国家气象中心客观要素预报--MOS系统     

刘还珠赵声蓉  陆志善赵翠光杨元琴  李玉华 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2004,27(3):4-7,13

面向全国2000多个台站，应用数值预报产品释用MOS技术制作温度、降水、相对湿度、风、云量及能见度等要素预报，并实现了预报业务运行。通过建立MOS预报系统，表明预报因子和预报对象的处理、建方程前的参数选择以及预报因子的选取都会影响要素预报的质量，需要做大量的细致工作。预报检验结果显示，降水预报尚未达到可用程度．温度和相对湿度的短期预报在大多数情况下是可用的或是可参考的，但还有待进一步改进。降水预报尚需在预报因子和充分运用多种探测信息方面加以改进。  相似文献   

近红外反射光谱学在岩石矿物研究中的应用Ⅱ.快速测定地质样品中有机质     

龙梅  裴世桥 《岩矿测试》2004,23(1):6-10

利用偏最小二乘法回归的多变量校正方式,建立了应用近红外反射光谱学方法无损快速测定各种地质样品中有机质的模型.设计了多重散射光校正、标准正常变量转换及导数光谱,扣除额外基线和重叠信号的影响,分离出与有机质含量有关的光谱信息.大多数地质样品的有机质近红外反射光谱估算结果与化学法符合.  相似文献   

发射光谱载体蒸馏法测定地质样品中微量硼铍锡银   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

李滦宁  赵淑杰  王烨 《岩矿测试》2004,23(1):30-32

选择了适合的缓冲剂,利用载体蒸馏法将被测元素与基体元素分离,使Be转变为易挥发的氟化物与B、Sn、Ag同时蒸发;降低了谱线背景及元素检出限;加入内标元素Au、Bi,提高了方法的准确度和精密度;采用普通 3mm×3mm×0.7mm杯型电极,装样量少,操作简单。方法检出限(wB/10-6)分别可达B1.5、Be0.3、Sn0.8、Ag0.02;准确度(Δlog C)基本在-0.05～0.05,精密度(RSD,n=8)为2.9%～17%。  相似文献   

泰斯模型的统计分析求解   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李超群  朱国荣  江思珉 《水文地质工程地质》2004,31(2):75-78

本文利用统计分析来求解水文地质参数,原理简单,解是唯一的。其基本思想是利用非稳定流抽水试验获得的s-t系列资料,以泰斯公式为参考模型,建立试验系列的非线性统计模型,求解导水系数T和贮水系数μ 。统计模型既可利用目前先进的软件辅助求解,亦可利用一台可编程计算器完成计算。本文借助一个实例,应用MATLAB语言的统计分析工具的多元回归分析模块进行求解,获得了理想的结果。  相似文献   

澜沧江某水电站左岸地下式厂房岩体质量分级     

喻望  卢书强 《矿产与地质》2004,18(3):282-286

通过大量的现场调查数据与统计工作结果，采用了多种岩体质量分级评价方案，对澜沧江某水电站左岸地下式厂房岩体质量进行了精细的评价，最后将各种结果进行对比分析，得到一个合理、科学的综合岩体质量综合评价分级。并根据评价结果，作出了研究区坝址左岸地下式厂房岩体在不同高程的岩体质量分区图，为下一步的参数选取工作奠定了必要的基础。  相似文献   

豫西金矿类型划分   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李宗彦  杨鑫生 《矿产与地质》2004,18(6):559-562

豫西金矿矿床类型复杂，在前人的金矿床类型划分的基础上，根据豫西金矿床明显的野外地质特征，提出了豫西金矿类型划分方案，并对各金矿床类型的地质特征进行了简述，同时，对它们之间的共性作了总结。指出：豫西各类金矿类型之间既存明显的区别又具有密切的时间和空间上的成因联系，这一特点对用于拓宽该地区进一步的金矿找矿思路是十分必要的。  相似文献   

用于新生代定年的Ar-Ar法标准样品候选样品初测结果   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

桑海清  丁林  戴檀谟 《矿物岩石地球化学通报》2004,23(1):24-27

Ar Ar法定年的特点是必须要有一套年龄从小到大的标准样。迄今用于新生代定年的国内标准样极少。为满足新生代矿物Ar Ar法定年的需要,初选了一个标准样候选者BT 1透长石。样品总重366g,粒级6080目,纯度100%,缩分为100瓶,每瓶3 66g。Ar Ar阶段加热法初测结果为:全部12个阶段给出的总气体年龄为30 8±0 9Ma,412阶段视年龄十分接近,年龄谱平坦,对应的39Ar析出量达96%,坪年龄为29 6±0 4Ma,等时年龄为29 6±0 6Ma,MSWD=1 01。40Ar/36Ar初始值为293 6±3 9,与尼尔值295 5相当。重复测定结果为:全部气体年龄为31 0±0 9Ma(全部9个阶段),坪年龄为29 5±0 4Ma,等时年龄为29 4±0 6Ma,MSWD=1 94,40Ar/36Ar初始值为282 2±6 3。这些结果表明,BT 1透长石不含过剩氩,作为新生代定年的Ar Ar法标准样品候选者是较为理想的。  相似文献   

Geological controls on rock mass classification of coal from Huntly East Mine, New Zealand     

Vicki Moon  Trisha Roy 《Engineering Geology》2004,75(2):201-213

Rock Mass Rating (RMR) measurements from 65 sites within Huntly East underground coal mine are presented. All measurements are in coal, for which the dominant discontinuities are vertical cleat. Basic RMR values using two discontinuity spacings are presented: overall RMR based on the average spacing of all individual discontinuities; and cleat zone RMR based on the average spacing between zones of cleat. Cleat orientations are highly variable, but on average approximately parallel horizontal stress axes (face cleat follows maximum horizontal stress axis, butt cleat follows minimum horizontal stress axis).Contours of RMR variations throughout the mine are used to compare rock mass conditions with geological structure. It is apparent that: (1) RMR is least within downthrown fault blocks, and particularly immediately on the downthrown sides of faults, and greatest in upthrown fault blocks; and (2) RMR contours parallel horizontal stress axes within fault-bounded blocks, and bend to parallel faults at block boundaries. From similar contours for parameters contributing to RMR, the Rock Quality Designation (RQD), groundwater rating, and discontinuity condition rating create most of the observed variations in RMR. RQD is determined from the measured discontinuity frequency and hence is a measure of the degree of fracturing of the rock mass. This is interpreted as influencing the groundwater and condition parameters directly by allowing greater water ingress. Discontinuity frequency is greatest (least spacing) in the immediate vicinity of faults, and in downthrown fault blocks, generating low RMR values. Within fault blocks RQD varies little, so RMR contours align with cleat orientations.As RMR contours, faults, stress field and cleat orientation are clearly interrelated, there is unequivocally a connection between RMR and structural geology; this allows some predictive capacity in terms of ground conditions. If geological features can be accurately defined through either drilling programs or seismic surveys, then ground conditions may be predicted before panels are driven.  相似文献   

Fuzzy set approaches to classification of rock masses   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

A. Aydin   《Engineering Geology》2004,74(3-4):227-245

Rock mass classification is analogous to multi-feature pattern recognition problem. The objective is to assign a rock mass to one of the pre-defined classes using a given set of criteria. This process involves a number of subjective uncertainties stemming from: (a) qualitative (linguistic) criteria; (b) sharp class boundaries; (c) fixed rating (or weight) scales; and (d) variable input reliability. Fuzzy set theory enables a soft approach to account for these uncertainties by allowing the expert to participate in this process in several ways. Hence, this study was designed to investigate the earlier fuzzy rock mass classification attempts and to devise improved methodologies to utilize the theory more accurately and efficiently. As in the earlier studies, the Rock Mass Rating (RMR) system was adopted as a reference conventional classification system because of its simple linear aggregation.

The proposed classification approach is based on the concept of partial fuzzy sets representing the variable importance or recognition power of each criterion in the universal domain of rock mass quality. The method enables one to evaluate rock mass quality using any set of criteria, and it is easy to implement. To reduce uncertainties due to project- and lithology-dependent variations, partial membership functions were formulated considering shallow (<200 m) tunneling in granitic rock masses. This facilitated a detailed expression of the variations in the classification power of each criterion along the corresponding universal domains. The binary relationship tables generated using these functions were processed not to derive a single class but rather to plot criterion contribution trends (stacked area graphs) and belief surface contours, which proved to be very satisfactory in difficult decision situations. Four input scenarios were selected to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed approach in different situations and with reference to the earlier approaches.  相似文献   

A rippability classification system for marls in lignite mines   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

H. Basarir  C. Karpuz   《Engineering Geology》2004,74(3-4):303-318

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