Improved reliability in the interpretation of geochemical measurements by the quantification of uncertainty from sampling     

Michael H. Ramsey Paul D. Taylor Katy A. Boon 《中国地球化学学报》2006,25(B08):209-210

All geochemical measurements require the taking of field samples, but the uncertainty that this process causes is often ignored when assessing the reliability of the interpretation, of the geochemistry or the health implications. Recently devised methods for the estimation, optimisation and reduction of this uncertainty have been evaluated by their application to the investigation of contaminated land. Uncertainty of measurement caused by primary sampling has been estimated for a range of six different contaminated land site investigations, using an increasingly recognized procedure. These site investigations were selected to reflect a wide range of different sizes, contaminants （organic and metals）, previous land uses （e.g. tin mining, railway sidings and gas works）, intended future use （housing to nature reserves） and routinely applied sampling methods. The results showed that the uncertainty on measurements was substantial, ranging from 25% to 186% of the concentration values at the different sites. Sampling was identified as the dominant source of the uncertainty （〉70% of measurement uncertainty） in most cases. The fitness-for-purpose of the measurements was judged using the optimized contaminated land investigation （OCLI） method. This identifies the optimal level of uncertainty that reduces to overall financial loss caused by the measurement procedures and the misclassification of the contamination, caused by the uncertainty. Generally the uncertainty of the actual measurements made in these different site investigations was found to be sub-optimal, and too large by a factor of approximately two. The uncertainty is usually limited by the sampling, but this can be reduced by increasing the sample mass by a factor of 4 （predicted by sampling theory）. It is concluded that knowing the value of the uncertainty enables the interpretation to be made more reliable, and that sampling is the main factor limiting most investigations. This new approach quantifies this problem for the first time, and allows sampling procedures to be critically evaluated, and modified, to improve the reliability of the geochemical assessment.  相似文献   

Real Time Analysis and Forecasting of Strata Caving Behaviour during Longwall Operations     

S. Tadisetty  K. Matsui  H. Shimada  R. N. Gupta 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2006,39(4):383-393

Summary. Discontinuous manual observations and irregular caving characteristics of roof rocks often lead to improper decisions resulting in accidents and production loss. Hence, systematic monitoring of the hanging roof behind the chock shields is necessary for safe and productive mining operations. A real-time application was successfully implemented in an Indian mine for forecasting of hanging roof behaviour to enhance safety and productivity. This paper reports the functioning of real-time TWAP (time weighted average pressure) analysis in the forecasting of hanging roof behaviour in real time.  相似文献   

T -distributed Random Fields: A Parametric Model for Heavy-tailedWell-log Data1     

Jo R?islien  Henning Omre 《Mathematical Geology》2006,38(7):821-849

Histograms of observations from spatial phenomena are often found to be more heavy-tailed than Gaussian distributions, which makes the Gaussian random field model unsuited. A T-distributed random field model with heavy-tailed marginal probability density functions is defined. The model is a generalization of the familiar Student-T distribution, and it may be given a Bayesian interpretation. The increased variability appears cross-realizations, contrary to in-realizations, since all realizations are Gaussian-like with varying variance between realizations. The T-distributed random field model is analytically tractable and the conditional model is developed, which provides algorithms for conditional simulation and prediction, so-called T-kriging. The model compares favourably with most previously defined random field models. The Gaussian random field model appears as a special, limiting case of the T-distributed random field model. The model is particularly useful whenever multiple, sparsely sampled realizations of the random field are available, and is clearly favourable to the Gaussian model in this case. The properties of the T-distributed random field model is demonstrated on well log observations from the Gullfaks field in the North Sea. The predictions correspond to traditional kriging predictions, while the associated prediction variances are more representative, as they are layer specific and include uncertainty caused by using variance estimates.  相似文献   

层状介质高频电磁场响应及位移电流影响     

郑圣谈  曾昭发  王者江 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2006,(Z1)

所讨论的电磁场频率介于传统的低频电磁法和雷达频率之间。在这个频率范围内,传导电流和位移电流都是不可忽略的。采用高密度采样算法计算水平层状磁偶线圈模型的电磁响应,通过对归一化的电磁响应在不同地电情况的模拟,比较分析了高频电磁场响应特征以及位移电流对高频电磁响应的贡献。  相似文献   

黑龙江省中部森林沼泽区 超低密度深穿透地球化学调查采样介质的确定   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

胡忠贤  杨兆武  程志中  王学求 《物探与化探》2005,29(2):105-107,115

通过对王水溶矿法与四酸溶矿法的对比,元素在泛滥平原A层、B层沉积物及水系沉积物中的分配,以及这3种介质圈定的异常对比等综合因素的研究,确定了泛滥平原A层沉积物是黑龙江省中部森林沼泽区开展超低密度深穿透地球化学调查的有效采样介质。  相似文献   

理学3080E3型X射线荧光光谱仪维修实例   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

唐晓慧 《岩矿测试》2005,24(3):237-238

介绍理学3080E3型X射线荧光光谱仪样品驱动单元及高压发生器部分的故障现象及维修实例。  相似文献   

地球化学异常再现性与可对比性   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王学求孙宏伟  迟清华程志中 赵善定 《中国地质》2005,32(1):135-140

不同密度采样是否可以获得稳定的和可追索的地球化学模式是检验采样是否具有代表性，分析技术是否成熟的重要依据。笔者选择新疆哈密大南湖地区约6400km^2面积，进行了从超低密度(1个样／100km^2)，甚低密度(1个样／25km^2)直到低密度(1个样／4km^2)地球化学采样，对比了3种密度地球化学采样所获得的地球化学数据和异常分布模式。得出如下结论：超低密度、甚低密度、低密度地球化学调查获得的元素含量平均值和背景值非常接近；超低密度、甚低密度、低密度调查所圈定的地球化学省在形态上和变化趋势上非常相似，浓集中心的位置重合，表明不同调查阶段可获得稳定的和可追索的地球化学模式；采样密度越大数据离散程度越高，即最小值更小，最大值更大，表明元素分布的局部不均匀性，正是这种局部的不均匀性才能通过加密采样刻画出地球化学模式的细节变化，为逐步追踪矿化体奠定了基础；超低密度和甚低密度采样可以有效圈定矿集区所形成的大规模地球化学异常，低密度地球化学调查不仅可以圈定矿集区异常，同时可以圈定分散矿化的小规模局部异常。  相似文献   

相山火山-侵入杂岩的反方向岩浆演化系列研究   总被引：12，自引：0，他引：12       下载免费PDF全文

张万良 《中国地质》2005,32(4):548-556

相山因是中国最大火山岩型铀矿产地而倍受关注,相山火山-侵入杂岩从喷发-侵出-侵入,SiO2含量、Rb/Sr、Rb/Ba比值降低,而TFe（Fe2O3＋FeO）、CaO、MgO、TiO2、P2O5含量、SI（固结指数）、δEu则呈增高趋势,岩浆演化与正常岩浆房酸度逐渐增高的岩浆分异趋势相反,称反方向岩浆演化系列.不相容元素的比值如Th/U、Rb/Ba、Th/Nb、Th/Ta、La/Nb、Nb/Ta变化幅度较大,与SiO2组分没有明显的正消长或反消长关系,稀土配分曲线也不尽一致,火山喷发相、侵出相和侵入相岩石具有不同的源区性质.  相似文献   

襄樊汉江四桥大口径灌注桩成孔施工实践     

李宏伟  侯杰董军 《中国煤田地质》2005,17(2):35-36,42

介绍了使用泥浆护壁气举反循环回转钻进工艺进行襄樊汉江四桥大口径嵌岩桩的施工实践。施工中采用下置双护简隔离卵石层，合理选用钻头类型(卵砾石层采用五翼合金刮刀钻头，基岩采用球齿滚刀钻头)和钻进参数(混合器沉没深度，尾管长度，孔内空气流量与压力)，摸索与总结出一套复杂地层成孔施工经验。  相似文献   

利用LPAC图分析北半球夏半年环流季节转换及异常     

蔡新玲王盘兴  杜继稳刘子臣 《南京气象学院学报》2005,28(5):710-716

用NCEP／NCAR再分析月平均风、压场资料得到1958—1997年5—10月月际场的局地型相似系数（LPAC）。多年平均LPAC表明了对流层和平流层低层印度夏季风环流的建立、东亚夏季风环流的北进和南亚高压上高原的过程，这些区域LPAC值较同纬度非季风区明显偏低。在平流层中层，夏季型环流表现出纬向对称性和由高纬向低纬的传播特征。对东亚LPAC气候变率时空剖面及3个涝年LPAC异常的分析反映出环流型季节转变异常及其与东亚月降水异常的关系。  相似文献