Effective livelihood adaptation to climate change disturbance: Scale dimensions of practice in Mozambique   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Henny Osbahr  Chasca Twyman  W. Neil Adger  David S.G. Thomas 《Geoforum》2008,(6):1951-1964

Natural resource-dependent societies in developing countries are facing increased pressures linked to global climate change. While social-ecological systems evolve to accommodate variability, there is growing evidence that changes in drought, storm and flood extremes are increasing exposure of currently vulnerable populations. In many countries in Africa, these pressures are compounded by disruption to institutions and variability in livelihoods and income. The interactions of both rapid and slow onset livelihood disturbance contribute to enduring poverty and slow processes of rural livelihood renewal across a complex landscape. We explore cross-scale dynamics in coping and adaptation response, drawing on qualitative data from a case study in Mozambique. The research characterises the engagements across multiple institutional scales and the types of agents involved, providing insight into emergent conditions for adaptation to climate change in rural economies. The analysis explores local responses to climate shocks, food security and poverty reduction, through informal institutions, forms of livelihood diversification and collective land-use systems that allow reciprocity, flexibility and the ability to buffer shocks. However, the analysis shows that agricultural initiatives have helped to facilitate effective livelihood renewal, through the reorganisation of social institutions and opportunities for communication, innovation and micro-credit. Although there are challenges to mainstreaming adaptation at different scales, this research shows why it is critical to assess how policies can protect conditions for emergence of livelihood transformation.  相似文献   

新疆黑英山-查汗沙拉-地那达坂地区锑矿成矿远景评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王宏  李红  杨丽丽  沙德铭  鲍庆忠 《地质与勘探》2008,44(1):37-41

我国西天山南段的黑英山-查汗沙拉-地那达坂锑多金属矿化区为中亚南天山成矿带的东延部分,区内广泛分布有泥盆系滨浅海含碳碎屑岩和碳酸盐岩,岩石具有较高的Sb背景场,异常多呈Sb、Au、As、Hg等元素组合异常出现,异常区内已发现有查汗沙拉、阿特达坂和地那达坂等多个锑矿(点)床.区内锑矿化及异常均受近Nw向大型逆冲推覆构造系统控制,具有良好的成矿条件和较大的找矿潜力.  相似文献   

攀西地区铂族元素地球化学异常分布及其筛选   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

任光明  李佑国  陈旭  骆耀南  费光春  包凤琴  陈杰 《地质与勘探》2008,44(1):62-66

攀西地区不同时代地层的水系沉积物中铂族元素地球化学背景值具有明显的规律性分布.笔者通过对该地区铂族元素含量在各地层中的分布以及地球化学异常的圈定、归并和分类,结合有关铂族矿床地球化学特征的认识,通过对水系沉积物中Pt、Pd综合异常的筛选,在铂族元素综合衬值异常图的基础上共划分出Ⅰ类异常4个、Ⅱ类异常19个、Ⅲ类异常23个以及Ⅳ类异常14个.初步筛选出的19个Ⅱ类异常子区可为进一步开展铂族矿床找矿工作提供依据.  相似文献   

Linear magnetic anomalies and tectonic development of the middle Okinawa Trough     

Liang Ruicai  Wu Jinlong  Liu Baohu  Wang Yong  Wang Shugong 《海洋学报(英文版)》2001,20(1):105-116

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＴｈｅＯｋｉｎａｗａＴｒｏｕｇｈ (ＯＴ) ,ｌｏｃａｔｅｄｎｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔｏｆｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕＴｒｅｎｃｈａｎｄｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕｇｕｎｔｏ ,ｅａｓｔｏｆｔｈｅＥａｓｔＣｈｉｎａＳｅａｓｈｅｌｆ,ｉｓａｂａｃｋ ａｒｃｂａｓｉｎｂｕｌｇｅｄｔｏｔｈｅＲｙｕｋｙｕＴｒｅｎｃｈ .ＴｈｅＯＴｅｘｔｅｎｄｓｆｒｏｍＫｙｕｓｈｕｉｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｔｈｗｅｓｔｏｆＪａｐａｎｔｏｔｈｅＩｌａｎＰｌａｉｎｉｎｔｈｅｎｏｒｔｈｅａｓｔｅｒｎＴａｉｗａｎ ,Ｃｈｉｎａｉｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｔｈｗｅｓｔ…  相似文献   

Linkages between Alaskan sockeye salmon abundance, growth at sea, and climate, 1955–2002     

G.T. Ruggerone  J.L. Nielsen  J. Bumgarner 《Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography》2007,54(23-26):2776

We tested the hypothesis that increased growth of salmon during early marine life contributed to greater survival and abundance of salmon following the 1976/1977 climate regime shift and that this, in turn, led to density-dependent reductions in growth during late marine stages. Annual measurements of Bristol Bay (Bering Sea) and Chignik (Gulf of Alaska) sockeye salmon scale growth from 1955 to 2002 were used as indices of body growth. During the first and second years at sea, growth of both stocks tended to be higher after the 1976–1977 climate shift, whereas growth during the third year and homeward migration was often below average. Multiple regression models indicated that return per spawner of Bristol Bay sockeye salmon and adult abundance of western and central Alaska sockeye salmon were positively correlated with growth during the first 2 years at sea and negatively correlated with growth during later life stages. After accounting for competition between Bristol Bay sockeye and Asian pink salmon, age-specific adult length of Bristol Bay salmon increased after the 1976–1977 regime shift, then decreased after the 1989 climate shift. Late marine growth and age-specific adult length of Bristol Bay salmon was exceptionally low after 1989, possibly reducing their reproductive potential. These findings support the hypothesis that greater marine growth during the first 2 years at sea contributed to greater salmon survival and abundance, which in turn led to density-dependent growth during later life stages when size-related mortality was likely lower. Our findings provide new evidence supporting the importance of bottom-up control in marine ecosystems and highlight the complex dynamics of species interactions that continually change as salmon grow and mature in the ocean.  相似文献   

Modelling and forecasting long-term dynamics of Western Baltic macrobenthic fauna in relation to climate signals and environmental change   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Joachim Grger  Heye Rumohr 《Journal of Sea Research》2006,55(4):266-277

Long-term macrobenthos data from Kiel Bight in the Western Baltic collected between 1968 and 2000 have been correlated with the winter NAO index (North Atlantic Oscillation Index) and other environmental data such as temperature, salinity and oxygen content in the bottom water in order to detect systematic patterns related to so far unexplained abiotic signals in the dynamics of zoobenthic species assemblages. The benthos data come from a cluster of five stations (Süderfahrt/ Millionenviertel) in Kiel Bay. Our investigations concentrated on the macrobenthic dynamics with a focus on the number of species m^− 2 (species richness). Using logarithms and the time series analysis approach of Box/Jenkins (ARIMA modelling, transfer function modelling) it was shown that species richness was strongly influenced by the winter NAO (adjusted for a linear time trend within the 1968-2000 period) and salinity (with a shift/lag of four years). Bootstrapping experiments (i.e. sampling from the error process) and analysis of prediction power (by means of the one- or more-years leaving-out method) showed that the parameter estimates behaved in a stable way, leading to a relatively robust model.  相似文献   

The Bering Sea—A dynamic food web perspective     

Kerim Aydin  Franz Mueter   《Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography》2007,54(23-26):2501

The Bering Sea is a high-latitude, semi-enclosed sea that supports extensive fish, seabird, marine mammal, and invertebrate populations and some of the world's most productive fisheries. The region consists of several distinct biomes that have undergone wide-scale population variation, in part due to fisheries, but also in part due to the effects of interannual and decadal-scale climatic variation. While recent decades of ocean observation have highlighted possible links between climate and species fluctuations, mechanisms linking climate and population fluctuations are only beginning to be understood. Here, we examine the food webs of Bering Sea ecosystems with particular reference to some key shifts in widely distributed, abundant fish populations and their links with climate variation. Both climate variability and fisheries have substantially altered the Bering Sea ecosystem in the past, but their relative importance in shaping the current ecosystem state remains uncertain.  相似文献   

1990年12月14日台湾强震的预报判据     

顾延芬 《台湾海峡》1993,12(1):81-84

本文运用福建省沿海气象要素的异常变化,作台湾省的中、短期地震预报,取得了成功的效果。采用长乐历年各月14时最低气压的距平值,作台湾省未来4～7个月内出现强震的预报依据,并采用热异常进行短临跟踪。当秋冬季节连续4d 长乐、福州、台北的气温均比广州累计高出10℃时,预报未来1～5d 台湾省出现7级强震。又根据近百年来台湾发生的强震,统计其活动季节,得到近20年来7级地震发生的时间,绝大部分在9～12月。  相似文献   

Geographical distribution of fish catches and temperature variations in the northeast Atlantic since 1945     

Rögnvaldur Hannesson 《Marine Policy》2007

Warming of the northeast Atlantic is expected to affect the location and productivity of fish stocks. It is examined whether variations in catches of cod, herring, mackerel, anchovy and sardines in the ICES statistical areas are related to variations in ocean temperature. Temperatures at certain locations along the Norwegian coast are taken as proxies for temperatures in the Norwegian Sea and the North Sea. It is found that the catches of cod in the North Sea are inversely correlated with temperature and that recruitment and catches of cod in the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea are positively related to temperature. There is also some indication of a positive correlation between temperature and the catches of mackerel in the North Sea and the Norwegian Sea, and between temperature and the catches of sardines in the North Sea.  相似文献   

确定任意磁性体磁化方向的样条函数法     

姜效典 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1992,(2)

由磁异常Z_α和重力异常g,利用样条函数的微、积分性质,从泊松方程出发,直接解得磁性体的磁化方向。该方法适用于任意形状磁性体的磁异常。  相似文献