinarum)是重要的海洋经济贝类和海水养殖品种,具有较强的表型可塑性特点,不同地理群体之间存在表型差异。本研究根据实测数据建立了胶州湾与天鹅湖菲律宾蛤仔壳长(SL)与壳高(SH)、壳宽(SW)和活体重(W)的回归方程,定量分析了两个地理群体的形态学差异。由于其近似圆形的形态使得所能测量的外部指标较少,限制了传统形态测量学在其地理群体判别中的应用。本研究提出了将传统形态测量学和广义线性模型(GLM)相结合的方法,建立了判别菲律宾蛤仔地理群体的逻辑斯蒂(Logistic)回归方程。结果表明:菲律宾蛤仔的天鹅湖群体比胶州湾群体具有更高的SH/SL和SW/SL比值,壳形椭圆较圆且隆起程度高,"凸"形明显;基于GLM模型的Logistic回归能够快速准确地判别菲律宾蛤仔的地理群体归属,判别正确率高达94.23%。本研究为双壳类物种地理群体判别提供了新的分析方法和技术手段。  相似文献   

未胶结钙质砂静力和循环强度的单剪试验研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

王晓丽  裴会敏  王栋 《海洋工程》2018,36(6):124-129

通过等体积的单调和循环单剪试验研究南海未胶结钙质砂的静、动力反应,讨论应力水平和相对密实度对钙质砂静、动力强度的影响,并与典型的石英砂性质进行比较。在单调单剪试验中,中密和密实钙质砂在100～400 k Pa范围的初始竖向应力下都表现出应变硬化的性质,有效内摩擦角随剪应变增大。在循环单剪试验中,钙质砂的反应与相对密实度和初始竖向应力密切相关,但中密和密实钙质砂中的等效孔压都能达到初始竖向应力的85%～90%,此时剪应变突增,试样发生破坏。与相近密实度的石英砂相比,钙质砂抵抗液化的能力更强。提出了南海钙质砂动强度的归一化表达式,建立了不排水静强度、不排水动强度和循环次数之间的关系。  相似文献   

青岛台站重力固体潮和海潮负荷特征研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杜文成  袁林果  张宁宁  杨忠荣  姜中山 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(9):913-916

选取青岛台站2012-01~2013-02 gPhone重力仪连续观测资料进行预处理和调和分析,获得其重力潮汐参数,并选取8个全球海潮模型对O1、K1和M2潮波进行海潮负荷改正。结果表明：1）8个主要潮波调和分析的振幅因子标准差均在2.6%之内,与理论潮汐模型值的差异也在3.0%之内;2）利用海潮模型对O1、K1和M2潮波进行改正能有效地降低残差矢量,观测残差负荷改正的有效性大致分布在30%~75%,全球海潮模型对青岛台站主要潮波的海潮负荷改正差别不大。  相似文献   

A neural network model for liquefaction-induced horizontal ground displacement   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

J. Wang  M. S. Rahman   《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1999,18(8):5603-568

The horizontal ground displacement generated by seismically induced liquefaction is known to produce significant damage to engineered structures. A backpropagation neural network model is developed to predict the horizontal ground displacements. A large database containing the case histories of lateral spreads observed in eight major earthquakes is used. The results of this study indicate that the neural network model serves as a reliable and simple predictive tool for the amount of horizontal ground displacement. As more data become available, the model itself can be improved to make more accurate displacement prediction for a wider range of earthquake and site conditions.  相似文献   

核废料贮存裂隙岩体耦合分析研究综述   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：6  

刘亚晨  吴玉山  刘泉声 《地质灾害与环境保护》1999,10(3):72-78

在核废料地质处置过程中,涉及到热液力三种影响因素及其耦合问题,拟对国内外就这一研究方面的进展和现状作一介绍和评述,并对进一步研究核废料贮存围岩全耦合问题提出分析方法。  相似文献   

利用预测型线性规划评价矿区地下水开采量     

曹丁涛 《煤田地质与勘探》1993,21(6):38-41

建立了某矿区水源地当前和未来不同时期地下水开采量评价的预测型线性规划模型,得到了不同时期的最大开采量及相应的最优运行方案,为矿区发展规划提供了决策依据。   相似文献   

Seismic energy dissipation under variable amplitude loading for rectangular RC members in flexure          下载免费PDF全文

《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(4):831-853

The energy dissipation characteristics of reinforced concrete members that exhibit both strength and stiffness deterioration under imposed displacement reversals were investigated. To do this, 24 symmetrically reinforced concrete rectangular specimens were tested under stable variable and random variable amplitude inelastic displacement cycles. Stable variable amplitude tests were employed to determine the low‐cycle fatigue behavior of specimens where the loading sequence was the major variable. A 2‐parameter fatigue model was developed in order to express the variation of the dissipated energy in displacement cycles with the cumulative hysteretic energy. This model was then used to predict the energy dissipation of test specimens subjected to random variable amplitude displacement cycles simulating severe seismic excitations. It has been demonstrated that the remaining energy dissipation capacity for the next displacement cycle was dependent on the relative relationship between the maximal displacement cycle and the energy dissipated along the completed displacement path. The plastic energy dissipation capacity of reinforced concrete members is both displacement path dependent and cumulative hysteretic energy dependent.  相似文献   

涉县地震台地磁加卸载响应比异常分析     

王彬  张小涛  江永建  张建国 《地震地磁观测与研究》2020,41(4):70-77

2019年1月7日涉县地震台地磁Z分量加卸载响应比出现高值变化,通过检测观测系统、调研测区环境、分析空间磁场影响、对比同台多套仪器及对比河北省内其他台站相同仪器和分析震例等,认为涉县台地磁加卸载响应比高值变化不排除是地震地球物理异常的可能。  相似文献   

INVERSION RESEARCH OF PALEOSTRESS FIELD IN TENGCHONG AREA BASED ON VENT ALIGNMENT SURVEY METHOD          下载免费PDF全文

HOU Zheng-yang  WANG Cheng-hu  WANG Pu  JIANG Ying-hao  YANG Ru-hua 《地震地质》2019,41(4):1042-1059

The acquisition of paleostress data has always been a key and difficult problem in the field of tectonics and crustal dynamics. Previous findings show that the distribution of dykes and the alignment of volcano vents can indicate the direction of major principal stresses during the volcanic eruption period. The extension direction of underground dyke is generally parallel to the linear arrangement direction of vent and both of them give the direction of maximum horizontal principal stress in this period. This law has similar mechanical principle to hydraulic fracturing. Vent alignment survey method is a kind of geostress inversion method based on volcanic linear mode. In this paper theoretical basis of vent alignment survey method and the linear model of volcanic array are introduced. Based on the panchromatic high-resolution remote sensing image and digital elevation model(DEM)data in the Tengchong area, combining the geological exploration data about lithologic distribution of igneous rocks and the past research results of volcanic activities in the area, the research divides the volcanoes in this area, according to the age of volcanic eruption, into Holocene, late Pleistocene, early Pleistocene and Pliocene. Nakamura model was established based on the morphological characteristics and spatial distribution of the crater, and volcanic eruption period to evaluate the linear degree of the volcano in different age, and to carry out inversion of the paleostress field of the four volcanic eruption periods in Tengchong area. The reliability of the inversion results is evaluated according to Paulsen's data reliability assessment system. The data from inverting the paleostress of each show that maximum horizontal principal stress directions in the early Pleistocene period and late Pleistocene period are 39° and 37° respectively and reliability grades of inverted paleostress results in the two eras all belong to grade B; Inverted paleostress results in Holocene and Pliocene are not reliable because of the poor linearity of volcanic arrangement. The geostress direction determined by the vent alignment survey method is fairly consistent with the current geostress field obtained by the focal mechanism solution and the anelastic strain recovery(ASR method)and matches the tectonic history of Tengchong area since Neogene. The research findings demonstrate that the vent alignment survey method is an effective paleostress inversion method. The application of this method in the paleostress inversion of the Tengchong volcanic area is of important reference significance for the study of paleostress field in other volcanic areas in China.  相似文献