Mixture models and atypical values     

N. A. Campbell 《Mathematical Geology》1984,16(5):465-477

The resolution of a mixture of two or more populations into its component distributions may be markedly influenced by one or a few atypical values. The maximum likelihood solution effectively assigns (part of) each observation to one or another of the components via the posterior probabilities, even though the observation may be widely discrepant from all components. This paper presents a modification of the mixture problem, in which the typicality of each observation is considered, as well as the posterior probabilities, with the contribution of atypical observations being downweighted. The extension to the multivariate case is discussed.  相似文献   

A Glimpse of Steel Manufacture     

《The Journal of geography》2012,111(4):169-178

Abstract

Abstract

This article explores the relationship between the values that teachers bring to the classroom and their performance. The insights are drawn from the National Science Foundation-funded Finding A Way project that was undertaken by the National Council for Geographic Education. I argue here that without understanding the values and beliefs of classroom teachers, professional development initiatives might, in the end, make little difference in what goes on in the classroom.  相似文献   

A Teacher's Introduction To Remote Sensing     

《The Journal of geography》2012,111(3):171-176

Abstract

This article is an introduction to remote sensing. It provides the novice with a definition of remote sensing, information about some remote sensing products, data that can be obtained from remote sensing images, what can be done with images, ideas to integrate remote sensing with other subjects, a sample unit using images, and a list of associate areas related to remote sensing. The article also contains information for obtaining remote sensing materials and information and considers values concerns relating to remote sensing.  相似文献   

Public opinions on biological diversity in Norway: Politics,science, or culture?     

《Norsk geografisk tidsskrift. Norwegian journal of geography》2012,66(5):290-299

Loss of biological diversity is among the most pressing environmental problems facing modern societies. Whereas today much is known about peoples' opinions on climate change, there is still a lack of knowledge regarding how people asses the issue of biological diversity. The article represents a step towards a better understanding of public opinions on the issue of biodiversity, and hence also of the prerequisites and possibilities for a more or less vigorous or legitimate policy on this issue. The analyses show that social background matters for concern about biodiversity, but only to a certain extent: women are less negative towards biodiversity protection than men, the older segments of the population, at least in Norway, are less concerned with biodiversity, and education has only a marginal effect. Hence, to a large extent, political attitudes matter and indicate that concern for biodiversity seems to work by various types of available heuristics whereby a given case is linked to political understandings of other and similar and/or familiar issues. The inclusion of other political variables (local decision-making) and what the authors label ‘cultural variables’ (e.g. view of nature and trust in science) seem also to matter decisively for attitudes towards biodiversity.  相似文献   

不同对流参数化方案和初值场组合对四川两次暴雨影响的数值模拟   总被引：6，自引：3，他引：3  

何光碧  曹杰 《高原气象》2008,27(4)

针对2004年9月2~6日四川盆地东北部一次持续性暴雨过程和2004年6月30日成都地区暴雨过程,利用MM5中尺度数值模式,进行了Grell、Kuo、KF及BM四种积云对流参数化方案与T213模式分析值及NCEP再分析值两种初始值组合的数值试验,分析了不同积云方案和初值组合的模拟性能。比较结果表明,MM5模式较好地再现了这两次强降水过程。在同一模式中,不同对流参数化方案和不同初值组合在降水落区和强度模拟上存在一定程度的差异。初步模拟表明NCEP资料模拟的降水强度较T213资料模拟的降水强度偏弱,但降水落区较T213资料模拟的更接近实况,T213资料模拟的降水空报现象较严重。以T213资料模拟得到的高度、温度场都较NCEP资料更有利于影响系统的加强,模拟的湿度场、散度场和垂直运动场都较NCEP资料更有利于强降水的发生。相对而言,NCEP资料模拟结果更接近实况,Kuo和Grell方案对初值表现出更为敏感。  相似文献   

回归分析在确定多金属硫化物矿石密度中的应用     

李昭升 《福建地质》2004,23(2):82-88

在研究多金属硫化物矿床的特点,分析以往矿床勘查中确定矿石密度值难点的基础上,通过建立矿石密度值与矿石各组分的多元线性回归数学模型,预测矿床的矿石密度值。  相似文献   

藏南冈底斯岩基东段中新世中酸性高Sr/Y比岩浆岩的地球化学特征及成因探讨   总被引：4，自引：4，他引：0  

徐倩  曾令森  高家昊  高利娥  王亚飞  胡昭平  赵令浩 《岩石学报》2019,35(6):1627-1646

藏南冈底斯带广泛发育中新世中酸性高Sr/Y比岩浆岩,对该类型岩石的成因研究可为藏南后碰撞岩浆活动提供良好的记录和约束。通过对冈底斯带东段中酸性岩浆岩进行锆石U-Pb年代学研究表明,该中酸性岩浆岩形成于16～18Ma,为中新世时期;全岩地球化学数据表明岩浆岩具有高SiO_2含量( 64%),高钾富钠,高Sr、低Y和高Sr/Y比,轻稀土富集、重稀土亏损且较平坦的特征,显示出埃达克质岩的地球化学亲缘性;与冈底斯带中段～14Ma埃达克质闪长玢岩脉相比,冈底斯带东段的中新世岩浆岩具有更高的K含量;锆石Hf同位素分析结果表明,中新世中酸性岩浆岩具有正的且变化较大的εHf(t)值(+1. 2～+14. 4);全岩(La/Yb)N值对中新世地壳厚度的估算结果为77～84km,处于壳幔边界处。综合上述数据分析表明,冈底斯带东段中新世中酸性高Sr/Y岩浆岩的成因为拉萨地块加厚下地壳(占主体的新生下地壳+少量古老地壳)的部分熔融,并在源区残留了石榴子石和角闪石,造成熔融的热量来源可能为拉萨地体岩石圈根部拆沉导致的热扰动。  相似文献   

Protecting Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (IAHS) by Industrial Integration Development (IID): Practices from China     

ZHANG Yongxun  HE Lulu 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2021,12(4):555-566

With Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (GIAHS) increasing in number around the world, their conservation has become a new international research theme. From the perspective of combining theoretical analyses and practical case applications, this study examines the Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (IAHS) conservation pathways and operation mechanisms through industrial integration development (IID). First, the theoretical framework of IID in IAHS sites was constructed according to the requirements of IAHS conservation, which include analyses of the connotation and basic principles of IID, the necessity of IID for IAHS sites, the resource conditions, and the IID pathways. And then based on the theoretical framework, the IID of Longji Terraces in Guangxi, Honghe Hani Rice Terraces System in Yunnan (HHRTS), Aohan Dryland Farming System in Inner Mongolia (ADFS), and Huzhou Mulberry-dyke & Fish-pond System (HMFS) in Zhejiang are analyzed systematically. The main finding is that IID is an effective pathway for IAHS conservation. However, the IID in IAHS sites must stress the ecological and cultural values of the resources; IID should be based on local resource advantages; and IID should attach importance to the combination of different policies and coordination between different stakeholders.  相似文献   

基于MODE对模式预报强风风场的检验分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈笑  赵东  何晓凤  沈历都  申双和  宋丽莉  刘善峰 《气象》2018,44(8):1009-1019

基于专业气象服务领域十分关注的模式强风预报性能的客观检验和致灾性强风预警服务效果的合理性判别问题,利用一次强风过程对电网专业气象预警服务效果的检验示范,探讨基于目标(面向对象)的诊断检验方法(Method for ObjectBased Diagnostic Evaluation,MODE)对强风事件检验的适用性。通过对强风空间检验的各个关键参数的选择确定、匹配分析,发现:(1)MODE检验的卷积半径、诊断量权重和匹配阈值等参数的选择,将影响检验目标的适度聚焦和误差表达的客观性,因此需要综合考虑预报和实况场的水平分辨率、用户对该类强天气预报误差的空间和时间冗余度等;(2)MODE检验可较好地量化给出模式预报的整体效果,包括:强风落区的范围大小和位置偏差、强风过程的时间相位差等,从而可量化判别出模式在各个时刻的空报和漏报区域以及对强风过程移动速度和生命周期长度的预报性能。  相似文献   

滇东北山区坡耕地土壤侵蚀的地形因子   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：6  

杨子生 《山地学报》1999,(Z1)

通过在滇东北山区坡耕地上设置１８个不同坡度和坡长的试验小区,并进行连续３年实测,得到本区域土壤侵蚀地形因子（ＬＳ）的定量关系式,据此求得滇东北山区坡耕地土壤侵蚀的坡面地形效应（ＬＳ值）表。  相似文献