天时、气候与中国历史(Ⅰ):太阳黑子周长与中国气候   总被引：11，自引：7，他引：11  

汤懋苍  柳艳香  郭维栋 《高原气象》2001,20(4):368-373

依据太阳黑子周期长度 (SCL)资料 ,将过去 2 5 0 0年分为“好天时代”(SCL <11年 )和“坏天时代”(SCL >11年 ) ,发现在“坏天时代”中国旱灾频率显著高于“好天时代”。“好 (坏 )天世纪”与气候暖(冷 )期有好的对应 ;并提出了太阳活动影响气候的过程链  相似文献   

Modelling Regional Scale Surface Energy Exchanges And Cbl Growth In A Heterogeneous, Urban-Rural Landscape     

H. A. Cleugh  C. S. B. Grimmond 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2001,98(1):1-31

Over the last decade, simple models of theconvective boundary layer (CBL) have beensuggested as an approach to inferring regionallyaveraged land-air exchanges of heat, water and tracegases, because the properties of the CBL respond toan average of the underlying small-scaleheterogeneity. This paper explores the use of anintegral CBL method to infer regionally averagedfluxes in a landscape that has at least three majorsources of heterogeneity – irrigated andnon-irrigated rural land use and a large urban area(Sacramento region, California).The first part of the paper assesses the validity ofthe simple slab model of the CBL – this isintegrated forwards in time using local-scalemeasured heat and water vapour fluxes, to predictmixed-layer depth, temperature and humidity. Of thefour different CBL growth schemes used, the Tennekesand Driedonks model is found to give the bestperformance. Evaluation of the model performancewith different weightings of heat and water vapourfluxes based on the land use characteristics in theregion suggest that the source area for theboundary-layer sonde measurements is larger thanphysically-based estimates would suggest.Finally, measured time series of potentialtemperature are used to infer regionally averagedsensible heat fluxes using an integral CBL (ICBL)method. These ICBL fluxes are compared with thosemeasured at the local scale over the three land usetypes that comprise the region of interest. They arefound to be closest to the heat fluxes calculated byappropriately weighting the measured heat fluxes inthe source area calculated for the ICBL. We concludethat the integral CBL budget method providesadequate estimates of regionally-averaged surfaceheat fluxes in a landscape that is characterised bysurface types with distinctly different surfaceenergy budgets.  相似文献   

根据天气类型划分欧洲中期天气预报中心的集合预报产品   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

杨学胜  JeanNicolau  NicoleGirardot 《气象学报》2001,59(2):173-182

该研究的主要目的是找出一种对集合预报产品进行释用的新方法。其基本假定是集合预报要素在一定程度上代表了未来可能发生的天气形势。为了解决天气尺度在中期预报的不可预报性问题 ,引入了天气类型的概念。对集合预报进行划分的方法是 Diday提出的动力模糊法 ,初始划分时的重心由天气类型定义 ,划分用到的距离是位移和最大相关方法。根据城市块 (City- Block)距离找出了影响中国的按冬夏两季划分的天气类型 ,初步划分结果表明 ,欧洲中期天气预报中心的集合预报系统可以预报出横槽转竖型天气类型的演变情况 ,在夏天的预报效果则没有冬天好。  相似文献   

WATER VAPOR CONTENT AND MEAN TRANSFER IN THE ATMOSPHERE OVER NORTHWEST CHINA   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

YU Yaxun  WU Guoxiong  WANG Baoling  DONG Anxiang  BAI Huzhi 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2001,15(2):191-204

The interannual and intermonthly climatic features of the water vapor content(hereafterWVC)and its mean transfer in the atmosphere over Northwest China(hereafter NWC)arecalculated and analyzed by using the NCEP/NCAR global reanalysis grid data(2.5°×2.5°Lat/Lon)for 40 years(1958—1997).The results show that the WVC in the total air column over NWC infour seasons of the year is mainly concentrated on eastern and western NWC respectively.On theaverage,the WVC over eastern NWC decreases obviously during recent forty years except forwinter.while it decreases over western NWC in the whole year.But the WVC over NWC has beenincreasing since late 1980s in summer.The water vapor comes from the southwestern warm andwet air current along the Yarlung Zangbo River Valley and the Bay of Bengal.and from mid-western Tibetan Plateau and also from the Qinling Mountains at southern Shaanxi Province.Theyearly water vapor divergence appears over the middle of NWC to northern Xinjiang andsoutheastern Shaanxi Province.The yearly water vapor convergence appears over the Tarim Basinand the Tibetan Plateau as well as western Sichuan and southern Gansu.  相似文献   

经验正交函数在解释数值预报产品中的应用     

贾朝阳 《山西气象》2001,104(4):8-10

本文用经验正交函数展开的分析方法，确定了各种数值预报产品物理场中和对应时效的运城日降水量显著相关的物理量要素及关键区域，对关键区域的物理量场使用典型相关分析进行处理，得到了数量较少，而又能代表该关键区物理量分布状况主要信息的新因子，从而建立使用数值预报产品制作短期单站降水预报模式，进行预报效果较好。  相似文献   

印度洋偶极子对大气环流和气候的影响   总被引：28，自引：6，他引：28  

Li Chongyin  Mu Mingquan 《大气科学进展》2001,18(5):831-843

赤道印度洋SST的分析研究证实了偶极子型振荡的存在，它在9-11月较强而在1-4月较弱。若以海温西高东低为偶极子振荡正位相，以海温东高西低为负位相，则一般是正位相时振荡要强于负位相。印度洋偶极子也存在年际（主要周期为4－5年）和年代际（主要周期为25-30年）变化。分析研究表明，印度洋偶极子对亚洲季风活动有明显影响，因为亚洲地区对流层低层的风场，南亚高压和西太平洋副高强度都与印度洋偶极子有关。另外，印度洋偶极子还对北美和南印度洋（包括澳大利亚和南美）地区的大气环流和气流有影响。  相似文献   

CHARACTERISTICS OF SEASONAL VARIATION OF RAINFALL OVER THE TIBETAN PLATEAU DURING SUMMER 1998 AND ITS IMPACT ON EAST ASIAN WEATHER^*          下载免费PDF全文

LI Wei  CHEN Longxun 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2001,15(3):293-309

The seasonal variation of rainy season over the Tibetan Plateau in summer 1998 is analyzed by using daily observational rainfall data for Lhasa from 1955 to 1996,and rainfall data at 70 stations from January to August of 1998 over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and adjacent regions,as well as TBB data from May to August of 1998.The onset date of rainy season for Lhasa is climatologically 6 June.Among the analyzed years,the earliest onset date is 6 May,while the latest may delay to 2 July.The obvious inter-decadal variation can be found in the series of onset date.The onset date of summer 1998 over middle TP (onset date of Lhasa) is 24 June,which is relatively later than the normal case.The onset for rainy season of 1998 started over southeast and northeast parts of TP and then propagated westward and northward.The convection over east and west parts of TP shows that there is a quasi 12-15 day oscillation.In June,the convection over middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River is formed by the westward propagation of convection over subtropical western Pacific.while in July.it is formed by the eastward propagation of convection over TP.Besides,it is also found that there exists good negative and obvious advance and lag correlation between the convection over the middle and western TP and that over the subtropical western Pacific and southern China.Therefore it can be inferred that a feedback zonal circulation with a quasi two-three week oscillation exists between the ascending region of TP and descending region of subtropical western Pacific,i.e.the convection over TP may affect the subtropical high over western Pacific and vice versa.  相似文献   

基于卷积反投影法重建康普顿背散射扫描图像     

黄峰  邵立康  丁厚本  沈建华  史国川 《CT理论与应用研究》2001,10(4):22-25

本文主要介绍了如何运用卷积反投影算法重建康普顿背散扫描图像，该技术具有成像速度快、图像分辨率高，数据修正简单的特点。  相似文献   

大别-苏鲁超高压变质带P-T-t轨迹的动力学模拟   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

范桃园  石耀霖 《地球物理学报》2001,44(5):627-635

综合现有的地质、地球化学资料以及同位素年龄等研究成果，同时结合新西兰南岛北端陆壳俯冲的最新发现，提出了超高压变质岩的形成四阶段演化模式：板片俯冲形成增生楔、板片俯冲驱动角落流、板片拆离浮力抬升至Moho深度和后期上地壳伸展阶段.以此为定量模拟的出发点，利用二维有限元对大别-苏鲁超高压变质带的形成演化进行了动力学和热演化模拟，追踪超高压变质岩形成演化过程中的质点路径以及对应的P-T-t轨迹.计算的P-T-t轨迹及其空间分布特征均能与实测结果较好吻合.  相似文献   

各向异性弹性波有限元叠前逆时偏移   总被引：26，自引：10，他引：26       下载免费PDF全文

张美根  王妙月 《地球物理学报》2001,44(5):711-719

利用有限元法和最小走时射线追踪的界面点法，实现了各向异性弹性波的叠前逆时偏移.理论模型资料的偏移结果清晰准确，证实了该系统的可靠性.通过对各向异性模型资料的各向同性偏移处理，发现常规偏移剖面存在较大误差，地质体的垂向深度和横向位置与实际模型有偏离.  相似文献