1991年江淮流域梅雨结束预报的分析与讨论          下载免费PDF全文

任泽君 《气象》1997,23(8):29-33

１９９１年江淮梅雨结束，在预报上具有相当难度。由于ＥＣＭＷＦ数值预报出现重大偏差，曾一度造成业务预报的重大分歧，增加了预报决策的困难。作者客观地反映当时预报的实况，其目的在于剖析预报分歧中的症结，并由此提出预报员的经验可以弥补单一预报工具的不足，修正数值预报产品的误差，从而提高预报准确率。  相似文献   

利用黄土剖面的古土壤年龄研究毛毛山断裂的滑动速率   总被引：11，自引：3，他引：11       下载免费PDF全文

袁道阳 《地震地质》1997,19(1):2-8

利用１４Ｃ、热释光（ＴＬ）样品年代及扩散方程计算结果，结合区域黄土剖面中古土壤年龄，对毛毛山地区晚第四纪各级地貌年龄进行了对比研究。根据毛毛山活动断裂水平位移和垂直位移分布明显的分组特征，求得毛毛山断裂带不同段落不同时段的平均滑动速率。大约自中更新世晚期以来，毛毛山断裂走滑段的平均水平滑动速率为２．３～３．９ｍｍ／ａ，垂直滑动速率为０．０７～０．１９ｍｍ／ａ；天祝盆地倾滑段垂直滑动速率为０．１１～０．８６ｍｍ／ａ。沿断裂带滑动速率具明显的非均匀性特点，表现为自东向西水平位移具累积滑动亏损特征，垂直位移则具补偿性  相似文献   

A STUDY ON TYPHOON MOVEMENT PART Ⅲ:EFFECT OF THE HORIZONTAL MOMENTUM EXCHANGE BETWEEN TYPHOONS AND ENVIRONMENT     

贺海晏  董惠菁 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1997,3(1):1-10

Two semi-asymmetric flow patterns of typhoons are chosen to qualitatively determine the effect of exchange of horizontal momentum between inflow and outflow layers and the environment on the motion of typhoons. The results show that only the asymmetric flow component (residual after azimuthal mean flow has been removed) could cause a net momentum input into or output from a typhoon and therefore contribute to the changes in speed and direction of the typhoon movement. A typhoon with major inflow and/or outflow channels on its right (left) side would tend to accelerate and turn left (decelerate and turn right); On the other hand, a typhoon with major inflow and/or outflow channels in the rear (front) semicircle would tend to accelerate and turn right (decelerate and turn left).  相似文献   

黄骅坳陷横向变换带的构造特征及成因   总被引：33，自引：10，他引：33  

周建生  陈发景 《现代地质》1997,11(4):425-433

讨论了黄骅坳陷横向变换带的构造特征和成因。根据利用地震反射剖面对盆地构造几何学的研究，圈定了不同尺度的横向变换带，确定了伸展构造背景下的横向变换带是为了保持区域伸展应变调节构造变形的一种调节体系。这种伸展应变守恒是靠三维空间上断层位移沿走向的变化实现的。横向变换带的构造样式为横向地垒状凸起和鼻状凸起或鼻状背斜，并具伸展性质的正断层。横向凸起与非叠复的和叠复的分段断层系伴生及发育在断层位移最小处等事实表明，横向凸起或横向鼻状背斜是由于分段断层系位移沿走向变化形成的。  相似文献   

Recovering magnetic susceptibility from electromagnetic data over a one-dimensional earth   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Zhiyi Zhang  Douglas W. Oldenburg 《Geophysical Journal International》1997,130(2):422-434

While the inversion of electromagnetic data to recover electrical conductivity has received much attention, the inversion of those data to recover magnetic susceptibility has not been fully studied. In this paper we invert frequency-domain electromagnetic (EM) data from a horizontal coplanar system to recover a 1-D distribution of magnetic susceptibility under the assumption that the electrical conductivity is known. The inversion is carried out by dividing the earth into layers of constant susceptibility and minimizing an objective function of the susceptibility subject to fitting the data. An adjoint Green's function solution is used in the calculation of sensitivities, and it is apparent that the sensitivity problem is driven by three sources. One of the sources is the scaled electric field in the layer of interest, and the other two, related to effective magnetic charges, are located at the upper and lower boundaries of the layer. These charges give rise to a frequency-independent term in the sensitivities. Because different frequencies penetrate to different depths in the earth, the EM data contain inherent information about the depth distribution of susceptibility. This contrasts with static field measurements, which can be reproduced by a surface layer of magnetization. We illustrate the effectiveness of the inversion algorithm on synthetic and field data and show also the importance of knowing the background conductivity. In practical circumstances, where there is no a priori information about conductivity distribution, a simultaneous inversion of EM data to recover both electrical conductivity and susceptibility will be required.  相似文献   

Determination of the isotropic component of deep focus earthquakes by inversion of normal-mode data     

Tatsuhiko Hara  Keiko Kuge  Hitoshi Kawakatsu 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,127(2):515-528

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夯扩桩半模夯扩试验及夯扩机理探讨   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

陈荣  俞季民 《岩土力学》1996,17(2):16-22

设计了夯扩桩半模夯扩试验，采用读数显微镜直接测读上体质点位移，获得了不同密度的均匀砂土中砂粒的位移，由此确定土体的位移场和密度场。借鉴魏西克（Ｖｅｓｉｃ）球形孔穴膨胀理论和梅耶霍夫（Ｍｅｙｅｒｈｏｆ）塑性剪切理论，结合模型试验成果，对夯扩机理作了探讨，并定性地提出了夯扩机理模式。  相似文献   

露天矿边坡的位移监测与滑坡预报   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

李炼  陈从新 《岩土力学》1997,18(4):69-74

对湖北大冶铁矿滑坡区域的长期监测资料进行分析和总结，提出依据位移-时间曲线预报滑坡的方法。  相似文献   

块状岩体边坡地震滑动位移分析   总被引：13，自引：3，他引：13  

薛守义  王思敬 《工程地质学报》1997,5(2):131-136

岩体边坡在强震作用下往往会产生滑动残余位移。这种位移是边坡稳定性评价的重要参量。本文利用块体动力学原理推导出层状和块状岩体边坡地震滑动位移微分方程式, 并编制了相应的计算程序, 给出了实例的计算结果。  相似文献   

巴楚-伽师Ms6.8地震地磁异常特点分析     

朱燕 《内陆地震》2004,18(2):162-168

通过分析、比较1996--2003年喀什地震台站记录到的新疆伽师及附近地区发生的多次6级地震的地磁前兆异常特征，发现在这几组地震活动过程中喀什地震台的地磁表现出不同的异常特征，说明与地震破裂特征有更深层次的相关性，且地磁响应比异常和总强度差值异常在一定程度上反映了台站周围小范围的震源区介质电性结构的变化。巴楚-伽师6．8级地震前地磁异常特征并不十分突出，有别于1996—1998年伽师强震群震前地磁异常量较丰富的特点。  相似文献