灰色系统在地面沉降分析中的应用   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

宫相霖  董荣鑫 《上海国土资源》2003,(3):16-21

该文将灰色系统理论引入地面沉降的研究之中。根据上海地面沉降的历史数据建立了上海地面沉降发展的GM(1,1)模型以及地面沉降与地下水位变化的映射GM(1,2)模型,最后运用所建立的模型对地面沉降的发展态势进行了预测。  相似文献   

南华北地区石炭-二叠系砂岩和泥岩中粘土矿物的形成与转化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

管俊芳  陆琦  陈林丽  雷新荣 《西北地质》2003,36(1):74-77

区内砂岩中的粘土矿物主要是自生的高岭石、绿泥石和伊蒙混层，而泥岩中的粘土矿物是伊蒙混层和高岭石，少量绿泥石。未见蒙脱石。砂岩和泥岩中粘土矿物的转化具有相似的水介质和地温条件，都反映出在中—晚成岩期形成，而且与烃类的排出和运移密切相关。泥岩中粘土矿物转化和脱水作用为砂岩输送流体和释放溶解物质。而且泥岩中有机质的脱羟基向砂输送酸性水，促进砂岩中骨架颗粒溶解、次生孔隙的产生。  相似文献   

上海市防汛辅助决策系统研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

郑晓阳  胡传廉 《水文》2003,23(2):33-36

针对威胁上海的三大水灾，研制暴雨积水模型、风暴潮模型、河网水力模型、灾害评估模型，在GIS基础上建立了上海市防汛辅助决策系统，实现了对处于平原感潮河网的上海市洪涝灾害的实时监测、分析预报、风险评估和网上发布。为分析洪涝形势、制定防汛成灾方案、进行灾情评估以及工程管理，提供准确、及时、全面的信息支持。阐述了系统的总体设计、功能模块、关键技术和特色，分析了GIS、水动力学模型在系统中的作用。  相似文献   

软土大变形固结计算中参数识别的遗传算法     

吴振君  施斌  亓军强 《水文地质工程地质》2003,30(4):35-38

含水量很高的饱和软土在外荷载作用下沉降很大,小变形分析误差太大,必须通过大变形非线性固结计算来模拟。遗传算法是一种全局优化和搜索的仿生算法。近年来随着工程领域中复杂的大规模非线性系统的出现,遗传算法日益得到青睐,目前已经广泛应用到各个领域中。本文对遗传算法做了改进,主要体现在杂交算子的选取和轮盘赌模型的模拟退火拉伸,并将其用于饱和软土的大变形固结分析,解决其中的关键参数识别问题。研究表明该方法是行之有效的,值得进一步研究探索。  相似文献   

上海及邻区的地壳形变速率与地震活动     

宋先月  宋治平  张肃  汪育新  倪友忠 《华南地震》2003,23(1):13-19

对上海佘山地震台伸缩仪的数字记录资料进行去趋势以及地壳形变速率的分析表明：伸缩仪EW向在200l年5～7月存在破年变趋势异常，并且该测项的形变速率在2001年3～8月存在高于正常背景值的异常。结合GPS资料、应力场、地震活动性的情况分析后认为，佘山台的形变速率异常可反映上海及邻区应力场的部分信息，该信息对地震活动具有一定前兆意义。因此，应用形变数字化资料计算地壳形变速率，可作为对地层活动以及日常地震预测的一种分析方法。  相似文献   

非开挖导向钻进实际轨迹的控制设计   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

张德龙  蒋荣庆 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2003,33(2):246-248

非开挖导向钻进技术，具有施工速度快、适用范围广等优点，得到了广泛的应用。在实际钻进中，由于钻进在地下的不确定性，影响了导向钻进的顺利进行。到得钻进中当前点的顶角、方位角和孔深，通过均角全距法原理，可以近似地描绘出当前钻孔的空间实际轨迹，并确定钻头的位置。应用这一原理，同时运用VisualBasic语言和AutoCAD绘图工具相结合的方法，编制一套应用程序，可以直接绘制出当前钻孔轨迹，并可实现对钻孔轨迹的调控，从而保证导向钻进的顺利进行。  相似文献   

Observing artificially induced strain: implications for subglacial deformation   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

John F. Hiemstra  Kenneth F. Rijsdijk 《第四纪科学杂志》2003,18(5):373-383

By analysing a series of four successive thin‐sections from a ceramic clay that was subjected to uniaxial compression, we were able to monitor the development of microstructures in a fine‐grained sediment. The artificially induced microstructures, such as unidirectional clay reorientations and linear and circular grain arrangements, are identical to features that have been observed in thin‐sections of subglacially deformed tills, and therefore may be used as representative analogues. We argue that the structures, reflecting slip, planar shear displacements as well as rotational movements, can be explained by assuming a Coulomb‐plastic response to imposed shear. We conclude that sediments subjected to subglacial deformation behave as Coulomb materials, at least during the final stages of the deformation. The present study bridges the gap between field studies, experimental studies and theoretical modelling. The microscopic observations assist in visualising inferred subglacial processes and facilitate up‐ and downscaling between diverse methodological approaches. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

滑带土粘土矿物定向性的x射线衍射及其对滑坡的作用   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6  

王洪兴  唐辉明  陈聪 《水文地质工程地质》2003,(Z1)

本文首先论述了粘土矿物颗粒定向排列测定的基本原理并提出粘土矿物定向性定量评价方法,然后根据实例—庙上北滑坡的滑带土粘土矿物的X射线衍射结果,进行定向性定量分析计算,得出滑带土粘土矿物颗粒的定向度为弱到中等定向,并以中等定向为主。因而在水的往返作用下,滑带土具一定的胀缩性及胀缩的不均匀性,再加上粘土矿物本身亦具有的胀缩性及胀缩的可逆性和循环性,故导致滑带土抗剪强度和结构强度不断降低,大大影响斜坡的稳定性。  相似文献   

A simple test and predictive models for assessing swell potential of Ankara (Turkey) Clay     

Zeynal Abiddin Erguler  Resat Ulusay   《Engineering Geology》2003,67(3-4):331-352

During the past three decades, damage due to swelling action of Ankara Clay has been observed more clearly in some parts of Ankara where rapid expansion of the city led to the construction of various kinds of structures. In this study, a comprehensive research program has been conducted (i) to investigate the effect of remoulding and desiccation on the swelling behavior of Ankara Clay and its swelling anisotropy, (ii) to estimate depth of active zone, (iii) to develop a simple technique in determining the magnitude of swelling based on water content of the soaked specimen after 24 and 72 h (w_max24,72), and (iv) to produce predictive models which could be used to estimate the swelling potential of Ankara Clay from its mineralogical and simply measured engineering characteristics. A laboratory testing program was carried out using both undisturbed, and remoulded and desiccated samples selected from 20 different locations. Montmorillonite was identified as being the main clay mineral present. Based on the moisture content variation with depth, the active expansive zone was considered to be about 2 m. The test results suggest that swelling pressure of the clay considerably decreases and/or dies out when the water content is greater than 30%. It is also noted that the measured lateral swelling is significantly in excess of the vertical equivalent indicating an anisotropy with respect to swelling. Statistical assessments indicate that a new parameter (w_max24,72) from a simple test, suggested in this study, is a very strong parameter for predicting swelling parameters of Ankara Clay. Based on 60 empirical predictive equations with coefficients of correlation between 0.96 and 0.66 from multiple regression analyses, w_max24,72, methylene blue value, liquid limit, dry unit weight and smectite content are the most important index and mineralogical properties to predict the swelling parameters of Ankara clay with small deviations from the measured values.  相似文献   

Disjunctive Kriging with Hard and Imprecise Data     

Xavier Emery 《Mathematical Geology》2003,35(6):699-718

This paper presents a methodology for assessing local probability distributions by disjunctive kriging when the available data set contains some imprecise measurements, like noisy or soft information or interval constraints. The basic idea consists in replacing the set of imprecise data by a set of pseudohard data simulated from their posterior distribution; an iterative algorithm based on the Gibbs sampler is proposed to achieve such a simulation step. The whole procedure is repeated many times and the final result is the average of the disjunctive kriging estimates computed from each simulated data set. Being data-independent, the kriging weights need to be calculated only once, which enables fast computing. The simulation procedure requires encoding each datum as a pre-posterior distribution and assuming a Markov property to allow the updating of pre-posterior distributions into posterior ones. Although it suffers some imperfections, disjunctive kriging turns out to be a much more flexible approach than conditional expectation, because of the vast class of models that allows its computation, namely isofactorial models.  相似文献