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101.
《大气与海洋》2012,50(4):129-145
In the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), ensemble size is one of the key factors that significantly affects the performance of a data assimilation system. A relatively small ensemble size often must be chosen because of the limitations of computational resources, which often biases the estimation of the background error covariance matrix. This is an issue of particular concern in Argo data assimilation, where the most complex state-of-the-art models are often used. In this study, we propose a time-averaged covariance method to estimate the background error covariance matrix. This method assumes that the statistical properties of the background errors do not change significantly at neighbouring analysis steps during a short time window, allowing the ensembles generated at previous steps to be used in present steps. As such, a joint ensemble matrix combining ensembles of previous and present steps can be constructed to form a larger ensemble for estimating the background error covariance. This method can enlarge the ensemble size without increasing the number of model integrations, and this method is equivalent to estimating the background error covariance matrix using the mean ensemble covariance averaged over several assimilation steps. We apply this method to the assimilation of Argo and altimetry datasets with an oceanic general circulation model. Experiments show that the use of this time-averaged covariance can improve the performance of the EnKF by reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) and improving the estimation of error covariance structure as well as the relationship between ensemble spread and RMSE. RÉSUMÉ [Traduit par la rédaction] Dans le filtre de Kalman d'ensemble (EnKF), la taille de l'ensemble est l'un des facteurs clés qui ont une influence importante sur la performance d'un système d'assimilation de données. Il faut souvent choisir une taille d'ensemble assez petite à cause des limites des ressources informatiques, ce qui biaise souvent l'estimation de la matrice de covariance de l'erreur de fond. Cette question revêt une importance particulière pour l'assimilation des données Argo, qui fait souvent appel à des modèles de pointe très complexes. Dans cette étude, nous proposons une méthode de covariance moyennée dans le temps pour estimer la matrice de covariance de l'erreur de fond. Cette méthode suppose que les propriétés statistiques des erreurs de fond ne changent pas de façon importante d'une étape d'analyse à la suivante durant un court laps de temps, ce qui permet d'utiliser dans les étapes courantes les ensembles générés aux étapes précédentes. Ainsi, on peut construire une matrice d'ensembles conjoints combinant les ensembles des étapes précédentes et courantes pour former un plus grand ensemble dans le but d'estimer la covariance de l'erreur de fond. Cette méthode peut accroître la taille de l'ensemble sans augmenter le nombre d'intégrations du modèle; elle équivaut à estimer la matrice de covariance de l'erreur de fond en utilisant la covariance moyenne de l'ensemble calculée sur plusieurs étapes d'assimilation. Nous appliquons cette méthode à l'assimilation des ensembles de données Argo et d'altimétrie avec un modèle de circulation océanique générale. Des essais montrent que l'emploi de cette covariance moyennée dans le temps peut améliorer la performance de l'EnKF en réduisant l’écart-type et en améliorant l'estimation de la structure de la covariance de l'erreur de même que la relation entre l'étalement et l'écart-type l'ensemble. 相似文献
102.
《大气与海洋》2012,50(4):59-76
Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements of the velocity structure in the thermocline in Luzon Strait are presented. The statistics for current, vertical variation of the inertia-gravity waveband, parametric subharmonic instability (PSI), and current shear are analyzed. It was found that 1) barotropic flow primarily consists of a nearly circular mixed tide. Diurnal tides are strongest and show smooth variance with a fortnightly spring-neap cycle, indicative of the astronomical tide-generating force. However, the semi-diurnal band power exhibits a high-frequency oscillation as a result of non-linear interactions. The high-frequency band power with high values during the spring tide oscillates with the tidal cycle. Near-inertial wave motions showing random variance may be caused by changes in the wind forcing at the sea surface or by random forcing. 2) Baroclinic velocities exhibit strong shear structure. The observed large changes in the amplitude of the baroclinic velocity and the limited vertical extent of the high-velocity cores may be interpreted as internal wave beams that pass through the observed water column. Semi-diurnal tides are dominant in the baroclinic velocity. Kinetic energy spectra also revealed that additional peaks were centred at sum-tidal-inertial interaction frequencies (such as M2 ?+?f) and difference-interaction frequencies (such as M2 ???f). The spectral exponent of the baroclinic velocity is ω?α (1?<?α?<?3). 3) Strong non-linear interactions among internal waves exist, and the semi-diurnal (M2) component plays a key role in these interactions. Bicoherence analysis showed that M2/2 waves were non-linearly coupled with the dominant M 2 internal tide. 4) The polarization relations were used to diagnose observational internal tidal motions. Diurnal waves propagate to the east-northeast, and the semi-diurnal–diurnal waves propagate westward. In the case of diurnal tides, the minor to major axis ratio is different from the expected value of f/ωK 1 because of the deviation of inclinations, whereas, for semi-diurnal tides, it is close to the expected value of f/ω M2 at depths from 30 to 150 m. RÉSUMÉ?[Traduit par la rédaction] Nous présentons les mesures de la structure des vitesses dans la thermocline faites par profileur de courant à effet Doppler (ADCP) dans le détroit de Luçon. Nous analysons les statistiques sur le courant, la variation verticale de la gamme d'ondes d'inertie-gravité, l'instabilité subharmonique paramétrique (PSI) et le cisaillement du courant. Il ressort que 1) l’écoulement barotrope consiste principalement en une marée mixte presque circulaire. Les marées diurnes sont les plus fortes et présentent une variance régulière dans un cycle vives-eaux mortes-eaux de deux semaines qui révèle la nature astronomique de la force qui produit les marées. Cependant, la puissance de bande semi-diurne affiche une oscillation de haute fréquence causée par des interactions non linéaires. La puissance de bande de haute fréquence avec des valeurs élevées durant les vives-eaux oscille avec le cycle des marées. Les mouvements des ondes quasi inertielles affichant une variance aléatoire peuvent être dus à des variations dans le forçage par le vent à la surface de la mer ou à un forçage aléatoire. 2) Les vitesses baroclines exhibent une structure fortement cisaillée. Les changements marqués observés dans l'amplitude des vitesses baroclines et l'extension verticale limitée des c?urs de vitesse élevée peuvent être interprétés comme des faisceaux d'ondes internes qui traversent la colonne d'eau observée. Les marées semi-diurnes sont dominantes dans les vitesses baroclines. Les spectres d’énergie cinétique ont aussi révélé que des crêtes additionnelles étaient centrées aux fréquences d'interaction cumulative marée-inertie (comme à M2 ?+?f) et aux fréquences d'interaction différentielle (comme à M2 ???f). L'exposant spectral de la vitesse barocline est ω?α (1?<?α?<?3). 3) Il existe de fortes interactions non linéaires entre les ondes internes et la semi-diurne (M2) joue un rôle clé dans ces interactions. L'analyse de bicohérence a montré que les ondes M2/2 étaient non-linéairement couplées avec la marée interne dominante M2 . 4) Nous avons utilisé les relations de polarisation pour diagnostiquer les mouvements de marée internes déduits des observations. Les ondes diurnes se propagent vers l'est-nord-est et les ondes semi-diurnes se propagent vers l'ouest. Dans le cas des marées diurnes, le rapport de l'axe secondaire à l'axe principal diffère de la valeur attendue (f/ωK 1 ) à cause de l’écart des inclinaisons alors que pour les marées semi-diurnes, il est proche de la valeur attendue (f/ω M2 ) à des profondeurs de 30 à 150 m. 相似文献
103.
Recent studies have found cold biases in a fraction of Argo profiles (hereinafter referred to as bad Array for Real-time Geostrophic Oceanography (Argo) profiles) due to the pressure drifts during 2003 and 2006. These bad Argo profiles have had an important impact on in situ observation-based global ocean heat content estimates. This study investigated the impact of bad Argo profiles on ocean data assimilation results that were based on observations from diverse ocean observation systems, such as in situ profiles (e.g., Argo, expendable bathythermograph (XBT), and Tropical Atmosphere Ocean (TAO), remote-sensing sea surface temperature products and satellite altimetry between 2004 and 2006. Results from this work show that the upper ocean heat content analysis is vulnerable to bad Argo profiles and demonstrate a cooling trend in the studied period despite the multiple independent data types that were assimilated. When the bad Argo profiles were excluded from the assimilation, the decreased heat content disappeared and a warming occurred. Combination of satellite altimetry and mass variation data from gravity satellite demonstrated an increase, which agrees well with the increased heat content. Additionally, when an additional Argo profile quality control procedure was utilized that simply removed the profiles that presented static unstable water columns, the results were very similar to those obtained when the bad Argo profiles were excluded from the assimilation. This indicates that an ocean data assimilation that uses multiple data sources with improved quality control could be less vulnerable to a major observation system failure, such as a bad Argo event. 相似文献
104.
105.
Naoto Iwasaka Fumiaki Kobashi Yosuke Kinoshita Yuko Ohno 《Journal of Oceanography》2006,62(4):481-492
A seasonal evolution of surface mixed layer in the western North Pacific around 24°N between 143°E and 150°E was observed
by using an Argo float for more than 9 months, from December 2001 through August 2002. The result showed that the mixed layer
deepened gradually in the first two months. It reached its maximum depth of about 130 m at the end of January, after which
the mixed layer varied largely and sometimes the pycnocline below the mixed layer was much weakened until the summer mixed
layer formed in late April. The thin surface mixed layer was maintained during the rest of the observation period. Heat budget
analysis suggests that the vertical and horizontal temperature advections are the two most dominant terms in the heat balance
in the upper layer on time scales from a few days to a month. The vertical motions that are possibly responsible for the vertical
temperature advection are discussed. 相似文献
106.
For the Argo Project, monitoring the global upper ocean by a large number of profiling floats, maintaining the quality of
salinity data is critical; the goal for measurement accuracy is ±0.01. Experiments using the method of Wong et al. (2003), the standard delayed-mode quality control (dQC) for the Project, show that its performance depends critically on
the reference datasets used. This study concludes that the method is useful for Argo and has sufficient potential to achieve
the goal for salinity measurement in the North Pacific, when suitable reference datasets are prepared. Considering the Wong
et al. (2003) algorithms, we suggest that reference datasets with the following characteristics will be most suitable for Argo
dQC: They should be basically derived from the most extensive datasets, such as the latest World Ocean Database; in regions
with denser observations, datasets with carefully quality controls should be used; in the regions with subsurface temperature
inversions, such as the subarctic North Pacific, the profiles used for the reference must extend below the deepest temperature
maximum to prepare proper salinities for the deep layer reference. 相似文献
107.
108.
The statistical characteristics and vertical thermohaline properties of mesoscale eddies in the Bay of Bengal are studied from the view of satellite altimetry data and Argo profiles. Eddy propagation preferences in different lifetimes, eddy evolution process, and geographical distribution of eddy kinetic properties are analyzed in this area. Eddies exist principally in the western Bay of Bengal, and most of them propagate westward. There is a clear southward(equatorward) preference for eddies with long lifetimes, especially for cyclones. Moreover, the eddies in different areas of the bay show different north-southward preferences. Evolution of eddy kinetic properties with lifetime shows that eddies have the significant three-stage feature: the growth period in the former one-fifth lifetime, the stable period in the middle two-fifth to four-fifth lifetime, and the dying period in the last one-fifth lifetime. Large-amplitude and high-intensity eddies occur only in the relatively confined regions of highly unstable currents, such as the East Indian Coastal Current and eastern Sri Lanka. Based on Argo profile data and climatology data, the eddy synthesis method was used to construct three-dimensional temperature and salt structures of eddies in this area. The mean temperature anomaly is negative/positive to the cyclonic/anticyclonic eddies in the upper 300×10~4 Pa, and below this depth, the anomaly becomes weak. The salinity structures of positive anomalies inside cyclonic eddies and negative anomalies inside anticyclonic eddies in the Bay of Bengal are not consistent with other regions. Due to the special characteristics of the water mass in the bay, especially under the control of the low-salinity Bay of Bengal water at the surface and the Indian equatorial water in the deep ocean, the salinity of seawater shows a monotonic increase with depth. For regional varieties of temperature and salinity structures, as the eddies move westward, the temperature anomaly induced by the eddies increases, the effecting depth of the eddies deepens, and the salinity structures are more affected by inflows. In the north-south direction, the salinity structures of the eddies are associated with the local water masses, which comprise lowsalinity water in the northern bay due to the inflow of freshwater from rivers and salty water in the southern bay due to the invasion of Arabian Sea high-salinity water from the north Indian Ocean. 相似文献
109.
110.
利用3家机构（JAMSTEC、SIO、IPRC）发布的Argo海洋温度和盐度数据分析2005~2015年全球SSL在不同时间和空间尺度上的变化特征。结果表明,全球平均SSL（即由海水密度变化引起的）上升速率为1.08±0.38 mm/a;年际信号对SSL变化速率的估算结果存在显著影响,近期（2011~2015年）Argo数据的估算结果（2.16±0.50 mm/a）显著大于早期（2005~2010年）的结果（0.66±0.64 mm/a）。当前Argo产品用于全球平均SSL变化趋势的分析结果较为一致,差异为3家机构所得结果平均值的10%左右;而小尺度上(20°宽纬度带)的计算结果差异很大,能达到平均值的80%。对全球SSL的空间特征的分析结果也显示,3家机构产品估算的海平面比容变化周年振幅和线性速率在更小的尺度(±5°)上存在不可忽视的差异。 相似文献