河南红旗渠沿线地质灾害易发性评价   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

皇甫行丰  李坷凌  古维善 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2004,15(3):29-33

红旗渠是20世纪60年代河南省林州市人民在国家极其困难时期依靠自力更生、艰苦奋斗，在太行山腰上修建的引漳入林水利工程。建成后灌溉着林州3．6万hm^2农田，解决了98万人口和37万头牲畜的吃水问题，发挥着巨大的经济效益。然而，红旗渠沿线地质条件极为复杂，地质灾害频繁发生，自红旗渠建成运行以来，几乎每年都有崩塌、滑坡、泥石流等地质灾害发生。1960～2000年，红旗渠总干渠因地质灾害造成的决口事件有19次。1996年8月3～4日，由于连降暴雨，引发崩塌、滑坡和泥石流等地质灾害，使总干渠沿线154处渠道淤塞，淤积达94402m^3，给工农业生产和人民生命财产造成巨大损失，直接经济损失达1．17亿元，灾后修复费用达1100万余元。多年来每年用于地质灾害后修复的费用达数百万元。如何有效地防治红旗渠沿线地质灾害，确保顺畅其流，千秋永固，是值得研究的一项重要课题。据调查，共发现各类地质灾害94处，其中危岩体44处，崩塌24处，滑坡12处，泥石流14处。作者基于地质灾害现状，采用定性分析结合定量分析方法，对各类地质灾害进行评价，将红旗渠沿线地质灾害易发性划分为4个区，即高易发区、中易发区、低易发区和不易发区，为红旗渠沿线地质灾害防治规划提供依据。  相似文献   

化探数据库在小秦岭地区成矿预测方面的应用     

张会灵  向婷婷  李春兰  方维萱 《物探与化探》2004,28(3):276-279

小秦岭地区7000km²1:5万分散流扫面成果已建成化探数据库,在研究总结前人有关该区成矿规律的基础上,建立了定量预测模型。根据该模型,筛选出2个金Ⅰ级找矿预测区。  相似文献   

Statewide Estimates of Undiscovered Deposits of Gold,Silver, Copper,Lead, and Zinc   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

McCammon  Richard B.  Root  David H.  Schruben  Paul G. 《Natural Resources Research》2004,13(3):201-207

Estimates of the number of undiscovered deposits on a statewide basis offer a different perspective on the nation's undiscovered resources of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc. Mean estimates of the number of undiscovered deposits statewide were extracted from the estimates of undiscovered deposits nationwide. More than 50 undiscovered deposits are estimated to occur in Alaska, Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin. Estimating the number of undiscovered deposits statewide serves as a measure of a state's total remaining mineral resources in known conventional deposit types.  相似文献   

From Chicago to L.A. and Back Again: A Chicago‐Inspired Quantitative Analysis of Income Distribution in Montreal*     

Richard Shearmur  Mathieu Charron 《The Professional geographer》2004,56(1):109-126

In a recent issue of Urban Geography (2001) , a number of key players in the 1960s and 1970s school of quantitative urban geography (called Chicago II in this article) set out some of the approach's key methodological premises and assessed its influence in the wider arena of urban studies. At about the same time, the 1920s and 1930s Chicago School of urban sociology (called the Chicago School in this article) was being reassessed in France ( Huet 2000 ), and deconstructed in Los Angeles ( Dear 2001 ). In this article, we outline a selection of basic models of urban space proposed by the Chicago School and further elaborated by Chicago II. We then consider certain aspects of three important critiques: humanist/aesthetic, Marxist, and postmodern. We argue that none of these invalidates the Chicago II approach to the study of urban areas, and we demonstrate its resilience and usefulness by way of the empirical example of Montreal. Though the results are of interest in their own right, the principal purpose of the analysis is to illustrate the type of insight that a structured quantitative approach provides and the way this approach rests on a theoretical understanding of processes at work in cities. We conclude by arguing that the humanist and Marxist critiques shed important light upon the possibilities and limits of the Chicago II approach, but that the postmodern claim that the spatial development of urban areas is not structured by at least some general processes is inaccurate.  相似文献   

Structuring subjectivities? Using Q methodology in human geography   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Sally Eden  rew Donaldson  Gordon Walker 《Area》2005,37(4):413-422

This paper presents a critical and reflexive account of using Q methodology in human geography. Q methodology has a long pedigree in psychological, political and sociological research, but is only recently beginning to be used by human geographers. We discuss, in particular, the parts of the process(es) of Q methodology that are often glossed over in the literature, through reflecting on our learning in using Q within a project examining the use and production of environmental science by NGOs. We conclude that Q may be a useful supplement to existing methods in human geography, as long as it is used creatively and reflexively and with full awareness of its interpretative dimensions.  相似文献   

深水海底管道铺设安全辅助系统     

高爽  王法承  汤珂  李斌  李杨 《海洋工程》2018,36(2):127-134

此次研发的铺管安全辅助系统是一套自动化、简易化、旨在提高安装经济性和安全性的实时运行安全辅助系统,通过实时数据采集及处理,达到对安装期海管强度进行实时监测目的。系统组成包括设备系统和监测软件两部分。设备为系统提供辅助决策数据源;监测软件采用C++语言编写,用于数据接收、解析,并通过OrcaFlex API调用商业有限元软件OrcaFlex为分析内核进行实时分析计算,以可视化界面输出管道应力、应变、触地点等信息,给予船上作业人员安全指导,及时作出决策。  相似文献   

Effect of rainfall uncertainty on the performance of physically based rainfall–runoff models     

Ignacio Fraga  Luis Cea  Jernimo Puertas 《水文研究》2019,33(1):160-173

This paper analyses the effect of rain data uncertainty on the performance of two hydrological models with different spatial structures: a semidistributed and a fully distributed model. The study is performed on a small catchment of 19.6 km² located in the north‐west of Spain, where the arrival of low pressure fronts from the Atlantic Ocean causes highly variable rainfall events. The rainfall fields in this catchment during a series of storm events are estimated using rainfall point measurements. The uncertainty of the estimated fields is quantified using a conditional simulation technique. Discharge and rain data, including the uncertainty of the estimated rainfall fields, are then used to calibrate and validate both hydrological models following the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) methodology. In the storm events analysed, the two models show similar performance. In all cases, results show that the calibrated distribution of the input parameters narrows when the rain uncertainty is included in the analysis. Otherwise, when rain uncertainty is not considered, the calibration of the input parameters must account for all uncertainty in the rainfall–runoff transformation process. Also, in both models, the uncertainty of the predicted discharges increase in similar magnitude when the uncertainty of rainfall input increase.  相似文献   

湖相介形类壳体微量元素在古环境重建中的应用     

姜高磊  刘林敬  毛欣 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》2020,40(2):192-199

湖相介形类壳体微量元素(本文主要指Mg和Sr)是重建古环境的重要指标之一,可以定性或定量地反映湖水信息。自20世纪80年开始应用以来,经过30余年的发展取得了很大进展。在古环境重建过程中主要存在两类影响因素:(1)其宿生水体中M/Ca比值(M主要指Mg和Sr)的影响因素:季节变化、微环境差异和湖泊演化过程,这类因素通过对宿生水体中M/Ca比值来影响介形虫壳体中的M/Ca比值,进而造成古环境重建结果的误差增大或可靠性降低;(2)介形类壳体微量元素分配系数的影响因素:宿生水体中M/Ca比值、温度、碱度等,这类因素能够直接影响介形类壳体分泌、钙化的生命-化学过程的因素,是定量重建的重要影响因素。加强现代介形类生活习性和微量元素组成变化过程的研究可以消除或减小以上影响因素对古环境重建的影响,提高介形类壳体化石中微量元素组成在古环境重建研究中的精度和可靠性。  相似文献   

一种用于海洋综合观测浮标的多种通信方式集成系统   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

王春晓  王旭  刘长华  贾思洋 《海洋科学》2020,44(1):142-147

为了优化海洋综合观测浮标的通信系统,设计了一种通信方式集成系统,将多种通信模块进行集成管理,并在每个数据发送周期进行通信信号检测,经过比较选择最优的通信方式进行数据传输。该系统具有采集数据完整、数据冗余小、运行功耗低等优点,有效增强了浮标的通信能力,完善了原有通信系统的功能,并且后期还具备较强的可扩展性功能,如浮标舱内环境监测和独立定位等,进一步增强浮标的安全性。该系统已经完成12个月的海上试运行,系统运行稳定,功能达到预期,可满足海洋综合观测浮标对多种通信方式进行优化管理的需求。  相似文献   

一种简化的暴雨灾害风险及影响评估方法和应用研究 ——以京津冀“7·21”暴雨事件为例   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

王秀荣  吕终亮  王莉萍  蒋卫国  马国斌 《气象》2016,42(2):213-220

文章综合考虑中国区域范围内降雨时空分布特征以及地理地貌等特征,将全国降雨区划分为4大类,在此基础上,得出不同降雨类区暴雨致灾因子的强度等级评定方法;同时,研究确定了与暴雨灾害密切相关的地形高程、高程标准差、河网密度、土壤类型等环境脆弱性影响要素,并对各类要素分别进行了分级评定;将各类环境脆弱性影响要素结合暴雨致灾因子要素,运用加权求和方法建立了暴雨灾害综合风险评估模型;并结合GIS技术,将城市、农村人口分布情况、用地等数据叠加到风险分布格局中,最终分析得出不同风险等级下影响的城市和农村人口数量、土地面积等内容。该评估模型相较于以往其他暴雨风险评估模型,其适用范围更广,可以适用于全国范围内的任意区域暴雨灾害风险评估;实时评估业务能力更强,将该模型结合降雨实况资料或预报资料可以对全国任意区域降雨灾害综合风险进行事后、跟踪评估或预评估;评估对象更有针对性,结合GIS技术,可以针对得出的风险分布结果分别给出不同风险等级范围内的承灾体受影响的定量评估结果。  相似文献