澳门单站气象资料变化趋势的预报模型之比较     

梁嘉静  周文  陈创买 《气候与环境研究》2007,12(5):595-603

以澳门单站年和四季降水和温度两个气象要素的气象资料(1952~2001年)为主要研究对象,利用3种统计预报模型(谐波分析外推模型、开环门限自回归模型和主分量因子的逐步回归模型)进行拟合及试报,对澳门的降水及温度的变化做较深入的分析及预测,比较3种统计预报模型在研究澳门单站气象资料的变化趋势中的优劣。结果发现,3种预报模型在预报年和四季平均气温的方面都比较理想,但对降水量变化序列做拟合及试报则差异较大。总体而言,气候场的主分量逐步回归法对相同的气候资料建模做拟合及试报,结果拟合率是三者中最高的,复相关为0.821~0.911,预报效果除秋季较差外,其余都非常好。  相似文献   

疏勒河上游径流组分及其变化特征定量模拟   总被引：5，自引：3，他引：2  

李洪源  赵求东  吴锦奎  丁永建  秦甲  韦虹  曾帝 《冰川冻土》2019,41(4):907-917

气候变化背景下,西北干旱区内陆河流域的水文过程发生显著变化,制约着地区经济社会和生态建设的稳定发展。定量分析和评估高寒山区径流的变化,有助于加强西北地区水资源的规划管理,实现水资源的可持续利用,保障区域水安全。选取位于青藏高原东北边缘、祁连山西段的疏勒河上游作为研究区,利用包含冰雪消融模块的寒区水文模型分布式SPHY模型（Spatial Processes inHydrology model）对流域的径流过程进行定量模拟,根据模拟结果分析了疏勒河上游近45 a径流组成及径流与各组分的变化特征。结果表明：（1）率定期日径流和月径流模拟的Nash效率系数分别为0.62和0.86,验证期达到0.79和0.95,模拟的月径流与实测月径流过程基本一致;（2）径流由四部分组成,冰川径流占总径流的年平均比例为30.5%,融雪径流的占比为12.9%,降雨径流的占比为13.5%,基流的占比为43.1%;（3）由于气温升高、降水增多,冰川径流与降雨径流均呈增加的趋势,平均增加幅度分别为4.66×10⁶ m³·a^-1和2.46×10⁶ m³·a^-1,融雪径流呈减少的趋势,平均减少幅度为1.01×10⁶ m³·a^-1;（4）近45 a年径流增加了69.6%,冰川融水对流域径流增加的贡献率达到48%,非冰川区降水增加的贡献率达到52%。  相似文献   

Identification of the anomaly component using BEMD combined with PCA from element concentrations in the Tengchong tin belt,SW China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yongqing Chen  Lina Zhang  Binbin Zhao 《地学前缘(英文版)》2019,10(4):1561-1576

Concentration of elements or element groups in a geological body is the result of multiple stages of rockforming and ore-forming geological processes.An ore-forming element group can be identified by PCA(principal component analysis)and be separated into two components using BEMD(bi-dimensional empirical mode decomposition):(1)a high background component which represents the ore-forming background developed in rocks through various geological processes favorable for mineralization(i.e.magmatism,sedimentation and/or metamorphism);(2)the anomaly component which reflects the oreforming anomaly that is overprinted on the high background component developed during mineralization.Anomaly components are used to identify ore-finding targets more effectively than ore-forming element groups.Three steps of data analytical procedures are described in this paper; firstly,the application of PCA to establish the ore-forming element group;secondly,using BEMD on the o re-forming element group to identify the anomaly components created by different types of mineralization processes; and finally,identifying ore-finding targets based on the anomaly components.This method is applied to the Tengchong tin-polymetallic belt to delineate ore-finding targets,where four targets for Sn(W)and three targets for Pb-Zn-Ag-Fe polymetallic mineralization are identified and defined as new areas for further prospecting.It is shown that BEMD combined with PCA can be applied not only in extracting the anomaly component for delineating the ore-finding target,but also in extracting the residual component for identifying its high background zone favorable for mineralization from its oreforming element group.  相似文献   

Satellite-based Estimates of Canopy Photosynthetic Parameters for an Alpine Meadow in Northern     

NIU Ben  HE Yongtao  ZHANG Xianzhou  SHI Peili  DU Mingyuan 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2020,11(3):253-262

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Using LM‐OSL of quartz to distinguish sediments derived from surface‐soil and channel erosion          下载免费PDF全文

Arman Haddadchi  Jon Olley  Timothy Pietsch 《水文研究》2016,30(4):637-647

This study describes the use of linearly modulated optically stimulated luminescence (LM‐OSL) to distinguish surface‐soil derived sediments from those derived from channel bank erosion. LM‐OSL signals from quartz extracted from 15 surface‐soil and five channel bank samples were analysed and compared to signals from samples collected from two downstream river sites. Discriminant analysis showed that the detrapping probabilities of fast, first slow and second slow components of the LM‐OSL signal can be used to differentiate between the samples collected from the channel bank and surface‐soil sources. We show that for each of these source end members these components are all normally distributed. These distributions are then used to estimate the relative contribution of surface‐soil derived and channel bank derived sediment to the river bed sediments. The results indicate that channel bank derived sediments dominate the sediment sources at both sites, with 90.1 ± 3% and 91.9 ± 1.9% contributions. These results are in agreement with a previous study which used measurements of ¹³⁷Cs and ²¹⁰Pb_ex fallout radionuclides to estimate the relative contribution from these two sources. This result shows that LM‐OSL may be a useful method, at least in the studied catchment, to estimate the relative contribution of surface soil and channel erosion to river sediments. However, further research in different settings is required to test the difference of OSL signals in distinguishing these sediment sources. And if generally acceptable, this technique may provide an alternative to the use of fallout radionuclides for source tracing. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

基于CLEAN算法的GPS监测数据处理方法     

张巨林 《北京测绘》2020,(3):412-416

对建筑物进行高精度的变形监测是后期信息提取,预防安全隐患的基础。针对GPS变形监测中存在的多径误差问题,本文提出一种基于CLEAN算法的GPS多径提取方法,首先对多径信号理论模型进行分析,结果表明多径信号可以作为直达信号的谐波分量,在此基础上利用CLEAN算法在频域对多径信号进行提取,基于仿真和实测数据的实验结果表明,所提方法相对于小波方法和经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)方法具有更高的提取精度和更好的多径抑制性能。  相似文献   

基于车载LiDAR点云的地物分类方法的研究     

邵帅  刘春晓  周光耀  井文胜 《测绘与空间地理信息》2017,(2):198-201

基于点云分类常用的近邻聚类法和物体表面分割等方法,本文提出了一种基于最大网格密度的近邻聚类的方法。该方法首先对原始点云进行低点提取,设置格网的大小,在此基础上对点云数据进行去噪并进行主成分分析,再对点云空间进行均匀格网化,使具有最大密度的格网为聚类中心,加入高程、强度以及法向量等特征对分割后的点云实现了不同地物的分类,提高了运算效率,降低了错分率。  相似文献   

Elements and Element Components of the Rural Landscape in Linpan of Western Sichuan in Relation to Perception,Preference and Stress Recovery     

LUO Hao  DENG Li  JIANG Songlin  FU Erkang  MA Jun  SUN Lingxia  JIANG Mingyan  CAI Shizhen  JIA Yin  CAI Jun  LI Xi 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2021,12(3):384-396

Natural environments contribute to people’s perception, preference and health restoration. Many researchers have focused either on the positive effects of overall rural environments on stress recovery or concentrated on the perception and preference aspects of the rural landscape, but few have integrated perception, preference and stress recovery simultaneously. This paper developed a framework which includes 11 elements and 38 element components related to Linpan, China, and distributed it online as part of a survey. As a result, a total of 324 valid questionnaires were collected. The questionnaire included demographic details, perception and preference degree for Linpan, as well as self-estimations of stress recovery. Stepwise multiple linear regression was employed, and revealed 16 significant predictors for the perception, preference and stress recovery in rural environments. In terms of elements, atmosphere and imagery were the two elements that could be best perceived, while woodland, farmland, water, residence and road were the five most important elements for the preference. Moreover, seven elements were also identified as significant predictors for stress recovery. Among the element components, tranquility as well as road and water proximity were the two significant predictors for perception, while wide visibility as well as woodland and residence blending contributed significantly to stress recovery. The five element components of woodland interior, vegetable field, stream, courtyard space and branch road each had a significantly predictive ability for preference and stress recovery. These findings extend the understanding of the perception, preference and restorative properties of rural environments through the combination of elements and element components in Linpan of Western Sichuan, helping to improve the quality and characteristics of rural external and internal environments and create health-promoting environments.  相似文献   

Use of otolith-shape analysis for stock discrimination of Boops boops along the Algerian coast (southwestern Mediterranean Sea)     

D Ider  Z Ramdane  K Mahé  JL Duffour  M Bacha 《African Journal of Marine Science》2017,39(3):251-258

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Intensity measures for probabilistic assessment of non‐structural components acceleration demand          下载免费PDF全文

Marco De Biasio  Stephane Grange  Frederic Dufour  Frederic Allain  Ilie Petre‐Lazar 《地震工程与结构动力学》2015,44(13):2261-2280

A fundamental issue in the framework of seismic probabilistic risk analysis is the choice of ground motion intensity measures (IMs). Based on the floor response spectrum method, the present contribution focuses on the ability of IMs to predict non‐structural components (NSCs) horizontal acceleration demand. A large panel of IMs is examined and a new IM, namely equipment relative average spectral acceleration (E‐ASA_R), is proposed for the purpose of NSCs acceleration demand prediction. The IMs efficiency and sufficiency comparisons are based on (i) the use of a large dataset of recorded earthquake ground motions; (ii) numerical analyses performed on three‐dimensional numerical models, representing actual structural wall and frame buildings; and (iii) systematic statistical analysis of the results. From the comparative study, the herein introduced E‐ASA_R shows high efficiency with respect to the estimation of maximum floor response spectra ordinates. Such efficiency is particularly remarkable in the case of structural wall buildings. Besides, the sufficiency and the simple formulation allowing the use of existing ground motion prediction models make the E‐ASA_R a promising IMs for seismic probabilistic risk assessment. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献